₦airaland Forum

Nemesis001:
Exactly, I'm yet to see the technocrats or someone without any coma from South West that can be chosen as Atiku's VP.



Atiku will surely get a sizeable number of votes in Osun-Adeleke factor, Ekiti-Fayose,Lagos-Jimi Agbaje,Ondo-Everyone is tired of Apc here,Oyo too.


South East believe it's their time to be given something reasonable in PDP as they have always shown their unalloyed support for the party since 1999 without given any tangible thing in return.


Picking his VP will determine Atiku's fate next year as anything except SE will lead to vote apathy in the East. We are watching.

There is no advantage for PDP in Osun State. Adeleke factor my foot. That factor is completely based on family name and APC has already started to make good deals in the area.
There is no love for Atiku in the SW although he used to have the best network in the zone inherited from Shehu Yaradua. All those guys are dead now or too old.

The FG juggernaut will get to work soon and you are all up for surprises in the SW. People are NOT sleeping.

The belief that all Igbos will vote against Buhari
The belief that Igbo votes determine who becomes President. No. It is NW votes
The belief that C.Rivers, Rivers and Akwa Ibom are not cooling for Buhari already
The belief that up to 28 governors not already for Buhari
The belief that Imo State, Ebonyi State and one of either Anambra or Enugu won't swing for Buhari. Buhari will win 3 states in SE
The belief that the federal govt does not have "tools" to increase their favourabikity before elections including SIP, minimum wage et.c
The belief that the close margin in Osun is a referendum on Buhari. It is not. It was ANGER against salary issues and sentiment for Adeleke family
The belief that Wike will be compelled to work for Atiku by force. WRONG. Rivers State and Delta State are already swinging APC.

Thieves. Pastor Bakare never mentioned Adamawa State in any prophecy. He spoke about a "young man". A tender plant from the side of the North who will uproot things. I actually thought it would be Ribadu, El Rufai or Col Umar.
Trying to hijack the prophecy for Atiku is cowardly. Atiku will never be President anyway.
The worst that happens is Buhari retires from office but keeps political power, brings a young dynamic guy to replace himself and uses his power to make him win elections.

Buhari has SW, NW, NE and parts of SS on lock down.

More than 28 governors are for Buhari. Governors make elections happen.

In Lagos, I have noticed some reaction against Buhari. They actually blame him unfairly for the problems PDP caused and the tough measures required to solve them like Naira partial floating, and fuel price. However, Buhari wins Lagos and most of SW by a landslide. The people love his integrity and SW is made up of semi rural living areas where they traditionally vote for Buhari. Not everybody is a salary earner taking BET everyday. Buhari has raised an army of 12million farmers in SW, SE and NC.

NE, Atiku will lose Borno, Adamawa.

C.Rivers/ Akwa Ibom, Buhari will beat Atiku hands down because of some tribal issues.

NW, you dont win the Presidency without NW. Buhari rules here. Tambuwal did not win nomination. He won't be so strong for Atiku. Buhari has Ganduje, Shekarau and most of Kwankwasiya with Kwankwaso losing nomination in KANO.

This is a LIE about GEJ losing due to conspiracy theory. The truth is that Nigerians were under hardship as well during this high oil price era of GEJ. It was the practical reality of day to day suffering that did GEJ in ...not propaganda. So the current suffering is well recognized as coming from that era.

Buhari regime has had to implement necessary painful measures to revamp the economy. No intelligent person thought it was going to be easy to restructure the economy. The danger of going back to PDP is they 2ill try to bribe Nigweins and reverse some things which will increase inflation and make Naira valueless or liberalize imports and destroy the exchange rate

jamejanev:
Atiku is moderate, very generous, dynamic and social. He even married a Yoruba Christian, Bihari can never marry another tribe except hausafulani, let alone marry a Christian woman. To me, Atiku is the best, I am an APC supporter from day one, but Buhari does not worth dying for, he is too extremist and strict. But his family are spending our money anyhow and we are cleaning that he is clean, pls forget that.

Atiku is unelectable. All these qualities make him unattractive in the North. He is a treasury looter and he used to be a womanizer. Only weak people are afraid of people like Buhari. The future of my kids and grandkids are too important to entrust into the hands of some one like AAtiku. He will sell the country. He will be li,e Jacob Zuma. Nigeria is in too precarious a state to put thieves in power.

All his investments are via connections to governments and unfinished contracts. People actualky know most of the jobs that Atiku did not finish and money paid. Prepare for some exposes
.University ownership, many Nigeria billionaires own universities . Nothing special. Churches actually own the best of them

[/b] BUHARI STATES [b]


LAGOS
OGUN
ONDO
OSUN
OYO
KWARA
EDO
EKITI


SOKOTO
KEBBI
KATSINA
KADUNA
KANO
ZAMFARA
BORNO
NIGER
BENUE
YOBE
JIGAWA
FCT
ADAMAWA

IMO
ABIA
EBONYI
AKWA IBOM
C.RIVERS
DELTA

The important thing about winning states is the governors.

Esseite:
Tinubu that is trying to protect his caliphate... snaping pictures with Ambode and sanwo-olu as not to project a rift in the lagos APC as they are headed for governorship elections..

The presidential election chances are 50/50 and a sly Tinubu would not want to go all out for a Buhari just incase it goes the opposite direction.

Never post your wishful thinking as fact. You are "hoping" on a Tinubu Buhari quarell. Where fo they teach people to think this way?

gentlegenius:
It was even more impossible for PMB to defeat Jonathan in 2015.
Una eyes go clear next year... Same way my eyes clear in 2015.

This is a LIE. It was sure that Buhari was going to win three months to elections. The man had popularity in SW and sure 12m votes in the North. A lot of young PDP supporters did not understand it because of parochial local mindedness. It was when GEJ postponed elections that they started getting scared. Buhari has won the elections already

Tambuwal and Kwankwaso won't support Atiku. Tambuwal is in serious political trouble and I have never belived Kwankwaso's defection. There is really nothing for them in an Atiku Presidency. Kwankwaso has no ideological problem with Buhari. Only Tambuwal has issues in Aso Rock and that was due to over ambition.

Every Nigerian President needs to win NW & SW. If you don't, you are going nowhere.

Nemesis001:
Even if you show me a video or picture of Atiku stealing from the Central Bank, I and my family will still vote for him.

Visiting USA can never be a criterion for voting our president cos Americans don't visit Nigeria too.

No amount of propaganda will stop us from voting him cos you guys supported the Lifeless one against all odds too.

HE will lose the elections. You have to VOTE for him. You don't have a choice because there is no other candidate who can offer a modicum of challenge to Buhari..but Atiku will lose more than GEJ

PDP young supporters almost lost this guy Wike. Why did Atiku go and beg. In any case Atiku is finished with Governors. All APC and most PDP governors don't support him. How do you become President without governors. People will learn politics hard in February

GOD FORBID. They will take everything. GOD has even decreed against it

Binikingdowm:
Let me tell you how stupid it is..

In the last presidential election Buhari got 15 million of votes now he's getting 14 million plus and remember it's card carrying members only..

There are some people that aren't card carrying members and will still vote for him..

Appropriately 19 million vote will be for Buhari in 2019..

Do APC really think Nigerians are this stupid?

They went on National registration drive that lasted over 2 months. They publicized the starting and ending of it, When Buhari was in CPC, he polled 12 million un-riggable votes. I don't know whether you know your country or what you think APC governors, especially northern governors are doing? Jst sitting down?

Most people on social media don't have sense of reality. They only understand Nigeria as being made up of Lagos, Kano, Abuja, Portharcourt and a few other state capitals. When i sum up the total population of PLACES that some people think sums up Nigeria, I get 60million people. Nigeria's population is 198 million.

I think we are very uneducated about our country and some people will get shocker on election day. In Lagos alone, the population of rural/semi urban dwellers is three times those in the places you can drive to. Abuja, most people have to dwell outside FCT itself, so if you are sitting in a bar and arguing Abuja political opinion polls you are deceiving yourself.

GOD forbid. Tgey are 100% responsible for Nigeria's problems and they have recycled the same old faces unashamedly for dunces to vote for and finish the damage they left undone.
If only they were bringing new faces. It is sad. The black man is a FOOL

Man U has resurrected three dead players with this match. Amazing. Mata, Martial and Sanchez. Who would have thought it possible. Never write off a human being who is still breathing.

APC should stop sponsoring stories about PDP primaries. Also, absolutely no reason to trump one candidate as better for APC than the other. There are too many probable tracks that the 2019 elections might take but the key decider is not PDP or any of its candidates. It is GOD, the Nigerian electorate and Buhari in that order.

Personally, I think the PDP is not mentally prepared for winning elections. Key members are hustling for a place in 2023.

Okay. JF 17 confirmed not cancelled (like I said).

I knew it was impossible for two entries to be in budget and the deal would be cancelled
Possible we are getting 2 nos. JF17 Block 2 and 1 no. JF17B.

Some replacement craft for the Chinese FT-7NI and F-7NI and pilot training also possible from Pakistan.

https://www.facebook.com/hqnigerianairforce/posts/2188903574655915/

kikuyu1:
Before asking give us a realistic even if only hypothetical budget to make it practical! eg 1 bn $ would be on the low side both for short and medium term acquisitions and 1.5 to 2.5 bn$ would be more realistic. Especially given platforms are purchased allowing for training,maintenance cycle and possible attrition . Also no squadron of ac is ever 100% flight ready,usually 80% if turbo prop transports or as low as 40% for FSBs.

Short term acquisitions next three years should be focussed on internal security and Boko Haram:;
(1) twelve (12) more upgraded Alpha Jets, L-159 aircraft or Hawk 2000 with night strike capabilities (please don't even mention Yak, there is fanciful stuff and there are things that work) - $180m, actually Alpha Jet only option is just $60m
(2) 12 LUHs with precision light attack capability. We can pick them up for $120m fromthe $1bn ECA. - $72 - $120m
(3) Induction of the 6 nos JF17 Block 2s that we would have paid for.
(4) Induction of 12 Super Tucanos
(5) Precision munition kits APKWS/Hydra rockets on all AW109/A109 helicopters $50m


Medium Term Acquisitions

(1) Acquisition of long range refuelling capability- aircraft, spares and extended training, exercises. - three refuelling tankers, training and spares $120m
(2) Acquisition of offensive EW, ECM capability . This is not just in hardware platforms but also in terms of development of the training curricula, tactics and thr proving the capability via air exercises. - these are bolt-on pods for JF 17 with systems job and training $36m
(3) Two squadrons JF17 Block 3 aircraft. - $490m - $600m
(4) Localized IADS for two zones- northeast (Chad/Cameroon) and the Niger border paired with Indian or Russian origin missile launchers. This might draw US reactions though.

SuperSixOne:
Totally agree with your statements about the JF-17. I read in an article online where a further buy of 3 fairly used Super Tucanos from Embrea was mentioned by a official of the NAF in order to speed up the procurement. The JF-17 project named in the federal budget seems to be a placeholder like it was done with the MB339 for many years.

I also wouldn't read much into any statements from Pakistan, the has been not a single export recorded of the JF-17 so far. Anyway this platform it self seems to be obvious for many reasons, although the two-seater block II offers some potential.

It is understood that under the current budget we can only afford something like a L-39NG/CW upgrade to stay in the business. But it is clear that NAF will need a capable Lead-In trainer platform to proceed. In this regard I look at the L159 Hawk Mk 200, Yak 130. And heavier jets like F/A-50 and FTC-2000G.

I suspect that specification for the JF 17 was altered in step with iterative development work in Pakistan. I suspect that initially order was for engines only, then Block 1 and the latest s
(subsequent) corrections to JF 17B and JF 17 Block 2.
There is no budget placeholding on JF 17. The only placeholder in 2018 budget has 0 against the budget figure. There were two separate appropriations this year for JF17 aircraft..as if to distinguish between the B and the Block 2. If we are going for Block 2 and JF 17B, then 2019/early 2020 is a reasonable time frame because of contention from Myanmar and PAF.

On LIFT/light attack, FTC200G is completely unnecessary. Just buy more old Alpha Jets and upgrade them. The Germans and Frenvh will gladly hand them over. If that fails then do the NG upgrade on existing L-39s which will waste a lot of time anyway, throwing up Alpha Jet still as a better option. L-159/Hawk option will unfortunately take three years to get flying, so Alpha Jet again. FTC 2000 is an early generation technology trainer plane. It's only advantages are weapon load and complete lack of western technology that can be embargoed.

giles14:
hmmmmm landlocked,mentally malnourished youths? are you OK. that someone differs from your view and ideology is now a crime. sophisticated .....

Why are these comments showing up here?. Please answer me under the right thread.
However, i beg your pardon, my state is Osun State.
It is landlocked and there are mentally malnourished people as well. This is the most harmless statement to make to people who are not guilty. It is not an insult.
This statement "someone differs from your view and ideology is now a crime" is completely not in context. Mentally malnourished people actually don't have any ideology, They also don't reason properly that is why they lynch pickpockets in Nigeria but looters of billions who wreck banks and make depositors lose money get to contest for President and some people vote for them.

APC 2019 Presidency is more guaranteed than anything in Nigeria.
APC has the governors on ground, they have hard core Senators ready to do the ground work like in Sokoto.
They now have Shekarau working with Ganduje in Kano. I am 70% sure Kwankwaso works with Buhari if he loses the PDP nomination in Kano. APC have attractive value propositions for local players like Omisore in Osun State. They have attractive value proposition for Nigerian key demographics like youths- N-power, SIP, Farmers - anchor borrowers, Traders - MFB loans and Trader-Moni.

The only opposition to APC is from some city dwelling youths active online who don't seem to have sense of reality. Why do you deceive yourselves unnecessarily?. The President is reasonably popular due to anti corruption stance, welfare policies and some tribal support ...but even then, the most shocking /offensive truth about democracy is that it is not the unpopularity of a President that makes him lose elections, it is the actions of key demographics on election day which can be engineered weeks before the vote.

APC will WIN 2019 Presidential elections. There is a 50:50 chance that Buhari will pull away and annoint a younger person. This possibility that Buhari will withdraw is so REMOTE in terms of possibility to most Buhari haters in their lack of astuteness and lack of understanding that they are missing it completely.

Anyway most people are slaves to the news and attitudes they are bombarded with everyday so it is not surprising that only a few have understanding.

@Lionel4power,

Strategy is always pragmatic and deliberate. Matched to immediate threats first and then made compatible with emerging threats.

Short term acquisitions next three years should be focussed on internal security and Boko Haram:;
(1) twelve (12) more upgraded Alpha Jets, L-159 aircraft or Hawk 2000 with night strike capabilities (please don't even mention Yak, there is fanciful stuff and there are things that work)
(2) 12 LUHs with precision light attack capability. We can pick them up for $120m fromthe $1bn ECA.
(3) Induction of the 6 nos JF17 Block 2s that we would have paid for.
(4) Induction of 12 Super Tucanos
(5) Precision munition kits APKWS/Hydra rockets on all AW109/A109 helicopters


Medium Term Acquisitions

(1) Acquisition of long range refuelling capability- aircraft, spares and extended training, exercises.
(2) Acquisition of offensive EW, ECM capability . This is not just in hardware platforms but also in terms of development of the training curricula, tactics and thr proving the capability via air exercises.
(3) Two squadrons JF17 Block 3 aircraft.
(4) Localized IADS for two zones- northeast (Chad/Cameroon) and the Niger border paired with Indian or Russian origin missile launchers. This might draw US reactions though.

Things not working
(1) MALE UCAVs are not working. There are no high value deeply embedded terrorists in remore areas that cannot be taken out using other means.
(2) Large helicopter transports MI-171sh, Super Puma are neither working nor showing any cost-effectiveness for now.
(3) UAV borne ISR not working. Apart from pipelines monitoring, Yabhon Flash might be a dud.

SMH. Someone actually started a thread about nothing. That's not Reno Omokri

AND by the way, Mr Non-engineer, you need to show me the hundreds of Ara MRAPs that have been done, dusted and delivered to the N.A. since 2016.
I know that's where all your psychological problems and inferiorities are coming from. Maybe a few pictures from Nigeria's independence anniversary.

I am not a tribalist.
The man I warned people against voting for is from my tribe pretending to be from another.
I actually know his family from way back. I was a patron of his Dad 's clinic in Lagos as far back as 1979.
My only reason for calling out places where he is getting support was because I know the psychology of Nigeria and the passive aggressive positions that people take when they are being sentimental.

Ok, thank you for bringing this post here.

The current Senate President WILL never be allowed near Aso Rock.
For his supporters anywhere supporting a "younger" relic from an era of dynastic entitlement and dis-empowermemt of rurl communities whether they are from the NC, SW or SE, It is a sign of degraded moral standards that a failed Bank chief, money launderer and budget padder is even under consideration for President and we WILL respond with votes.

AGAIN. Thank you very much for bringing it here. I think you have ME confused for someone of weak convictions.

Also, if you are of low confidence in terms of psychology and can't let go of criticism or accept differences of opinion, let me express how pathetically SAD that is. Most men get out of this stupidity business before age 30. Anyway, it's your life.

ADP is now stronger than PDP in Lagos. He might go there but they will chop his money.

N50k. That is the price they paid for this cheap write-up on the most unqualified and un-serious candidate of the PDP.

The dude inherited wealth and dynasty and he has been pissing it away since. SGBN, Kwara State, Senate of high salaries, budget padding, fake constituency projects. He could not even deliver Osun State and tgey are going to take Kwara from him in a few months.

For mentally mal nourished youths from landlocked regions, maybe this overgrown silver spoon provides dramatic thrills but for anybody with brains, this fake is just a representative of old Nigerian political class and culture that this country is flushing down the toilet in the next few years.

Kabeeru:
FTC. There is no way it wont affect the PMB chances in 2019. Lagos has highest number of registered voters

From what I am seeing, PDP will avoid Ambode with a large distance. If they accept him in their party, they will score less than 15% of the votes.

Ambode is clearing Epe and Lekki axes by wide margins. They are rigging it for him there but Badagry side is also against him. I think he should throw in the towel.

If he joins PDP, it will be even worse. They will come out with full energy to vote him out. It will be people + civil servants + LGA chairmen + NURTW + LASTMA/LAWMA/LAMATA + Waste disposal contractors ...all against one man.
PDP won't make that mistake.

The thing about Saraki is that he is actually the most unintelligent of the PDP aspirants.
How do you release this statement as a defence?. So your party is more important than Nigeria?
You did not take part in an activity that should be part of your state duties but rather found time for your party state primaries. This dunce is not qualified to be an aspirant not to talk of being President.

I strongly believe he went to ask Buhari not to contest but hand over to a younger person but this likelihood is lost on IPOBs/PDP young supporters on Nairaland who alternate between depression and manic states where Buhari is concerned. It is pathetic. The man is more peaceful, more restful and more confudent than his challengers. God sure is a wonderful GOD

I strongly believe he went to ask Buhari not to contest but hand over to a younger persob6but this likelihood is lost on IPOBs/PDP young supporters on Nairaland who alternate between depression and manic states where Buhari is concetned. It is pathetic. The man is more peaceful, more restful and more confudent than his challengers. God sure is a wonderful GOD