₦airaland Forum

Forget Lagos, We northerners take it upon ourselves to make BAT the president.
It's good for the country
It's punishment for the IPOBs and their big mouth.

We are lucky to BAT as President Federal Republic of Nigeria

I can't imagine the kind of love I see people showing to JAGABAN in the North.
Atiku used social media Craze trying to trablise this election but failed.

Obi people are not serious people at all But now it's written in their soul.

Hopium:
You guys keep focusing on the south and north while neglecting NC.

NC will determine the winner of this election, if you like it or not. That Tinubu has closed the margin in NE states perfectly should be a concern for Waziri.

The margin Tinubu gave Atiku in the SW is not being replicated in the NW; Atiku is flopping tremendously in NE. In the NC, Tinubu has won. The game is over. The only thing I didn't expect in this election is the strength of Obi; nothing more.

NC (100% sure)
- Kogi
- Kwara
- Benue.

Less confidence for APC: Niger, Nassarawa

Na u get sense for here

EmekaMD:
You must be delusional if you still believe Tinubu stands any chance as at now..

Where ia he gonna get the votes from?

Don't be deceived because he is leading now, that's because most of all his strongholds have been called already and he didn't do so well even with all the riggings.

Lets analyse

1. In Lagos as it stands now, Obi would likely win Lagos
2. Osun has been won by Atiku
3. Kano has been won by Kwankwaso
4. Kastina has been won by Atiku
5. Most of the Southwest states have all been called.
6. Kaduna is now obviously gonna be shared between Obi and Atiku

So tell me where Tinubu is expecting the magic to come from?

Tinubu is out of the race


Now you wonder why the APC camp is so quiet? Even FFK the Food prefect that never stops talking

You are decieving yourself by leaving out the north central and remaining north east.

CutieKing:
I didn't mention votes,I only mention 24 states spread.
A candidate might have the spread and still not win the highest votes and another can win the highest votes and still not have the spread.
If both scenarios happens,then both will go into run offs but I don't see this happening.

That's why I started with 'and' to add to what you are saying because I'm on ground here in the North, Tinubu will get massive vote that will gives him the majority. You ll agree with me later

We should all thank obi and his team of obidients miscreants for being a blessing in disguise. Tata

CutieKing:
Please study this carefully and with open mind.

Obi can't get 25% in 24 states irrespective of how many votes he got.
South east....5 states.
South south....6 states.
South west....6 states.
North central....6 states..
North East...6 states.
North West...7 states.

Obi will get 25% in 5 se 6 ss,2 sw,3 nc,1 nw,1ne.
Total 18 states realistically.

Pdp...3 sw,5 nc,6 ss,6 ne,7 nw.
Total 27 states.

Apc....6 sw,4 ss,5 nc,5 ne,7 nw.
Total 27 states..

This is the fair 25% spread projection

And Asiwaju ll get the highest number of votes

oyin44:
obi na zeromila


Omo! They treat obi fvk up for north


sir Ahmadu bello 's spirit never sleep.

biafrans will forever regret this..

Historically we only dealt with those Ipob miscreants hold dear. They should bring their another Hero again

GentleChief:
What I find suprising is that you are actually relying on the North to win when Tinubu is being beaten blue black in his back yard

I'm from sokoto I'm telling Tinubu already won this election.
Hope this ll give you soft landing in facing the reality later in the day

Kelvin125:
As the presidential election results are coming in here at the INEC situation room here in Abuja, I want to happily inform Nigerians that a new dawn has come. I am not authorized to give you the result but from the situation room here Labour Party is winning the presidential election. Nigerians resist the plan to rig the election against your popular mandate

Wake up and receive sense from reality

tsephanyah:
Fake results.. imagine APC wining in potiskum... maybe your fellow southerners will believe this results but not the average northerners

The reality is waiting for you to wake up and receive sense

garfield1:
Sokoto
Apc 35%
Pdp 40%
Nnpp 23%
Lp 2%

Kebbi
Apc 40%
Pdp 35%
Nnpp 20%
Lp 5%

Zamfara
Apc 65%
Pdp 20%
Nnpp 15%

Katsina
Apc 33%
Pdp 33%
Nnpp 33%
Lp 1%

Jigawa
Apc 35%
Pdp 30%
Nnpp 30%
Lp 5%

Kaduna
Apc 40%
Lp 30%
Pdp 18%
Nnpp 12%

Kano
Apc 32%
Pdp 20%
Nnpp 43%
Lp 5%


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Seun
Seunmsg
Kyase
Quotasystem
Itstutsi
Kahal
Legendhero

You guys are always operating this NNPP

alfredilly:
Their agenda is to take over Lagos. When an Igbo man own a big company in Lagos, 99 percent of the workforce will be Igbo. You can't say the same of Yorubas. I'm yet to see 0.1 percent Easterners who aren't for Obi. And they tell you it's not a tribalist agenda.
Ask about their intention. They oppose Fashola, Ambode and Sanwo Olu during election while reelecting the failed PDP governors of their region. Some of you Yoruba youth are too naive not to see beyond their facade of friendship. PO is an Eastern agenda..

Their agenda is to destroy Tinubu. Let Atiku win today, they will all jubilate. It's not about Obi.

You have allies in us northerners to stop that Ipob evil agenda.

The endorsement Tinubu is going to get from today and tomorrow is enough to declare him winner.

We have useless lazy youths in any region of this country.
We are the hard working northerners and working hard to support Tinubu.

JASONjnr:
If social media wouldn't influence you to speak up for the truth, why are defending a man of this character?

I believe, if this was Obi, your type would've given him the best of your insults . ..

Very soon, we will see the cartoon version of this posture and the other one he raised his walking staff...

Social media is for posting nonsense like what's posted here first or its cartoon representation. The truth is real and doesn't need all that.

PointZerom:
This is your next president even the international community recognized him as the ONE.

Said by Ipob terrorists

FeliDaGreat:
You are the bigot here, if you really had a brain and you know how to use it, you'll be able to see all the red flags.
But alas, you only have agbado In that skull of yours.

There's enough Red Blood following in the East for me to see the Evil agenda of IPOB terrorists wanting to put Obi in power.
God forbid

odduduwa:
Unpatriotic fellow ,imagine this corrupt fool at the helm of affairs of this great nation .... Nigeria has a date with the truth

Said by ipod bigot

IPOBs a.k.a Obidients are now patriotic🫡 Nigerians 😉 wonders shall never end 🫢

It's still doesn't change the fact that Obi is IPOB supporter, Soware is a failed yellow journalist that distorts the fact for profit and Asiwaju is Jagaban of the people.

We are not children that's social media and online fabrication will shape our beliefs.

MrEverest:
Mr Ignoramus, 2011 was a two horse race, so anyone to win, the person must do well in all regions. However, 2023 is different, it's a horse race, getting 25% in 24 states with simple majority is all that is needed.

Obi can get 25% in 24 states and still win simple majority regardless of what happens in NW and NE.

Most of you urchins are totally dumb yet so arrogant in your ignorance.

Moronn you know very well this election is between Tinubu and Atiku. I'm not talking about mushrooms party like LP,NNPP or their useless candidates e.g Obi n Co.

MrEverest:
The fact that Kwankwaso didn't step down has made it easy for Obi to win on the first ballot, I will explain:

In 2011, Buhari won the NW and NE by wide margins yet he failed. However, virtually all the areas Goodluck won that gave him victory are now more or less in the bag for Obi. SE, SS & NC are likely to be won by Obi. Again, Obi is also likely to be a close second in SW.

On the other, NW and NE that gave their votes to Buhari in 2011 yet he failed are now going to be split by 3 major candidates! To worsen matters, the use of BVAS will drastically reduce those weird numbers NW used to churn out, coupled with Buhari's disappointment that will demoralize voters in this region, thus leading to aparty.

Lastest records released by INEC shows that all the SW states collected the least percentage of PVC. Without Lagos, SW and SE has roughly same voter population. Now, add the fact that most SE people collected their PVC while SW didn't, then you should know which region will experience the worst voter aparty. Also, SE is more homogeneous than SW, and while Igbos give block votes, SW votes are always split to irrelevance.

SS has far more voters than SW without Lagos. And yes, I keep putting Lagos aside because it's more or less a mini Nigeria with all ethnicities represented.

If at this point you can't see that Peter Obi is your next president, then I can't help you. You will be cleared on Saturday!

It was the 25% from the NW and NE that made GEJ to won 2011 election.
No wonder Kwankwaso said Nyamuri don't know politics.

Urheadmaster:
Why's the whole place looks like naming ceremony

Ipob crying

Crusadee:
mumu

Said by Ipob miscreants

SamCeci:
I laugh in Hausa.....Kaikaikaikaikai

Wallahi da laughing madness de take start.

Tinubu is winning everywhere
At Supreme Court
At CBN
At first Bank
At Kano,Kaduna and Katsina
Next week it's over for for IPOB miscreants in disguise.

At the End Nigerians win
Tinubu wins
IPOB miscreants keep losing

Preview of what's to come next week.

EdiskyHarry:
How come no one is talking about fuel scarcity?
How come no politician is talking about the hike in prices of everything in Nigeria for years now.
But only naira swap

I don't know how backward your thinking is but you get money first before looking to buy fuel.

ashacot:
This Is My Projection for this month election.
This projection is based on current reality and dynamics of present political settings.
A lot has changed since 2019 election especially the Dynamics.
But i will be givibg my projection based on the following.
1. The candidates
2. The pulse or mood of the country. Voters turn out, Party structure
Please note that this is subjected to changes until the D election. So i will give my projection region by region and may break them down into states.

SOUTH WEST.


OGUN STATE: with an APC governor and the fact that the APC candidate is a son of the soil will deliver a possible 65-70% of the votes. PDP not strong in Ogun and labour party doesn't have any real presence here. APC 65% PDP 20% LP 15%
OYO STATE: is ruled by PDP but the governor is among the G5 governors of PDP that renegade against the PDP presidential candidate. Feelers already has it that the G5 governors are working for Tinubu's emergence. And the Oyo governor is already scheming to trade the presidential votes in his state for his reelection for second term. APC to get 65% here while PDP 20%, labour 15%.
OSUN STATE. Also a PDP state. The governor is firmly an Atiku fan but he will not be able to stop the APC from taken at least 70% of the votes here. While PDP will score %15, labour will get 15% here.
EKITI STATE. An APC state with key players in both parties working for APC. Ex gov, Fayemi who stepped down for Tinubu in the APC primaries is firmly working with the governor to deliver the state. While another ex gov Fayose who is a PDP leader in the state is also working to deliver votes to Tinubu.
There is little or no presence of labour party in the state. APC 70-75% PDP 15% LP 15.
ONDO STATE. An APC controlled state is the swing state of the south west. One can most times not predict the direction the state will vote as APC lost the presidential election here. Unless there is a significant change here, APC may not win here convincingly So in Ondo, APC %50, PDP 25, LP 20% others %5.
Lagos. The headquarters of APC south. The party has not really won the state convincingly. This is the state APC presidential candidate made his name and consolidated his achievements. Though there are many forces against his victory. Here APC %50. LP 35% PDP %10 others 5%.

SOUTH SOUTH.

DELTA STATE. A PDP stronghold. The VP is from the state. Though he has quite a lot of battle to fight to successfully deliver block vote to his party. He has fallen out with his godfather ibori too and APC look like ..has penetrated the state. The APC got over 25% in the region and won some assembly and senate seats too in 2019 election. With the increasing popularity of LP candidate in the state too, block votes here is looking almost impossible. APC 25%, PDP 40% LP 35%
BAYELSA STATE. A PDP state and ex president Jonathan state too. The PDP is still the strongest party here even though it lost the last gov election to APC but got it back through the court. Here PDP 40%, APC 18% LP42%
AKWA IBOM STATE. A PDP state. But will be largely threatened by LP. The governor here is a strong ATIKU ally with APC structure here shakky despite the presence of ex gov Akpabio. Here APC to get 20% PDP 45% LP 35%
CROSS RIVER STATE. An APC state. The governor has vowed to deliver the state to Tinubu. But even at that, the APC will still not win the state. It has been a traditional PDP state. Here APC will get 25-35%, PDP 30% LP 35-40.
RIVERS STATE: A tradition PDP state too. Its governor is the leader of the G5 govs against ATIKU. He has already showed sign that he is supporting the emergence of Tinubu. Here APC to get 30% PDP 30% Labour party 40%.
EDO STATE: PDP has a strong structure here with a governor. However, APC too has a deep structure here led by ex gov Oshomole. The state has always given the APC 30% AND IT will not change. The only changes here will be in introduction of LP which will harm the PDP. APC 30%, PDP 35%, LP 35%

SOUTH EAST .

IMO STATE. An APC state. But even at that, Labour Party still has an edge here. Obi will get the bulk of the votes here. APC 25% PDP 20% LP 55%
ABIA STATE. Another PDP state. Though its gov is among the G5 govs, it may likely work for PDP due to the death of his choice successor. Labour Party still have an edge here. APC 20-25, PDP 25% LP 55-60%
EBONYI STATE: a traditional PDP state. Though presently ruled by an APC gov. Labour party will still edge this state.
Here APC 25% PDP 10% LP ... 65%
ENUGU STATE: the headquarter of PDP states in south east. Its gov is among the G5 govs. His godfather chimaroke is working for Tinubu emergence but LP will dominate here. APC 15-25%, PDP 20%, LP %65.
ANAMBRA STATE: the home state of LP candidate. He is expected to sweep here even though PDP always sweep here in previous election. APC 9%, PDP 1O% LP 81%. APGA O%

NORTH CENTRAL.

ABUJA: APC lost this place to PDP last election. It may do badly here too but it might not significantly harm them bBecause of LP. here APC 30%, PDP 35% LP 35.
NASARAWA STATE: an APC state with both Christians and muslims. Religion may be a factor here. APC 40%, PDP 35% LP 20% NNPP %5
PLATUE STATE: an APC state and also the state of APC presidential DG. Just like nasarawa, religion and tribe will play a major factor here. APC 35%, PDP 25% LP 35 others 5%.
KOGI STATE: An APC state. And also the state of PDP campaign spome person Dinno Malaye. Here APC 50% PDP 30%, LP 15% Others 5%.
KWARA STATE: An APC state. Though PDP has a presence in the state with ex gov saraki still available, labour little or no presence. Here APC 65% PDP 30, LP 10% NNPP 5%.
BENUE STATE. A PDP state. Its gov has vowed not to work for Atiku. But APC has a strong presence with ex gov George Akume still a big factor. with APC having a Popular gov candidate, APC 40% 40% PDP 20%.
NIGER STATE: A state with an APC governor and senators. But president Buhari will not be on the ballot here. PDP are fairly strong here too. and NNPP may get a chunk here. APC 40%, PDP 40% NNPP 15% LP 10%

NORTH EAST

GOMBE STATE: an APC state, here APC 50%, PDP 35% NNPP 10% Others 5%
TARABA STATE: A PDP state. Religion and tribe has always defined vote ..here. PDP won the state at both fed and state level in 2019 election. Here, APC will score 30%, PDP 35%, LP 25% NNPP 10% OTHERS 5%
BORNO: An APC state and the home state of APC presidential candidate. Here APC 60%, PDP 28%, LP8, NNPP, 12%
ADAMAWA: The home state of PDP presidential candidate. He won the 2019 election here by the whiskers but president Buhari is not on the ballot here. APC to get 25%, PDP %60, LP 7% NNPP 7%.
YOBE STATE. An APC state. Here APC will slighly edge PDP. APC 45% PDP 40% LP 1% NNPP %10 others 4%
BAUCHI: PDP state. Here PDP will take this state. Though APC has a strong presence here. APC 30%, PDP 60% LP 10% NNPP, 10%

NORTH WEST

ZAMFARA STATE. Here all the ex governors are in APC. the state is predominantly APC. However, PDP has slight presence here. APC 50%, PDP 30% LP, 5% NNPP 15%
KADUNA STATE: A dynamic state. Presently ruled by an APC governor and a henchman of Tinubu campaign el rufai. The state is also the home state of Labour party candidate. No buhari on the ballot here means APC will get 35%, PDP 35% LP 15%, NNPP 15%
KEBBI STATE. Here the APC and PDP will slug it out even though it is an APC STATE. . APC 35% PDP 35% NNPP 15% Others 15%
JIGAWA: is also an APC state and both APC and PDP will slug it out, with Kwankwanso also in the mix with them.
KASTINA STATE. An APC state and also the home state of president Buhari. Buhari is not on ballot here and PDP has a strong presence here. APC 40% PDP40%, NNPP 10% Others 10%.
KANO state. APC state. But APC will not dominate here because president Buhari is not on ballot and presence of kwankwanso. APC30%, PDP 25% NNPP 30%, Others 15%.
SOKOTO STATE: A PDP State. However, APC also have a strong presence here with ex governor Wamako a strong pillar in the state.
APC 35% PDP 40% NNPP 15% Others 5%.

Based on present dynamics, voter's turn out, candidates on the ballot, pulse of the nation and party structure

APC 1st position
PDP Second position
LP 3rd position
NNPP 4Th position.

I agree with most but you overrated NNPP currently I'm in NW .

Penguin2:
Please, This question is directed strictly to northerners and I would love it if non northerners stay away and let’s get the honest pulse of northerners about an Igbo presidency.

With that said, to my question, by north, I’m talking about Hausas, Fulanis, Tiv, Igala, Nupe, etc. The people from Southwest seem to have made themselves the spokespersons for the north, insisting that the north won’t vote an Igbo man as president but ironically the north has never said so themselves.

So, even though I think we do not have many northerners on this forum, I do believe we have a handful of them. Please help bring us to bay of the reality of northern sentiment towards an Igbo man occupying the highest seat in the land. Can you people vote for Umahi or Peter Obi or Pius Anyim or Orji Kalu, or is the narrative true that you dread an Igbo man in power?

Or would you rather vote a Yoruba man instead of assuaging the tension in the East over clamour for equity and fairness and justice?

Once again, non-northerners should not derail this thread let’s get the unfiltered opinion of northerners.

Lalasticlala
Arewa
Lovenorth
Asgard

I'm Hausa-fulani.
I ll not vote for Obi in 2023 not because he's an Igbo but because of what majority of his supporters represent, IPOBs agenda.

MrEverest:
I'm not saying that Yorubas must vote for Obi. No, the point I'm trying to make is that there will be consequences for whatever action they take.

If you hate Igbos so much that you decide not to vote for any Igbo man, regardless of how good he may be, then by all means abstain from voting at all. Or maybe, give your vote to Sowore or Kola Abiola. However, voting for Tinubu in this terrible state of his, and trying to foist him on Nigerians is a grievious sin that will tarnish your image.

So, it's either the Yorubas vote for Obi and win with him or vote for Tinibu and lose with him!

All kind of low IQ deceit can only work on IPOBs and children of evil forest.