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BabsO2's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:56pm On Nov 24, 2023
megawealth01:
Oando has just Monday before the long awaited judgement day grin
Judgement day grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:39pm On Nov 24, 2023
femu:
What do you feel about Zenith, Gtco, Mansard, Fidelity BUA cement and Dangcem?
I think the banks listed still have value in them based on Q3 book values per share and historical price to book ratios. Earnings per share have also improved for the banks going forward. However, there could be elevated impairment losses this year and next year due to the tough economic climate. How much this may erode value going forward, requires monitoring. Below are book values per share of the three banks based on Q3 numbers.
Zenith N61.11
GTCO N42.39
Fidelity N12.84
NB these book values can be eroded easily by impairments.

Fidelity is the weakest amongst the three based on historical price to book values.

I am not monitoring BUA Cement and Dangcement that much.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:53pm On Nov 24, 2023
UBA will not rise beyond N20 to N22 until market sees significant rise in dividends grin

Meanwhile it is witnessing very high trade volumes, some from insiders and perhaps local and foreign portfolio investors are accumulating shocked
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:43pm On Nov 24, 2023
KayOn1:
Wait till market correction shows. How do you justify Neimeth doing over 30% within a week with ... if not TA.
Reason I can't thank BullBearMkt enough to opening my eyes to what was missing component in my trade setup.
I don't see any market correction in the horizon as long as the oil price stays strong above $70.

Stocks like UBA, many banks and a couple of other stocks have not reached fair prices. But a few stocks are trading in a PE bubble and may correct as investors and traders do their thing. The devaluation this year has propped up the valuation of many banks and reset share prices up in devalued Naira with not much to correct. However, for banks one needs to look out for potential rise in impairment charges that could lead to valuation losses and potential share price drops if it happens severely.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:33am On Nov 24, 2023
Agbalowomeri:
This your monkey hunting na wa o
Trade volumes of Oando is in billions per week sometimes. And has clocked many billions monthly this year. Not a N1 to N10 million MH stock. grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
ProphetUtuocha:
My prediction on Oando:
- No delisting - court seating will come and go next week. No shaking
- 2022 result will soon be released and will show improvements on key benchmarks
- 1Q, 2Q and 3Q 2023 results will be impressive and will reveal a rebounced, refocused and healthier company
- The market will respond positively
- The company may be heading to join the 1 trillion naira club
- Remember: "thou shall seek Oando, but will not find it"

Note: Please do your due diligence.
Amin to the prediction (prophecy) uttered.

May the price not go below N12 again. Bye Bye to single digit Naira price. Like Transcorp wey you predict moons ago become 5 bagger 6 bagger today as Transcorp mature small. May Oando deliver multiple baggers too, come add better naira dividend join as him mature small. May Oando resume dividend payments next year as him mature small.

Amin.

grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:59pm On Nov 23, 2023
I got UBN buy out of N7.70 payment today labelled as DIV_57.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:30pm On Nov 23, 2023
mikeapollo:
You be correct gambler!
Oando all the way.
You are consistent on Oando. The gamble has matured, and the direction should be clear very soon, perhaps after two more trading days.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:25pm On Nov 23, 2023
megawealth01:
Those that refused to sell their DANGSUGAR at #60+ who bought at km20+ una dey try sha

This is DEEP grin
Talk your mind now. Don't divert.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
megawealth01:
If I talk my mind now people will quote me tire grin
Like .......jjjjjjjjjj..... Oando dey mature.

That's my own talk. Talk your own grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:08pm On Nov 23, 2023
Oando closed at N12 today. Two more full trading days before the court session. After which it may start dropping or rising.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:49am On Nov 23, 2023
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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
Locotrader:
Pls classify in advance.
Penny stock or blue-chip stock?
Which sector?
200% at this time of the year?
I guess oando sha
When Oando turns out like that, many will start talking how they loaded at N2 or jumped in at N12
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 5:13pm On Nov 22, 2023
The buyer mopping up FBNH at N20 for many days no come market today. He or she created a strong support for FBNH at N20. He must be Ote$ or one of the top contending FBNH shareholders. The mop up pulled FBNH from N16 in October to N20 and delivered over 500 million Shares valued at about N10b.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:38pm On Nov 21, 2023
What happened to PRESCO dividend. It was to land on Friday 17th. What is delaying it ?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:12pm On Nov 19, 2023
phadriz:
Entity concept: BAT is different from Wale Tinubu and Oando so it has nothing to do with wooing investors or NASDAQ Bell ringing. Oando would be the vehicle that will be used to siphon national assets so it need to go private at all cost in order to avoid public in scrutinising their dealings. They may increase the buy out price to compensate minority shareholders, but it will definitely go private.
I thought of that driver for going private also. To avoid public scrutiny of the books. Can recall a management comment in line with this. But phrased in other words like the need to concentrate on pursuits of business growth without the slow down that reporting and auditing brings.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:29pm On Nov 18, 2023
yMcy56:
I don't think CP can put mouth for Oando matter.......and besides, the issue on ground don pass bedsheet matter.

For those saying minority shareholders will be pocketed and all that........ there's one IF I've not seen from all this upandan on OANDO talk.

Do we actually think BAT will be in support of Oando delisting?
The president that's going around the globe wooing investors, coupled with the recent series of companies delisting from the Exchange, do we think the one he has direct control over (Cousin's company) will be allowed to just go like that?
Isn't that a dent on his own image?

Let's look at it from this angle as well.
I thought of this angle too. He rang the NASDAQ bell calling for FPI' to come to NGX. Oando delisting plus all the other delistings will make a huge mockery of his wooing FPI and FDI investors.

He will be in G20 next week in Germany on special invitation.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:22pm On Nov 18, 2023
megawealth01:
What if Oando climbs to above #50 or go flat to below! #5 grin

Like play like play
10 days to go for the next milestone on buy out process. Following which direction to <7 or +50 may be set.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:25pm On Nov 17, 2023
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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:44am On Nov 17, 2023
Locotrader:
Our market chart has change oooo
Everything now is unusual.
Better remain inside the market and take place in potbelly stocks in case.
Uncharted waters.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:47am On Nov 16, 2023
megawealth01:
I don hear
wink
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:36pm On Nov 15, 2023
megawealth01:
WALE cleared the air during the AGM sha just that OANDO is a bad boi grin
He said dividends not a biggie
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:24pm On Nov 15, 2023
megawealth01:
Evwrybody dey dulge head so we ain't quoted grin
See the various speculative gambling projections of upcoming prices various people have posted. The Aye's
50
100
200

grin

And the nay nay sayers. Exit price of
N7

May the Aye's have it.

Time will tell.

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. BUT SPECULATIVE REPORT BACK grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:15pm On Nov 15, 2023
mikeapollo:
You might be mistaken.
Oando is gradually taking strategic steps to overcome its present challenges. A successful loan deal plus operations from the ENI fields will definitely booster their results and see the price above N50, especially if they produce a fair performance for FY2023.

Oando should not delist, but rather make me a billionaire, biko!
I think dividends will resume as early as next year from Wale's body language at the last AGM.

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. BUT SPECULATIVE PROJECTION grin.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
mikeapollo:
It is good that the loan is from Africa EXIM bank and not from commercial banks.
This is good news for the company and will definitely help boost Oando's performance.
The only thing that remains is peaceful environment in the Niger Delta for smooth operations
cool
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:17pm On Nov 14, 2023
megawealth01:
I doubt it sha... OANDO might not delist as planned and if they do it should be a WIN WIN situation for all until then...
If you want to build something just get a good unit of OANDO just Incase WALE becomes a nice guy

OANDO is a gamble grin
Looking at trading volumes we plenty for the gamble.
Out of the 12billion shares of Oando outstanding, 2billion shares have been traded this year.

Stockbrokers, CSCS, Stock Exchange would have collected some nice fees out of the N16b traded value for Oando this year any which way it goes grin.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:43pm On Nov 14, 2023
mikeapollo:
That N7 offer price for Oando will never succeed! I am ready to fight a one man battle or war on that.
I am suspecting the least price would be the N16.50 that was achieved a few weeks ago (according to SEC rules) or a higher price if the price moves up in future before the relevant AGM to discuss the delisting.
If the shareholders reject the delisting and the company is able to weather the storm and remains afloat, a lot of people who bought at N4-N5 would make huge profits.
Some who bought at those prices would have off loaded a chunk. Perhaps they are the ones booking some profits and creating the trade volumes.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:45am On Nov 14, 2023
Shalom428:
KPMG forecasts inflation to hit 30% by December . 20% on long dated bonds by the end of the year is very much possible.

The government needs to make Naira attractive, that's one of the short term solutions to the dollars problems.

Interesting days ahead for smart investors.
The Naira will be made attractive, if there is improved levels of order and security across the states of the nation. As there are many hard working Nigerians abroad with fx who would be happy to bring it and have more presence in Naija. Not to talk of foreigners eyeing this land flowing with milk and honey to see if it is safe and there is good order to set up business ventures.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:42pm On Nov 10, 2023
Seplat Using N996.75 exchange rate for Naira Dividend payment shocked

I hope all banks used the same rate, N765 that ETI used for it's Q2 translations. And not various rates as that can cause confusion.

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:10pm On Nov 10, 2023
BHG:
FCMB is currently 6.90 (7.81%) . What's going on smiley
Market Osmosis.

Selling some shares where accretive value has thinned relatively, to buy where there is more relatively, could be happening. Thus a stock or stocks rising can pull up others.

This can accelerate or decelerate with more information becoming available.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:02am On Nov 10, 2023
essentialone:
Oando is set to raise their price from 7.07 to 14.14
From the way Wale spoke. I think Oando will rather remain public. As being public has it's benefits. I think the wahala shareholders have left. But they need to close out the issue properly and have for the records that minority shareholders have a thumbs up for the company to remain public. Just a personal take. This thought may be wrong or right. Time will tell.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:39pm On Nov 08, 2023
Rubyjade:
By Prof. Ndubuisi Ekekwe:

It is raining Naira in some headquarters in Nigeria, over the last 9 months to Sept 2023. Pre-tax profits*:

Zenith Bank: N505 billion

UBA: N502.1 billion

GTBank’s GTCO: N433.2 billion

Dangote Cement: N404.9 billion

Access Bank’s Access Holdings: N294.4 billion

First Bank’s FBNH: N270.3 billion

MTN Nigeria: N232.5 billion.

UBA remains the most geographical diversified banking institution in Nigeria and the results are showing the power of that playbook. Indeed, operating in about 20 African countries with shops in Dubai, New York, Paris and London, UBA has a good spot. Zenith Bank has used scale to become the leader. Of course, though it is no more the rainmaker, GTBank* continues to mint money.

For banks, 2023 is the best year yet. Do not expect these numbers in 2024; the FX gains will calibrate out by then. Of course, these numbers are relatively small, but considering the size of Nigeria's economy, the banks are adequately capturing value - and that is why investors are cheering.

*Nairametrics data
Banks should do well in 2024. Likely at a reduced pace compared to 2023 in terms of % share price rises. However this is based on many factors. Especially that of not having a global recession. Should there be a global recession there is a high risk the most internationally exposed banks will suffer the most. Also how Nigeria's economy recovers will play a lot in how the banks perform. Should the economy perform well to attract FDI then banks will be the first to benefit as they still have very attractive valuations.

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