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BabsO2's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:08pm On Nov 23, 2023
Oando closed at N12 today. Two more full trading days before the court session. After which it may start dropping or rising.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:49am On Nov 23, 2023
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
Locotrader:
Pls classify in advance.
Penny stock or blue-chip stock?
Which sector?
200% at this time of the year?
I guess oando sha
When Oando turns out like that, many will start talking how they loaded at N2 or jumped in at N12
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 5:13pm On Nov 22, 2023
The buyer mopping up FBNH at N20 for many days no come market today. He or she created a strong support for FBNH at N20. He must be Ote$ or one of the top contending FBNH shareholders. The mop up pulled FBNH from N16 in October to N20 and delivered over 500 million Shares valued at about N10b.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:38pm On Nov 21, 2023
What happened to PRESCO dividend. It was to land on Friday 17th. What is delaying it ?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:12pm On Nov 19, 2023
phadriz:
Entity concept: BAT is different from Wale Tinubu and Oando so it has nothing to do with wooing investors or NASDAQ Bell ringing. Oando would be the vehicle that will be used to siphon national assets so it need to go private at all cost in order to avoid public in scrutinising their dealings. They may increase the buy out price to compensate minority shareholders, but it will definitely go private.
I thought of that driver for going private also. To avoid public scrutiny of the books. Can recall a management comment in line with this. But phrased in other words like the need to concentrate on pursuits of business growth without the slow down that reporting and auditing brings.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:29pm On Nov 18, 2023
yMcy56:
I don't think CP can put mouth for Oando matter.......and besides, the issue on ground don pass bedsheet matter.

For those saying minority shareholders will be pocketed and all that........ there's one IF I've not seen from all this upandan on OANDO talk.

Do we actually think BAT will be in support of Oando delisting?
The president that's going around the globe wooing investors, coupled with the recent series of companies delisting from the Exchange, do we think the one he has direct control over (Cousin's company) will be allowed to just go like that?
Isn't that a dent on his own image?

Let's look at it from this angle as well.
I thought of this angle too. He rang the NASDAQ bell calling for FPI' to come to NGX. Oando delisting plus all the other delistings will make a huge mockery of his wooing FPI and FDI investors.

He will be in G20 next week in Germany on special invitation.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:22pm On Nov 18, 2023
megawealth01:
What if Oando climbs to above #50 or go flat to below! #5 grin

Like play like play
10 days to go for the next milestone on buy out process. Following which direction to <7 or +50 may be set.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:25pm On Nov 17, 2023
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:44am On Nov 17, 2023
Locotrader:
Our market chart has change oooo
Everything now is unusual.
Better remain inside the market and take place in potbelly stocks in case.
Uncharted waters.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:47am On Nov 16, 2023
megawealth01:
I don hear
wink
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:36pm On Nov 15, 2023
megawealth01:
WALE cleared the air during the AGM sha just that OANDO is a bad boi grin
He said dividends not a biggie
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:24pm On Nov 15, 2023
megawealth01:
Evwrybody dey dulge head so we ain't quoted grin
See the various speculative gambling projections of upcoming prices various people have posted. The Aye's
50
100
200

grin

And the nay nay sayers. Exit price of
N7

May the Aye's have it.

Time will tell.

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. BUT SPECULATIVE REPORT BACK grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:15pm On Nov 15, 2023
mikeapollo:
You might be mistaken.
Oando is gradually taking strategic steps to overcome its present challenges. A successful loan deal plus operations from the ENI fields will definitely booster their results and see the price above N50, especially if they produce a fair performance for FY2023.

Oando should not delist, but rather make me a billionaire, biko!
I think dividends will resume as early as next year from Wale's body language at the last AGM.

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. BUT SPECULATIVE PROJECTION grin.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
mikeapollo:
It is good that the loan is from Africa EXIM bank and not from commercial banks.
This is good news for the company and will definitely help boost Oando's performance.
The only thing that remains is peaceful environment in the Niger Delta for smooth operations
cool
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:17pm On Nov 14, 2023
megawealth01:
I doubt it sha... OANDO might not delist as planned and if they do it should be a WIN WIN situation for all until then...
If you want to build something just get a good unit of OANDO just Incase WALE becomes a nice guy

OANDO is a gamble grin
Looking at trading volumes we plenty for the gamble.
Out of the 12billion shares of Oando outstanding, 2billion shares have been traded this year.

Stockbrokers, CSCS, Stock Exchange would have collected some nice fees out of the N16b traded value for Oando this year any which way it goes grin.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:43pm On Nov 14, 2023
mikeapollo:
That N7 offer price for Oando will never succeed! I am ready to fight a one man battle or war on that.
I am suspecting the least price would be the N16.50 that was achieved a few weeks ago (according to SEC rules) or a higher price if the price moves up in future before the relevant AGM to discuss the delisting.
If the shareholders reject the delisting and the company is able to weather the storm and remains afloat, a lot of people who bought at N4-N5 would make huge profits.
Some who bought at those prices would have off loaded a chunk. Perhaps they are the ones booking some profits and creating the trade volumes.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:45am On Nov 14, 2023
Shalom428:
KPMG forecasts inflation to hit 30% by December . 20% on long dated bonds by the end of the year is very much possible.

The government needs to make Naira attractive, that's one of the short term solutions to the dollars problems.

Interesting days ahead for smart investors.
The Naira will be made attractive, if there is improved levels of order and security across the states of the nation. As there are many hard working Nigerians abroad with fx who would be happy to bring it and have more presence in Naija. Not to talk of foreigners eyeing this land flowing with milk and honey to see if it is safe and there is good order to set up business ventures.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:42pm On Nov 10, 2023
Seplat Using N996.75 exchange rate for Naira Dividend payment shocked

I hope all banks used the same rate, N765 that ETI used for it's Q2 translations. And not various rates as that can cause confusion.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:10pm On Nov 10, 2023
BHG:
FCMB is currently 6.90 (7.81%) . What's going on smiley
Market Osmosis.

Selling some shares where accretive value has thinned relatively, to buy where there is more relatively, could be happening. Thus a stock or stocks rising can pull up others.

This can accelerate or decelerate with more information becoming available.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:02am On Nov 10, 2023
essentialone:
Oando is set to raise their price from 7.07 to 14.14
From the way Wale spoke. I think Oando will rather remain public. As being public has it's benefits. I think the wahala shareholders have left. But they need to close out the issue properly and have for the records that minority shareholders have a thumbs up for the company to remain public. Just a personal take. This thought may be wrong or right. Time will tell.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:39pm On Nov 08, 2023
Rubyjade:
By Prof. Ndubuisi Ekekwe:

It is raining Naira in some headquarters in Nigeria, over the last 9 months to Sept 2023. Pre-tax profits*:

Zenith Bank: N505 billion

UBA: N502.1 billion

GTBank’s GTCO: N433.2 billion

Dangote Cement: N404.9 billion

Access Bank’s Access Holdings: N294.4 billion

First Bank’s FBNH: N270.3 billion

MTN Nigeria: N232.5 billion.

UBA remains the most geographical diversified banking institution in Nigeria and the results are showing the power of that playbook. Indeed, operating in about 20 African countries with shops in Dubai, New York, Paris and London, UBA has a good spot. Zenith Bank has used scale to become the leader. Of course, though it is no more the rainmaker, GTBank* continues to mint money.

For banks, 2023 is the best year yet. Do not expect these numbers in 2024; the FX gains will calibrate out by then. Of course, these numbers are relatively small, but considering the size of Nigeria's economy, the banks are adequately capturing value - and that is why investors are cheering.

*Nairametrics data
Banks should do well in 2024. Likely at a reduced pace compared to 2023 in terms of % share price rises. However this is based on many factors. Especially that of not having a global recession. Should there be a global recession there is a high risk the most internationally exposed banks will suffer the most. Also how Nigeria's economy recovers will play a lot in how the banks perform. Should the economy perform well to attract FDI then banks will be the first to benefit as they still have very attractive valuations.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:54am On Nov 07, 2023
dapix:
What is going on with Fidelity bank? Is it preparation for their right issue, that is pushing the price up?
Yes now. Some bulls are released for such things grin

I predict FCMB playing catch up if it doesn't want to be left far behind once the Q3 audit comes out.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:53am On Nov 07, 2023
Tpharell:
A lot happening with Oando this morning. Almost 10 million units in 15 minutes…
It's available for those that want to buy at N10.25 right now in small quantities. If one needs more one needs to bring out more money. Some are still waiting, bidding at N8.70 grin

Currently a betting stock as financials are incomplete and minority shareholder buyout still lurking around shocked.

People are careful not to sell. And those buying are doing so cautiously. grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:32am On Nov 07, 2023
unite4real:
Share purchases is a moving bus. Not everyone jumped in at the listed price. Some jumped in along the way. Everyone has their own entry price and break even.

The narration I gave was actually real event on the the sugar investor.

A Stock might be on N30 15 years ago and today it's N10 doesn't mean all investors have suffered losses. It's only the investor who held everything from peak to low that should lament.

I bought GTB years ago at N35. Today it's around N35. But I have also bought at lows and currently average down and I am on almost 70% profit apart from the dividends.

I believe it's also about strategy and not to rule out luck
To make money in the stock market one has to average down or do stock picks when or if prices drop on good stocks. There are also many moving parts that can make a good stock bad and a previously bad stock become good. That requires ones time to monitor the market and take action as needed. I bought Dunlop offer when the factory was expanding. I even averaged down when prices fell. But alas bad government policies (an unfavorable moving part) of anyhow imports with cheap oil forex destroyed Dunlop. Bought PRESCO sat back. Monitored nadding and it has returned excellently. Summary one cannot really sit back in this market or take a rigid position. But to take opportunities as they come. If one has little time, one will be better off with a portfolio tilted more towards bonds.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:57am On Nov 07, 2023
emmanuelewumi:
Looking at inflation and currency devaluation in the last 15 years most investors have underperformed.

It is even worse with penny and dead stocks that have lost 80% of their stock price in the last 15 years and have not been able to pay dividends for 5 years and above
It is sad to see how so many stocks listed on the NSE have destroyed investors money. It is about a quarter that have tried to correct the loses to bring the overall performance up.

It will be nice to see what analysts state as the annualized return of the NSE over 5, 10, 15, 20 etc years. Plus returns of various sectors.

S&P I think is quoted to have returned 15% annualized. Will need to search for what time frame of decades and years.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:38am On Nov 07, 2023
emmanuelewumi:
From CSCS price history record, Dangote Sugar was listed on 8th May 2007 at N18.00, the price closed at N18.90k.


Check the stock performance from when it was listed 16 years ago till date.
You got my reference. It was the listing price. I.e. N18. That's 16 years ago to be more precise. grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
Hedgefunds:
IF YOU HAD TO BUY AND HOLD JUST 1 STOCK FOR THE NEXT 5 YEARS, WHAT WOULD IT BE?
Bonds are the closest to what one can buy and go to sleep while getting a very good yield over a long term. With current yields above 14%, a lot of stocks will not perform more than a bond with a coupon yield of +14% in the long term. For example, Dangote Sugar has not performed better than a 14% bond over the last 15 years.

Thus with this objective of HOLD, plus an assumption of not really monitoring over the next 5 years (perhaps busy with work). A +14% bond yield investment may be the better option than a stock at this point in time.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:02pm On Nov 06, 2023
Ojoboak:
Management response to the bolded will determine the market direction any moment from now. Though it is cautiously trading.
Management response to the two key hot questions.
Dividends will be restored sometime in future. That there will be no problems to pay dividends. (Sounded optimistic shocked)
Some agitating shareholders already exited. However the scheme process will go the whole hog. Only the remaining minority shareholders at the court ordered upcoming scheme meeting will determine the way forward based on 75% majority vote.

My take - body language and comment from Wale suggest those minority shareholders that want to exit have exited. But the comment from a key board member suggest caution, as it's minority shareholders that will determine way forward. That process must be concluded. Umm - Looks open ended - a buy out could still happen. However market has responded with full BID again following these answers. With zero offers. ZERO offers.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:22am On Nov 06, 2023
Tpharell:
Praise singing and arse licking galore. Where are the people who bought Oando at N50 back in the day to put the board on its toes and sweat a little?
Some hard questions have been tabled also. Like when will dividends start again. And another like is it worth talking about that when management will be buying out minority shareholders. Waiting for management response on these two key questions. Or if management will not give clear response. And further bears will be released shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:32am On Nov 06, 2023
Princkez:
on full bid...OANDO
grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:17am On Nov 06, 2023
BabsO2:
Oando AGM is on Monday 06-Nov-2023

Will the AGM release bears or bulls ?
Some bulls have been released.
And meeting never start. Only advertorials with nice background beats.
Meeting started and more bulls released.
Offers drying out. Either bought or withdrawn to be re-offered at higher prices.

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