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Politics / Re: I Am Happy The Mercenaries Have Left APC - Oshiomhole Reacts To Defection by Calebbold: 3:18pm On Jul 24, 2018
hammer6F:
Oshiomhole THE APE...


AS A PARTY CHAIRMAN, OSHIOMOLE CANNOT ACHIEVE ANYTHING.

AS EDO GOVERNOR, HE COULD NOT EVEN DELIVER HIS STATE TO BUHARI.

HE JUST WANT TO MAKE NOISE AND PROMOTE HIMSELF, AS HE DID DURING HIS UNION DAYS.

OSHIOMOLE IS A SELF CENTERED GLORY SEEKER.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 5:43pm On Jul 20, 2018
TLAX:


Positive or negative?

Likely positive
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 2:26pm On Jul 20, 2018
I think there is something cooking in sterling bank... Maybe q2 result would expose it
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 2:12am On Jul 09, 2018

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by Calebbold: 5:32am On Jun 19, 2018
awesomeJ:
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The major reason why it's so is cos the bulk of the items we consume come directly or indirectly from the international markets, and are priced in USD.

When the dollar exchanged for 199, 10m was $50,000.00
Now that it trades at 360, thesame 10m is less than $28,000

There wouldn't have been any problem if your Honda Accord, LED TV, fuel, wheat or raw sugar were all sourced locally, but since they rather come from the international markets, the implication is that the 10m that could buy 2 units of the Accord sedan just some few months back, can now barely buy just 1.

Now I understand.... I thought in real sense the capital u invested reduces in value. But u are talking about the purchasing power of money.
Thanks.

1 Like

Investment / Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by Calebbold: 9:33pm On Jun 18, 2018
awesomeJ:

You can never go wrong with diversification.
Some who know their onions in real estate, could easily make double the returns on T-bills.

As per the issue with holding naira assets, when I start seeing the signs of an imminent currency crisis. I'll switch to eurobonds ASAP. 6% guaranteed with a potential for much more.
For now, there's some comfort.

Please, how does devaluation of the naira reduces the value of one's investment in TB or fgn bond? Is it that if you invested 10m initially for example, ur capital automatically becomes less due to devaluation?
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 8:40pm On Jun 13, 2018
musty00:


This sell off was across board o, not only Zenith. I only pulled out Zenith because we were talking about Zenith. It was a massive sell off by FPI's, irrespective of quarterly performance. It was transfer of wealth.

I won't miss out of this bonanza this year (buy 1, get 2 free).

We (Nigerians) know that elections will come and go without any war and all those election hypes, but the FPI's won't take any chances, they will still sell. The sell off might not be as bad this year though, no one knows.

I plan to be in full cash before August, IF I'm able to exit my remaining stocks (Zenith inclusive).

It wasn't across broad. That same year(2014), forte oil opening price was 92 naira ( JAN 2nd 2014), and closed at 226 naira ( DEC 31 2014).

Locodemy made a very good point. Those stocks that depreciated massively in price in 2014, check out their fundamentals for the year.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 2:41am On May 31, 2018
musty00:
Here's how some selected stocks were battered in 2014 before election. The highs and lows are closing prices. Most of the lows here were attained in December 2014.

In 2014, the depreciation in share price started during the 4th quarter.

We are still in the second quarter and I believe we can still make some money between now and august from fundamentally sound stocks.
Investment / Re: Bonds Investors Hub by Calebbold: 4:53am On May 28, 2018
awesomeJ:

Bonds are kinda sold in units with each unit having a face value.
so if you buy a 15% APR 2023 FGN bond with 10m at its original price, you'd be having 100,000 units of the bond, and since the coupon is 15%, your annual interest would be 1.5m

Now when you buy at the secondary market, you often don't buy at the original unit price. You may get to buy at say N90 per unit, which implies that you'd only be paying 9m to get thesame 100,000 units.

But at the end of the year, both you who bought at 9m and the other person that bought at 10m, you'd each get 1.5m as interest, because you hold the same number of units. But while his own yield is 15%(1.5m on 10m input), yours is 16.67%(1.5m on 9m input)

So coupon rate indicates the rate at which interest is paid on a bond based on its face value, while yield indicates the actual rate of returns to an investor.

The coupon rate is always indicated in the name of most bonds, and it doesn't change throughout the lifetime of the bond.

Only changes in purchase prices bring about changes in yields to bond investors.

Bonds bought at prices below their face values have higher yields, and vice versa.

Kindly ask for any further clarification if....

Your explanation would have been the case if most of the units for sale is #100 per unit or something below.

Just realized that the units for sale is usually #1000 per unit.

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 1:38pm On Apr 23, 2018
Mpeace:
I doubt if this transcorp bull will last.

Transcorp just released quite a wonderful q1 2018 result
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 6:27pm On Apr 19, 2018
My rule in Nigeria stock market is: Invest in a fundamentally sound company whose PAT Q/Q result and EPS is enticing.

Enter at a very good price, follow up on any news concerning the company, exercise patience, sit back on my couch and watch the magic... wink
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 6:10pm On Apr 19, 2018
RealityShot:
This thread is better than a novel!
Been catching up from page 3443 since morning.

One thing is clear. Stock trading is gambling.

I disagree with you bro. If you understand and follow the rules, it could be a gold mine.

3 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 5:26pm On Apr 19, 2018
locodemy:


They should wait let me sell zenith and get one of them against their Q1 result especially fcmb.

Some men have already cast their tent in fcmb based on the q4 2017 result. We might be right or wrong though.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 4:37pm On Apr 19, 2018
TLAX:




I talked to my friend Bob Zoellner several times a day, and he taught me how to analyze market action. For example, when the market gets good news and goes down, it means the market is very weak; when it gets bad news and goes up, it means the market is healthy."

Mark Schwartz

Wow....just learnt something new
Thanks
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 8:13pm On Apr 04, 2018
Jejebaba:


OMG, EPS nosedived by 33%. What are the moppers mopping then

Comparing Q to Q....fine result. I think the moppers already saw the underlying opportunity in fcmb. Q1 2018 might be great.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 12:34pm On Mar 02, 2018
debenzd:
I think its very unfair to vilify Yok. This is something you can do yourself if you go to this website. I have my own excel sheet where I do my analysis everyday and you can see the change in numbers yourself. FCMB did about 192.9m on the 28th of Feb. They usually do not buy in one day. They buy over a period of time. Here is the link. https://www.globalxfunds.com/funds/nge/

Scroll down to the full details and download. Do the comparison yourself. We really need to respect people who help with information. You can chose to use it or ignore it.

Yok is doing a great work. I highly commend him for his dedication towards this thread. I always look forward to his update every morning.
I really think there is something about this FCMB that is not yet obvious to us. We eagerly anticipate their audited 2017 result.

4 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 10:46am On Jan 15, 2018
mendes911:


You reduced your holdings in Transcorp after assuring us that their FY result will be wonderful and superb.

Hmm.... I foresee you going on another exile soon.

Believe everything you read on this forum at your own risk...you have to sieve through all the info after making your own research.... grin grin

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 4:53pm On Jan 12, 2018
Thank you fidelity bank...you do well for my body grin grin grin

Lesson: just buy into a good stock and be patient.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 10:10am On Jan 09, 2018
Today's market would be wonderful. Pre-market already looking good.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 7:57pm On Jan 08, 2018
lancee:
Pls anyone what number can i contact morgan on ..been calling all the numbers .Hope this won't be like last yr.. Na time like this Morgan dey start their Drama

What's the problem?
Try this number: 013429613
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 1:38pm On Jan 04, 2018
Agbalowomeri:


By then support for diamond fcmb transcorp ati bebelo would be above 2; fidelity above 3
We take it from there

Fidelity would be hitting 3 by tomorrow then pull back.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 12:54pm On Jan 04, 2018
locodemy:


you see that full bid.
na big trap.
me enter there again?
mbanu.....never.

Sharp guy...
Congrat on playing it well but be careful sha...
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 12:52pm On Jan 04, 2018
RabbiDoracle:


Why did you enter in the first place??

Anyway, doctors have always asked why I have never had HBP. grin

It is simple!

Naa...
It doesn't meet my investment criteria..
I ONLY trade on fundamentally sound stocks
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 12:41pm On Jan 04, 2018
locodemy:


I have even sold all @ 56kobo (few units )and 57 kobo (most).
Baba God.I thank you oh.
Not even dreaming to come back here again.

grin...you played the game well
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 3:49pm On Jan 03, 2018
RabbiDoracle:


Thought you said you are old grin hence the need to sell off and hold cash in every slight dip.

If you cook egusi soup on 1 minute, wetin you want serve people.

Time makes soup done. Time makes the ingredients and the okporoko to permeate the soup. Time is every! The longer you stay, the money your money hammers in! This is the stock market for you.

That doesn't mean you should not be watchful ooo. Open your eyes and watch the market while waiting for time.

Like I said a predator waits and wait and save energy. When it comes out,it is for the kill!!!

grin


Baba u're always on point!
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 6:37am On Jan 03, 2018
Cadillac15:


Let me burst your bubble. I have thoroughly reviewed Fidelity. They will not pay more than 25kobo dividend this year. Expect a very sharp fall after that dividend expectation wanes off.

Like every other good stock such as uba, gtb, zenith, fbnh, access, dangote sugar/flour etc...it is expected that the price will go down before/after closure date.

But it is also an opportunity for discerning investors after due diligence to load more in expectation of a good q1 2018 result which could lead to further appreciation in price.

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 8:06pm On Jan 02, 2018
currentprice:


...and i will be happy to join by then and we will all happy at the end

not buy based on hope for now, if i do weting i come learn from oga wanaj0
grin

Currentprice you have said it all. We do not buy stocks based on hope...although this does not apply to the professionals and deep pockets in the game. They know how to ride on the waves...

What is happening in fcmb/diamond is plainly sentiment or hope that going forward the result would be great. As traders, we do not buy stock based on assumptions...we buy based on what we read and see with our eyes... grin. The price might get to 2 but would retrace afterward unless the q4 result is good.


In my opinion, transcorp numbers is not that bad and i agree with Oga Loco, that it could delivery 100% if the q1 2018 result is good.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 8:48am On Dec 31, 2017
leo1234:


All I can give now is gratitude. My profit this year on NSE is slightly below my annual income. grin
When I make am I go enter lag come see men.

Happy New Year in advance to every member of this thread. kiss

Congrat oga Leo. I also know someone from this forum that made 6X profit his annual income. grin NSE can make you rich and retire young and early.
I am also very sure that Oga's like Sellydion, fusxer, wanajo, Currentprice, Rabbidoracle and Emmanuelewumi made far more than u can imagine.
One of my greatest asset this year was reading the book " How to make money in stocks" by Williams J O'niel. That's is my gift to the newbies on this forum.
If you strictly follow the simple but yet effective rules outlined in that book, you are sure to be successful in the NSE.

7 Likes 1 Share

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 11:35am On Dec 29, 2017
RabbiDoracle:


When will their Q3 result come out??


I recently saw the result.... I think fcmb is gradually coming back to profitability....but I just need the q4 result to make my move. Unfortunately, the q3 result was not posted on the NSE website.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 9:11am On Dec 29, 2017
Parisfran:

I get the idea of value investing, I encouraged my folks to buy FBNH at N 3.5. I didn't have the money to buy at the time but I saw the value.

But that doesn't mean every crooked looking stock is going to be a value machine in 9 months. Until I see 2017 YE results, DB remains a bad buy.

Never neglect the value of fundamentals before buying into a company's stock. That's the only reviving factor when the price goes down cos u know it would surely go up again.
U're correct on your view of diamond bank. The fundamentals are not currently in a good shape. But we are watching it closely.....waiting for either the Q4 2017 or Q1 2018 result to make a decision.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 1:08pm On Dec 28, 2017
Bianco1:
Guys Morgan still not working at my end since yesterday o!
Is anyone facing the same problem and who knows how to go around this Morgan wahala please?

Use this link to get to the login portal:
itrade.morgancapitalgroup.com/folio/customers/
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 6:21pm On Dec 26, 2017
RealityShot:

hmm.. What broker do you use?

i was placing orders ONLINE back then.

placing orders and making trades are not the same, you know right?

please tell me the broker let me check the "trading" system.

thank you
hmm.. You.. Hmm.. Smh slowly

its your money do what ever you wish with it.

'Everyone is a "guru" in a bullish market'

I think its quite a long time since you left the nigeria stock market. Online trading started since 2014 and one of the early pioneers is Morgan capital group nigeria. Currently,most investment houses have adopted this means of trading.

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