₦airaland Forum

garfield1:
In 2019,most of those that supported atiku were from the south especially south east.same thing is happening currently.even though majority in the Southeast are with obi and a good number from ss but still a lot of southerners esp from ss/se still support atiku.it is the turn of the south,the mantra is south or nothing.for me it is either tinubu or obi.no room for any northerner.I hardly see northerners supporting atiku,it is alwats southerners.this is disgraceful and highly shameful.

I haven't met any Southerners currently supporting ATIKU, Party members yes, but commoners nah nah nah. Infact I've met more obi supporters in Warri.

I even doubt he will win any Southern state convincingly. Please don't mention Delta state.

So you are wrong, Southerners aren't queuing behind another northern candidate.

post=115366510:
With new electoral law governors and party leaders can only do little to influence voters, gone are those day they send their thugs to hijack ballot boxes or rewrite result or buying PVCs, you will be seeing the outcome direct from the polling units, Osun elections Tinubu and his lieutenants and the governor with all the financial inducements couldn't save APC in Osun, in Anambra Andy Ubah bought seating senator from PDP, national assembly members in APGA and PDP, he bought APGA campaign director and other APGA party chieftains, he shared10k at the he was third position, PDP would have won Ekiti election if they have given their ticket to popular candidate, 2023 elections will surprise many of you governors or heavyweight politicians are now valueless.

Top political figures influence voters. You can't deny this fact. In my zone, I've met some youths who are "BATIFIED" only because Omo-agege is gunning for a gubernatorial seat. Obviously he is the reigning figure and even though he can't 100% deliver, he will definitely pull huge amount of voters to his party.

I personally know two that are on this forum. So to some extent, IgOga is right.

chemgee:
Stop telling lies Abeg. Who dash una 5th? The Ijaws, kanuris, Tivs, Fulanis, Ibibios & even the Benins(whom you came out from) are ahead population wise. I'm not even going to join issues regarding that contribute 30% to Nigeria GDP talk... All those statements reeks of ethnic superiority which have taken no tribe anywhere

The Urhobos were the largest ethnic group in the Midwest (A region the Benin Ethnicity was part of). Infact, the Urhobos had more population than the combined numbers of Bini, Esan and other sub-edoid groups in Edo state (Refer to the Midwest population census).

In Eastern Yoruba territory, they were the largest non-indigene. Infact, every non-Yoruba were referred to as Sobo. Let's not even talk about how they swam Jos and neighboring states.

A real population should be conducted so we can know our real numbers, until then, the Urhobos are by far the largest in the Delta.

richmote:
The reason why I am quoting you is because I always saw you as a mature person with logical reasoning.

I am really disappointed with your comment

Your are so much focused on who becomes your president of which they are all basically same. Package nonsense.

If you and the people rooting for obi can put in that much effort into the governship, local government election which will have more impact in your life, you are focusing on some one who might not even remember delta state or give a fuk about you. You are not even from his ethnicity.

With the many higher institutions in delta state, most deltans still behave like illiterates.

I am very sure you will vote for pdp in delta local elections and here you are shouting Peter and that you are tired of pdp

This is the height of hypocrisy and illiteracy

Oshare calm down. No one fights for the interest of our people more than me. I've zero interest in the presidential election, you should read through my previous submissions.

This outburst is unnecessary.

SlavaUkraini:
60% ...... ?

LoL....

Obidient people.... Una get mind and mouth

He is right. I'm from Delta central and live in the heart of Warri. LP is winning, even if PDP manages to win, the margin will be insignificant.

Oladeji245:
You’re getting carried away by apc nairaland propagandists who will have you believe all Yorubas worship at tinubu feet. Everybody knows nairaland is the headquarters of tinubu sw supporters.
You watch a video of Yoruba saying they will vote for tinubu, did you not also watch videos in that same osun state of people tearing apart tinubu posters?
I’m a Yoruba and I’m telling you exactly what’s obtaineable in sw right now.
Do you know how much people celebrate adeleke victory here in ogun state?
I’m not supporting Atiku oo but believe me Atiku will easily get more than 25 percent in sw due to loyalty of pdp supporters.
In my own circle for example there’s no tinubu voter most are for Peter obi or Atiku in fact some are saying since obi might not win,they will give it to Atiku sef because they don’t want to waste their votes.
In Sw,nobody is winning with a big margin and you can come back to this post in February.
As for your second paragraph i agree it’s obvious whoever the north gives majority of its vote will win.

Adeleke victory doesn't automatically translate to Atiku's victory. Things don't go that way. Even on Facebook and Twitter, the core supporters of BAT's presidency are Yorubas. 8 in every 10 that defends whatever is been thrown at him are Yorubas.

Go to David's handle on Twitter and take your stats. Don't sell the liberal stuff to me. I'm a Nigerian and I know how things goes in Nigeria.

LP even has more stake.

Oladeji245:
I’m a Yoruba too.
The guy is actually right. In Sw,there’s no real dominant party in that sense. For example if pdp had presented segun oni in Ekiti state plus the already sentiment against apc, they would have won.
In the next governorship elections,watch out for one of ogun and ondo state. I will be shock if both are won by apc.
Tribal politics is not really a thing in sw otherwise both atiku and Peter obi will not have been popular here.
Most youths I have spoken to either Muslims or Christians are for Peter obi. While virtually all the pdp supporters I have interacted with are for Atiku.
As for his Atiku claim,I will say maybe about 35 percent and due to emergence of Peter obi who will share the rest with tinubu though I expect tinubu to get more.
This means Sw will not give block votes and no one is winning sw with any big margin.
Unfortunately for Tinubu, there’s nothing you tell an average liberal Yoruba man that will ever make them vote for him or even being an option for them, that’s how much they hate him.
And with this Muslim Muslim ticket baggage now added,good luck to tinubu in sw

PDP is already disadvantaged due to the emergence of LP. 40% is outrageous. They can't get that number in any region in Southern Nigeria. Not even the region the VP is from.

25% is fair but 40%, nah nah nah, that's wishful thinking even the 35% you attributed to the PDP is unrealistic. I washed a couple of videos during the Osun election when some voters were asked who they'd vote and they shouted BAT, I mean, they just voted Adeleke.

Tribal politics is a big thing in Nigeria. Don't sell me that liberal story. What percentage of liberal Yorubas do you have? Who are the core defenders of BAT's presidency? Even here on NL, who are those defending him? You don't want to tell yourself the truth.

The basis of my argument is;
The core North will be the decider in the next election. Since votes will be majorly shared between BAT & LP in Southern Nigeria ( Although LP will have far more bigger numbers due to SE/SS), whosever the core North throw their weight on will emerge winner.

An Obi/Kwankwanso ticket would have put LP in clear lead, but man refused to cooperate.

olril17:
lol
im from Sw,osun to be precise. if anyone tell u that tinubu will win sw with a big margin that person is telling u a lie or you yourself overate tinubu influence in SW.
oyetola affiliation with tinubu was one of the factors that cost APC the election in osun state.
for alot of voters a vote for oyetola is a vote for tinubu.
if only you know how a lot of Yoruba hate tinubu. unfortunately for tinubu too,despite all the propaganda PDP refused to die in Sw,it became a party of the liberal yorubas who has been a torn in the flesh of tinubu. without campaigning,Atiku due to PDP strong structure and popularity in Sw is already sure of 40 percent of the votes without campaigning.
now you have a third force in peter obi who has won the hearts of the youths and that's who they will vote for ,now with tinubu Muslim Muslim ticket, the Pentecostal Christians in Sw will largely vote obi based on religious grounds of being the only Christian in the race. so how will tinubu win Sw with a landslide?...
due to liberal nature of we Yorubas tribal sentiment do not sell much in Sw.
so take it from me bro SW votes will be divided in to 3
peter obi labour party
atiku PDP
and tinubu APC.

PDP 40% from a region where the party only controls two state and has less stake?

You aren't realistic bro, but well, till then.

darfay:
The north will not be the deciding factor, no region will be and we might be heading for a rerun
Tinubu is backing on the north and the north will not throw their own under the bus for a southerner. If kwankwanso continues and doesn't step down for tinubu, he'll divide the nw with tinubu and Atiku and likewise north east shared between both Atiku and Tinubu.
People in ughelli would deliberately vote for a Muslim Muslim ticket and a well known Boko apologist? They're irredeemable if they do! Plus I don't want to believe that you actually were going on about how you the osun election was cannot be used to guage the presidential outcome in the state, so why would you want to do that for Delta state (assuming ughelli axis is the stronghold of the governorship candidate)
No doubt Yorubas are majority here but Lagos is going to be close, like I already said I personally do not know anybody that intends to vote for tinubu even amongst my Yoruba colleagues,God knows I have no reason to lie. I have some(Yoruba) that are even preaching the gospel of LP. The bulk of his supporters are the uneducated touts and religious apologist. If the elections are free and fare in Lagos Tinubu might be in for a shocker!
From your analysis you seem to be hinting at SS/SE going for LP and as of today no single candidate can boast of having two regions in the kitty. If LP continues with aggressive grassroot campaign, they'll win.. the odds are in their favour.

This power you're giving the Northerners is what I don't understand, the gap between north and south in registered voters isn't that much plus if you've been following inec statistics on Twitter. The new and completed voters registration in Delta,Bayelsa and Rivers is greater than the entire North East combined. The only problem is that we don't come out to vote but I believe it would change significantly next year

Buhari pulled 27% from Delta state last time and most of his figures were attributed to the influence of Agege. Believe it or not, that man has multitudes of followers he influences and if a small % of those followers put in their votes for BAT, that will definitely turn out big.

I still believe BAT would get nothing less than 60% in Lagos. He controls a lot. In 2019, the combined forces of Atiku/Obi couldn't even win a Buhari that had been so demarketed in Lagos. Who were the people that gave Buhari those votes?

Believe it or not, the North has more say in the forthcoming election. Southern votes will be shared and even the turnouts isn't all encouraging. Look at elections conducted in southern Nigeria in recent times. What was the number pulled by Anambra again? Ekiti nkor? Osun tried a little bit, but not so impressive. A united South can easily claim victory as we can see with GEJ. Infact, If not for SW who gave in to APC, Buhari wouldn't have emerged winner.

I think Tinubu understands this reason he has been dining with the core notherners, he knows outside SW, no southern state is sure.

garfield1:
Why do you think that ijaws will tag along with agege? Why do you think shettima will be a problem for atiku? I thought you supported christian christian

There have been some macro decamping in recent times from that region and some notable Ijaw figures are having been keeping track with Agege. But victory isn't sure and definitely won't come easy.

Atiku doesn't have cult followership. Aside his state, he can't command multitudes like Buhari. Shettima on the other hand also doesn't have cult followership but has his state on lockdown, although he is somehow influential due to his past activities.

Thought I hinted earlier that I had a soft spot for Wike, him not been on the ballot makes me less interested in the whole process. Just like anyone else, I'm just speculating.

garfield1:
Obi will be buried in the core north but I see him outscoring atiku nationally.what are the chances of agege against edevbie?

Agege chances are slim with Edevbie. His core base will be divided. Edevbie belongs to the Ibori wing, people who by default were gearing to root for Agege due to the in house fighting in PDP.

The Ijaws seems to tag along with agege but their magic numbers won't be helpful due to he electoral law.

And yes, Obi will perform greatly. Shettima will be a big problem for PDP in the core North. Man is a major player.

darfay:
BAT can never clear Lagos with a wide margin, never! except they'll be massive intimidation and manipulation. I personally do not know anyone that wants to vote for him yet, when they're even telling people in churches to vote PO. I laugh in Swahili and even a good number of Yoruba people here are not with him. Hausas here do not vote in Lagos and an incredibly overwhelming amount of non Yorubas in Lagos are voting for LP. If the elections in Lagos are free from manipulation then tinubu is in for a big shocker. And do not forget that Lagos has the most registered voters nationwide and that alone will hamper any attempt at block voting in the SW. States like Ogun and Oyo are also cosmopolitan to an extent and if the religious card is exploited to it's fullest it would decrease the margin in ondo and ekiti
Votes in the north would be heavily divided and this time around no region will decide. Do not forget that they're two core northerners contesting plus they still have to vote based on religion for Apc so the votes will be split. Apc can win in christian states like Benue, plateau, Taraba, nasarawa but mobilization is still needed and they should grab FCT also, S. Kd is likely to be won plus the VP factor might just deliver Kaduna with a narrow margin. PO might perform better in Adamawa than Tinubu. The only region guaranteed of block vote today is SE and they'll need to give their most impressive turnout ever to give their son a real chance. I sincerely wish our brothers In the SS can deliver massively for LP and SE like they'll do for us.
LP is likely to win Anioma areas in Delta state but I'm not sure of the others and maybe Rivers state since Atiku has retired their emperor

I'm a realist. I know what I mean when I say BAT will clear all SWestern states with a wide margin.

Lagos might be a little bit tough, but he will win with nothing less than 60%. The Yorubas are still the clear majority in that state, forget its cosmopolitan nature. The election is already going tribal. As bad as Buhari was painted, he pulled 53% in Lagos not to talk of a Yoruba man whose influences stretches far and wide the state. Other SWestern states are already for him and the margin will be wide.

Again, Northern Nigeria will be the decider.

PDP missed it when they gave their tickets to a non-Southerner (I was angry when Wike lost). Even the northern votes PDP might be banking on is already under threat due to BAT's choice of VP. Shettima is a big force in NE and he will sure slash whatever votes that is coming from that angle. NW is undecided and whoever they throw their weight on will emerge winner, but unfortunately, I don't see LP having a chance in that region.

LP might win DELTA State. I've talked to people and too many of them are rooting for LP, Okowa isn't loved outside his zone so LP has upper hands. BAT might get 27% due to the agege factor and with my estimation, he might even clear Ughelli North and South with a narrow margin. Also, RIVERS, Cross River & Edo are already in the bag for LP.

People in SS/SE have always been the pillar of PDP, how they let the presidential ticket slide off their hands still beats me. If SE can turnout massively, then there is hope for LP, his only problem is core North.

Hedonini:
Following your own argument, evidence and logic, the only candidate guaranteed bloc votes from any single region is Peter Obi, since we all agree that the entire SE at least would vote for him.

We can't say the same for the incontinent BAT, because as Osun just proved, there are massive segments of the SW that wouldn't vote for the APC. Now coupled with the Muslim/Muslim ticket, lots of Yoruba Christians would rather vote someone else or withhold their vote. We're talking very significant numbers, so no bloc votes for the BAT, even in his home turf.

Again given the Atiku/Kwankwaso factor, coupled with Bat's alliance with many northern APC power brokers, and the seeming gravitation of Northern Christians towards Obi, we can all agree that there would be no bloc votes coming from the core North to anybody. Buhari is not on the ballot, and even then, the discredited and odious Buhari of today is not the Saint Buhari of 2011/2015 who had an almost messiah-like cult following in the core North. None of the current candidates can pull even half of the numbers that Buhari did back in the day.

So, given the picture I've just painted, it seems quite clear that only Obi can be said to have bloc votes of at least one whole region locked down. This shows that we're in for interesting times next year.

BAT will clear all SWestern states with a wide margin. You can't bank on the success of the Adeleke's who are the son of the soil and well accepted. SW votes will only be shared if there was another Yoruba man contesting against BAT. The presidential candidate of PDP is Fulani and the vice isn't Yoruba. LP candidate isn't Yoruba, so is the vice and no, the Muslim/Muslim stuff won't fly, atleast not in SW. They are the most liberal when it comes to religion. Lagos might be the only state where he can't get massive support, but nevertheless, he'd still win with atleast 60%. This is for SW.

Like I have hinted earlier, SE is locked for OBI/LP and SS might deliver too and even if PDP wins some state, the margin won't be wide. My state is one big example. Everyone I've spoken to in my district are voting LP. PDp Might win because the vice is from the state, but even if they manage to, the margin won't be wide.

Now, the South is divided and can't decide who becomes the president. Let's move to the North.

LP can perform pretty well in Benue, and other Christian dominated states (More grassroot campaign needed) but some states like Kwara and Kogi might fall to BAT and others to PDP.

At the end of the day, the core North has the knife, the yam and the pot. They are the ones to decide who becomes the next president and unlike Buhari who had cult followership, no present presidential candidate can boast of pulling any massive votes.

PS: Kwankwanso could have been a treat if he joined forces with LP, but for now, I don't see him wining any region.

Built2last:
People who are absolutely clueless just open their mouth Waaaa and type rubbish

A President aspirant can still get 22m Votes without winning in the North West this happened in 2011" ~ Fastweet

So, Look at the map below, and check out those states coloured green, those were the states won by Goodluck in 2011, he didn't win in those strong northern states course blue, yet he won the election and still got 22 million votes, losing woefully in States like Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Jigawa, Kaduna, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Niger, Sokoto, Yobe, Zamfara

I am revealing this secret so we can all understand that no region has any monopoly on votes...A surprise might just happen in 2023. Maybe this is the statistics Peter Obi & Datti Baba-Ahmed are looking at

Don't allow anyone fool you 2023 election is very much open.

4 factors have further opened the race.

1. The new electoral act makes it more difficult to rig the election.

2. INEC now has over 100 million registered voters. Nigeria since 1999 has never recorded 50 million people come out to vote in any election.

Meaning there are over 50million voters who have either been averse or cared less. Today, hunger and poverty is resetting brains. Those people might choose to vote now.

3. Voter awareness and campaign for PVC collection is at all time high.

4. The Northern voter is left with 4 choices. Vote Tinubu For APC, Vote Atiku for PDP, vote
Kwankwaso for NNPP or vote Yusuf Datti Ahmed. The Northern vote is clearly split.

Let's analyse objectively.

PDP missed it when they didn't give their ticket to a Southerner. Their best bet would have been either Wike or Obi (I'm bias towards Wike).

In 2011, GEJ pulled a good stunts because he had the support of the entire South and a touch of NC. With that, any southern candidate could win... you necessary don't need the core northern states if you can unite the South and NC.

2023 is a bit tricky. The south is divided. SE is already with LP, SS has high chances of going with LP and SW will flip towards BAT.

Now, NC will be shared by maybe these three parties, giving the core North the edge of deciding who becomes this next president.

Side Note: States like Delta & Rivers have always delivered bloc votes in every presidential election to the PDP but I don't see that happening next year. In my state, LP is gaining massive momentum and even if PDP wins, the margin will be too small.

Milljack:
Interesting days ahead I foresee sheriff winning in court,if and when that happens okowa will take it personal to render edebvie persona non grata politically in Delta State considering the fact power was zoned to Delta north in 2015 and yet edebvie contested and dangerously played the ETHNIC card,but okowa being a strategist emerged, uduaghan was not smart enough to install the late obuh as it's candidate... interesting days ahead...Delta PDP has issued a statement how they are studying the judgment..most judgment recently by J taiwo has been upturned by appeal n supreme..if sheriff emerges I still see him winning,ibori n edebvie pull against okowa and sheriff will be felt majorly in Delta Central..

The court case is a big blow to the PDP, this is a fact. Deadline ends next week and INEC won't accept any submission from the party pending when they clear the court case, even at that, you can't wash away the issues raised against Sheriff. The best he could have done was to omit some documents like what Tinubu did, avoid submitting credentials that might be used against you.

The party is greatly divided, I don't see how they will scale through. Too many in-fighting. Look at Agege's deputy Osanebi, man was a PDP baller but got played. So many top party members also have this grudge. Aside the court case, they should unite their home. As it stands, Okowa can't pull votes in Central and south. Even if PDP clears the governorship, it will perform poorly in the presidential election.

garfield1:
Theres no but.okowa might hands off if edevbie wins.I thought edevbie is from ethiope west

Okowa will never support Edevbie. The man almost cost him his seat in 2015. He also won't support Agege, I don't see that miracle happening.

Agege / Edevbie is a win win for many top gunners in the state including Ibori but Edevbie has an upper hand.

And Edevbie is also from Ughelli. I know most of his supporters who moved to Agege's camp but with the latest rulings, they are sure going back.

If PDP is disqualified, then it is an easy ride for you party, but if they field David, then the battle will be a tough one. The presidential election will be affected a little but I don't see the PDP pulling a margin of 400k.

garfield1:
I dont understand. I thought ughelli love agege

Ughelli will be shared by the two. Central was supposed to be Agege's hold 100%, but with the judgement yesterday, most loyalist will fall back to David, plus Ibori who would have indirectly worked for Agege will now put his weight on David.

David and Agege are both popular. Deciding place will be North and South. Agege's deputy can secure two or three LGA in North, but...

garfield1:
As in eh.where is Efewestern

Lol. I've been following. The jubilation in Ughelli yesterday was massive. From all indications, your party might loose out to David.

Ezmans:
LP will win asaba because it's only government officials that I'll vote PDP there

Realistically speaking, this is near impossible. LP has more chances in Warri/Ughelli/Sapele where there is a decline in interest in the present leadership than in Asaba.

Then again, in Warri/Ughelli/Sapele axis you have the agege-factor that will sway votes to another direction but there is a good trend of LP in that part.

TakeBackNaija:
Wrong!!
Peter Obi will win even in Asaba and other areas of Delta North!

Delta North is PDP's strongest hold in the state, for sure PDP will perform not too well in Central and might not meet expectations in South.

Asaba might be a little battle ground for LP & PDP but PDP will edge out.

LP Party will perform very well in central, if not for the agege-factor that will sway votes to BAT ,I will be ready to bet that LP will clear all major towns in Delta Central which by the way holds up 70% of urban areas in the state.

dragnet001:
OP this your version of banga is ajebuter type. The realest banga rice with lots of palm oil garnish with fresh pepper is the one sold by the road side in most rural areas in Delta. Those one's are yummy yummy.

You don't use palm oil in cooking Banger rice. You only use the juice/water you extract from the nuts and some ingredients.

Toeyean1507:
You deserve a very tight hug for this, so on point!
Meanwhile, some schools are the architect of their doom.
I pity selfish school owners in advance though cos there's a larva in the teaching system right now.
When it eventually hatch, those school owners go cry blooo*d!

Already, many people have lost interest in the field, soon they will only attract secondary school leavers.

Nazgul:
If you don't have any job you're currently doing I'll advice you to take the offer. With time you can approach parents to request for private lessons for the kids, that one pays more.

Most private schools are going through hell in this economy, and most parents can't even afford the ever increasing fees, and remember that they pay per term, whereras salary is per month. This means that whatever fees they collect from the students would be used to run the school for the next 3-4 months.

Now the problem here is that most students owe the school and refuse to pay, this would make the management look to alternatives means or even loans to pay you guys and run the school activities with hopes that when their student pays up within the month they can settle everything.... unfortunately in most cases this doesn't happen.

I have a relative that runs a primary school, who usually narrates her ordeal to me. There was a day she brought out her records and showed me debts of students over the years, I kid you not, those debts were running into millions. I really felt sorry for her.

I understand for start-up schools, but not established ones. Some schools will boot your kids out if you owe a single term.

These schools earn good money. In a class of 30 and let's say the fees was pegged at 60k and only 50% of pupils paid their fees for the term (worst case scenario), the school will only use 10% of the fee to settle a teacher for the 3 months that make up a term and please Note schools don't pay on holidays and they also pay half month.

We haven't even added side perks and other profits they make from books selling. Big schools that charge over 100k-150k/term also pay peanuts. This isn't even a matter of lack of money or business running at lost, it's plain wickedness.

We can't continue to defend this inhumane treatment to our fellow humans. It's sad no one is talking about this, so sad.

Rachel98:
Some private schools are still paying teachers 20k sef.

May God Help us in this country.

Some 18k. I mean, these schools rake in millions per session. They are just evil and mean.

I heard they normally have agreements to pay certain amount (School owners). A school I know with mighty structure pays 35k and you need to see their rules and regulations.

Oghene!

coputa:
Minorities in Delta state with only 2 local govt.you hv no say.

They have no say, why then are you worried about their political opinion?

Isokos are not only found in two LGA, they share Ndokwa East with the Ndokwa nation, infact their population in that LGA have been threatening.

Only a political neophyte will disregard such a massive group.

Taba21:
That's why common deputy governor you can't get because when other clans are in progressing due to primitive mindset you can't move forward..

How many Isoko are dwelling in Anambra state or the south east?

You can do better than this. Did you just insult an entire ethnic group because of some political differences?

By the way, how are the Isokos primitive? Despite their moderate numbers, they remain one of the top achievers in the state. Political relevance doesn't mean anything if the overall population are uneducated and lacks the necessary resources to prosper in a modern society.

Now, remove you post and apologize.

From my little observations, LP will do wonders in Edo and perform very well in Delta (mostly central).

Interesting times ahead.

darfay:
Efewestern should be able to answer that

I don't know if he got the spelling right, but Ekpen means sand.

..

garfield1:
You are an authority in delta matters so I agree.your predictions in 2019 was spot on.but why will pdp reign supreme in delta south when tompolo and manager lost out? I know ejele holds warri

PDP structure in that zone is incredible. There would be voter apathy no doubt and we won't get to see those ridiculous numbers as we saw in previous elections but PDP will clear with a not-so-big margin.

And yes, you are right The Ijaws are displeased and I don't see them putting more efforts this Time around. Even if the governor clinches the VP ticket, his only sure bet is North.

garfield1:
Delta
Pdp 600,000
Apc 250,000
Labour 300,000

Delta State will be closely contested and one can't even predict anything.

Too many in-fightings. PDP will only do wonders in Delta South. Central will be tightly contested, as it is, Agege reings supreme and will do everything to get his party relevant votes. In the North PDP will struggle with the LP wave which is growing stronger every day.

This is just my opinion.