₦airaland Forum

senatordave1:
A lot of employed people attend such rallies.do you realize some obi supporters even attend tinubu rallies yet cannot attend obi own? No matter how you see it,obi should pull crowd in his region he isnt

What kind of gainfully employed person leaves their jobs to go attend political rallies on a Tuesday afternoon?

You just said OBI supporters attend Tinubu's rally but not OBI's own; doesnt that already prove my point that those useless rallies are attended mainly by paid actors?

So because an OBI supporter attends Tinubu's rally, does that automatically make them not to vote OBI on election day?... Keep deveivimg yourself!

senatordave1:
Rallies are important whether you like it or not.do you realize that obi supporters were pulling crowds before campaigns started yet we hardly see these turnout? You use it to gauge a candidate's strength.a popular candidate usually attracts crowds.if I can accept money and attend to rallies of atiku that I hate,nothing will stop me from going for tinubu own...in 2019 in calabar,when atiku came a lot of people went to the stadium to see atiku yet in 2023,those people who are now with obi refused to go.obi is overhyped my friend

Lol... so you think because people arent falling over themselves to attend OBI rallies, it means his support is dwindling? What a JOKE!

For one, I'm not jobless and would never bother attending any of those useless campaign rallies where politicians do nothing but dance and say rubbish; I value my time so much and wouldnt squander it on such frivolities. In my opinion, people who attend such campaign rallies are mainly paid actors or just jobless onlookers... But that notwithstanding, that I wont attend rallies doesnt mean I dont have a candidate I support.

senatordave1:
Buhari recorded mass rallies up north in 2015.it shows that people are anxious and enthusiastic about his rulership

That I dont attend a rally organised on Tuesday, or even on Saturday, that doesn't mean I wouldn't go out and vote on election day.

Rallies are important for awareness; they also help encourage 'faithless' voters that the candidate indeed has a chance of winning. But just like myself, I know hundreds of other willing voters who wouldnt bother going out for those street carnivals.

senatordave1:
If there will be mass turnout,you will see the signs.people will come out massively for his rallies in se ss but still,he records low turnout.

Rallies? What exactly is the relevance of rallies to so many people?

00FFT00:
There are over 1.5 million Igbos in Kano state alone. And, most northern Christians, south and north central ethnicities in Kano, including Yorubas, are supporting Peter Obi.

Igbos alone 1.5 million? How many people do we then have in the entire state? That number get as e be!

Sannisege:
Even if you conduct the election 10 times, Obi cannot win

FarahAideed:
He can't even win on 7th ballot

Wishful thinkers!

wegevv:
From all I've seen it is tough but POssible.

A run-off would be far from a disaster especially if he wins the popular vote on the first ballot.

It's very hard to gauge how the other parties and even the general population would react to that. There could be a sentiment that he deserves it, even in unexpected regions

lovewins:
I really do think Obi should revisit the South East and the South South states again. The strategy shouldn't just be getting 25% in 24 states (which isn't very likely) it should also include ensuring the opposition do not get the required 25% in states that should traditionally be Obi's stronghold.

It will be disappointing if any of Atiku gets 25% in any of the south eastern states. Efforts should also be intensified to ensure Obi gains more ground in the south especially in states like Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Cross River and Bayelsa.

Even if Obi doesn't win ok first ballot, efforts should be made to ensure he makes second ballot (only the top 2 candidates will qualify). The sheer possiblity of Peter Obi making it to the last round will further inspire more people to come out enmass to vote. It will make people realize their votes count.

I believe Obi should make 25% in Ogun and Nasarawa and Taraba. Ogun has major cities like Abeokuta, Ota, Ijebu with a significant young and literate voting population who should swing Obi. Major Abuja folks living in Nasarawa with the significant Christian population should be enough to get him 25%. Taraba is majority Christian, Obi should also hit 25% here.

I worry more about the South East and South South. Of course he will get the 25% here, but should the opposition gain significant inroad here, it's game over.

From current projections, if OBI doesn't win on first ballot, it's almost certainly game-over!

The key reason OBI has a high chance today is because the votes in the north are shared by the other 3 top contenders. If there's a run-off, northern votes would no longer be shared.

If the run-off is between OBI and Tinubu, you'd agree with me that whilst the majority of the northern PDP voters may not necessarily like Tinubu, most would gravitate towards a Tinubu over an OBI (largely due to tribal / religious sentiments).

Similarly, if the run-off is between OBI and Atiku, with the distasteful intertribal aggression between the SE and SW, would OBI really be able to inherit Tinubu's south western votes? Would current APC supporters in the SW pick an OBI over an Atiku in a run-off?

However the case goes, I don't think a run-off will favour OBI. Whilst its important that OBI consolidates his votes in his strongholds, it's also imperative that he wins the election on first ballot.

RenaissanceGuy:
I don't think Obi will win. The election is strictly between Tinubu and Atiku. Sadly.

Lol... saying the election is between Tinubu and Atiku just gives you away. Wake up and smell the coffee bro - What you have there is called 'wishful thinking'!!!

In an election with 4 top contenders, with OBI already projected to grab up to 14 (out of 36) states + FCT, OBI is a major force to contend with.

RenaissanceGuy:
That Obi has 25% in even 36 states doesn't mean he also has the highest votes. Another party could have the highest votes and therefore the winner.

Yeah of course a candidate can win 25% in all 36 states but still not have the highest number of votes, but that isnt the case for OBI in the coming elections.

With the way things stand now, as long as none of the other 3 top contenders gives up and pulls out of the race before the 25th of February, OBI is already projected to have the highest number of votes with just the first 14 states I listed there.

Waterysperm:
Kogi, Kwara, Niger and Gombe will give him 25%. I will stake 50k with anyone that disagrees with my opinion.

Hmmm .. I really hope so... I even trust Gombe more than the other 3 central states you mentioned.

BeardedmeatR:
Obi can pull 25% in Kano and Gombe states. He is just one step closer to victory.

I'm not really sure of the mix in Gombe, but 25% from Kano?

LP votes from Kano would most likely be ethnic; i.e. from Igbos living in Kano. Can this really make up to 25% of votes in Kano?

SmartPolician:
If Obi doesn't win on the first ballot, a runoff will be hard for him to win because the other two major candidates are more popular than him in the north.

I want to see Nigeria's presidential election end in a runoff someday. I want to have a first-hand experience.

A runoff would be a disaster for OBI cos the larger percentage of PDP/APC supporters are people who actually dislike OBI (either for his tribe or just for his audacity to challenge the system). In a runoff, these people would gladly vote 'anything but OBI'.

yarimo:
Obi that is not even sure of Anambra state

No time for JOKERS here abeg!

From my analysis, these are the states OBI is VERY SURE to hit 25% (and even more):
1. Anambra
2. Abia
3. Ebonyi
4. Enugu
5. Imo
6. Akwa-Ibom
7. Cross-Rivers
8. Rivers
9. Bayelsa
10. Delta
11. Edo
12. Lagos
13. Benue
14. Plateau

These are the additional states OBI is LIKELY to win 25%:
15. Nasarawa
16. Kaduna
17. Taraba
18. Ogun
19. Oyo
20. Ondo
21. Osun
22. Ekiti

In total, these are 22 states I think OBI is likely or sure of winning ≥25%.... The remaining 14 states are up for grabs and OBI still needs about 2 states in the bag. Which of these 14 states can additionally be added to the bag?

Kogi - Kwara - Niger - Adamawa - Bauchi - Borno - Gombe - Yobe - Jigawa - Kano - Katsina - Kebbi - Sokoto - Zamfara

Firstly, this thread is strictly for OBIDIENTS; but BATists and ATIKUlators are welcome to pour in their bad energy (it's a free world).

The presidential election is in a few weeks and from my personal analysis, while it's looking bright that the LP may win the highest number of votes nationwide, it doesn't seem like it can pull 25% of votes in 24 states (I may be wrong).

A run-off would be a disaster for the OBIDIENT movement cos I foresee supporters of PDAPC (two parties with similar lootocratic ideologies) teaming up to punish OBI in a run-off.

So the big questions are:

1. Can OBI pull 25% of votes in up to 24 states?
2. What states can OBI pull 25% of votes?
3. What additional states can more work be done to tilt the scale?

LP still has a lot of work to be done. At all cost, the election should never be allowed to enter into run-offs. So far, while it may seem like the LP may win the highest number of votes nationwide, it doesn't seem like they can pull 25% of votes in 24 states.

If the election goes into runoffs, I foresee supporters of PDAPC (two parties with similar lootocratic ideologies) teaming up to punish OBI.

omonnakoda:
I cannot think of a better word for you than
BOMBASTIC

Lol... Which one be "bombastic" again?

omonnakoda:
It is like someone gave you homework to use

PUERILE

in a sentence and that is why
You are repeating it upandan

I couldnt think of a better word to describe the kind of reasoning that could produce what you and the other guy wrote. So pardon my repeated use of that word

omonnakoda:
puerile?
I don't know book
Who are you tryiing to impress?
Is this between Seun and Peter Okoye or
Seun and PSQUARE?
OR
Peter Okoye and Fela?

Seun said his SOLO CAREER FAILED
And Peter has no talent
Where is Psquare in the discussion?

Oh! So the logic you're trying to whip up now is that Peter isn't PSQUARE? ... You go fear desperation na!

Let Seun go and take a walk on the streets of Lagos and let's see how many people would recognise him.

Afterwards, let Peter take the same walk in your neighbourhood and let's see whether you can get home that day (cos of the traffic jam).

omonnakoda:
I suggest you do an online search to see how many countries Seun performed in last year?
Then tell us how many performances Peter Okoye has had in his entire solo career

Just imagine the peurile analogy! So Seun Kuti is now a bigger artist than PSquare because he insulted Obi?

Afamed:
At least, seun Father is known. Who is P- Square father?

Even in Anambra his father is not known

Just imagine the peurile reasoning!

Peter worked hard and made a name for himself; he is known all over Africa and even globally. But you're here asking who his father is?.... In your wisdom, you think an adult whose only asset is his late father's name is a bigger achiever?

Throwback:
Peter Okoye is fighting a battle he cannot win. He will never understand what it means to inherit a legacy from one's father.

You cannot canonize an olosho wey change location.

Seun is on a higher level of political consciousness, but Peter Okoye who has been castigating Tinubu cannot stomach the fact that other Nigerians know that Peter Obi is of the same political set as Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso.

Peter Obi is corrupt, Peter Obi is a desperate political prostitute, Peter Obi is a hypocrite, Peter Obi has no integrity.

What is worse is that Peter Obi is a failed Governor who invested heavily in the hardship and poverty faced by the people of Anambra who wailed bitterly and promised he will never amount to anything significant in future.

Even Ngige in less than 3yrs achieved more than Peter Obi who spent 8yrs after the standard set by Ngige.

Must we all suffer like Anambrarians suffered under Peter Obi?

Suffer no dey tire you?

Does Peter Obi have the courage and leadership that Tinubu has and has shown over the currency swap disaster?

Peter Obi has shown that he is still that wicked, visionless politician that Ifyalways and other Anambrarians lamented bitterly about in 2012.

- Peter made a name for himself and is known all over Africa and even globally.

- Seun is living off his fathers name.

So in your own wisdom, Seun whose only asset is his father's name, is better than Peter who worked tirelessly and made a name for himself?

officialwdhtv:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PRLYSfKcVow

OMGG Very big snake seen inside a toilet (WC) in Ekpoma, Edo State 😯😯😯

What snake is this? It sure looks to me like the very venomous king cobra.

Damnnn!!!
Why is it always black cobras that enter into toilets?

Exclusive101:
Many Nigerians especially igbos supporting Peter Obi are truly daft.

People have always migrated to Lagos long before the coming of Tinubu but he sustained that n now even more people migrate to same Lagos today.

Igbos migrate to Anambra n work in Anambra civil service as well long before Peter Obi but same Peter Obi chased all non indigene from Anambra civil service n today Anambra indigene are fighting to the death to escape from Anambra daily. Just check how many refugees Ekene dilichukwu GIG Peace Agufore Ifesinachi Okeson GUO Young Shall Grow etc load from Anambra escaping to Lagos daily.

You either have to be brain dead if the criteria the lady spoke about here is use to chose the beta candidate n still go ahead to vote Peter Obi instead of Bola Ahmed Tinubu. The fact speak for itself.

One Igbo idiot called from Sweden wailing about how the caller migrated to London n he is in Sweden. The idiot does not aknowledge people migrate towards more economical prosperous n stable state.

How many Nigerians, even Biafrans are moving to Anambra after Peter Obi turn it into paradise n how many Nigerians keep flocking into Lagos after the misrule by Tinubu. Use this n your medulla not skull n vote wisely.

One has to be spectacularly dumb to even remotely think that Igbos (or anyone else) relocates to Lagos because "Tinubu developed Lagos". Lagos has always been not just the commercial capital of Nigeria, but also the commercial capital of west Africa probably even before Tinubu was born.

Igbos are nomadic by nature and being into trade and commerce, will tend to migrate to wherever they have customers for their commodities regardless of whether the place is a heaven or a hell (that explains why you would find Igbos in even Borno selling their wares). With the population of Lagos alone, even a dullard can deduce why Igbos will definitely be disposed to Lagos.

@Exclusive101, you mentioned Ekenedilichukwu, GIG, Peace, Agufore, Ifesinachi, Okeson, GUO, Young Shall Grow etc loading passengers to Lagos regularly. Did these largely Igbo owned companies start existing and moving passengers to Lagos during Tinubu's tenure?... Igbos have always made up up to 30% of the population of Lagos; I'm guessing in your wisdom, the 30% Igbis living in Lagos pre-1999 moved to Lagos cos of Tinubu's spirit?

If you arent a Gen-Z child who perhaps can be excused for being too young and ignorant, how exactly does one explain this lame assertion that "Igbos are in Lagos cos of Tinubu"?

igbotormentor:
So the god of igbo land, Peter Obi can sleep

Lol... Misery always seeks company! By fire by force, Agbado boys desperately want to catch Obi sleeping too!

Ebi2233:
Igbo people that claim Opobo, hope you watched yesterday PDP Rally in Buguma Kalabari that Sim Fubara from Opobo endlessly call himself their fellow Ijaw Man?
Igbos are not larger than Ijaws in population and some few days time, Obi with a structureless party will be disgraced.

Peter Obi has Losed because Igbos are too rude.

Just imagine the silly tribal reason on which adults are basing their electoral choices. The black race really needs mental cleansing.

tinsel:
Lagos
Osun
Oyo
Ekiti
Ondo
Rivers
Katsina
Borno
Kwara
Kogi
Niger
Nasarawa
Jigawa
Kebbi
Zamfara
Yobe
Below are states he gets 24 percent
Ebony
Imo
Akwaibom
Cross River
Kano
Benue
Adamawa
Sokoto
Bauchi
Bayelsa
Abuja

Tinubu will win Rivers 😁🤣

ScamHunter:
Whatever that makes an idiot like you sleep well? I agree.

You're welcome!!!... Yes I'm happy to be that 'idiot' who points out your ignorance and ethnic bigotry cos I find it irritating.

ScamHunter:
Aren't you the idiot calling me a bigot? Why do you wanna educate a bigot? Can i see your evidence, non bigot?

Of course you're a bigot and that bigotry is the reason you've exhibited a tough resistance to education.

Despite several people here trying to educate you, you're still here insisting the gas for the AKK pipeline is from the SE. Is that normal behaviour?

Also, gas that's being wasted through flares, the long overdue infrastructure is finally being built after 60 years to reduce flaring by selling the gas for revenue; but NO! You're angry and opposed to this development cos you heard the word 'north'. If that's not bigotry, kindly tell us what it is?

pocom16:
The gas isn't given to any region for free..

the south south uses gas to generate electricity and power a few industries there particularly in port harcourt and warri..
the excess is being flared

it is that excess that needs to be transported to other regions (North, europe) to generate wealth rather than being wasted

The ScamHunter fellow you quoted, no matter how much you educate him that it is the gas being flared (i.e. wasted) that is about to be sold for revenue, he would still be opposed to it simply because he sees the word 'north'. He would rather the gas be wasted than to see it being sold to anyone in the north.. Yet he doesnt think he's an ethnic bigot, rather he thinks it's the people correcting bim that are bigots.

ScamHunter:
You're absolutely the ignorant party here. Let me overlook the fact that you're a bigot.

Smh!.. you're running all around the thread shouting that the gas is from the south east. Even with several people correcting you, you still shamelessly flaunt the same ignorance and you think that is normal behaviour?