Ositadima1's Posts
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BullBearMkt:I think I may have been misunderstood due to my erratic thinking. I was not comparing GTCO to Transcorp directly. Rather, I was pointing out the efficient way in which GTCO was sold off in 2022 by an entity, compared to how Zenith, Transcorp and other valuable stocks are currently being dumped. The entity behind the ongoing dumping stands to lose some capital given the approach, especially for Zenith which had been built up slowly over time. My theory is that the faster you move a price up or down by exerting demand/supply pressure, the lower the volume involved. |
Locotrader:It depends on who is doing the selling. It may be the trading department of some institution who may have been ordered by management to reduce exposure to certain stocks. In that case, we may see prices go even more into the red until they have met their target. Then, after that, we can continue our upward journey, probably back to the year's highs. All these pension funds etc., those guys don't send anybody o. ![]() |
It looks more like institutions dumping their stocks, probably trying to reduce exposure or something similar. If it were retailers dumping, it wouldn't look like this. The rate at which they are withdrawing their money will surely result in losses for them. Stocks like Zenith took a slow ascent to go up in price. The way they are crashing now, if it continues, will quickly take them back to pre-bull run prices. This is not clever in my opinion. I can remember how GTCO was distributed in 2022 - the entity selling then was dumping it slowly over time. |
Dupeodus:That's not entirely accurate. Russia actually has several grades of crude oil, including Urals Blend (medium-sour), Siberian Light (light), and even heavier crudes, depending on the location. Given Russia's vast geography, the oil properties can vary widely. Then, there are closer alternatives for light crude, such as Angola, Libya and even Congo. So Dangote Refinery potentially looking to the US for oil seems to be more of a political decision rather than one based on necessity or convenience. ![]() |
nosa2:Since Dangote Refinery is planning to buy crude oil from the USA, the most likely currency it will use to sell its refined oil products is the Dollar to reduce foreign exchange risk. ![]() |
Olaide1295:Ships from Russia do not have to pass the Cape of Good Hope. Neither is Russia the only better choice. Angola is there, and there are many other better choices in the African continent alone. And yes, Dangote Refinery will choose what is best for their business. That does not mean it is the best choice or best for the Nigerian people. What logistics? I thought logistics were taken care of by the shipping company. Anyway, I am not an expert in this stuff, just expressing my common sense analysis. |
BullBearMkt:I think politics is also a consideration in the choice of who to buy from. Why buy from the USA when the USA's WTI is not the cheapest? I think Russian crude is cheaper than the USA's WTI. There are other better sources too. I am happy that soon there will be competition. By then, the market will be forced to overcome all these politics at the expense of the masses. ![]() |
Frangel:You're right, I was trying to convey the same point. After accounting for depreciation and amortization (which I found under administrative expenses), the free cash flow comes out to around 796 million naira. That translates to approximately 40 kobo per share. ![]() |
Frangel:Okay, thanks. I will try and see if I can spot them in the statement breakdown. That is probably why my free cash flow calculation is also off. |
Am I missing something? Based on my calculations of Free Cash Flow using: Net profit + depreciation/amortization - changes in working capital (current assets - current liabilities - cash) - capital expenditures, I got some numbers. NAHCO's FCF is way lower than their PAT, and the FCF per share is even less than their previous dividend payout. Something seems awfully wrong here, but NNFM looks much better in comparison.
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emmanuelewumi:I noticed that the income statements in these unaudited financial statements are lacking deductions for amortization and depreciation. I think the final audited EPS will be lower once these non-cash expenses are included. |
"There are many FX denominated funds one can buy even from/via Nigerian banks." Only accredited investors can participate in private placements of foreign bonds offered by investment houses or banks. The foreign currency denominated investments provided in these banks are mostly repackaged Eurobonds, though I'm open to correction on that. |
Na to buy 7 crates of hero keep for house o, before the thing go up more. ![]() |
We should brace ourselves, prices of goods and services will still go up. It is better to stock up on things now because more inflation is coming. By the way, Hero beer is now 600 naira a bottle, a 20% increase just in January. ![]() |
Cadbury may present a good deal if the share price falls far enough, like Eterna that tumbled down only to recover later. Cadbury has incurred considerable exchange losses, mostly due to import finance facilities (loans). If Cadbury's goods have a competitive advantage, the company should be able to pass on these higher costs to consumers over time. ![]() |
Tranquility2345:I have said what I have said. If your dollar investments are Nigerian bonds denominated in foreign currencies, don't feel too cocky because if the Nigerian economy goes bad, default is very likely. However, if you diversified in foreign markets, then good for you. |
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Tranquility2345:You think investing in Nigerian bonds denominated in USD and foreign currencies is a solid diversification strategy. By the time the naira gets to 5000, how sure are you that Nigeria will not default on its bond payments? The truth is that these bonds are still correlated with the naira, and if Nigeria's economy goes to ruin, so will these bonds. To truly diversify, you would have to buy bonds in foreign countries, like physically go to the USA and buy their bonds. |
RayRay06677:I am not really attacking, just trying to be reasonable. This is not the way to be a role model. There is no moral to the long letter. I can simply summarize the whole thing in a few words - "I am very comfortable and I will still be even if Nigeria burns". Now, compare that with what you get from mature individuals like Pa Emma. He will give you roadmaps and actionable pointers. I can only say be wary of old people who talk like teenagers. |
skydiver01:Okay, you are so fortunate that everything is working out for you. You are living your best life. So, what should we do now? Is enjoying your wealth not bringing you enough happiness that you need to write about it for emotional boosts? What exactly is the message in this long letter - buy, sell or hold? |
TotoNaRubber:We have been hearing about investing in dollars for over ten years now. Every so often, someone will come and do the calculations of how much you would have lost if you held naira instead of dollars. Don't you get tired ni? I believe you have already converted all your money to dollars (audio, maybe...), which is good. Now rest, haba. I would even suggest sending your spouse out there to earn dollars. I thought this thread was about investing in Nigerian denominated securities. |
Zagee:I think I have mentioned before that we are going to see bigger revenue, especially for essential products making companies, which may translate into higher profits. It is not hard to see when you go out to buy provisions and supplies - you should have noticed by now that most prices have gone up. In some cases prices have doubled, while in other cases companies have reduced the content. Look at my favorite biscuit from years past - the fish biscuit (50 naira per pack). It is now half its original size. ![]() When some people come here and tell me stock prices will fall, as usual I get seriously confused. Is it not the same market that they and I enter to buy things, or are they shopping somewhere with discounted prices? Ok nah. ![]() |
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Agbalowomeri:What makes you think it won't? A lot of stocks that did 2x or more had no reason to do so, not backed by fundamentals. But you see, those value stocks will bounce back. Worst case they will remain flat. The days of Zenith at 25 are over. ![]() |
rmx:Haba, you stated that he had purchased the property at a high price. Then, he informed that your understanding was incorrect. Now, you are inquiring whether he sold the property at a lower cost. Please recall that the individual in question did not directly participate in the transaction. |
rmx: ![]()
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masseratti: , I wanted to use your experience to make a point on a different but related thread, but then I felt I should quote you so it doesn't look like I stole your post. |
Locotrader: masseratti: |
Agbalowomeri:The market has already crashed (in real value) as the Naira has lost more than 50% of its value. You will be very disappointed, brother. You had better position yourself now in value stocks or US dollars, as the Naira is going to fall further before year end. Your Elliott Wave analysis will disappoint you. I don't talk finish. ![]() |
LILBIMS:Outstanding Shares, all the outstanding shares of a stock that can lay claim on the profit after tax (PAT). Hence, earnings per share (EPS) is calculated as PAT divided by the number of outstanding shares (OS). ![]() |
MeezPat: ![]() My sister, I was only trying to economize space and mention the most important parts. If I were to explain everything in full, posts would look more like final year thesis. |
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