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Robobo's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 7:34pm On Jan 08, 2019
mendes911:
Keep your eyes on FX inflows, for that only can bring back those big headed bulls. Else, we go remain like lepka until CBN shakes bodies.....
please chief what platform do u monitor the FX inflow from? FMDQ website does not have info on daily volume of transactions. the weekly can only be erratically obtained from disparate news source (zedcrest bulletin / TRW blog). wld appr8 if u share platform u use in monitoring any periodic volume (daily/ weekly/ monthly)
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 5:21pm On Jan 02, 2019
BullBearMkt:
Oil may have found its bottom, now ready to rally or range...
grin grin grin grin grin
.

if current / upcoming news impact is taking into consideration (i.e. opec+ cut kicking in this month/ seemingly plateauing of growth in US output) then Rally i think it should be (instead of range) but with this thing (oil), geopolitical happenings cld swing it in opposite
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 4:19pm On Nov 27, 2018
fxuser:
- the only deal sweeter was d sale of oil asset to Oando cowboys for over $1 bln usd faaa just before oil crash and Naira deva

- u can still hear their laughter yrs after
grin grin grin
This goes to tell you the greatest scammers of all time is the West (as denote by its govts & MNC)

The West would play you and you wont get to know until u reach heaven and the video of what happened is played back for you to see

Wale would be like plus all my experience i was still played.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 2:24pm On Nov 22, 2018
DeRuggedProf:
I only wish to learn lesson I can live to tell others about.
I hate tales that others do on your behalf. grin
.

to support this is a yoruba adage that says " omo ojo lo ma njiwe ile omo akin" it is the children of the cowards that always give description to the house of the brave in peace time. (this is so because) "awon omo akin ati ba ogun lo" ( the children of the brave and the brave himself would have perished in the war so wont be available to give a description during the peace time).

selah
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 11:55am On Oct 29, 2018
fxuser:
IMO:
- 50 is popular , u can use 40 , 30 , 25 , 100 any number dat suits ur style . there are no guarantees to d returns
- d shorter d tighter
- d longer d slower
- its helps to reduce noise and over trading
- its lagging so u its never bothers about catching d bottom or top ... but its gives u d meat in d middle
- funds managers like it because its nt easy for them to move large funds in and out
- note that each stock behaves differently, when the stock is not trending , it does nt work well
- i think understanding trends shud be d corner stone for investors or traders, it saves time and removes bias

Now:
- do some back testing, use different MA's and different stocks and observe d behaviour, how long they stay above the line and calculate d returns.
- if u want to go a step further , chk out ichimoku, its great for trending prices

#OneLove
hello chief
Thank you for this, i deduce from this post that the 50 ema is a fairly reliable indicator of buy / sell signal for the medium to long term investor

from your experience / knowledge what wld you say is the best use of the longer (200ema) and shorter (10/20 ema) for the medium to long term investor
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 6:08pm On Oct 26, 2018
Cadillac15:
Beautiful result but it won't appreciate year end result undecided

There is a big tax waiting to be absorbed.

2018 fy likely to be lower than 2017.
Hello Chief

wld appr8 if you expatiate on highlighted

thank you
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:53pm On Sep 11, 2018
Agbalowomeri:
Both Zenith and Guaranty dividend may actually decrease next year
Topline and/or bottomline already flat for all banks (half year result) bar stanbic
and after the previous few years growth, the only place it cld go is downside
but i think the decline would not be steep as the income drivers are intact just the firing power is declining for some of them (TB&FX), hence we mayb seeing something in the region of 10-15% decline in bottomline, which for me is not alarming and also may not trickle down to dividend payment (which is the koko). i wld rather say the dividend growth of previous few years wld definitely stop
so the next logical question would be what other sector / asset class cld offer same dividend %
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 5:20pm On Sep 05, 2018
fxuser:
Brent
- 3rd time rejection at $79/80 levels
should we brace for a break of 70 den since breaking 80 seems impossible?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 6:44pm On Jul 20, 2018
Agbalowomeri:
Are you really sure they have not left? That January was suspect with the benefit of hindsight
LOL grin grin grin grin

Frontloading things it is (hindsight wise)
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 8:58am On Jul 11, 2018
awesomeJ:
I know his projections are for the NSE ASI.

I'm just trying to point out that the market may have just advanced past some price levels.

Quoted companies are recording record revenues and earnings-much more than the 2015 levels, the local currency is currently worth just about half its 2015 value, yet we expect prices to return to 2015 levels.


Personally, just as we know there's nothing to drive the market to a 45k bull, I don't see as well, anything that'll drive it to a 30k bear.

The economy has better hopes now, than it did in 2015, and it's been said, that the election ish is overrated. I agree to that.



That's my thinking you asked for.
hmmm thanks for sharing your thought

bolded is worth reflecting on
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 4:47pm On Jul 10, 2018
awesomeJ:
Sir, just for knowledge's sake, what's this projection based on?

Imminent currency crisis, declining companies' earnings, or just.....

There have several been booms and busts,
yet we may need another global crisis to see the Dow below 20,000 again.
he is not talking abt Dow, he is talking bat NSE

for ur take hw abt trade / tarrif war escalations; taper tantrums ; local elections. These a major immediate headwinds that are bound to affect the NSE negatively or do u think anything positive is in the near term?? wld appr8 if u share ur thinking


note im invested and not talking it down (like some folks) just that reality one must face
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 8:19am On Jun 27, 2018
fxuser:
short term bullish, breaking back above the 50dma
next test is the 200dma ard that 3.3 /3.4 level
been a green month with price above last month open & close (engulfing)
Thank u i appr8
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:10pm On Jun 26, 2018
Agbalowomeri:
You still dey look for charts?
my broda no matter wat its still act as compass. Though one shld not mistake it for the bus to the final destination.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 2:42pm On Jun 26, 2018
fxuser:
buyers tore that wall lol
Hello chief

what says the chart on UCAP? Daily / Weekly / Monthly

wld appreciate
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 1:17pm On Jun 26, 2018
fxuser:
Index Watch
Monthly TA
- Jan was d last green monthly candle
- Followed by 5 Consecutive lower monthly closures wt index testing below 37k
- June is a Doji month at the 38.2 fib level
- any move or close above 38,100 in July will giv d first green month since JAN ***
- if that fails , na 35,000 levels we de go
- still a few days to go before we close H2

https://invst.ly/7uey5


hmmmmmm last one sent it on 4 month uptrend the one before that on two month.

if this doesn't do same thing that means things don scatter
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 4:32pm On Jun 11, 2018
Mpeace:
CEO just resigned.
musical chairs
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 11:42am On Jun 06, 2018
fxuser:
Chai
soaking that over head loss carrying positions no easy !
bottom buyers are not worried
i sincerely doubt if the battle can be won
so its better to start preparation for a retreat
though for the sake of mysef i wld wish the battle is won
but reality one must face
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 11:31am On Jun 06, 2018
time to test nerves

lol
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 2:36pm On May 31, 2018
the market close May exactly where it opened in January (i.e. 38.2k), meaning it had taken back all it gave in January

coincidence?

TA guys pls help out
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 1:57pm On May 31, 2018
TLAX:
A total of 1,141,191,943 units of Stanbic IBTC Holdings Plc were done as an off-market trade today at N 53.75 in eight deals.
The deals were negotiated cross deals between Stanbic IBTC Stockbrokers Ltd as buyer and Rencap Securities Ltd as seller.

Total Trade Consideraton – NGN61.3bn ( $170mn dollars)
Oga TLAX pls clarify

do u mean the deal was done at N53.75 / share? a premium of about 20% to todays price?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 1:55pm On May 31, 2018
RabbiDoracle:
Jollof rice.

While people are running away, some core investors are increasing stake.
Zenith alone today had done trade worth N3.13b also

hmmmmmmm
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 1:41pm On May 31, 2018
TLAX:
This is to inform The Nigerian Stock Exchange that Stanbic Africa Holdings Limited (a wholly owned subsidiary of Standard Bank Group Limited) and parent company of Stanbic IBTC Holdings PLC (“Stanbic IBTC”), has recently acquired an additional 1,141,191,943 (one billion, one hundred and forty one million, one hundred and ninety one thousand, nine hundred and forty three) ordinary shares in Stanbic IBTC Holdings PLC in an “Off-Market” transaction.
With this acquisition, the total percentage shareholding of Stanbic Africa Holdings Limited in Stanbic IBTC has increased by 11.35% from 53.09% to 64.44% post this transaction.
The above is for information purposes only.
Fortune favours the brave
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 5:35pm On May 30, 2018
My Ogas in the house

i would appreciate if anyone help with source for past data on I&E windows daily volume / price

FMDQ only has current (i.e. todays) info
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 1:23pm On May 30, 2018
rebekah2011:
Madam, please cool down. The FDIs are not in any Country to do father Xmas. They are here to make money. A number of us do not want to admit to certain things because it is against our stock move. Let us be more cautious so that we are not trapped. There is demand pressure on Forex. Foreign investors will like to repatriate their funds. It will be foolhardy for anyone to ignore the political risk too. Stocks cannot continue to go downwards, it will always rebound at a point. Let's trade cautiously so that our school fees will be moderate and commensurate.
Ongoing is not specific to Nigeria. it is emerging / frontier market related.

it is highly likely that the current sell off is FPI driven (as evidenced by pressure on I&E window)

fundamentally the drivers is a stronger dollar (itself being driven by America first policies) and FED rate hikes (upcoming being priced in). the combo of two is deadly for emerging market because it dampens the allure of emerging market to Global/ Foreign Portfolio Investors (i.e. why go for troubled (emerging) asset when untroubled (US) is offering fair yield, we should remember that what brought them (FPI) to emerging market in the first place was the search for higher yield).

when wld this stop?. fundamentally two suggestive barometer would be (1) If ongoing does not nose dive into currency crisis for emerging market (as a result of fund flows out demanding for FOREX). here i think Nigeria is in a better stead (with reserve of $48-50) but that is if the operator (CBN) does not go into panic mode (by canceling / stifling the I&E window) (2) when emerging market asset yields (interest / dividend payment) becomes alluring again in comparision to US yields. (meaning either price of emerging asset becomes lower at same earnings or earning becoming higher at same price)

putting above in our consciousness could help with better decision making
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 11:09am On May 30, 2018
fxuser:
daily boss
but dont u think its "noise" considering the timeframe?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 8:16pm On May 28, 2018
fxuser:
Trends

- When the 50-day moving average pierces the 200-day moving average in either direction, it supposedly predicts a substantial shift in buying and selling behavior. The 50-day moving average rising above the 200-day moving average is called a Golden Cross, while the bearish piercing is called a Death Cross

- The 20-day moving average commonly marks the short-term trend, the 50-day moving average the intermediate trend, and the 200-day moving average the long-term trend of the market.

- ''most'' not all stocks hv broken all 3 MA's , its one thing to read about such breaks , its another thing to see them happen

For more:
http://www.newtraderu.com/2012/01/24/ten-things-traders-need-to-know-about-moving-averages/
hello chief. please on what timeframe is above? daily? weekly or monthly
Properties › Re: Best Architectural, Interior And Construction Works by robobo: 4:11pm On May 21, 2018
skimanski:
Proposed 3 Bedroom Mini Duplex
Building floor Area. 121 Sq.m


GROUND FLOOR
Guest w/c
Main Living Room
Dinning
Kitchen
Store
Home Office

FIRST FLOOR
Master's Bedroom
Boy's Room
Girl's Room
all rooms ensuite.
first time i am seeing a minimalist (121 sqm) from you

i think u shld showcase more minimalist design like this considering the cost of land within ur niche / clientele base

Good job
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:37pm On Apr 23, 2018
gloriousdawn:
Net impairement loss on Loan & Receivables for banks is droping significantly.
Remember that this line item have been a major bleeding item for the banks.
2018 looks promising.
Dont shout hurray yet
wait until the results are audited (particular year end audit).
impairment are like bitter pills, u typically dont want to take it except if forced by an external stimuli (auditors / regulators)
so be cautious on the "promising outlook"
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:09pm On Apr 23, 2018
Jejebaba:
Flat result.
yeah flat
if no improvement by mid year (i.e. still flat)
then final result might not be more than last year which cld also imply no growth in dividend payment (except dividend payout ratio is altered)
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 10:43am On Apr 20, 2018
rebekah2011:
I am a he ooooo. Have it here. http://www.gtbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/FY2017_InvestorCall.mp3
Thank you i appr8

sorry for the mix up
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 8:02pm On Apr 19, 2018
rebekah2011:
I doubt this. I listened to the call Conference of both banks after the release of their Q4. You cannot but be impressed by the way Gtbank clearly outlined their direction for 2018.
Ma

i wld appr8 if u can oblige the transcript (or a link to same) of the GTB conference call
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:27pm On Mar 28, 2018
rebekah2011:
https://nairametrics.com/nigerian-firms-may-get-foreign-backing-to-acquire-2bn-stakes-in-petrobas-africa/ Is oando buying this?
shey u wan kill Wale niii

he neva comot for the wahala of life and death wey him dey u dey ask am to buy another asset.

u wicked ooooo. or na like so u hate d guy reach.

d last one he bought he neva swallow am finish after more than 4 years

u a truly a wicked somebody

grin grin grin grin grin grin grin

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