₦airaland Forum

I recommend both LP and Pdp should organise and conduct nationwide election between Obi and Atiku. Who ever wins will face Tinubu in 2027🙄🙄🙄

Sanwo olu will win at least 60% of total votes

The problem with people who believe election was rigged is that they have conditioned the expected result to the performance of their immediate environment. Many voters in SE may think the election was rigged because all they saw around them on election day was people voting labour party and the party winning landslide. It could also happen to certain section of the state, a particular local govt residents begin to think in fallacy, election results in the whole state must mirror the performance of their LGA.

I believe there must be a name for this bias. Apart from Rivers state which i believe was significantly compromised, there is very little malpractices that would have altered in large measure the overall winner. The BIVAS worked to reduce large votes , especially in the North. The Incidence form was used to great effect prior to advent of BIVAS to perfect large scale rigging. The naira scarcity also helped to reduce vote buying, many will agree it was an own goal by the APC. This election would have been a higher margin win by APc due to vote buying.

Get off your bias, it was a largely free and fair election.

This election reflects Gods choice, it is obvious there was confusion in the camp of the enemies for Tinubu to emerge. Obi, Atiku and kwankwaso broke the PDP. Then G5 governors gave the simplest request by impressing on Atiku to let the Northern Chairman step down, but like biblical pharaoh he was stubborn. Their eyes only opened after votes counting and they started merging after the red sea had been crossed.

It is time to close ranks President elect.

My guts rarely fails, i predicted victory for you in a competitive election. I am also predicting resounding success particularly in the area of economic growth and prosperity to many Nigerians via a largely increased revenue base, cut on oil subsidy wastage and aggressive infrastructural development.

Many Nigerians underrate your abilities as a development centric politician and no politician ever have had so much aspersions casted on him/her. You easily forgive your enemies. You apply a lot of common sense , a rarity amongst politicians.

Your first 18 months will be your toughest battle as you begin to set the tone for a prosperous nation, but your biggest critics will turn around and acknowledge you thereafter.

For those wishing you death, i am asking God to make them live long to witness you in good health and positive transformation of the nation. Forgive those who wish you death.

dorodee:
O boy, the results from plateau state is funny..... Obi with 10 LGA has 400,000 plus ... While Tinubu with 3 LGA has 300,000 plus.... Na wa oo.

some of you have weak comprehension skills. The overall votes from all local governments is what counts.


In Lagos, Obi won in 8 lga vs Tinubu 12 lga . obi won the overall votes.

I agree that Rivers state result was compromised in favour of Apc by wike. That would not have changed the tide of the election though. Tinubu won the simple majority vote even if all Apc votes is given to labour party.

Wike did similar in 2015 and 2019 elections in favour of Pdp.

How anyone can believe this ridiculous allocation of votes is not fathomable

Pdp did not rely on result from social media, they know the truth and can tell they have lost the election, but still want to cause confusion with social media results. Pdp had agents in 99.9% of the polling units.

Peter Obi is a distant third with over 1.5 million votes less than Atiku. Move on from false prophesy.

Nonsense. Obasanjo the sanctimonous man. The worst elections ever were in 2003 and 2007( Maurice Iwu comes to mind). Late Yaradua confirmed his election that brought him to government was a rigged election and he will embark on a reform. The worst human rights violation were during his reign( zaki, odi biam). The worst intertribal wars were during his reign( urhobo vs itsekiri) aguleri vs umuleri. Sagamu riot vs northerners, mushin riot vs northerners, kaduna riot, Kano riot e.t.c Most youngies dont know he is a divisive and self centred fellow who like situations that fans his ego.

At the 1999 presidential election, he lost his polling booth and Ogun state MASSIVELY. He was not a candidate yoruba wanted.

I think social media has elevated a lot of atrocities of politicians.

Shagari had 25% and above in only 12 out of 19 states in 1979 and was declared president. The 2/3rd rule was contensious in that election. The supreme court was the final arbiter. The judge in his final ruling stated "my hands are tied....."

Edited: 12 out of 19 states

Obasanjo lost all SW states and won in the other 5 regions in the 1999 presidential election.

garfield1:
Total votes now is 460000.apc had 120,000 which is above 25%

it is less than 25%. Total votes is over 600,000.

🙄🙄. This is the man Ayo Adebanjo said the North will betray. Rather it is the "Afenifebi" betraying him.

Woke Yoruba youths. Avoid being overwise, it is foolishness. You left a refined Banky W son of the soil in Pdp to vote a thug looking fellow in labour.🤔

Slurity:
hatred will never make Igbo man president in Nigeria. While we Yoruba are supporting Obi and praying that if Obi will lose, then Tinubu can win, but you guys want another Fulani that they reject Obi totally in the north. What kind of human are you guys self? Hostility to others is your problem. I serve in Igbo land and I know the level of hatred to Yoruba people. Shame and you guys. I regret supporting Obi. Nonsense

is your name SodiQ? I believe most Yorubas sipporting Obi ahead of Tinubu should be renamed Sodiq. They are overwise to the point they became foolish.

femisplash:
Shebi you voted everywhere in Rivers. In Lagos, they were jubilating over early results in a few polling units, forgetting that Lagos is made up of 20LGs.

over 13000 polling units o. Because they won few polling units landslide within their stronghold, to them they have won😏 Critical reasoning is lacking with this people sha. Badagry for example has 2 local government, it used to be a Pdp stronghold, but apc made in road in the past year. They are not different from the riotous mob that went on a killing spree in 2011 because they felt Buhari won the election since he won on a landslide in North west.

I await how the results will vary to my projections in the coming hours.

Asgard13:
Asiwaju no go ever be the President of Nigeria as long as Nigerians are concern

Best he remains the god of Yoruba people in Yoruba land

Modified

Asiwaju is on cruise to winning Feb 25.. like this he’s one leg is about to step in ..

OBi and Kwankwanso must align with Pdp or he steps in to villa without qualms


This is the present reality as of 10:30 pm ..

you are now facing reality

With all the turmoil going on in the country, i still stand with my projection 6 days to election.

What Nigeria needs so badly is someone who can exponentially increase its finances. Tinubu is guaranteed to do that. I am absolutely sure.

Nigeria has to implement smart ideas to generate income and execute sustainable projects. As long as we practice democracy , Nigerian politicians will always steal, don't deceive yourself with a belief otherwise. Those who can generate enough money faster than they steal is better, and use that money to get tangible projects done. Lagos is a model of such.

I will believe a poll across 36 states with almost 20,000 respondents than a 1000 respondents poll with many undecided. Little wonder , one of such ridiculous poll suggested obi to win NW ahead of Atiku.

wonder233:
Nope, the race is between APC and PDP. With APC slightly having the advantage.
By failing to penetrate the core muslim north, LP has no identifiable path to victory.
This is a neutral realistic poll. By seeing the percentages I allocated to LP in its strongholds, you immediately jumped into conclusions. But if you can be open minded, you will see the larger picture predicts an APC victory

but allocating 0% to a ruling party in any of the 36 states automatically makes me question your understanding of Nigerian politics. There is no chance in hell that a ruling party at the centre will have 0% votes.

wonder233:
This prediction looks at how the top 4 contenders will fare across the country in the presidential elections. It doesn't make unrealistic assumptions, but based solely on the raw facts on the ground.
Look through it with an open mind and tell me what you think.


1. Southwest
Lagos
APC: 45%
LP: 40%
PDP: 15%


Ogun
APC: 55%
LP: 25%
PDP: 20%


Oyo
APC: 45%
LP: 25%
PDP: 30%


Osun
APC: 50%
PDP: 40%
LP: 10%


Ekiti
APC: 45%
LP: 25%
PDP: 30%

Ondo
APC: 45%
LP: 40%
PDP: 15%


2. Northwest

Kano
NNPP: 33%
PDP: 33%
APC: 33%
LP: 1%

Kaduna
APC: 40%
LP: 25%
PDP: 25%
NNPP: 10%


Katsina
PDP: 40%
APC: 45%
NNPP: 15%


Zamfara
PDP: 40%
APC: 60%


Jigawa
PDP: 35%
APC: 40%
NNPP: 25%

Kebbi
PDP: 45%
APC: 55%


Sokoto
PDP: 50%
APC: 50%


3. Northcentral

Niger
PDP: 45%
APC: 49%
NNPP: 4%
LP: 2%


Kwara
APC: 60%
PDP: 25%
LP: 15%

Kogi
APC: 60%
PDP: 30%
LP: 10%


Benue
LP: 45%
PDP: 35%
APC: 20%


Plateau
LP: 40%
APC: 20%
PDP: 40%


Nasarawa
LP: 15%
APC: 45%
PDP: 40%


4. Northeast

Adamawa
PDP: 45%
LP: 15%
APC: 40%


Bauchi
PDP: 50%
APC: 50%


Yobe
PDP: 40%
APC: 60%


Borno
APC: 60%
PDP: 40%


Gombe
PDP: 48%
APC: 52%


Taraba
PDP: 55%
LP: 10%
APC: 35%


5.Southeast

Anambra
LP: 95%
PDP: 5%

Imo
LP: 90%
PDP 5%
APC: 5%


Ebonyi
LP: 90%
APC: 5%
PDP: 5%

Abia
LP: 98%
PDP: 2%

Enugu
LP: 99%
PDP: 1%

6. Southsouth

Rivers
LP: 90%
PDP: 10%


Edo
LP: 98%
PDP: 2%


Delta
LP: 75%
PDP: 25%

Crossriver
LP: 80%
APC: 5%
Others: 15%

Bayelsa
LP: 80%
APC: 5%
PDP: 15%


Akwa ibom
LP: 80%
PDP: 20%


7. FCT
LP: 40%
PDP: 30%
APC: 30%

let me humour your prediction.
Who is going to win the run off? Or you think because obi wins 101% of votes in Se and Ss states, he will be declared president?

Ofunaofu:
The bolded is so true

I once accommodated a new colleague, that was in 2017, after a month or so he got an accommodation and moved out. Do you know that today when ever I go to the city for some stuffs, because I have since relocated, I spend the night at his place.

it doesnt always apply. People who are sensible enough like your colleague to know when to leave are usually appreciative.

The moment you identify a leech, trust me, no matter what you do, they will rarely reciprocate.

How did i come to the conclusion the op friend is a leech. She works even though her friend does not work, however she contributes next to nothing or even nothing financially nor physically to the house. People with such emotional intelligence must not be accomodated in hope of a future benefit from them.

Nsogbu Nsogbu politics

This is very close to my projection.

In my released state by state analysis on nairaland last week. I projected over 12 million for APC, 11million for PDP and over 6.5 million for labour party.

Zionmdde:
They can mobilize the entire rivers state, the truth is that tinubu won't see up to 10k votes in Rivers State. Nobody wants an old senile balablu in Rivers. He should just focus on that north that he has been asslicking to the extent of pushing other southern regions away

Wike PDP with 200,000 foot soldiers at polling booths is working for Tinubu. SDP , Magnus Abe with strong followership is working for Tinubu and APC Rivers that is stronger than it ever was is also working for Tinubu.. 10k votes is only an imagination that is far from reality. Wait till 2 weeks when the results will be out.

This is a clear cut intelligent discourse. I reckon many youths with attention deficit disorder , only headline reading, cruise chasing and lack of critical thinking will comment without listening to what he says.

The perpetual haters will hear what he says but cant listen. They can look but can not envision the best and optimal candidate in the top 3 candidates.

kenbee:
Envy and Bitterness coupled with deep rooted hatred can only increase your frustration. Get ready to welcome our incoming President, Obidient is a movement!

Less than 2 weeks. I dont abhor hatred. I pray you will have the fortitude to bear the loss.

It is not hard to identify a man with vision.

I will be wondering who to support if it was Soludo or Ngozi Okonjo Iweala contesting in place of Obi.

I refused to be deceived. I remember the impact Soludos 25 billion consolidation of banks had on stability of banks.

Polls of 1000- 3000 people with lots of undecided can not accurately reflect an outcome of an election that will involve over 30 million voters. 0.003% used as sampling size. It also fail to account for voting size of states , voters turnout and party structure. It will really mess up supposed winner supporters after election day.