Jarus's Posts
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My analysis: ASSUMPTION: INEC is an unbiased umpire, elections free and fair. FACTORS IN FAVOUR OF THIS TICKET 1, The North will overwhelmingly vote for their son. Plus their current, coordinated clamour to finish their term(which YRD spent halfway). If PDP fields GEJ, Ribadu will have at least 70% of the northern votes(incumbency factor), if not Jonathan but a non-northerner, at least 80%(incumbency factor will be minimal) 2, AC already has Lagos. Add Fashola factor to that. More landmark support. I see this ticket winning at least 90% of Lagos votes 3, Ribadu is a good-sell in the South-West. Even more appealing is Fashola. If PDP fields a non-Yoruba, this ticket will win at least 70% of SW votes. If PDP fields a Yoruba, which is very unlikely, then votes here may be shared 55-45, 55% for Ribadu-Fashola candidacy. 4, If PDP fields GEJ, Ribadu/Fashola ticket may not pull up to 30% in the East. If they don't field GEJ but a strong easterner, R-F may get a little higher vote, like 35%, but if PDP goes for a non-Easterner, they will shoot themselves in the leg and R-F ticket may pull up to 50% here too. PDP'S OPTIONS 1, Field GEJ, garner incumbency factor. This will give R-F ticket a run for their money. With the current political currents(dumping of Zoning, north feels they've been cheated), the North appears not ready to vote for GEJ. With this PDP may gather like 30% northern votes, 50% votes in the middle belt, 50% in the SW, like 95% in the Niger Delta, and like 70% in non-ND Eastern states. Coverted to absolute figures, they may edge out AC's R-F. 2, Not field GEJ but a northerner. This may break northern votes, depending on the candidate fielded, but the incumbency factor will not be strong enough for them. AC's R-F will overwhelmingly win SW, especially Lagos. East's votes will also be divided. It may end up as close call here too. |
I have known the medicinal value of honey for some time now; but extremely difficult to get original one especially in Lagos. I get original in the village anytime I travel home. |
spikedcylinder:See why it is good to grow up in ilu-oke ![]() I don't know the exact English word but I think romance is the nearest word ![]() |
Doctors in the house, please I need your advice asap: -I have been having pains in the lower abdomen, right side, sometime to the back, for about 4 months now. It's not so serious except on very few occasions, just mild discomfort but my concern is that it has persisted for over 4 months. Anytime I go to Dr I complain but they hardly take it seriously. The last time I went to see my Dr, he gave me neurovit forte forte and asked me to come back after three weeks. -Now my question is, what does Neurovit forte cure as the Dr did not tell me anything, just gave me that drug? -Also, what could lower, right abdominal discomfort symptomize? Balogun et al, pls advise. Thanks |
Se eyin mejeji ntage l'ori threadi mi ni? |
OMO IBO:I get one yankee returnee colleague wey dey do too o. . .na so so book cover everywia ![]() |
Intercontinental bank are a sham. Their books are cooked. Their balance sheet and P&L paints such a beautiful picture that they must be liars! No wonder they would stoop so low as to send threatening emails. Like bank, like employees.To think Ibime said this in March 2009, before the Sanusi Tsunami. |
GboyegaD:Will see how we can revive it again. |
I fully agree with the OP here. 90% of Chelsea fans I know joined the frenzy Mourinho brought to EPL. I know only one person that supported Chelsea pre-JM. Oh why Chelsea?! That's the first thing I ask when I see a refined person support Chelsea. Many Chelsea fans in Nigerians are people that asks questions like 'What is Yobo doing at the back?' Admittedly, I also started supporting Arsenal in 1999 when Kanu joined. And I know many Nigerians also have same reason for supporting Arsenal. |
seanet02:Looking back, I'm beginning to go with you. I have some scepticism about Tinubu though. I will not be surprised if he joins PDP. That said, I think you're right to a large extent, especially for the old-generation SW politicians taht are still around(i.e Bisi Akande and co). But these new generation boys move from one party to another, no ideology. Awolowo's brand of politics was ideology-driven, and so are many of his disciples that are still around. They prefer to remain in opposition as minority rather than p.ro.stitute with the ruling party just for power. I reason with you. |
seanet02:I all honesty, i think Naija politicians, irrespective of tribe, are the same thing. I will not be surprised if Bola Tinuba joins PDP. |
Can't recall exactly, but I know it's thru google. |
At least 10 of my topics have made the front page. |
GboyegaD:hey classmate, how's life? ![]() Hope BankPHB is treating u well, abi na u dey treat dem well? Hope u no dey part of the book 'cooks' sha . . anyway trust u ![]() |
Resume 8 am, leaves most time 9-10.30 pm, and very rarely 5-7 pm. |
Nigerian politicians. No ideology. |
Azu is a fine writer. But I doubt people will take him seriously again, after the Punch saga. |
Naija politics. No ideology. |
PurestBoy: Wetin Dad and Mum do you? In any case, don't you think it will be better to forgive? |
0hsisi:ROTFLMAO ![]() u no serious o ![]() |
Another good job by Mercenery Bisilawal. Where are your colleagues, suleyha and co?. https://www.nairaland.com/nigeria/topic-464911.0.html |
Hmmmnnnnn, oro. 1, Almighty Allah. Got no words to perfectly describe your favour on me. 2, My big brother, Keem, now CEO StanbicIBTC Stockbroking Ltd, for guiding me through, motivating and advising. Thruout all the stages of my education and till now. You made me read Economics, when a naive me had already completed 'Biz Admin' and 'Banking & Finance' in my JAMB form. You asked, subtly, not wanting to be like you were compelling me, why not Economics, it encompasses all these courses you chose? I could have regretted it today If I did not go for Econs. You are the standard in the family and always looking forward to being like you, even though our own generation are less talented and not as cool-headed. You are the most humble person I have ever come across. How I wish I am you humble and cool-headed. 3, Dad, for providing the finance 4, Mum, for the prayers 5, Michael Taiwo, childhood friend, for building can-do spirit in me. Same primary school, secondary school and university. Could have settled for less in secondary school, and in Varsity in particular. You believe in me more than myself. You encouraged me to strive for the School's Hall of Fame(Distinction Students) in our final year in secondary school, and surprisingly, even to myself, I made it, second only to you. You continued the motivation at the University. Getting to Ife a year earlier than me, you temporarily accomodated me on my first day on campus, gave me all the tips I needed to succeed on Ife campus,and declared me good to go, with constant checking. I did not disappoint you. We both graduated together five years later, with 1.1. All these despite you being a staunch Christian/pastor and me a 'conc' Muslim. 6, My bosses in places I have worked so far. My current boss is wonderful, so were my bosses in Vetiva. I have always been lucky to have good bosses everywhere I work. 7, My siblings, and extended family, for believing in me 8, My good friends, Busayo in particular, for staying by me all times. |
If many people on his facebook page tell him not to contest the 2011 election, will he oblige too? |
[quote author=mama-gee link=topic=474504.msg6342124#msg6342124 date=1278457349][color=deeppink]Nairaland's consistent maintenance again? ![]() I thought the problem was resolved few months ago when user's' replies were deleted.[/color][/quote]Isn't maintenance a routine thing |
Abajo. I tried opening NL first thing in the morning when I resumed today but na error message I dey see. It was until I passed by another colleague's desk later in the day and saw those NL lines/colours, that I knew the land is back. |
[quote author=Aloy+Emeka link=topic=474211.msg6339922#msg6339922 date=1278432002]Momodou is more viable than Utomi on the grounds of appeal because he can easily appeal to the North being a muslim.[/quote]Dele Momodu is not a Muslim. |
bisilawal:E ku ise o https://www.nairaland.com/nigeria/topic-464911.0.html |
Welcome to the land |
Usually one, but once in a while open two or three. |
MORNING: Too busy to eat AFTERNOON: Eba with okro with meat with ponmo |
None of the above. |
iyalaya ![]() |
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