seunmsg: Let’s say APC will lose 3m out of the 15m votes it got in 2019 due to poor performance, that still leaves the party with 12million votes. Let’s also assume 3million new voters will vote on Election Day and they will all vote against the ruling party. So, the combined opposition now has 11+3+3= 17million votes.
If majority of voters in SE and SS vote for Peter Obi, he should get about 7million votes. So, the remaining 10million votes will go to Atiku and Kwakwanso.
At the end of the day, it’s still a Tinubu victory. If the opposition can’t come together, there is absolutely no way APC can be defeated.
In all these you people's political "calculations", there is a critical constituency you guys keep forgeting(maybe it is intentional): the people that did not vote in 2015 and 2019 even tho they already had a PVC.
Those guys are in the majority. By far. Only about 30% voted in 2019 for example. What of the other 70% that did not vote? Why didnt they vote? Is the situation different enough currently ro make a lot of them change their mind to vote? Who will they vote?Which regions have the majority of these people? Etc etc.
I am of the firm opinion that except something very significant happens, next years elections will be very competitive and very unpredictable. The candidates and parties that will win has a lot of working to do. And that the CHARACTER and MESSAGE of the candidates may be crucial in this aspect.
helinues: I have been reading about people complaining of toxicity of Obi's supporters.
They mostly attack, insult, lies when engaging with others.
Even with their toxicity, they are very easy to handle if you can engage with them in this manner
1. Average of them are toxic ,bitter and not interested about others opinions, so you should have that at the back of your mind before engaging with them
2. Average of them are illiterates and the educated ones amongst them are half baked.
3. They can't exchange 4 intellectual conversations without derailing or throwing tantrum
4. They have little information about most of the topics they argue about, allow them to run their mouth and use their comments to ask them thought provoking questions.
5. For the fact that they can't handle intellectual questions, there response will mostly be derailig from the topic or insult you.
6. Repeat that same question and see them fade into the thing air
Their weakness should be the strength to engage with them, intellectual capacity
Bros, are you putting "intellectual capacity" and yourself in same sentence?
Cladez: I did my PVC registration today and it was quite a day. Thanks to Twitter,I found the address of the INEC office here in Owerri. I got to the office around 8:30am, the crowd i met was massive and that put a sense of discouragement in me but I shrugged it off. 80% of the population were youths and that was impressive and encouraging. Long story cut short I spent 8hrs and 15 minutes before it got to my turn with hunger,tiredness and frustration trying their best to discourage me but i stood my ground. I felt so relieved when my registration slip was handed over to me. I took two friends with me and that gave me a sense of fulfillment. PLEASE GET YOUR PVC, IT IS YOUR TICKET TO GOOD GOVERNANCE!!!!!
And you forgot something very important. The entire SS, SE, NC and SW voted massively for Jonathan in 2011 that's why he won.
By 2015, the SW alined with the NE, and NW and even though the SS, SE and NC voted Jonathan massively again, he lost.
Jonathan won 4 geopolitical zones in 2011 and Buhari won 2. By 2015 he and Buhari won 3 each but because the north had more registered voters he lost.
There are 6 geopolitical zones in Nigeria, for now Peter Obi is only controlling just one which is the SE and this happens to be the least populated zone. The SS is divided between him and Atiku so he would most likely not catch all the SS votes.
The NC would most likely rally to him because he's a Christian and they've been persecuted by bandits, fulanis...etc.
This leaves us with the SW, NE and NW. The SW would vote for Tinubu without question, although Peter Obi would catch a reasonable number of votes from Lagos, but would loose the remaining SW states.
The NE and NW, this would be the deciding factor cos they have the highest number of registered voters. Atiku, Kwankwaso and Tinubu would struggle for votes here.
The reality here is that if Peter Obi wants to win, he must make a deal with the SS, if he has the SE, SS and NC in his pocket, he has clearly won.
But I'm beginning to feel discouraged at his campaign strategy, the Osun election is just weeks away and he hasn't gone there to campaign for the LP candidate, he did the same thing during the Ekiti elections. We know that LP cannot win the Governorship election in Osun, but putting up a good fight would make Nigerians believe that they're ready for the presidential election next year. If he doesn't liase with other LP aspiring candidates, how does he expect to mobilize grassroot support next year?
This is what gives me worry...you can't be a one man mopol and expect to win an election.
Who won the NC in 2015?
Buhari or GEJ??
I will comment on the OP later.
I also believe and i have been saying it here that the upper North votes is not as crucial as people make it seem. There are 3 factors that favour them, two of which would likely not be operational in the next elections
princewarri1985: To say the truth i dont trust any Nigerian politician, but this peter obi name is really gathering momentum like a tsunami, everywhere i go to in warri here peter obi name is on every youth mouth, and i keep saying to mysellf that there must be something special about this man. then once again my mind is being taken back 7 years back when everybody was also clamoring for buhari who turned out to be the worst president Nigeria ever had, but come to think of it again if you put all the candidate we have now, peter obi is the most credible among all of them, and that is why am going to go get my voters card and vote for him next year, but God forbid that peter obi turned out to be another buhari again that means am done, and i will finally lost hope in Nigeria and i will never partake in any election in this country again. And lastly i will rather vote for a certified and well known arm robber like late anini rather than vote for tinubu, atiku is still managable even though he is still among the same old crop
funb01: One is busy telling us his plans for the country, others are waiting for the Election Day to doll out billions for the electorates.
And since money answereth all things in this part of the world, I trust my people they will vote for money.
Also, Since the money to be collected by each voter on Election Day is enough to sustain us for the next four years, we won't care. The next election year comes, and we do the same.
This is how we plan to achieve the country of our dreams.
Vistra40: When you want to address a people in a particular way, bear in mind that some are supporting Peter obi. Rather, be specific and say “Tinubu supporters”
ScamHunter: Afonja are already wailing when campaign never start. These Afonjas hate Nigeria, especially the South.
I wonder when Lagos became Yoruba land. Even the Aworis (Benin, whose prince founded Aworiland) is quiet only for Yoruba Muslims to be making noise.
Why do Afonjas hate anything good?
Well, Peter Obi for president Remember, if an Afonja says it's good, it's actually bad. If an Afonja says it's bad, it's actually good. So, if an Afonja said Buhari is the best thing after Ofada rice, you're seeing the result. Now they're saying Tinubu is the best thing after groundnut cake, you can guess the rest.
Vote Peter Obi for progress Vote Peter Obi for a secure country Vote Peter Obi to rescue the poor Vote Peter Obi to avoid waste of scarce resources
This guy is not a Peter Obi supporter.
He is likely a Tinubu supporter, told to drive the narrative that this election is about ethnicity.
It is not.
Like i said, most of my Yoruba friends(and i mean virtually all of them and i know a lot) are Obidients. Some of them are some of the most voracious sef.
Obi will win Lagos. Yorubas will vote for Obi in their numbers across the SW(even tho Tinubu may slightly win in the zone). That is how the SW has always voted.
For lagos, just listen to ANY phone-in programme of people saying who they will vote. If you can find any one where Peter Obi does not win, plzz let me know.
I am a norther and Peter Obi is hated in the north.
Those you see showing support for Peter Obi in the north are IGBOS living in the north.
Peter Obi is currently the most popular politician in parts of the Northcentral and North east( from the minority dominated area). I know this for a fact. And elections is still even 7 months away.
Most of the NW and NE will be reached with time. Why? Cos Obi has the MESSAGE and the CHARACTER. And most Nigerians, regardless of their region or religion, are TIRED.
Most of the Upper northerners are just afraid and they need their "fears" heard and attended to. I believe Obi is planning on doing that
GreyLaw: Tinubu is more wicked and more terrible than Buhari. Buhari's problem is that he is not good, but Tihubu is worse for intentionally bringing a bad product.
Tinubu is eternally wicked! He ruined Nigeria via Buhari and wants to be rewarded for it. What a man!
SteveDGreat: While in school I was doing business. I built the Savannah Bank Branch in Omoi while I was a student I built were I was staying in Nssukka. The present Sultan of Sokoto while he was an army captain , lived with me in Nssukka. When I left school, I went to the market to trade. If you see my passport, you will see Trader. All my life I have been a Trader. I became a banker by default. I went to the bank to get something done and Thu were wasting my time, so I lifted my voice . The bank Manager asked that my account be closed . So I promised I would buy the bank in 5 years . I started buying yearly shares in the bank and in 5 years I became the highest shareholder. ~~Peter Obi
Enyimbafc: With the introduction of new technologies by inec i.e the BVAS machine(biometric voters accreditation system)this electronic device will be use for electronic accreditation of voters before the can elect.This device shows the whole details of the voter,after finger printing before he or she can vote.This device eliminates double voting.Again if number of voters accredited for election is 100 and more than 100 voted,the results of that polling unit will be cancelled.This device also enables results from polling units to be transmitted electronically to the collation centers,were results are announced.This device captures and stores all the voters information from polling units to collation centers,thereby eliminating rigging completely.
We must insist that INEC completes this great step by ensuring that voter buying is reduced significantly.
One of doing this is to implement secret voting in voting polling centres across the country. Ensure that the actual voting booth is away from where people are gathered and that it is covered sufficiently so that nobody sees whp people vote.
This is even an INEC rule. We must now insist that it is followed strictly everywhere
Temptee101: Currently, Nigeria spends 96 percent of its income to service debt, which jumped to N41.6 trillion in the first quarter of 2022. In 2015, total national debt stock was N8.8 trillion. The IMF projects that by 2026, debt servicing would gulp 100 percent of federal income. This is just so sad!
I almost shed tears reading this.
Just imagine, 32.8 trillion had been borrowed since 2015 and yet absolutely nothing to show
My God!
Bros, just to expantiate on this this terrible situation:
98% (i.e virtually all monies budgeted in Nigeria, about 3trillion) is used to service the debts we already have. THAT IS ALL THE MONEY WE BUDGET AT THE FEDERAL LEVEL IS USED TO SERVICE OUR ALREADY HELD DEBTS.
And these debts are not been repaid o. Services just means paying interests and other charges on the debts. That means the debts are still there and piling.
They are piling cos the money that is to used to run the country either recurrent budget(paying of salaries, running MDAs, etc) and Capital budget(building roads, rails, power etc) are further borrowed.
Meaning the suceeding year, more money are used to service these piling debts and more money further borrowed to do basic things.
And so on and so forth.
We are in unbelievably terrible condition in this country!!!
Vulturereloaded: And Tinubu made him president, supported him twice And wants to be rewarded by Nigerians for bringing buhari.
This is the main reason why i cannot vote for Tinubu. NEVER!!
Not only did Tinubu know the disaster Buhari was before 2015(remember he told US diplomats how bad Buhari was in tbe secret wikileaks documents) but that he knew/knows how horrendously terrible Buhari have actually been in the last 7 years or so, yet he still supports him cos of the agreement between him and Buhari on sharing tbe Presidency.
Tinubu would watch Nigeria destroyed so that he can fulfil a "life time ambition"(his own words) to be President of same Nigeria.
kenedy175: From the interview, you'll clearly see the division ethnoreligious sentiments have caused.
Those saying Obi had more votes than Atiku shouldn't be deceived. Did you really look at those they said they'll vote for Atiku and those that said they'll vote for Obi to see the difference? Most of the people voting for Atiku in the video are clearly Muslim northerners. Those that said they'll vote for Obi are either southerners or Christian northerners. This has always been the issue.
The way we vote in this country isn't helping at all. Everybody wants to vote for their own irrespective of how incompetent he or she is. A typical example is Buhari. They wanted Buhari, Buhari has come and showed us all shege.
This video is very deceitful. Like someone stated, this was done in the urban area of Adamawa, probably Yola. Let them do same video in Demsa, Madagali, Mubi, Gombi and see how the tides will change.
KingofAnambra: My neighbor who is an astute businessman, seasoned industrialist and billionaire investor has finally dumped his support for Peter Obi.
I couldn't believe it because this guy was so obssessed when it comes to promoting Peter Obi, his own worse pass zombie, so at first i thought it was a prank.
But surprisingly, he wasn't joking about it and he has now even gotten the Tinubu cap with infinity insignia on it, and wears it around, lol, igbo man with our passionate behavior.
Out of curiosity, i asked him why? Because this man i know him very well, he doesn't send anybody when it comes to sticking to his convictions, so i said, What made you change your mind to dump Obi and support Tinubu?
Here's what he told me,
Achoputara m na mgbe Peter Obi na-etinye ego na Hero biya, Tinubu zutara nnukwu oke na Apple na Manchester United. Tinubu bu onye ochunta ego ka mma nke ga-ejikwa aku na uba Nigeria nke oma.
For those who don't understand Igbo, what my friend said is that he just got to know of recent that Tinubu invested in Apple and Manchester United but Obi invested in Hero beer. So he can now see that Tinubu is a better business man than Obi and he will manage Nigeria's economy very well.
My people, another zombie has seen the light. What a happy Sunday. By the time campaign season kicks off, i'm 100% positive that 90% of Peter Obi social media bandits will be out of job, lonely and depressed, because nobody will be there to listen to their unending lies again, almost everyone has followed Tinubu #Cityboy 2023
What do you think?
And i will keep asking: where does Tinubu keep seeing and recruiting these dumb people as supporters.
I thought you guys said that Tinubu knows how to spot "talents"?
mirrakk: The issue with this pool you conducted is that most of not all these people interviewed are learned or semi-educated. The real voters are mostly poor uneducated women and young girls who make up majority of the voters in the north. What they need is few cups of rice and maybe a tin of custard and beverages and more likely 2k or at most 5k to vote who they are told to vote. They don't even know how to vote. They just obey iinstruction to vote where there is a broom or where there is an umbrella.
The problem with our electoral system is largely illiteracy
Nope... a major subset of voters now are the young people everywhere. Which demographic do you think are rushing to go get PVCs.
Young people have always been by far the largest demography in Nigeria. They jusy didnt vote previously cos most didnt care. But now, those that dont have PVCS are rushing to get. Those that have and have never voted are ready to vote, some of them for the 1st time in their lives. They are the people with the enthusiasm NOW. They are they persons who have completely taken over the media space, esp the social media. They are the people freely donating their monies and printing banners for their choice. They are the ones changing the minds of their parents, grand parenst, uncles, aunties, and friends offline. They have even started going to their villages to "preach" the political gospel there.
When you have real politicians openly coming out to say that the political scene has changed (or changing), what do you think they are talking about?
Moreover, didnt you guys say that the Obidient noise was only on social media(online) before? Didnt you guys say that nobody knew Peter Obi offline? Didnt you people say that northerners didnt know and wouldnt vote for Obi in the real world? Now, it is now that those in rural areas dont know him?
Politics › Re: Tinubu,kwankwaso,atiku,buhari All Lead Jonathan With 3million Votes In 2015 by nameo: 10:44am On Jul 09, 2022
