PaChukwudi44:
Kebbi state is already gone to the PDP even before elections begins.Massive defections are currently ongoing.The APC might end up a SW regional party after the 2023 elections

Not might. APC will most likely end up a SW party with limited reach in the north should they lose in 2023.
CPC branch already did their part and gave tinubu the ticket just as agreed on.
What my Yoruba people don’t understand is that the ticket is not presidency.
Post 2023 PDP and NNPP will dominate the north, APC will be limited to SW and I predict a regional party will arise in the SE and SS (maybe APGA if Peter Obi goes back)

Peacecore:
How u people rush into conclusion is laughable. Don't u know that politics is a game of interest. The northern leaders in APC has nothing to gain from Atiku, so they'll do everything possible to sabotage him. Mind u some of them are eyeing presidency in the nearest future. Which one will bring their hope in lesser period of time? After 16yrs or 8yrs?. Some are also eyeing some major post in the national assembly. If Atiku becomes president, then their goals are dashed already. Even the masses in the northern know that it's conversational to vote for a southerner for president after their own completes theirs. Or do think that they're happy with all these agitations going on in the south, knowing full well that this can upsurge it. Have u taught about the middle belt who detest core northern 's brutality, dominance and burn-to-rule mentality?








The whole thing is that Tinubu has better chance than Atiku. Kwankwaso will act the major spoiler in the north, Obi in the SE(my zone) and SS some part of SW like Lagos, and some some chunks of it in the NC. Tinubu will hold grip of SW n partially NE and NC.

That’s not how the north works politically lolz.
Northerners vote for their own irrespective of party, while southerners dey do party politics.
Cpc / buhari faction of APC just needed ACN to get into power. Now that they have gotten the power, expect many northerners to return to PDP while the rest go to NNPP. Just watch, dem go shock u

macjireh:


D answer to d bolded is already explained in my write up....wen everyone is frustrated enough,,there will be a power shift to d next available candidate dat is "strong"....even a goat will be strong enough to win if a well frustrated people see him as a better option

Both of us are right. Yes people were frustrated with PDP and Jonathan. However, structure also played a key role as buhari was finally able to gain votes outside of the north via ACN merger with CPC…

it is true that people are generally frustrated with the two main parties. However, it is also true that in order to capitalize on that frustration, Obi and co need a structure that is nationwide. Social media support will not be enough. People wey no get media dey vote pass those wey get media

Obi should go back to APGA with other Igbo 3rd force politicians like moghalu and others and build the party up in the southeast, just like tinubu did in the SW. from there, you venture into other parts of the country and begin to establish yourself there via other politicians.

If Obi and APGA can do that I assure you there will be a genuine 3rd force in this country, just as things ought to be

macjireh:

How did Endsars protest hold without a leader and without a structure.... Elections are not about structure,,it's about d people venting out their frustrations against one candidate and favouring another... Buhari won 2015 bkos Nigeriana were already very frustrated with PDP and wanted anybody else available

Why didn’t Buhari win all the other years he contested….

It wasn’t until the merger of other parties that he won election.. same way tinubu was able to expand his base out of SW…

Obi and other Igbo politicians should do the same. Politics in Nigeria are based on tribe, inasmuch as we want to deny.

PDP claims to be a national party but it’s strongest base has been in north.. APC claims to be national party but it’s strongest base in the west. Where is the equivalent for the east/ igbos?

Look at the first and second republic and you will see the same pattern

NPC - North
AG- West
NCNC - East

Obi and other igbo politicians must do the same

Obi is a good candidate… unfortunately I can’t see him winning due to lack to party structure.

The following advice I would give is based on the assumption that atiku/ PDP go win….

Obi needs to go back to APGA along with other Igbo 3rd force politicians and begin to build that party up. Then form alliance with the south south, go to southwest and then make inroads to the north via NNPP and some NC and NE states.

Assuming atiku wins, the next time for a southern presidency is 2031. PDP go present SS candidate while APC go present SW candidate most likely… just my two cents tho….

Why do these people refuse to acknowledge that the era of oil and gas is done? We need to focus on improving infrastructure, manufacturing, technology and smart agriculture.

We should go back to first republic style of government..... 6 regions(NE,NW,NC,SW,SE,Midwest/edo + Delta) with the current states becoming provinces. We have way too many LGAs that are nothing but money wasters at this point. With 54 provinces(36 current states + 18 more from 2014 confab report), we can proper decentralize things like policing and town planning to this level

lol... Tinubu come and collect ooooooo

this is why private sector led growth is important... government has no business creating these jobs it clearly cannot sustain. What they should do is create an enabling environment and watch companies flock, or even homegrown companies expand their businesses

Bagehot:


Lagos should be competing with Mumbai, not London, NYC or Tokyo. You are comparing Nigerian cities to cities in the richest countries on earth - doesn't tally.

Okay. But we all want to aim for the sky. I truly believe that with the right leadership Lagos can be competing with those cities I mentioned. Although, Mumbai is also a city Lagos can look up to as well

adioolayi:



I think I will support more of going back to the regional system of governance. Either ways...This current system is not yielding any meaningful results. Nigeria as a Federation seems to be too big to handle by just the centre power. There is need for devolution of power. The early we start this reformation or restructuring, the better.
God bless Nigeria

True. Either one will work really, but I think given the diversity of the country, its best we use states.

Bialegend:

"Should be" ? Mad people everywhere!!

Explain yourself bros...

adioolayi:
We are in big mess!!!

The truth is, subsidy is not sustainable anymore....The governors are clueless, no alternative source of money, except what they get from federation account, which largely depends of oil sales.


If FG continue to subsidize fuel, it means , no money in federation account to be shared with governors...and ultimately, NO SALARIES to State wprkforce.!!!

Big Wahala dey....If they now take the courage to remove subsidy, yes, there will be money to share in federation account and they will be able to pay salaries.....

Now the big one....If subsidy is removed, prices of petrol will skyrocket and other prices of common commodities , including transportation costs will INCREASE!!!

The workers salaries will remain the same, non government workers will have to pay through their nose with fixed income...Poverty level go increase...as a matter of fact, everything go scatter!!!


What is the solution Sincerely...I don't know!!!

The solution is a drastic cut in governance... i suggest switching to parliamentary system as it is cheaper and will help manage our diversity. Full blown resource control is now a necessity, no more giving money to the center. Some states will likely have to merge, as they can no longer afford to run again. Land use act must be reformed or repealed totally. And lastly, the exclusive list needs to be replaced with one that gives states more power

Lagos should be competing with the likes of NYC, London, and Tokyo. Alot is needed to be done in order to get to that level. Lagos is currently not even close to that. Save for a few areas, the city is mostly filled with overpacked slums. A proper city council should be set up to help the city get to the level it is capable of getting to

richiemcgold:
this report is quite revealing. Imagine boko haram sending kids and teenagers abroad to acquire training not only as militants but as doctors, civil engineers, ict professionals etc. This is an eye opener to those wrong notions in some quarters that boko haram are mostly illiterates.

btw, AFP is a credible source, so i believe in the authenticity of this report.

something that the nigerian state deliberately refused to give these kids

JohnBullMySon:
Lol. They're still around.

For those who don't know. Nigeria's offshore fields are larger, more secure, more unregulated. More profitable. That's where shell is moving. Agbami alone dey burst brain

the ND states deserve at least a 25% derivation from those offshore fields and full control of the onshore fields... the damage shell has done there will take decades to repair

About time.... time to chart a new course for this country

and you want to tell me these guys arent sponsored.... when the north is ready this menace will be properly dealt with

Billyonaire666:
More Nigerians need to set up shops in West African Countries. If they fight you, fight them back. If they kill you, kill them back. No more cowardice.

No. We need to build up our country to a point where we cant be disrespected anyhow. Can they try such with China? no

tommy589:


If china was ruled by a single dynasty for a thousand year, it did not stop rebellions or other dynasties from emerging. It was a strife torn nation until their last civil war that brought their form of democracy
Somali and Libya are homogeneous,did it stop them from civil wars? I totally agree with you that we can do better under parliamentary system but we must do an house sweeping of 10-15 years before proceeding to a new political system. Minus the jail terms and firing squad, Rawlings is a good example

Lol true. But you can still have that benevolent dictator under a parliamentary system. Lee Kwan Yew of Singapore comes to mind. In fact, I think African leaders would appreciate the fact that term limits arent really a thing with parliamentary systems. Germany's Merkel has been there for how long, no complaints

tommy589:


Parliamentary system was getting out of control that was the allegation that led to the first coup. Corruption,killings and incarcerations of political opponents were rife. Political crimes of that time is now a child's play compared to what we have now.

Nigeria was established as a secular state, bearing in mind the ethnic and religious diversity. Now,we found ourselves as member of OIC and practice Sharia in some states. If we revert back to parliamentary system,is it possible to withdraw from OIC and also vote out Sharia and go back to penal code?

Russia,China,Indonesia,Turkey,Malaysia etc are multi ethnic nations,they are growing because of the local political system developed that suits their society,not copied

Let me remind you,all the developed western nations of today,except USA did not start with parliamentary system or democracy. Even when they started,the bulk of the power was in the palace,and in time power gradually shifts to the people.

I am not advocating for a benevolent dictator because I think it's the best. But we need someone in power for 10-15 years, that won't be partisan and will lead by examples. A strong man that will crush favouritism and other issues that undermine the growth of this country before true democracy can thrive.

Fair point but the nations you mentioned are fairly homogenous. China, for instance, was ruled under a single dynasty for thousands of years. Nigeria, on the other hand, is a nation of nations, each with their own style of doing things. We are more similar to India than China. You cant expect to force the style of a Hausa man on a Yoruba/Igbo man and expect peace to reign. That is why I said we need a system that can bring good governance while balancing our diversity. Parliamentary systems do that best in my opinion

tommy589:


When I talk of strong man I meant Ataturk, Nasser etc. Buhari is a weak man, he hides is weakness by not talking.

We should have an home grown democracy not western adopted. I did not recommend benevolent dictatorship because I like it,but those developed nations that started same time with us created a version of democracy that keeps a party or leader at helms of affairs for over 20-30 years. Check India,malaysia,singapore,rwanda etc

This sit tight leadership did not become obvious because those countries were experiencing growth.
When 7 points agenda becomes 1 point agenda within 2 years. No country develops when country policy get changed with change of leadership.

I think we've had enough experience with strongmen to know that a "benevolent dictator" wont happen in Africa, especially Nigeria. Last time someone had that in mind, it led to a civil war and 33 years of military rule. What we need is a system that prevents strongmen from rising while managing our ethnoreligious diversity. Parliamentary systems are far more equipped for this task in my opinion, especially a parliamentary system with proportional representation as is seen in Europe. In fact, the African countries with the highest HDI use variants of parliamentary systems. Coincidence? I think not

something that should have been done since.....

tommy589:



Nigeria is beyond redemption and any coup d'etat would break the thin thread holding the union together

Osinbajo is compromised,same with all the political office holders. All of them are in great rush to steal from a dying country. Have you not been hearing that CBN now prints naira without commensurate back up to pay local debtors?

I don't know how it is going to be achievable, but what we need is a benevolent dictator. Someone to be in total control for 10-15 years.
A leader that is not going to be partisan,A strong man with the milk of human kindness in him.

What is needed is a switch to parliamentary system. Why would anyone be asking for a dictator after seeing how woefully a supposed "strongman" like buhari has failed. This is the problem is presidentialism as a whole. If it even has its flaws in America, how do you expect it to work in a country as diverse as Nigeria. Switch to parliamentary system with proportional representation

Some states will need to merge.... I recommend a switch from presidential system to parliamentary system with proportional representation to save costs. Implement the findings of the oronsaye report as well.

Authoreety:
Buhari should just resign as soon as possible...

I wonder wats wrong with the former presidents... Why are they not speaking out abt his incompetency...?

This is why a restructured nigeria/ any countries that emerge from a disintegrated nigeria must not make the mistake of choosing a presidential system. Parliamentary system would have enabled a motion of no confidence to be raised against Buhari and remove him

Blessedassuranc:


That woman is just being stupid and heartless...

Very unfortunate, its when she loses her office her senses will come back

makemoneywbsite:
Wahala... So they're telling us that the country no longer has the capacity to protect itself? That it can no longer fulfill its obligation as a sovereign? No wonder. The ones I pity are those servicemen that wear uniforms. If this government is smart, they should convene a national conference to immediately devolve powers. It's already late for many regions. Those I pity are the North, MB and SW. E get why.

There was a conference already... infact there have been multiple. Just lack of political will to do the needful we are all suffering from now

water don pass garri be that...

Ahmeduana:

But is she not a politician?

This is exactly why I am against politics and religion mixing together. Let the affairs of God stay with God, and the affairs of man with man

This can be solved by decentralizing the ports... every southerner who means well should be agitating for the warri and PH ports to be functional. It would be a win win for everyone. Lagos would be decongested, which would allow officials to work on repairing/improving infrastructure. Furthermore, the midwest and southeast would receive significant economic activity

djon78:



Hmm I throw way salute
You are a very deep thinker!!!!

Respect!!!

Thanks. It should be pretty obvious to anyone who pays attention to Europe tho. Migration was a big part of Brexit, and is playing a big role in the upcoming French elections. If our leaders were more smart, we could use those fears to favor us