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If it was Udom or Akpabio, they will be cheering them though. |
qwertyboss:Always reasoning like barbaric people. So because you have theological differences as to how you understand Islam, the people you disagree with deserve to die. |
By CLIFFORD D. MAYhttp://www.nytimes.com/1984/01/19/world/cabinet-in-nigeria-installed-with-a-warning.html |
Earthbound:This culture of flogging and inflicting all sorts of violence on children in Africa has failed to produce less violent societies. It's more likely that flogging inculcates at an early stage the might is right mindset - this partially explains violence at every level of society (domestic, communal, e.t.c). Past a certain age and level, physical punishment of kids is largely a waste of time. |
emerged01:FDI inflows was definitely not $12bn in 2017. You are probably including portfolio inflows. Net FDI inflows in 2017 was $3.5bn, $4.4bn in 2016, $3.1bn in 2015 and $4.6bn in 2014. This is according to UNCTAD. So Peter Obi's figures are way wrong. Mind you, we used to have up to $8bn during the GEJ and Yar'Adua years so we have fallen off significantly. This is frustrating given that we should aiming for much higher FDI levels and not regressing. [url]https://www.google.com/amp/knoema.com/atlas/Nigeria/topics/Economy/Balance-of-Payments-Capital-and-financial-account/Net-FDI-inflows%3fmode=amp[/url] |
contigiency:The claim is derived from statements made in June 2013 and it has not been denied by Buhari. Though there have been attempts to clarify it by claiming he was directing his criticism against the state of emergency: Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) National Leader, Maj. Gen. Muhammadu Buhari, has criticised the declaration of state of emergency in Adamawa, Borno and Yobe States and the subsequent military offensive against the Boko Haram Islamic sect.http://www.afripol.org/afripol/item/1205-buhari-military-offensive-against-boko-haram-anti-north.html |
NNPC's privatization is long overdue notwithstanding people's concerns about what this will entail in practice under a corrupt man like Atiku. To me, the concerns embody a somewhat false choice - that a sale of NNPC will enable the corrupt take over NNPC. It's false because NNPC is already a cash cow for the corrupt. If a president Atiku wants to embezzle from NNPC, he could more easily do so leaving it as it is. Privatization doesn't significantly change the status quo in terms of corruption. It could enable the government generate a one-off cash influx from the sale which will enable us pay down debt as well as ushering in a more efficient and competitive private-sector led petroleum industry. |
Saying there is no footballer like Okocha is not the same as saying he is better than Messi and Ronaldo. There is no one like Marouane Fellaini but that doesn't mean he is the best footballer. |
xtravanganza:So it's Atiku who is going to tackle corruption? The Nigerian political class is corrupt, whoever is in power. Ejecting GEJ from office did little or nothing re the fight against corruption, neither would removing Buhari. I think we are too far gone down the corruption route. The best we can hope for is incremental change on the anti-corruption front whilst electing economically literate and competent politicians. You still have to wonder at the cold-hearted mindset of people who steal from IDPs. |
What this reminds me of is the Abacha era. Every rebuke by a western organisation was spun by pro-government propagandists as an indication of the sterling efforts Gen Abacha was making to wean us from the iniquitous corrupt west. Anyone who remembers newspapers like New Nigerian will appreciate the similarities. |
These figures are presented with no context to convey the impression that all is well. Here is an article on 2013 and 2014 figures when the exchange rate was N155 to $1: FIRS generates N4.69tn revenue in 2014[url]http://businessnews.com.ng/2015/01/31/firs-generates-n4-69tn-revenue-2014/ [/url] So N4.8 trillion in 2013 and N4.69 trillion in 2014 at exchange rates of N155 to $1. Remember that an exchange rate of N305 to $1 will inflate the nominal naira value given that a huge chunk of the tax revenue includes petroleum profit tax. $1bn in 2013 petroleum profits equates to N155bn but becomes N305bn in 2018 more than offsetting much of the fall in oil prices. Edit: I appreciate thread refers to revenue over 10 calendar months but the exchange rate differential still contextualises the figures. |
Here is a simple experiment: Type into Google the name of any major international bank followed by the words 'money laundering'. Whether it's Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, Barclays, e.t.c; all have a news link relating to a money laundering scandal. Are we then going to say that all major international banks should not operate in Nigeria as Nigeria is too honest a country for such banks to function? HSBC and UBS operate in numerous well functioning countries, yet Buharists want us to believe that we are too honest for them. The problem with the pro-Buhari crowd is that their attempts to portray a failed government as competent keeps running up against the obstacles posed by reality. Unable to use their usual tactic of denouncing critics as IPOB or PDP, they have resorted to scouring the internet looking for negative news stories about HSBC and UBS. Desperate stuff. |
lebete3000:There is no xenophobia, there is a large contingent of children of Nigerian descent getting sucked into the London gang culture. Sometimes, innocent teenagers are killed but most of these people are teen gangsters. |
You people and your low-intellect arguments. HSBC and UBS operate in every developed country and newly industrialising country. Whether it's Japan, South Korea, Indonesia, Brazil, e.t.c. Do you seriously think that Nigeria is so honest and uncorrupted that these banks can't function here? You guys seriously think HSBC and UBS need to set up physical infrastructure in Nigeria to help loot money from Nigeria? They can easily do this electronically. What you are seeing is an erosion of investor confidence in Nigeria and the exit of these banks exemplifies this. Don't try and portray bad news as a victory for Nigeria. If you want to address looting in Nigeria in relation to forex flows, you need to ask yourself why the government maintains multiple exchange rates. A highly connected person can get $1m with N305m at the official rate and sell it at N360m at the market rate. Theft is occurring right in front of us and you guys are rejoicing at news that international investors are leaving Nigeria. |
Nigeria is doomed given the quality of the arguments here and it reminds me of the movie, Idiocracy https://m.imdb.com/title/tt0387808/ It's also an illustration of the point that a little bit of knowledge is a dangerous thing. With any longstanding major international company, particularly banks, a cursory search on Google will provide news articles linking them to one legal/financial penalty or the other. It will be utterly crass to then argue that one must rejoice anytime a major international company flees Nigeria as this represents victory for the government's purported anti-corruption fight. Are we seriously saying that Nigeria is too clean and honest for HSBC and UBS to operate by comparison to the UK, China, Singapore, Japan, Germany, e.t.c where these banks are operating? Imagine the brazenness of the idiocy and ignorance it takes to advance these views. |
Bold claim to make for a Nigerian university. The combined Nigerian intellectual talent at elite universities in the west - Harvard, Yale, MIT, Oxford, Cambridge, e.t.c - have yet to produce a Nobel laureate (apart from the Soyinka aberration). |
abes:The government will pay the external debt in dollars at $22bn and local debt in naira at N16 trillion. The N12 trillion of June 2015 is N22 trillion in June 2018. Considering that the government's non-oil tax revenue is in Naira, it has put itself in a difficult position. |
CilicMarin:It will be like the government of Zimbabwe or Venezuela claiming they haven't borrowed much because the dollar value of their debt has shrunk as their currency's exchange rate collapses. The Naira's exchange rate used to N1 to $1. If the Nigerian government borrowed N1bn in our local bond market at that exchange rate the dollar value would be $1bn. When the Naira falls to N305 to $1, it means the dollar value of the debt falls to circa $3m. This would be nothing to brag about though. If they prefer to use the dollar value, why borrow more in dollars (foreign loans have more than doubled in the last 3 years) and why do they have an official exchange rate N305 which is much higher than the market exchange rate of N360? |
Public sector wages are a huge strain on government, with many state governments struggling to pay the present N18k minimum wage. Nigeria cannot afford a public sector wage rise. Government exists to maximize welfare for all Nigerians not just those who work for the government. The higher the public sector wages, the more borrowing this government has to do leaving nothing for the rest of the population. The government reportedly spends 70 percent of its revenue just servicing debts at a time oil prices have rallied from the lows of 2015/2016. In 2017, Nigeria’s debt service to revenue ratio ballooned to a record high of 69 percent that implies that for every naira earned, the country spends 69 kobo servicing debt, leaving just 31 kobo to spend on infrastructure or educate its rising population. The new US$2.8 billion borrowing, which is expected to come at a higher yield than previous borrowings, will put further pressure on the already high debt service to revenue ratio.https://www.herald.co.zw/nigeria-fiscal-situation-signalling-a-debt-crisis/ For those who say corruption levels justify wage increases, this is a flawed argument. Corruption doesn't mean we should engage in fiscal recklessness. Perhaps, the trade unions should join the fight against corruption by taking industrial action to force the resignation of corrupt officials. You don't fight corruption by asking corrupt politicians to give you your share - which Yar'Adua and GEJ did by increasing minimum wage from N5k to 18k. You fight it directly by making it and practitioners of corruption the focal point of industrial action. |
Mangreat034:The VP is being disingenuous by using the dollar to report our debt. Most of the government's borrowing has been in Naira, so as the Naira lost value, it makes the debt value in dollar appear smaller. A debt of N155bn in 2014 equates to $1bn then and around $500m today (using the official exchange rate). So even if you double the debt by borrowing another N155bn making it N310bn, the dollar value of the debt is still circa $1bn at the official exchange rate, even lower if you use the market exchange rate. |
onyidon21:Is there any internet source for this information? |
Is it just me, there is nothing in the link that gives a breakdown of the universities the first class holders graduated from? |
gbolah1:A likely scenario: In 2023 when it's time for the North to reciprocate and hand over power to a Yoruba, the North will line up support for a Northern presidential candidate who will pair with an Igbo VP. 2019 is more a test run for 2023, I think people should start getting used to perpetual Northern rule which was effectively the default position from 1960 to 1999 (save the aberrations of the untimely deaths of Balewa and Murtala Mohammed). I think the energy you exert on behalf of your tribal political campaigns could be better channelled towards promoting good governance. The sprinkling of infrastructure projects/political appointments that may come your tribe's way is no compensation for the immisering poverty a bad government unleashes. Ask the North or the indigenes of Abuja who have been the 'beneficiaries' of FG largesse. The fertility rate of the average Nigerian woman is +5 kids; no amount of tribal politicking will remotely offset the sheer scale of the demands on government. |
OlaAshawo:Ironically, not giving bloc votes speaks highly of South West. It shows they don't exhibit herd mentality, notwithstanding the impression Buharists may seek to convey. |
I suppose the 'boys' sleeping with her are beyond moral reproach. |
joeyswift:Governments at all levels - local, state and Federal- are struggling to pay N18k minimum wage and you want that doubled. This is a waste of time as the days when the FG could accommodate such demands are long gone. |
theoldpretender:You are being disingenuous if you claim that Buhari saved money. If by savings you mean the increase in forex reserves, this is inexcusably naive. At significantly depreciated exchange rates, of course you can accumulate higher forex reserves due to increased constraints in Nigerians affording imports. It's like cutting the feeding of your children and proclaiming that you have saved money as a result as their malnourishment increases. So, comparing forex reserves at different Naira exchange rates is misleading: it is why Abacha oversaw an increase in reserves of nearly 1300% at one point as the value of the Naira imploded and poverty rates skyrocketed. The original point made in the first page still stands: the rise in oil prices exposes the lies popular in the GEJ era suggesting that there was this vast pool of oil revenues being pilfered at the time (remember Sanusi's missing $20bn) and which, once Buhari is elected, would become available for welfare policies. There was never any such money. This is not to absolve GEJ of responsibilities. As with every Nigerian president, he was venal and incompetent. The biggest policy error in his time was the increase in public sector wages - it is this that constituted the biggest expenditure in government budgets undermining the government's ability to balance the budget. This became more acute as oil prices collapsed. |
Mizwisdom:That is because of good data collection. How many women/girls in Africa will feel confident to report to the police? |
LordAdam:The hilarious thing is that defenders of Ms Adeosun forget that she was Commissioner of Finance for Ogun state from 2011 to 2015, a time of high oil prices and the consequent high FAAC allocations, and finished her tenure with Ogun state requiring a FG bailout package and owing workers' salaries. This is a state that had the good fortune of being next to the economic capital of Nigeria. She went on an unsustainable borrowing spree in Ogun state which backfired. There is a lot of talk of her increasing IGR, but an increase in income matched by an excessive increase in expenditure (particularly debt obligations) is incompetence writ large. |
Emmy35:A perpetrator of forgery is not a victim but a criminal. What is appalling is this criminal culture enveloping Nigerians, where illegal behaviour is excused because our system is difficult. |
dingbang:If you look at all levels of government - federal, state and local; incompetence and corruption are common themes. Same goes if you look historically at the leaders we have had. This should tell you that Nigerians are the problem. Our leaders are a reflection of us. One thing about unintelligent people is that they learn the hard way. We will make progress over the long run, but not until we have committed many grave avoidable errors in the first place. |
The cognitive dissonance is hilarious. Witness Buhari supporters arguing in effect that the Buhari government - particularly the responsible ministers in Fashola and Amaechi - don't possess the competence and integrity to be entrusted with loans hence the Chinese model of lending (where no money is actually given to the borrower) is optimal. On the other hand, you have GEJ supporters who praised this type of borrowing from China during the GEJ era claiming that such borrowing is a mark of ineptitude. My view is that Nigeria's debt sustainability profile is precarious and does not support taking up such loans. This is pertinent given the absence of structural reforms that will keep the economy growing now and in the future. Our saving grace is the mini revival in oil prices we have had in the last year or two which has given us a bit more fiscal wriggle room. Another drop in oil prices, and we will be tipped into a more severe crisis than what we recently experienced. |
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