4Play's Posts
Nairaland Forum › 4Play's Profile › 4Play's Posts
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ... 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 (of 278 pages)
ajepako:Like IPOB and Niger-Delta militants who existed when their kin were in power but whose potency increased when their kin lost power. Boko Haram's existence is unconnected to Nigeria's party and ethnic politics, but its potency is increased if there is an increasing sense of power slipping from a Northern muslim to a Southern infidel. Like GEJ, an Osibanjo presidency may lead to less militancy in the Niger-Delta and more Boko Haram attacks. My thinking is that if you are inclined to be attracted to the idea of instituting an Islamic caliphate: your inclination will be reinforced if the leadership of your country is held by an infidel. There is no conspiracy per se by Northern power brokers to leverage Boko Haram, think of it as a mood affiliation mechanism. Feelings of animosity are aroused or sated depending on the ethno-religious background of the country's leadership. This is why many Igbos suddenly increasingly realised that Nigeria was an unworkable project, and started cleaving to Kanu's IPOB, when GEJ got booted out of power. In the same vein, absent a visible Muslim leader and given Nigeria's deepening economic problems, many in the North will be attracted to the idea that Nigeria needs an Islamist reawakening. |
cjrane:It wasn't a kidnap but a hit and run attack by Boko Haram. This was the interpretation I saw in the UK's Daily Telegraph who in turn were citing the Associated Press. Apart from the security issues, why is Nigeria spending government money looking for oil in the North? This incident highlights the folly of policies driven by sectional/regional motives. Lives are being risked and wasted in a foolhardy mission to find oil in the North. |
YelloweWest:The problem isn't solely Adeosun: Buhari's statist inclinations are a major stumbling block to reforming the economy. Add to that Emefiele's craven acceptance to work within a fixed exchange regime to please Buhari. I agree that Adeosun is intellectually unsound - see her economically illiterate notion that the economy needs a stimulus in the midst of stagflation. But even a competent person cannot work effectively for an inept person. NOI was also tarnished by association with GEJ's government determination to loot and its earlier decision to award bumper pay rises to public sector workers. |
False news that exploits Nigerians gullibility. Google same index for 2014: we were 136th out of 174 states (so not in the bottom 10). |
wristbangle:People will lose investment incentives if everytime Nigerians go to market, the price of goods keep rising fast. Nigeria had a problem of too much Naira chasing dollars, releasing more Naira into the system by lowering rates will increase the loss of the Naira's value and the rate of inflation. The reduced rates will not filter into the economy in the form of increased investment. It will mainly increase the amount of Naira available to buy dollars. |
voiceoftheupcom:That suggestion by Adeosun to reduce rates so that the government can borrow more is the reason why I assert that the inadequacy of the economic policy regime is not solely down to Buhari. Here you have a finance minister calling for fiscal and monetary stimulus in the midst of a currency crisis! |
wristbangle:Interest rate is too low and should be higher than the rate of inflation (the latter is officially at 16% but is probably higher). |
APCLyingBastard:During the US recession, the US was facing deflationary pressures with the threat of prices falling. This necessitated the Fed reducing interest rates. Nigeria faced an inflationary spiral. You don't reduce interest rates in such a spiral. There is a tendency in Nigeria to look for easy solutions and to invoke inappropriate analogies with Western countries. Recent recessions in the West have not involved the sort of stagflation we are facing. To find a more appropriate parallel, look at the periods in the West in which they faced stagflation - 1970s and early 80s.When US inflation hit 14% in 1980, the Fed under Volcker increased rates to 20% |
The interest rate of 14% is too low given where inflation is. The low interest rate is a contributory factor to our currency and inflation problems. |
deeone10: More UK universities and colleges are awarding the top grade to students, figures show. One-third of UK universities and colleges awarded a first for 25% of degrees granted in 2015-16 – four times as many as in 2010-11. We asked students and academics about why they think this is. Here are a selection of your responses.https://www.google.com.ng/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jul/21/why-students-more-first-class-degrees-university |
One of my old favourite threads. We went from a net lender to the IMF and the World Bank to a difficult structural adjustment programme within close to a decade. Don't think we have learnt much about the dangers of spending an oil boom on consumption goods and the explosive nature of debt. |
If GEJ was doing his job, there wouldn't be 25 towns to liberate as those towns should not have been lost in the first place. |
JasonScolari:Maybe it's good news for PDP as, given Buhari's health, PDP offers a good route for obtaining a Northern president in 2019. |
vingeophysicist:This one is actually true. I recognise that there are a lot of fake corruption stories but this case is following US investigations on the matter. |
Xeedorf:There are studies that support this. Read about nominative determinism. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nominative_determinism Nominative determinism is the hypothesis that people tend to gravitate towards areas of work that fit their names. |
ESDKING:Abubukar Shekau is influential, would that make him leadership material? Influence can be malicious and its presence doesn't necessarily equate to leadership. A further point is that even if a significant number view Kanu as leader, to what end is his leadership going to take Igbos? |
Airforce1:Who made this guy an Igbo leader? If Kanu is representative of Biafra, then the Biafra dream ought to be forgotten. |
ExAngel007:The guy you are quoting forgets the ritual killing, drug smuggling, prostitution, armed robbery and kidnapping in the South. |
Afam4eva:Ethnic hatred doesn't have to be coherent. It draws strength from the inherent contradictions. Igbos love money excessively but won't sell property/land to non-Igbos, thereby depressing land and property values. It tells you a lot about the intellect, or lack thereof, of ethnic warriors. The idiocy is Olympian, bordering on imbecility. |
masonkz:I suspect they don't have enough in reserves to pay the debt upon maturity. |
Just thinking of this as a thought exercise, high population density tends to foster economic growth. This is because of network effects and scale economies. This is why urban areas tend to be more dynamic than non-urban areas. Think about infrastructure for example: it costs less to deliver transport connecting people living in close proximity than people living far apart. This is why accusations that, for instance, Buhari provided more infrastructure spending as PTF boss to the North misses the point: the North's land mass justifies such a skew. If low population density was good for the economy, living standards in the North of Nigeria would be higher than in the South. Access to the coast would be helpful to growth for Igbos and so lacking direct access would not help. There are studies which show that distance from the coast has a correlation with economic growth. But I don't think this would be a major factor here as the actual distance from the coast for Igbos is hardly significant. It's not the economics of Biafra that is worrying. It is the politics which trumps the economics. There is no easy way of delineating boundaries amongst the various ethnic groups in the South who would want to secede once a major ethnic group in the South leaves. There is little logic in staying in a Nigeria once either the Yorubas or the Igbos leave as the rest of Nigeria would be skewed towards Northern dominance. This would be Yugoslavia x 10: bloodier and messier. |
dominique:Banning imported products is not a good way of developing Nigeria's economy. The implication of these bans is that you pay more for either illicitly imported sub-standard imports or locally produced versions. If the latter, the producer takes the "excess profits" out of the country having converted it to dollars. So you get all the downsides - higher prices and currency depreciation - without necessarily developing a strong economy. It's not today that we started banning imported products, we have been doing this since independence, but all it achieves is line the pockets of the highly connected like Dangote who keep most of their wealth abroad. To develop a strong economy, we need export competitive industries that bring in forex through their exports not protectionist policies that inflate prices for Nigerians. Protectionist policies work only if they are part of an export strategy: industries are protected only on the strong condition they generate export proceeds. This is not what is happening in Nigeria and we should not be applauding schemes to impoverish Nigerians. |
The idea that it is the Nigerian judiciary that is the main obstacle to anti-corruption investigations is preposterous. It is this same judiciary that often rules in favour of APC candidates in electoral disputes. Also, most of Nigeria's stolen wealth is abroad. What litigation has been commenced by the present government, or on its behest, in foreign courts to recover stolen wealth? The reality is that much of the vaunted anti-corruption fight exist for the propaganda value. Stories are circulated to tittilate, relying on our short memories and are not followed up. As an example, no one today talks about the $20bn supposedly pilfered over an 18 month period. You will think a government facing financial difficulties will prioritise the investigation of such obscene theft. |
SeniorZato:The signing of the budget can make matters worse if it means an increase in money supply (increase in Naira supply). Any injection of Naira not offset by an increase in forex inflow can often lead to Naira depreciation. Only a sustained oil price rally or improvement in investment climate will enable the Naira gain strength in the long run. |
I thought this is quite impressive. Had she been in Nigeria, she might still be taking JAMB preparatory to undertaking a 4 or 5 year sub-standard undergraduate education. Not to mention one year of NYSC servitude: While many students have just graduated from high school, 18-year-old Nigeria native Nkechinyere Chidi-Ogbolu is not your typical teen.http://college.usatoday.com/2017/06/01/she-just-graduated-college-and-is-starting-her-ph-d-and-shes-only-18/
|
Normally, I will be against all manner of government-mandated price fixing but it looks like the government here is trying to curtail price fixing by a cartel. If the government can pull it off, that will be excellent. |
9jakohai:Pseudo-intellectual twaddle. South Africa has barely cracked the 4% GDP growth mark in the last 20 to 30 years due to a failure to liberalise their economy. Growth has averaged 3% in the post-apartheid era so it doesn't take much to go into minus territory. This is not a mono-resources story. Mining is a major sector of their economy but they are by no means solely dependent on it (not even Nigeria is solely dependent on oil). Their economy is at a much higher level of development. This is more of a loss of investor confidence story - in this way Jacob Zuma mirrors Buhari. |
I am sure they have put this to front page to make it seem the Nigerian economy is well managed by the Buhari government by comparison. South Africa's GDP growth has lagged Nigeria's in the post-apartheid era. This is like the Venezuela analogy that Buhari apologists trot out where most don't realise that Venezuela went into recession in 2013. |
The rise in the FG's debt mirrors the rise in Ogun state's debt under Adeosun's stewardship. For those who attribute Nigeria's present economic malaise solely to Buhari, this is wrong. You can blame Buhari for the lack of structural reforms, e.g., exchange rate policy and failure to privatise as key examples. But the fiscal policy reflects a view amongst the likes of Adeosun and Udoma that you can "reflate" the economy in the midst of a currency crisis and that Nigeria's infrastructural needs justify a massive debt expansion. This will prove misguided as any debt expansion must be sustainable and anchored on a policy framework that allows the private sector to take a leading role. There is no reason why our railways, air and sea ports ought to be run by a government that has proven incapable of managing anything efficiently. The government bears the default risk on debt used to finance projects which will be delivered, if at all, way over budget. All this actually assumes the debt is used to finance capital expenditure, in reality much of it goes to recurrent expenditure which makes prospects much worse. |
This thread should be called "Dullards strike back." You can find examples of some "dullards" that struck it rich and academic prodigies that are dirt poor. But overall, if you are going to invest time and resources in acquiring an education, you are better off making a success of your academics. I suspect if we can do some research on this, instead of relying on anecdotes, you will find that the academically gifted on average had more life successes than the stunted. |
The Federal Government of Nigeria’s fiscal deficit ran at a 12-month high in the month of February, according to data provided by the Central Bank, as actual revenues flunked budget targets and officials overshot spending.http://www.businessdayonline.com/revenue-shortfalls-push-fgs-fiscal-deficit-12-month-high/ The 3 things in bold stand out: N750bn debt added over a 5 month period, debt servicing costs equates to 66% of tax revenue and the disappointing fall in non-oil tax revenues. If debt servicing costs rise faster than tax revenues, it will make the debt profile unsustainable. The upside is that it might force the government to do what they should have done ab initio - reduce spending. Applying fiscal stimulus in a currency crisis is counterproductive. |
This thread hints at something but it misses a larger picture: in a hypothetical scenario where Biafra is actualised for Igbos it will fundamentally change the calculus for other Southern ethnic groups. Whether Igbos get to visit the rest of Nigeria in a post-Biafra world is a bit of a red herring. Assume, for the sake of simplicity, that Nigeria has a population equally distributed among the 6 geo-political zones with the North having 50% of the population. A Biafra for Igbos could mean 1/6th of the Nigerian populace but, more importantly, 1/3rd of the Southern populace leaving Nigeria. This will radically skew political power to the advantage of Northern Nigeria (yes, not a cohesive region but exhibiting some degree of coordination by comparison to the South). The North will constitute 3/5th and come close to (if not now but eventually with higher birth rates*) 2/3rds of the rest of Nigeria. The rest of Nigeria would be unquestionably a Northern and Muslim majority nation. In such a scenario, many of the Southern ethnic groups would not want to remain in Nigeria and this would accelerate further disintegration. In reality, Biafra independence would cause absolute mayhem for everyone and to me would be impossible to execute (at least peacefully). It's clear that most intelligent people grasp this: indeed, anti-Biafra sentiments (amongst Igbos and non-Igbos) is driven not by any great sense that the Igbos or Nigeria will be a great loss but the apprehension that Biafra will precipitate chaos for the whole of the South. *There is an argument that with higher birth rates, the "North" will be a more entrenched hegemony over time. Remember the saying, "demography is destiny." |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ... 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 (of 278 pages)