₦airaland Forum

aribisala0:
He needs to get 25% of the votes in 24 out of 36 States


I think He Will Struggle in the SE/SS

1 Abia
2 Anabra
3. Ebonyi
4Enugu
5 Imo

6 Akwa Ibom
7 Bayelsa
8 Cross River
9 Delta
10 Edo
11 Rivers

I think he will get Edo = 1/11


Remaining 23 from 25

Middle Belt
12. Benue No chance
13 Kwara ( Hmm) I don't see this
14. Taraba Again no Chance

15 Kogi Riggqable
16 Nassarawa Probable
17 Plateaua Riggable Riggable
18 Niger Babangida's state
That leaves the NW and SW and NE
19 Sokoto
20 Kebbi
21 Zamfara

22 Kaduna
23 Katsina
24 Kano

I think these are all riggable

25 Adamawa
26 Borno
27 Gombe
28 Yobe
29 Bauchi
30 Taraba very doubtful

think he will get these too

Once again he needs the SW . He needs every single state. I do not see this happening in
31Ekiti and
32Ondo
BUT
33 Lagos he will get


34 Ogun
35Oyo
36 Osun
These 3 states I think will be shared
You

Buhari will win the following states in the NC

Nassarawa
Niger
Kwara
Plateau
FCT

In the SW, he'll win:

Osun
Oyo
Ogun
Ondo
Lagos
and Ekiti (if APC wins the coming gubernatorial election)

Excluding Ekiti if APC loses the election.

In the SS, Buhari will win Edo.

In the North East and North West, he'll clear it all.

In the SE, he will not win any state.

This above is the result of the 2019 election. You are all free to bookmark this.

omohayek:
What a load of rubbish! Would you have been invited to the wedding in the first place if Yorubas were as full of hatred for Igbos as your paranoid imaginings indicate? Here you are at a Yoruba wedding in Yorubaland, waiting to be served free food and drink along with everyone else despite your Igbo origins, and the one thing that comes to your mind is how Yorubas hate Igbos, simply because one woman (allegedly) mentioned Biafra! For all one knows, she probably didn't even mention the word, and you only imagined she did because of your tendency to project onto others the blind ethnic hatred you clearly harbor within your own heart.

I pity the poor families who extended their generosity to a snake in the grass like you, only to have their open-mindedness rewarded with vile slanders of the foulest sort. Had they acted in line with your fantasies about how Yoruba people must be, you'd never have been allowed onto the premises in the first place, and everyone would have been the better off for it in your case, as you are obviously the type to see malice in anything Yoruba people could ever do for you.

Well said. He didn't even consider it that a lot of people in the SW equate biafra to civil war. Anytime some hear biafra, it's only the war that comes to their mind.

If the woman indeed said that, her prayer is simply saying war will not come to the couple.

Why can't his reasoning follow the least hateful assumption??

sod09:
This is viper, very venomous

Specifically, Puff Adder. Indeed very poisonous with enormous quantity of venom.

NairaMaster1:
You mean they will boycott the SP part? Your sentiment is unpresidented. You know that the whole exercise is a fraud. Yes you know.

Today it's Dino, power doesn't last forever it may be you tomorrow.

Or you think you can't become a senator? May be a kind of rubber stamp senator.

Let us condemn evil. This is democracy.

unpresidented

You that is hopeful the SP will not perform his constitutional role of following the wishes of Dino's electorate, is your sentiment not unpresidented??

eagleeye2:
She is on bail because they are trying to settle out of court and the family is asking for 200 million.

No sir. She was granted bail on medical grounds. A popular line used by people of means in Nigeria to escape justice.
Moreover, the case is between her and the state. Not the family.

Manslaughter: Ibinabo Fiberesima gets N2m bail – Punch Newspapers
http://www.punchng.com/manslaughter-ibinabo-fiberesima-gets-n2m-bail/

Justice Oseji said he was inclined to exercise discretion in Fiberesima’s favour in view of her health and because there was no record that she had jumped bail in the past.

The judge said it would amount to injustice if after Fiberesima had been kept in prison, the Supreme Court later, after about three to four years, decided that the five year jail term imposed on her should be set aside.

Justice Sidi Bage, who presided over the proceedings, aligned himself with the lead judgment but the third member of the panel, Justice Y.B. Nimpar, dissented.

Justice Nimpar said the ill health grounds upon which Fiberesima anchored her application for bail was untenable.

The judge noted that there was no record before the court that Fiberesima had suffered any complication since February that she underwent surgery for breast cancer and April when she brought her application for bail.

Besides, Justice Nimpar said there were adequate medical facilities in the prison to cater to her health needs, adding that the prison hospital could also give her referral for consultancy in the event that she has any condition that could not be taken care by the prison hospital.

eagleeye2:
No matter the verdict, it cannot bring back the death.
Even if she is sentenced to death, it will still not bring back the dead.
It was an accident. And unless you have never been involved in one, will you judge her harshly. What will 200Milion do for the family? Bring back their dead brother?
I think having fame and wealth cones with a great risk in this country. Cos if Ibinabo has been a poor danfo driver, this case would have dragged this long? You want her to confess to drunk driving and she says NO. that means she is arrogant?
So, the sister is the one telling the truth? oh well their case, their life.

She is walking free today because she is not a danfo driver. Otherwise she'd have been in jail.

Have you ever heard that someone convicted by the appeal court of a crime is on bail?? In fact, her case is the first of such I'll hear of.

Which Danfo driver will get such benefit? So stop being sentimental. Her status has equally given her some benefits. Cases usually take long in Nigeria.

Go and read the Punch report on Supreme Court of the dead, dying and living cases part I, II and III and you'll be shocked how long it takes the Nigerian judiciary to complete a case from start to finish at the Supreme Court.

The report says it takes btw 15 to 30 years on the average.

GeneralShepherd:
When people say overspeeding in Nigeria I laugh.. do we have speed limits in Nigeria. Show me 5 roads besides some highways that have road signs displaying speed limits.

Nigeria is a dead country... the family should hold the government accountable

Continue laughing and be involved in a road crash that becomes a court case, the shit will get real when a senior VIO and FRSC official comes to testify on the speed limit of the road you were driving on.

Even leaving speed limit, Nigeria Road traffic laws says you must drive responsibly and not endanger other people's lives. This is open ended and subject to the interpretation of Road Safety officials and eye witnesses. It's not difficult to fry someone driving anyhow. Everybody detests such driving. Especially pedestrians and bystanders.

Chuksonyeike:
Easier said than done.It is the SP that will complete the recall process of a senator and not INEC

The same way the Senate President was there to stop them from cuffing his hands to hospital bed?

Chuksonyeike:
My dear it is the SP that will declare the seat vacant and not INEC.Besides Melaye will claim the process was flawed and go to court again.The SP will defer till the end of the court case

There is nothing like 'declaring seat vacant' during the recall process.

It is only when a legislator switches party that the constitution talks about the Speaker/Senate President declaring such seat vacant.

HAH:
By Uche Anichukwu

I have followed the mixed opinions on the comments by the Deputy President of the Senate, Senator Ike Ekweremadu on how very difficult it will be to recall Senator Dino Melaye from the Senate. Some claim that the 1999 as amended does not envisage any role for debate in the entire process. However, this position is constitutionally flawed.

Anichukwu is an Aide to the Deputy President of the Senate

Biased opinion.

You still don't get it right? Once INEC completes their process and it is not in favour of Dino, police will move in and ensure his shadow doesn't get close to the National Assembly.


Before all the cases will get resolved, the 8th senate would have been over.

HAH:
there is no where in the process above where inec withdraws certificate of return, there role only ends at issuing the senate president certificate of recall, it is senate president that will finally effect recall at plenary or otherwise

Either ways, the issuance of a certificate of recall presupposes that his certificate of return has been invalidated. It is same thing.

HAH:
the inec cannot declare the seat vacant until the last process of recall is done which is asking the senator to step down, from the step listed inec will only send certificate of recall to the senate president, it is only when the senate president decides to do his role that the process is complete and a bye election is conducted

Read the process again.

Once INEC withdraws his certificate, he is no longer a senator. It is after INEC withdraws his certificate that they will inform the Senate President that somebody over there with you is no longer a senator.

INEC withdrawing his certificate comes before the role played by the Senate President. Once his certificate is withdrawn, legally speaking, he is no longer a senator and can be barred from the hallowed chambers.

In this particular scenario, the power of recall is with INEC, not the Senate President.

Section 68 (1) (h) of the Constitution (as amended) provides that a member of either of the Houses shall vacate his seat if “the President of the Senate or, as the case may be, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, receives a certificate under the hand of the Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission stating that the provisions of Section 69 of this Constitution have been complied with in respect of the recall of a member”.

Clinton9000:
I'll cut off my dickk if Saraki ratifies the Maleye's recall. It will never happen, and all senators will reject the move except Tinubu's wife, whose Husband and ACN chieftains are behind Maleye's ordeal. The senators are not mugus. There is what we can precedent. If this is allowed to happen, Buhari and his clique will use it to even recall Saraki himself...hahaha. DON'T FOOLED, THIS WILL NEVER EVER HAPPEN!

HAH:
he will simply put it in his drawer tell everyone that he will to it at the right time and may be do it on the last plenary of the 8th senate, this is because the constitution did not stipulate a timeframe for the recall

Once INEC withdraws his certificate of return, the police, DSS and other security agencies have the legal backing to declare him persona non grata in and around the National Assembly complex.

And with his recent altercation with the police, they'll gleefully carry out the action to the letter.

Don't forget that all the security forces manning the National Assembly report to the Executive.

INEC will also Elect a new senator to that position and issue a certificate of return to the newly elected senator. The new senator will equally present himself at the National Assembly to be sworn in as the senator for Kogi West brandishing his INEC issued certificate for all to see.

There is no where in the constitution that says the Senate has to ratify the recall process. As per the snippet posted above, the Senate President will show him the door. Either he is shown or not, does not invalidate the recall.

Either ways, it's a lose lose for Dino. What makes it more complicated for him is the fact that Saraki is reluctant to declare open war with Buhari. Saraki is being careful and it's his foot soldiers like Dino that will bite the dust.

As it is, Dino is on his own! Till all the legal battles that may arise from the recall, and the others he is presently facing are over, he'll be effectively kept away from the National Assembly. And in essence making whoever he has issues with to have achieved their objectives.

MYHUBBY:
.let that devil push APC to pick fayemi then kolapo shouldn't campaign much, fayemi defeat would be one the most disgrace defeating in the history of Nigeria


he's exhausted politically, if APC want to pull weight, segun oni should be consider hence all the rest would become history


ekiti still like segun oni, he's a listening man

I have been hearing same from a lot of Ekiti folks that Segun Oni is very much popular and is the only candidate that can win the state for APC.

I really dont know what Fayemi is still looking for.

attention seeker

kingkakaone:
It was 17k during spar easter promo but normal price is between 18k -22k depending on the type.

The open market price is cheaper than that of Spar in Lagos. I believe it should be same in PH.

I dont want to believe rice will be cheaper in Spar than the open market.

kingkakaone:
That's serious o.
50kg in PH is more than that o.

The price cannot be same. Lagos must definitely be cheaper. But the price difference should not be too wide.

So how much is 50kg from the cheapest market in Port Harcourt?

flavnwokem:
Everyone knows that INEC has the power to fix the date of elections,NASS never tampered with the dates of elections, they changed the sequence of the elections, the Judgement affirmed what we all know.

So INEC can fix date, and another person can fix sequence? Is that not introduction to anarchy?

The power to fix date conferred on INEC by the constitution inherently has the power to acertain the sequence of the elections.

What the NASS can do is to amend the constitution and insert the sequence of elections directly in the constitution.

slotA4:
So NASS don't have power to amend act again? Rubbish

Is that what is written up there?

somehow:
Post the picture of the bag if possible so that we can be sure it's Nigerian rice. We really need to massively start patronising Nigerian rice.

I didn't say it's Nigerian rice. I said I bought a bag of rice. It is Caprice.

kingkakaone:
For real?
25kg or 50kg.

Yes for real. 50kg. I bought it at Iddo. I wasn't having the time to negotiate well because I didn't park well so I just bought from the first shop I went.

I believe I can even get it for 12k if I go to the inside shops to negotiate well with them.

kingkakaone:
All presidents since return of democracy from 1999 till date have always used these agencies (DSS, EFCC, NPF, etc) as their lapdogs to run down whoever is a threat to them.
Obasanjo did his, Jonathan did his, ie, Tambuwa, Amaechi, and today same thing is happening.
I fear more because successive governments become worse than their predecessors .
Bag of rice was about 2.5k during Obansanjo, became 7.5k under Jonathan and now it has become about 18k in this regime.

Sometimes I just wonder what went wrong for this nation to face this ungodly direction.

What breaks me most is that these same politicians have supporters here and are fighting dirty over those who cannot effect a change on their destiny.

Quote with Ur brain if u want to mention me instead of trying to please Ur paymaster who doesn't care where Ur next meal will come from.

Bag of rice is not 18k, I still bought one bag last week for 12,800.

faceURfront:
Shoprite is selling 25kg for 10k. And some people are telling us the price of rice has fallen. In on thread someone claimed to have bought a 50kg bag for 13k or so.

I bought a bag of rice yesterday at Iddo, Lagos for 12,800.

TheKingIsHere:
That is not t he point of argument.

Mynd44 says because she is an Ex-convict she can't vie for a political position which I am correcting such impression.

Also take note that a bill was filled in 2010 seeking amendments to the constitution which will allow Ex-convict to contest for political positions without waiting for 10years.

It might have been approved without us knowing

A bill is first passed by both Senate and House of Rep before being sent to the president for assent. An important bill like that cannot be passed into law without a lot of people knowing.

Moreover, an Act of parliament is an inferior law to the constitution.

TheKingIsHere:
She being an ex convict doesn't stop her from contesting.

There have been several instances where ex convicts became presidents. Take note, most of them where not pardoned.

http://www.pulse.ng/gist/prisoners-to-presidents-7-ex-convicts-who-became-heads-of-state-id5462202.html

Oga, according to Nigerian laws, an Ex-convict cannot hold an elective post until after 10 years OR after being granted a presidential pardon.

Mynd44:
Yeah right.

An ex-convict cannot run for political office. She has been convicted of murder by competent courts and should go serve her sentence in peace.

She was convicted for manslaughter not murder.

Even though the court of appeal upheld her conviction, she was still granted bail.

She is currently on bail. This is very funny and shows that with the right connection, you can dodge the long harm of the law.

If the supreme court upholds her conviction, na from court room to jail straight.

legacyint:
My profile name is currently on glo direct, Ap name:glosecure.when I change it to this new one I experienced slower speeds.does this means glosecure is much stronger than gloflat?
.

Glosecure is supposed to be based on pay as you go, why gloflat is supposed to be based on subscription.

Are you sure your credit is not getting depleted when you browse on glosecure.

Born2Breed:
Mine is
Name: Glo direct
APN: Glo secure

Change it to:

APN: gloflat
User name: flat
Password flat

olatade:
What has the governor been using the security vote for?our leaders are only good in making press statements and are never pro active.i don't blame them anyway because it is the nigerian system. If it had happened in a more developed country, the commissioner of police would have been sacked the following day. Imagine the dare devil robbers operating for good three hours without any confrontation whatsoever. How is that supposed to be possible? It only goes to show we don't know what we're doing in this country. Heads need to role for this, it shouldn't be swept under the carpet and never again should there be a repeat of it

Just sad. I just dont know what we can get right. Now the criminals have gotten more money to get more arsenal, recruit more daring and brainy elements, and cause havoc in another remote place.

If you go to that Offa now, I can bet there will be heavy police patrols everywhere harassing people up and down as if the robbers will come back.

This attack on remote towns has been a reoccurring event. Yet, our police is still not being able to effectively curtail the incidents nor engage them properly during the incident.

Just pathetic.

If the president was to visit that Offa, you will get to see a lot of police helicopters hovering the sky, but to dispatch them to intercept robbers is never done in Naija. This country eh

Daviddson:
The difference between other countries and Nigeria is that when this sort of thing happen there, the leaders visit the people who were affected in the hospital, on the street or even their home. But in Nigeria, they visit the traditional rulers of the town where it happened.

Or the governor/local govt chairman of the affected places. Lol

This guy just dey use style campaign up and down.

life2017:
I am from South South. And I live in south south. I am aware of the chronic hatred for Buhari in south south and south east. That hatred was there in 2015. That was why Buhari got 7% in south east and 8% in South South.


But in 2019 there is a little difference despite the hatred. The difference is the impact of APC ministers and politicians from these zones.
These people will influence the election results with money, police and INEC. APC didnt have that in 2015. Except you are expecting 100% free and fair election, you cannot completely ignore the impact of politicians with money, INEC and security (police , army etc)

In the case of PDP picking a south east VP, there is a chance of Buhari loosing. even if Buhari wins, it will be a small margin. I gave buhari only 5% south east votes in this case. I also increase the voting turnout in south east by 20%. I think i have factored in that chronic hatred already.

However should PDP pick a South west VP, to be optimistic it is either south east wont vote or the results go 50 50 in the south east

if you read everything I wrote you will see in what I call Case A, Buhari lost South east, lost South South and lost North central.

In the case B, Buhari lost four zones-South east, South South, South west and North central

Your analysis is very sound. I have been looking at it that the 2019 election may even result into a stalemate.