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Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 11:49am On Jan 12, 2008
Here is an attachment of company results to date. Enjoy

Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 9:49pm On Jan 11, 2008
easimoni,

pls can you repost the First Bank Allotment again? I need the allotment details urgently, can't really locate where it was once posted on this forum. Thanks. And indeed if anyone else has it, please repost. Thanks
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 5:28pm On Jan 11, 2008
MyPeace:

@ kpineo

oceanic is 22,222,793,603

My Peace
Pls what those figures above? What do they represent regarding Oceanic Bank
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 5:36pm On Jan 10, 2008
Ije ngala:

MrRisky, nice list. I were u, i would add Julius Berger to that list and remove Nig. German Chem which i think is quite high already!

Thanks at N28 I will buy Nig. Germ Chemicals.  The management does not rubbish their stock with BONUSES, so if I am to go by projected PE, N28 is even cheaper, if not cheaper than JB.  Any way JB is another good buy too, but that sector appears to me weather prone.

The management of NGC and Unic is sound, that is my attraction apart from the fact that it is into Oil and Gas servicing too, an area that is bound to boom!  I always think of the future of a company before doing my buying.
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 5:15pm On Jan 10, 2008
Shibrino:

@wanaj0 and FO2

Please advice on the good shares I can buy now (secondary or IPO, any one) I have some cash.  Me sef won be like una, make I de talk wit authority like una. who no like better thing.  Abeg make una help me oooo.

If I have N1m now I will buy the following stocks because of the their fundamentals, and will have 12 - 18 months in mind:

Beta Glass
Diamond bank
Unic Insurance
First bank
Vitafoam
Nigerian German Chemicals
UBA
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 4:27pm On Jan 10, 2008
wanaj0:

@ all,


if you don't get HEART don't do short term trading. You will get HYPERTENSION. Most of you following Fatherof2's strategy don't know the kind of person he is. When FCMB was dropping after the lifting of TS and people were shaking, he was resolute. That means that he is willing to wait it through. Secondly he is not under 'pressure' to sell. Thirdly, he is well diversified with deep pockets. Fatherof2 is recommending First Bank you think he is planning to clean out in two weeks? He went into WAPCo you think he is talking about 2 weeks? If you don't tailor your strategy to your personality, you will soon be on the hospital bed. Fatherof2, please teach your students about risk in relation  to age, size of porfolio, investment objective etc or else you go carry many dead body!!!!!!


WANAJO! WANAJO!! WANAJO!

Thanks for the above advice to the many neophyte speculators who are simply hanging on the shoulders of FATHEROF2.  Hope they will not force him to attend a funeral soon. grin  Just kidding.  BUY STOCKS WITH FUNDAMENTALS AND TAKE PROFIT WHEN YOU WANT.  Instead of buying more some are already complaining that UBA has not risen to N60!  Die, die ,   Die, die in Yoruba means SMALL, SMALL, but in English the meaning is obvious grin  If you buy stocks with sound fundamentals even if for months you the price didn't shake, you will have nothing to fear.  THAT IS WISDOM OF STOCK INVESTING, otherwise the story will be different sooner than later.  Is anyone still wanting to average on price of TRANSCORP?
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 1:33pm On Jan 10, 2008
RoughCut:

Somebody who applied to buy 10k units will get just a bit more than someone who applied to buy 2K units defies all logic(but in the spirit  fairness and equity those who did the allotment don't have a choice!)

There's only one conclusion;when the shares are eventually listed they will so be illiquid that the price will go northwards with the speed of light unless the man himself will do another one-day Dangote spectacular ala NASCON! remember he still owns 75% of Dangote Flour Mills

He knows exactly what he's doing but then i suppose he didnt make his billions by playing the conventional game!

If they have plans to frustrate investors in this manner why did they EXTEND THE DANGOTE OFFER DATE? Again anything can happen in this country. TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO BAD. Thank God I avoid it and will avoid any PO or IPO. Added to the frustration from First Bank and to be followed by Access Bank, who knows Bank PHB, the future for POs are really calamitous. TOOOOOOOOO SAD, TOOOOOOOOOO BAD. The irony of it all is that once any PO surfaces now everyone will troop along, most not even knowing what is involved, many thinking that's the only way to buy shares.

I think ignorance is still a great evil in this affair! TOOO SAD
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 2:57pm On Jan 09, 2008
The following are gradually looking good to enter again:  Wish they can drop lower:

Nigerian German Chemicals
Beta Glass
R T Briscoe
C & I Leasing
Unic
Vitafoam (for the unfailing dividend)
Law Union
Wapco
Diamond Bank
First Bank
Flour Mill
A G Leventis
NBC
NBL

Just my opinion
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 12:08pm On Jan 09, 2008
Access Bank may release 9 month result soon! Will improve!
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 11:46am On Jan 09, 2008
no_shaking:

Access Bank H2 Result out!

ACCESS BANK PLC

HALF-YEAR RESULTS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2007.
                                        2007     2006    %CHANGE
GROSS EARNINGS          N23.4b   N11.3b   106.46
PROFIT BEFORE TAX       N7.0b    N3.1b    126.51
TAXATION                     (N2.2b) (N989.3m)
PROFIT AFTER TAX        N4.8b    N2.1b    126.51

Fair result, but well below expectation. Was looking forward to H2 PAT of atleast N7b  sad



Access PE now above 30! Nawaoooo! No wonder it took them time to release the result! Henceforth any delayed result is suspect (personal sentiment)
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 4:34pm On Jan 08, 2008
harrisoft:

@ all need your comments please

When I bought crusader in Nov last yr I had 9-12months in mind, but it gained 30% within a month I couldn’t resist but too my profit (sold every thing). Bought Oceanic within the month another 26% and I was out, put the money in Diamond planning a 12-18months exit but just exited with 26% again.

My problem is am I greedy or is this normal?


My brother, your behaviour is ABNORMALLY NORMAL.  Almost everyone has been "guilty" of this.  But it sure is a good sign you are following the market trend and are learning.  Believe me, at your teething stage in this game, you couldn't do that.

I too have been guilty of it.  The temptation increases more when a hot stock suddenly surfaces and everyone is speaking well of it, and you need money to crush it and there you are with the price flying and with great potentials that it can fly higher.  FOR ME, NOTHING SPOIL IN THAT GAME IF YOU "KNOW" YOUR NEXT MOVE, I mean next stock you are buying with your returns.  I think what everyone finds difficult to see is watching your spreadsheet profit melting even down to your starting point when you had the opportunity to take it.  It can be painful.  It happened to me when Zenith rose to its zenith price last year.  I watched it come down from N68 down to N54.  I would have made a net profit of some N785,000, but it vanished!  I am now being consoled by a "bonus" which if I sell at current price cannot give same returns.
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 12:22pm On Jan 08, 2008
Guys have been wondering why I pick the name Mr. Risky.  I did for some very simple reason.  I saw that in the past, I have lost much for not daring to take risk, but suddenly I was awaken to the fact that it is even RISKY to be ALIVE.  And indeed nothing is even riskier than that.  So came the name Mr. Risky.   I am happier now that some are saying banking stocks are risky, that shows me the direction this year, that that is where I will most likely make it.

With with we all read about Dangote Flour  I had thought it will be under-subscribed, but today, the news is saying quite the opposite.  Same with Access Bank.  You will be surprised that First Inland Bank will be over-subscribed.  Who ever thought Unity bank will inch higher than N5?  Or Nahco rising beyond N22 after the PO? Rather, the much celebrated NASCON has produced many debtors!  It is this inconsistency and unpredictability that I personally LOVE about the NSE. By this time last year I would invoke spell on any one who ever dare recommend AG Leventis.  But today, the profit can take care of my children's school fees, hahahahaha
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 12:10pm On Jan 08, 2008
Why worry gentlemen about the future prospects of the banks etc?  From the comments of most people on this forum, it is not a wild guess to say that we have more short term speculators than investors.  Even if the banks will DIE in the coming months most of you will not be affected afterall.  You must have cycled out before it happens. So why worry.  There is no perfect market, and most people will agree that they have positively exploited the imperfection of the market to their own stupendous benefits and they are still eager.  

What must be admitted though is that our market, the Nigerian market, is deep, deeper than most will even imagine.  Whether or not the depth is dug deeper by "investors" who want to exploit the opportunity to launder fund is not the matter, the issue is that before investing you are face to face with a checklist of the stock fundamentals and are convinced by your "terms" of decision.  Like Wanajo said, it's not only the banking sector that is "booming" as it were, other sectors are following suit except for those held down by the sickly infrastructure on ground.  Even at that, many, indeed many are looking for plausible alternatives and will soon get there.

Might we therefore be too overly concerned about the market growth or the fact that we are making it in the market?  Even if the banks get to a level where they cannot push further, remember, there are even more viable sectors like the telecoms, the mainstream Oil and Gas sector, which are yet to be listed on the NSE.  And if care is not taken, with our made in Nigeria kind of democracy some state government might want to be listed on the NSE.  Might you then be concerned about the personality of the Governor or the political party to which he belongs!

This was how I sat here last year and had the opportunity of buying into C & I Leasing at less than N3 and was unsure, only to be chasing after it now at more than N9 and yet not able to get the volume on my mind.

2008 has started the good party that this year holds and what we have seen in just two weeks into it will convince you that awareness about the stock market is growing every day.  As I was writing this article, I had to be interrupted by a colleague who wants to know more about the stock market.  Maybe because of my new car he saw and had wondered if I was an oil bunkerer to be able to rise to that level.

My plan this year is to be able to make another trip, this time, not to any African or middle eastern country but to the far West with my UBA and FBN dividend.  I will even be planning to move to a higher level as some bug themselves down with the debate about the mind-buggling figures issuing from the banks.  Which of them has declared dividend and have not been able to pay?  Maybe the dividend you received was not real either!

Do you want to question the sanity of those buying into UNTL even as its premises have been overgrown by weed?  All these make the NSE most interesting - no one for sure can predict the direction of the market, you can do only for a while and you are proved WRONG.
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 3:49pm On Jan 07, 2008
Guys let's discuss this. What is helping banks to improve their profitability? Is it their branch spread or their management of the nation's Foreign reserve which too is growing? This can help one too in our projections. N9.1bn and N8.8bn in just 3 months is not little profit for me.
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 11:15pm On Jan 06, 2008
Princesege:

@Mr.Risky
Whos is your stock broker?
I use cashcraft. They have been ok until  last week after when all my orders have not been executed.
I will still find out why?



My Brokers are MBC Securities. You can reach them on Mbcsec.com. So far, they have delivered. What I am not comfortable with is there account opening sum. If recommended by one of their clients they can accept N1m for a start, don't know if they still do that. Otherwise it is N5m as at the time I commenced with them. One thing I enjoy is that before 5pm anyday of transaction, my account is updated. They are nicer than the three others that I use. Contemplating concentrating my portfolio in their dormain this year.
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 9:49pm On Jan 06, 2008
Princesege:

@FatherOF2
Thanks for your opinion.
I have placed a  buy order for UBA since last wednesday but no success. Is there anybody on this forum who wants to sell? Please let me know.


Are you sure your broker is reliable? Since I have been using my broker, only once he has failed to execute my order SAME DAY. Even when some thought I couldn't find AG LEVENTIS to buy, he found for me. UBA is not ON BID why has he not bought for you? Ask him and let us know, please.

Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 9:16pm On Jan 06, 2008
aktopgun:

Next ratio

P.E ratio- the tell all for a value investor. Calculated by dividing the price of a stock by the earnings per share.  the lower it is the better. reason being that it tells you how much u are paying for every naira of a companies earnings. It can be trailing PE where the eps for the last fiscal yr or quarter is calculated (ie past tense) or it can be forward PE calculated by dividing the share price by the projected eps. projections of earnings are done by companies and analysts and unless they are bigboylarry, can be wrong.
Another way of assessing PE ratio is to look at it as the time it would take u to recoop your investment. so if company A has a PE ratio of 10, technically speaking, it would take u 10yrs to recoop your investment. u see why the smaller the PE is the better?

companies with high PE and high share price- investors may be willing to pay for the future of a company with a high PE ratio if they feel it has potential. example, in the dot com era of the nyse, u had companies with no proven track record of earnings but who were thoughtto be the next big thing with the sky being their limit and investors threw cash at the stocks causing their share prices to rise but with the denominator ie eps being low, the PE ratios for these companies were astonomically high and as they were unable to live up to the earning expectations of the market u know the rest of the story.

so for pe ratio, the lower the better. buying companies with pe ratios that are high is riskier than buying companies with low pe ratios.
Always remember to compare only companies in the same sector when comparing and evaluating stocks.

A small note on dividend yield i ommitted in my earlier post is that if the dividend as i said remains relatively stable at for example N1 per share and the price increases, as i explained the dividend yield drops and that may help to identify stocks that are or becoming overvalued at that price

Kudos for the tutorial. On PE ratios, may I kindly ask: Which is more prudent to use, the TRAILING PE or the PROJECTED PE? For a growth stock like C & I Leasing a friend is even ready to buy at N10- N12 today considering what he believes are the potentials of the company. And yet he is looking at a 24 month from now. Don't you think he will be proved right sometime soon? And also many I see are using 30 as standard PE for the insurance industry considering also the new WIND that is blowing within that sector. What is safe? Trailing PE or Projected PE?
Oya, we are listening. Thanks
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 10:32pm On Jan 03, 2008
yodiyokun:

What does reporting season have to do with anything?

My point is after you extract all your profit - what will you buy? thats my point. I don't want to sell the remaining stock I have and then sit on 100% cash ke?

I doubt it as well that the insurance will make it past next week - Niger insurance already started losing above 4% yesterday and also lost today - so the loosing has already start.

Yodi,
I don't agree with your reference to Niger Insurance. it is losing because their 3rd quarter PAT of 457m fell short of expectation. What is 457m in 9 months for a whole Niger Insurance when common STACO de make 609m in 9 months?

No so I think am
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 8:48pm On Jan 02, 2008
Hi Madam Windy,

It's nice to see you on board again.  Wish you a blessed 2008.  Can we ever stop nagging you!  I see AG Leventis closed today at 5.35.  Do you still see it as a good entry point for a 9 month outlook?  Wish you can give us the gist about this stock once again.

You are welcome.
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 5:35pm On Jan 02, 2008
For a 9-month investment from now which of the following would you choose and why?


C I Leasing
Vitafoam
BOC Gas
R T Briscoe
Nig German Chem
Law Union
Diamond Bank
7Up Bottling
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 5:29pm On Jan 02, 2008
pumping777:

So far, Ikeja Hotels does not maintain a premium PE like some other stocks. This may not happen until a consistent high growth rate is established.

With the information we know right now, I think the stock does not have so much more room short term to rise. Long term, the full year results may make things happen.

Thanks Pumping,

That's why you exceptional in this forum. Keep your great values up. Regards
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 4:24pm On Jan 02, 2008
Hi Pumping,

I can see you online.  You are welcome from the brief holiday.

Just a brief question.  i can see that Ikeja Hotels looks undervalued at the present price.  What do you think?
Kind regards
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 1:28pm On Dec 22, 2007
Afrinvest

Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 12:28pm On Dec 22, 2007
egoldman:

i see , you got some link for the oceanic results ?

OCEANIC Full Year
2007  Turn Over  74.9bn  PAT  17.5bn
2006  Turn Over  44.6bn  PAT   9.2bn
88.59% PAT growth

BETA GLASS 3rd Quarter
2007  Turn Over 5.4bn  PAT  N514m
2006  Turn Over 3.6bn  PAT  N235m
118.7%PAT growth

Men it looks cool to me
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 12:28pm On Dec 22, 2007
egoldman:

i see , you got some link for the oceanic results ?

OCEANIC
2007 Turn Over 74.9bn PAT 17.5bn
2006 Turn Over 44.6bn PAT 9.2bn
88.59% PAT growth

BETA GLASS
2007 Turn Over 5.4bn PAT N514m
2006 Turn Over 3.6bn PAT N235m
118.7%PAT growth

Men it looks cool to me
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 12:18pm On Dec 22, 2007
No seems to be talking about the yesterday release of OCEANIC BANK Full Year Result and the excellent 3rd quarter result of BETA GLASS. They for me hold some prospects
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 2:22pm On Dec 15, 2007
ckenneths:

@Mr. Risky, I will vote for the insurance sector to do a 100 % next year. Lets hear what Pumping 777 will have to say to this.


ckenneths,
I seem to share your sentiments that the Insurance Sector will perform 100%. I have lately become scared of them, going by my recent experience with Crusader. A major claim can wipe out the whole profit of any of them in just one quarter. Crusader recorded 593m in its halfyear result only to regress in its 3rd quarter result to 572!!!!!!!!!!! Assuming there is another major claim waiting, investors are simply left with virtually nothing to expect unless prices cascading to the south! That experience really scared me. Do these insruance companies have a hedge against this kind of experience?

What is pushing the Chemical and Allied sector? They seem to be moving, name it, CAP and Niger German Chemicals, and there still appears to be great potentials for them to perform well in the coming year.

I seem poised for banks that would expand their reaches to other African countries and even beyond. Yes, there is great market in Nigeria, but the catchment is the challenge, and that will not improve until the financial system is finetuned to make banking necessary for most transactions. That makes me think that with the passing years, the banks will might have a limit to their growth potentials.

So Ken, what are your picks against the first quarter of 2008?

I have been amassing NGC and hope to do more of C & I Leasing. They have great prospects going forward. And Bank PHB aggressiveness will see them through, I seem to have this faith, hence I will go pick from the floor. I am no longer interested in any PO whether under priced or not, my experience with FBN is biting, not having received over half a million naira returned!
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 12:58pm On Dec 15, 2007
Hi Pumping777 and the House,

Point blank, which sector do you think will do it, I mean give more than 75%, during the first and second quarters of 2008? Can we discuss this please. And Pumping777 remember millions here respect your opinion a lot. Regards
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 6:04pm On Dec 14, 2007
crazyT:


Yes o, my broker told me today that First Bank has returned my money.


I AM EARNESTLY looking forward to that "MIRACLE".  That GT Bank is a great stock is not in doubt, that they will make N10bn in the 4th quarter will come to me as a miracle.  

One really needs to look down down into the goings on there.  Are they losing market stream?  Are they firm on the competition lane?  Bank PHB is racing up to them, and may overtake if care is not taken.  2008 and beyond will tell the true story of the bank that has come to terms with the reality on ground.  Zenith has seen it coming, hence they are coming out again now.  What is delaying Access 2nd quarter result?  And Intercontinental recording a higher turnover in 2nd quarter than 3rd quarter result of GTB   Amazing but not surprising.

I am not really poised to go into a long argument over this, the future holds the story!
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 3:20pm On Dec 14, 2007
kpineo:

Attached is the UBA stockbroker report on closing bid and offers. will try to keep everyone updated once it comes through daily.


@kpineo,

My brother kpineo, thanks so much for the UBA daily market position. Can you please include me in your mailing list for that report. I need it to speculate big time. I don look chart tire, my eyes wan blind at age 30! Help I need that UBA daily market report, please. Thanks


My email is elvis.onaghise@intelservices.com

I have here boldened my mail address. Please get in touch. Regards
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 3:18pm On Dec 14, 2007
@kpineo,

My brother kpineo, thanks so much for the UBA daily market position. Can you please include me in your mailing list for that report. I need it to speculate big time. I don look chart tire, my eyes wan blind at age 30! Help I need that UBA daily market report, please. Thanks


My email is elvis.onaghise@intelservices.com

I have here boldened my mail address. Please get in touch. Regards
Investment / Re: Stock Market Tips For Nigerians by MrRisky: 1:21pm On Dec 14, 2007
This GDR thing is already worrying GTB. Diamond is on the line too!

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