₦airaland Forum

^^^^^^FACT!!

I think the reason is that the Buhari supporters happen to be very negative, aggressive and intolerant of other peoples choices and this article aptly describes them, so naturally they wouldn't agree with it.

odiaero:
Brazilian investor, $100bn, am i the only one seeing this? even the world richest man dont have that amount of money

You don't understand the way business works!!!
First the Brazilian investor for PROINFA, CAP is not a person. It is an investment Fund with billions of dollars in infrastructure investment to its credit!
Secondly, such an investment would not be made in one fell swoop! It would be made installmentally.

That kind of money in the hands of the private sector would go a long way in changing our power fortunes dramatically!!!

Lagosboy:
Could i have a back up for the bolded please.

How will PDP influence this coumminity leaders in the SW when 3 out of the 6 states int SW are in the hands of the ACN. Oyo is only between GEJ and Buhari as acknowledged by Akala himself . It is only Ondo state that might go to GEJ and the voters pouplation is small.

The game changer is LAgos and Oyo state. Perhaps only 20% of Lagos population will you call rural and majority of Lagos residents are hearing about Buhari, most of them are enlightened and aware of what is happening. They will vote Fashola because they have seen good things, some will vote Ribadu and[b] some will vote Buhari[/b]. PDP has no chance in LAgos, they have never and will never win even 15% of the votes.

Lagosboy, Are you really on ground in Lagos?? Please ask fellow Lagosians because from my own widespread discussions, Buhari doesn't stand a slim chance in Lagos except maybe amongst the Hausa community. The only other place Buhari has some significant followership is amongst internet users.
In the rest of the south west,especially in the rurals, it is either ACN or PDP.Urbanites with large muslim popul;ations like Ibadan, Shagamu and maybe Ogbomosho would try for Buhari, but not significantly.
Have you noticed that the Jonathan camp is spending more time attacking Ribadu than Buhari? Buhari chances in the SW  are slim, so they are not too bothered about him here.

@OAM4J
Forget it, it didn't work. I'm on ground. I speak to everybody possible on a regular to get feelers and I must say that Bkare has not impacted the pentecostal voter. His impact has been strong amongst young internet users, but surely not amongst the older pentecostal voters.

The magazine below says it all!!" Redeemed pastors blast Bakare- Say don't drag Adeboye into your lies"

9ijaMan:
A good move from the evil genius. All I need to do is to say thank you to IBB, for clearing the air for us all.
IBB is GEJ's adopted father and now an endorser of Ribadu. SUrely Ribadu stands to loose more than he'll ever gain from an IBB endorsement.

Wrong. Its Buhari who suffers in Niger Stae from an IBB endorsement of Ribadu. Ribadu might loose some voters in the south west, but it would only favour GEJ and not Buhari.

[size=14pt]Brazilian Investor Offers $100bn for 23 Power Plants
[/size]

By Chika Amanze-Nwachuku and Ejiofor Alike

As 331 local and foreign companies submit Expressions of Interest (EoIs) to the Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE) to acquire majority stakes in Nigeria’s electricity infrastructure, a Brazilian investor has proposed $100 billion to take over majority stakes in the entire 23 power plants slated for privatisation under the ongoing reform of the power sector.

On the transmission side, Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd (PGCIL) said it would submit a revised offer for the management of Nigeria’s electricity grid to be constructed at a cost of $3.5 billion.

THISDAY gathered that this special offer by the Brazilian firm, PROINFRA, was not part of the interest expressed to the BPE by the other 331 companies.

Under the BPE exercise, Essar, an Indian conglomerate; Tata Group, also of India; and ContourGlobal of the United States were among the 331 companies jostling to have the majority stakes in the power generating companies.

BPE had revealed that 174 applications were received from investors interested in acquiring the four thermal stations and the two hydro stations, while 157 prospective applicants expressed their interests in acquiring the 11 distribution companies.

Essar was said to have expressed interest to invest over $2 billion for a generating capacity of at least 2,000 megawatts, an equivalent of two-thirds of the country’s current average electricity output.

But outside the BPE arrangement, the Brazilian investor has proposed a $100 billion special offer to acquire the majority stakes in the entire plants.

Minister of State for Power, Mr. Nuhu Wya, told THISDAY Sunday that the special offer was a demonstration of the success of the ongoing power reform and the confidence of foreign investors in the reform agenda.

Wya stated that at the various investors’ fora held in London and other cities in the world to showcase the numerous opportunities in Nigeria’s power sector, the foreign investors demonstrated an unprecedented level of enthusiasm in the reform.

“A company in Brazil offerred $100 billion to take over 23 power stations across the country and this is outside BPE bid,” he said.

Wya, who urged electricity workers and their various unions to support the privatisation process, also reminded them that they would be the greatest beneficiary of a reformed power sector.

He assured the workers that the new investors would look out for the best among them to run the plants, instead of bringing workers from outside the sector.

“Nobody, no wise business man, will do that; no wise business man will like to let off anybody. Nobody will come and say that he wants to sack anybody. I, for one, will not do that and I believe that I am a successful business man. I will not do that because without human resources, whatever machines you put in place will be in vain,” he said.

The minister also stated that discussions were still ongoing over the successor companies of the Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN), adding that no final decisions had been taken to hand over the plants to the core investors.

“We want to be as transparent as possible. We don’t have any hidden agenda. This is one thing with this administration. What we want is to ensure that we improve power supply in this country for the benefit of all Nigerians,” he added.

BPE had between December 13 and 20, 2010, published advertorials in local and foreign media inviting prospective core investors to express interest in the 11 distribution companies unbundled from PHCN.

It also invited prospective core investors to express interest in the four thermal power stations and as concessionaires for the two hydro power stations. The initial deadline for receipt of the EoIs, which was Friday, February 18, this year, was extended to Friday, March 4, 2011, following representations by prospective investors, who attended the five-city Electric Power Investors’ Forum that attracted world class investors willing to participate in the privatisation exercise.

Meanwhile, Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd (PGCIL) has said it will submit a revised offer for the management of Nigeria’s electricity grid.

The Indian state-run power giant was among the three companies shortlisted by the BPE during a 2007 bidding round for the management of the Transimis-sion Company of Nigeria (TCN).

The other two were Canada's Manitoba Hydro and Electricity Supply Board of Ireland.

Under the power roadmap, electricity generation and distribution would be privatised, while the Federal Government will continue to own the national grid but its management will be privatised.

PowerGrid said in a report on its website yesterday that the Nigerian government had called for revised offers for the management of the national grid, after enhancing the scope of the project.

A senior executive of the company was quoted in the report as saying the deal would be finalised in the next two to three months.

“We expect to bag the deal in next two to three months,” said the unnamed company executive.

Top executives of the company last month met with Wya to restate the company’s interest in the management of the TCN.

Indian High Commissioner to Nigeria, Mahesh Sachdev, who led the delegation of representatives from PGCIL and India's National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) to Wya’s office in Abuja, said the delegation had come to restate its commitment to work for the improvement of Nigeria’s transmission system for faster economic transformation.

He said: "India and Nigeria could be economic talking points of the globe in the next decade if they work together and appropriately deploy their surplus natural and human gifts.”

PGCIL had said on its website recently that it was the lowest bidder amongst the three parties that submitted offers for management of Nigeria's transmission company.

"We had been short-listed two to three years back, but there had been delays and now we have been named the lowest bidder," PGCIL Chairman S K Chaturvedi said.

PowerGrid Corp. had in 2007 won a three-year contract to manage Nigeria's electricity transmission network. The arrangement then, would see Nigeria pay the company $5.1 million in fees to manage the ailing network, which had suffered from decades of neglect. Ireland's state-run ESB International was the runner-up bidder, at $7.6 million, while Canadian Manitoba Hydro entered the highest bid at $8.5 million.

However, the Indian utility company was declared the preferred bidder as sources said, government was interested in seeing the ailing company managed by foreign experts with technical competence.

"PowerGrid Corporation of India is hereby declared the preferred bidder," said a member of the NCP, Mohammed Hayatudeen, at an official bid opening ceremony conducted in 2007.

The deal, which was subject to approval by the NCP, had been delayed due to the non-implementation of the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Act, which was passed in 2005.

The Act set up a sector regulator, stripped the PHCN of its monopoly and unbundled its grid into six generation companies and 11 distribution firms.

To revive the power sector, President Goodluck Jonathan, in August last year, launched the power roadmap. The PHCN’s generating plants as well as 11 distribution companies were slated for sale to private investors.

In a related development, the BPE has issued the requirement for the next stage of the privatisation process. The BPE boss, Ms. Bolanle Onagoruwa, said on receipt of Information Memorandum and Request for Proposal, pre-qualified bidders would be given access to physical and e-data room; would be able to carry out physical due diligence; would be issued with draft copies of the Multi-Year Tariff Order (MYTO); would be encouraged to submit comments on MYTO; and Bidder comments on MYTO would be subject of conference to be organised by sector regulator, Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission.

She pointed out that the objectives of the electric power sector reform were to increase electrification; ensure cost reflective tariffs; attract private sector investments into the sector; create competitive electricity market; induce investments in new power generation facilities; rehabilitate existing power generation facilities; improve efficiency by increasing collections; reduce costs and technical and non-technical losses; and improve customer service. The BPE said the firms would be shortlisted and the requests for proposal sent to the successful ones.

The core investor sales to be carried out through international competitive bidding will cover the 11 electricity distribution companies in the country.

They are Abuja Electricity Distribution Company Plc; Benin Electricity Distribution Company Plc; Enugu Electricity Distribution Company Plc; Eko Electricity Distribution Company Plc; Ibadan Electricity Distribution Company Plc; and Ikeja Electricity Distribution Company Plc.

Others are Jos Electricity Distribution Company Plc; Kaduna Electricity Distribution Company Plc; Kano Electricity Distribution Company Plc; Port Harcourt Electricity Distribution Company Plc; and Yola Electricity Distribution Company Plc.

The Federal Government had stated that the national electricity grid would be jointly financed with the private sector and development agencies. The BPE said once the bid was finalised, the management of the new super grid, expected to boost electricity generating capacity to over 14,000 megawatts (MW) by the end of 2013, would be handed over to the successful firm by the end of the year.



http://www.thisdaylive.com/articles/brazilian-investor-offers-100bn-for-23-power-plants/88571/

sbeezy8:
what do you mean Pentecostal voters? what of Catholics. Anglicans and Ifa orisha worshippers?

In the south west they(pentecostal voters) are huge in multi millions!! When they hold night vigils the whole of Lagos/Ibadan expressway is blocked for days!! Thats why you see all the presidential candidates running to pay visits to Adeboye!!

If it were in the south east, we would be talking about catholic voters!!

I have been asking everybody I know in Lagos and the only answer I get is either GEJ or Ribadu. Buhari is not popular here at all. I suspect that is why he is not even bothering to campaign here. Most Lagosians think Buhari is the ANPP candidate.

Lagosboy:
Buhari will perform a lot better in the SW compared to what people think. Bakare has been in the SW for the last week fighing hard and working hard to garner support. That is why youhave not seen him in the Northern campaings last week.

However, the campaign in the SW could be better but money is an important factor in Nigerian politics. Buhari does not have it but had done tremendously well, Brand Buhari is a wonderful brand breaking barriers never seen before in Nigerian politics.

Jonathan cannot get 40% of SW votes and in fact PDP cannot get 20% of the votes. The SW votes will be split between Ribadu and Buhari.

Int he north East as well , especially in Adamawa Buhari will do better than people think and Buba Marwa is campaigning well for himself and for Buhari over there.

I want you to ask yourself this simple question: How will people in the rural areas of the south west who constitute over 60% of those registered, vote for Buhari when they haven't even heard that he is runningThey don't know his party name. They don't know anything about corruption. Neither do they read newspapers to hear all the looting that PDP engages in.
There is only one way to reach rural voters- It is through their community leaders. These community leaders get financial support from Local Government Chairmen. PDP has mastered the art of using Local Government Chairmen as party structures to garner rural votes. These are some of the places where Jonathan would score the highest votes that would give him a chunk of South West. The other factor is the evangelicals from redeemed, Winners, MFM and the like. They all support Jonathan.

KnowAll:
I believe in a true free and fair election, Team BB would trounce ACN in the Presidential Elections in Lagos State. The Momentum in Lagos is gathering storm, and it would surprise a lot of people when the coalition of pentecostal voters unleash their mules, it would be a reminiscent of one those every Friday revivals in Messrs Adeboye's Life camp.

ACN would however clear the other elections , Governor,Assembly men both state and federal.

Where did you get that thinking from Pentecostal voters are Buhari's number one problem in the south west!! Bakare made the biggest mistake 2 years ago when he came on the press and lambasted Adeboye, Kumuyi and Oyedepo. Most pentecostal Christians I've talked to are of the opinion that Bakare is a traitor and is against the church!!

Team BB's only hope in Lagos is the Hausa community. Sadly, majority of them didn't register to vote for fear of arrest as they are not Nigerians- they come from Chad, Niger, Mali, etc!!

appletango:
1) Gej will not win as many votes as you are predicting in the North following the loss of the NPLC. His support there is literally non existent. May I repeat again, the loss of NPLF was a HAMMER BLOW).

2) Buhari will do just fine in the South West. The region is made up of 60% muslims. These muslims go to mosques. These mosques act as the best form of political mobalisation. The Bakare factor shouldn't be underplayed as well.

BB is fine. Trust me.

You mean the North West. But just a reminder, the North is large and has a very huge Christian population who because of the Jos crises have decided to put an end to the Hausa Fulani domination of the region. Plateau, Benue, Taraba are all full time Christian states. Adamawa, Kogi, Kwara, Nassarawa, Niger and Kaduna all have christains dominating at least half the population of the states and would be voting Jonathan!! The Jos crises is the game changer in this election and it favours Jonathan incredibly!!


The southwest is officially recorded as 25% muslim. I don't know where you got your dream of 60% from!!

Onlytruth:
@PapaBrowne

I honestly don't see how Buhari gets more than 5% in South East. He may get 10% in South south due to Edo state factor.
GEJ's support in SE is total and cuts across all spectrum of society. Same pattern will be repeated among Igbos throughout Nigeria.

I know. Buhari would not score up to 5% in the south south and south east. GEJ would probably score as high as 90%. As I stated, I upped Buhari's socres to show that even in the best case scenario, he would still fall short by over 4 million. In a more realistic scenario, based on the realities on ground, Jonathan would give Buhari an over 8 million wide margin!!

Simon Kolawole is Thisday Editor and has a regular column behind Thisday Newspapers every Sunday


One of my favourite pastimes, if you care, is listening to Nigerians discuss their leaders. It is always interesting. It has become more interesting with the advent of internet blogsites where people say whatever they want—whether or not it is true, whether or not it makes sense. Just write whatever you like. It’s a free world. Abuse anybody. Insult a whole ethnic group and call them a bunch of parasites or scammers or cowards. Have fun. All is fair. Some blogsites are so negative you can never read any positive comments there. If you try to make reasonable contributions, the way others would swoop on you would make you realise you don’t belong to that community. 

As Dr. Wale Adebanwi wrote many years ago, “it is treasonable to be reasonable in an unreasonable society”. Those bloggers want blood and it is only blood that can satisfy them. If you live outside Nigeria and rely on this platform to make up your mind, you will conclude that there is no hope for this country. Everybody in Nigeria is a thief. Everybody is incompetent. Everybody is hopeless. No governor is doing well. No minister is doing well. No commissioner is doing well. Everybody is a rogue from head to toe. Nothing is working in Nigeria. It is Armageddon everywhere. Nothing good can ever come out of this country. These would be your conclusions.

As we get closer to the presidential election—which is considered to be the most critical—I have taken time to observe the comments being passed on the candidates by the various segments of the society, both on internet and non-internet platforms. I find those comments quite amusing. At the end of the day, nobody is fit to be president of Nigeria! Maybe we would have to go and plead for the Pope to take over—that is if the Pope himself is good enough! Nigerians take the candidates one after the other and tear them to pieces. What exactly do we want?

President Goodluck Jonathan, they say, is too soft, too humble. I heard people criticise him for allowing governors in his party, Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), to hold him to ransom in the days before the presidential primary. He should have insisted on having his way on the order of primaries! He should have used the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) to deal with them! This was the same reason President Olusegun Obasanjo was vilified—for using the EFCC against his political opponents. So what exactly do we want? Jonathan is also accused of not solving all of Nigeria’s problems since he became president last year. We expect him to, in one year, build all the roads that were not built in 50 years, magically turn around the education sector that collapsed systematically for decades, provide uninterrupted power supply that has been our headache for decades and so on and so forth. Because he has not done these, then he is not qualified to be president. Don’t vote for him!

On the other hand, Major General Muhammadu Buhari, the presidential candidate of the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), is guilty of being too straightforward! He is not a politician! He is too rigid! He is a dictator! He belongs to the past! His ideas are archaic! So don’t vote for Buhari! Malam Ibrahim Shekarau of the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) has not achieved anything in his life! He is a religious extremist! He is just a smooth talker because of his teaching background! Don’t vote for Shekarau! What exactly do we want?
Malam Nuhu Ribadu of the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) is too inexperienced to rule Nigeria! He has never contested for any political office before so he has no chance! He was Obasanjo’s attack dog with which the former president whipped his political opponents! He’s an associate of corrupt politicians! Don’t vote for Ribadu! We also dismiss Professor Pat Utomi, the candidate of Social Democratic Mega Party (SDMP), with a wave of the hand. Let him go and contest as a senator first! He is wasting his time! He can only speak good English! He has nothing more to offer! Nigerians, what exactly do we want?

To be honest, I myself also say some of these things once in a while, but at the back of my mind, I always recognise the absolute reality of life that we can never get a perfect person to rule Nigeria. We can never have a designer president. There is no perfect candidate anywhere. But I also accept that some of these questions and issues being raised are legitimate and should actually be raised in a democratic setting, for the sake of getting quality leaders to pilot our affairs. However, I believe we are so negative that we hardly see anything good in others. We must accept the undeniable fact that whoever emerges president will have one weakness or the other, one fault or the other.

My resolve, which I would love to recommend to Nigerians, is that we have to constructively engage whoever wins the presidential election. We have to devise ways, in our various corners, to help in the governance process, so that our dear country can progress. If our real interest is the development of Nigeria, it shouldn’t matter to us if our preferred candidate wins or not. Somebody must win and somebody must lose. Rather, we should be concerned with how we can make sure good governance is delivered to Nigerians within the realities we find ourselves. We must pursue our aspirations for Nigeria within this natural fact: that we would never produce a perfect president. Such is life.


http://www.thisdaylive.com/articles/pope-or-president-choose-one/88520/


I totally agree with Simon on this one. Nairaland would have been a major influencer of the Nigerian political scene if we used our power right!! But it is viewed by the world as a site for angry children to come off and throw very denigrating punches at both the government and each other. If only all the tribalism and insults could cease and we can change our complaints to positive action, Nigeria would be better for it!!

Abagworo:
I wonder why people fail to understand IBB.He belongs to GEJ's camp just like Atiku and OBJ.They are looking for ways to divide Buhari's Northern vote and it will not work.

I wonder where in the South Buhari has not penetrated when majority of Southerners on Nairaland are now on his side.

Abagworo, you are too smart to make this comment naaaa?? Nairaland The south Abeg naaa?? Say something else!! Most southerners don't even know the name of Buhari's party. Those that know think he is in ANPP!! I spoke to someone this week and the person was like "So Buhari is running ke'" Everyother candidate's advert is on TV except Buhari!!

Sai Buhari!! Sai Sharia!!
I would really like Sharia to be implemented in the South West! We need it for equity, justice and fairplay. It will help reduce crime rate. Imagine all the girls in Lagos all covered up with Hijabs!! Rape and STDs would reduce dramatically!!

That's another reason we should all vote Buhari! He would hasteen the implementation of Shari!!

Sai Buhari, Sai Sharia!!!

[quote author=ndu_chucks link=topic=629894.msg7996477#msg7996477 date=1301237372]Indeed. More importantly, the voters who make up the bulk of the mamoth crowds at BB rallies are not included in the polls either, for obvious reasons.

I'm sure GEJ and PDP fully understand that massive rigging will not be accepted by Nigerians this time around. Note additionally that a subtantial percentage of BB supporters who show up at CPC rallies are unemployed youths, many of who cannot afford decent meals/housing, talk less fees to access the internet. These are the same or similar groups of people who have brought Mubarak and others to their knees.

Anyone who thinks the kind of revolt taking place in Libya cannot happen in Nigeria should think again. If GEJ and PDP rig this elections, even the millitary will not come to the aid of GEJ and his thieving buddies.  

When the kinds of crowd which have become symbolic of BB rallies, match to the national assembly and Aso rock, then it will dawn on these desperate politicians that, its a new day in Nigeria.  Foolish GEJ and his thieving friends may lead Nigeria to hell sai Allah ya tamaike mu.[/quote]But all the scenario analysis carried out by even BB supporters suggest that Buhari is not likely win the popular vote given his inability to garner enough non-northern votes! So the big question then is, when Buhari loses, how do we prevent these jobless youths you've talked about from going on rampage and killing Christians?? Don't you think this is a national security issue that should be discussed in depth??

Wadeoye:
Also Buhari is leading on all internet based polls - on NL, on Nigeria decide, etc. The polls were specific - "who will you vote for?" not "who do you think will win?" In Nigeria because votes have not been counting, many Nigerians (literates and illiterates) believe that power of incumbency can change the direction of the election to favor the sitting president. so if a person responds "yes" to the later question, it doesnt mean the person like Jonathan/PDP or that he will vote for PDP.

The thing with internet polls is that majority of the voters reside outside Nigeria and wouldn't be participating in the elections!!

If you are an investor, you would bank with GEJ, because you are certain of a huge return on your investment!!!

Buhari would help you protect your income but he wouldn't improve on it!!

Ribadu would give your money to Tinubu!!

kcjazz:
Constrained by money and time, the best bet is to consolidate his base while he works behind the scenes to get independent votes in the South. Compared to 2003/2007, he has improved on his strategy and using his strenghts greatly. Even Barack did not win in all states based on the fact that you can't change perception and voters mind with all the money in the world. The best you can do is focus and not alienate your base. If we were talking about popular votes and numbers, he would be leading, it only gets tricky because of the 1/3rd constitutional requirement.

I don't think it is faulty, its a resource issue and based on what he has, he has done well

The figures everywhere do not suggest that he would lead the popular votes!! I used very unrealistic figures to prop up Buhari's potential and yet he falls short by over 4 million votes. In a more realistic scenario, the gap between himself and Jonathan is looking like 7-8 million votes.
I must say though, that the man has done great! With little or no resources, he started a brand new party that is shaking the fabrics of the 2011 elections!! I am proud of him!! Just that NEARLY has never killed a bird!!

Buhari fever is everywhere both here on Nairaland, other sites on the internet and across the core North. The crowds are so inspiring and the passion from his supporters is almost electrifying. It appears like an evangelical crusade with hopes of a great revival! You see the crowds and you think Obama!!

And because of these, he will NEARLY become President. But I've been told from childhood that NEARLY [/b]can never kill a bird. Buhari's strategy would only [b]NEARLY [/b]make him President! [b]His failure would come from the strategic blunder that encourages his campaign to focus all its energies on his strong base which is the Core North and totally ignore the South where he is weak!

In designing strategy, whether its for business, politics or development, common sense demands that you focus your resources on either reducing your weaknesses or converting your threats to strengths and opportunities. While Its important to consolidate your strengths, you can never grow by focusing your resources on those already maximized strengths!

Since Buhari already has a stranglehold of the  Core North, if he were to improve his fortunes, he needed to focus his resources on gaining more votes from especially the South West and even if its just a little from the South East and South South!!
He should have applied what I term the "confrontational strategy" which is what Obama used in winning hitherto Republican states!!

But no. His campaign is restricted to the north. There are no radio jingles, no TV adverts, no posters, no party structures in the south! Nothing of that nature is seen anywhere in the south! By ignoring these meduims, he has missed out on rural voters which interestingly constitute about 70% of registered voters. These folks have no internet and have no exposure to newspapers and have probably never heard of CPC!!!

The table below reveals in numbers, the consequences of Buhari's faulty strategy. It unrealistically exaggerates Buhari's chances and Diminishes GEJ's chances. Yet Buhari falls short by over 4 million votes for failing to garner enough votes in the South!!


                Total(Millions)         BUHARI                       GEJ                         RIBADU                        SHEKARAU   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------                                               
NW                 19.8                    65%= 12.9m               20%= 4.0m               5%=  1.0m                     10%= 2.0m

NE                  10.7                    60%=   6.4m               25%=  2.7m               5%=  0.5m                    10%= 1.1m

NC                  10.6                    30%=   3.2m               50%=  5.3m             15%=  1.6m                     5%= 0.5m

SW                 14.2                    20%=   2.8m                40%= 5.7m             40%=  5.7m                        xxxxxx

SE                    7.5                    10%=   0.7m                80%= 6.0m             10% = 0.7m                        xxxxxx

SS                    9.5                    10%=   0.9m                80%= 7.6m             10%=  0.9m                        xxxxxx

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                73.5                    26.9 Million                  31.3 Million              10.4 Million                         3.4 Million

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
These figures assume 100% turnout which in reality isn't a possibility!!


NB
Kano and Kaduna alone have 9 million votes which constitute over 45% of all North West votes. Sadly, these two states are Buhari's  weakest link in the zone. In Kano, both because of the Shekarau factor and the Igbo population in Sabon Gari. In Kaduna, the Southern Kaduna factor, the Large southern(Igbo and other tribes) population and the Sambo factor!! In the North East, Adamawa and Taraba would be Buhari's undoing. ANPP will steal votes in Yobe and Borno. The North Central Belongs to Jonathan.

If Buhari focused a little extra energy in the South West and improved his showing there , then maybe, just maybe, he would have been able to over come. I understand they are cash strapped, but there is a strategy they would have used to penetrate the South West with their limited resources which I wouldn't reveal here!! Its just amazing how Buhari has bungled this one again!! NEARLY can never kill a bird!!

This is good news!! We need Sharia in the south West!! That is the exact reason we should vote in Buhari so he can hasten the implementation of Sharia. We really need Sharia in the south West!!

Kobojunkie:
Talkless of 10 hours to Ilorin which is about the same length of the journey more than 20 years ago when I used to have to take the train down to Ilorin for school( I remember we used to take the train from Lagos around 8pm and get to the ilorin area station(can't remember the station name) by 5-6am). The journey back was equally a night journey so we could arrive by morning in Lagos the next day.

This is simply an exercise in replacing broken down trains with equivalent speed trains and not necessarily an upgrade of any kind.

If you enjoyed it then, why are U opposed to the idea of others enjoying what you enjoyed So now U've seen a better life in Ohio and you would rather others at home be prevented from enjoying exactly the same service that ensured that you earned an education that accorded you the opportunity to even smell Ohio!!

Mind you, cars of today are not faster than cars that were built 20 years ago!! So I really don't get the point your brain is trying to make!!!

My thoughts--


Ribadu [/b]is a policeman and should remain so!! Give the man Presidency and Nigeria would descend into a state of confusion! I like him well well but he is not a president, he is a policeman. That is my conclusion after watching his pointlessness on the debate!! Cluelessness raise to the power of 50!!

[b]Dele Momudu choose an excellent job when he decided to be an Aristo photographer and give them an opportunity to showcase thier wealth!! H eshould stick to that!! The man was an exciting joke!!

[b]Shekarau [/b]again was the best!! He has a good grasp of Governance. But you get to ask yourself, with all his knowledge, he should have made Kano a wonderment!!
I think though that he is posturing for 2015 which is fair. Come 2015, I might consider voting him!!

This was a boring debate though!!  But I must commend the organisers!! They did good!!


Big question, why was saint Buhari absent GEJ we all know would not be attending!! Why was saint Buhari absent?? Was he afriad he would perform badly again like at the NN24 debate??

If you are voting GEJ,

May your life experience astronomical rising just like that of Goodluck Jonathan.

May you move from your present position to the zenith of your career, just like that of Goodluck Jonathan

May the favor that continues to follow Goodluck Jonathan rub off on you and bring you extraordinary success just like Goodluck Jonathan!!

May you be recognised even in international circles just like Goodluck Joanthan!!

May the dreams and plans of your enemies against you crumble without too much of a fight, just like the dreams and plans of Jonathan's enemies - IBB, Atiku, Gusau and soon to be Buhari crumbled !!!

And finally, I wish you Goodluck in all your endeavors!! Remember,  Good-luck is opportunity meeting preparation and it favours only the brave!!



To Buhari's supporters,

Would I be mean to wish you a life just like that of Buhari?? A life that has known only failure upon failure since August 27th 1985! A life that experiences loses upon loses every 4 years!! And one that would soon have his life long dream put to rest just like Atiku, IBB and Gusau??

Naaa, I'm not that mean!! I wish all Buhari supporters extraordinary Goodluck and an excellent Breathe of Fresh Air!!


A response to this thread:
https://www.nairaland.com/nigeria/topic-630723.0.html

GenBuhari:
papabrowne,
either you are completely unaware of  basic economics and the damage that the Babaginda regime did to our economy or you think you are talking to a bunch of 5 year olds here.

When Buhari took power he met an inflation rate of 39.6% , when he left in the tail end of 1985 (approx Sept 1985), inflation was 5%, Buhari left the our exchange rate at N1.00 =$1.00

Please tell me how you could attribute the inflation rate in 1985 to IBB who came in at the tail end of 1985 and whose policy of devaluing the Naira by 1,700%   would reduce inflation??


Finally PDP especially under OBJ may have had high GDP due to the accident of record high oil prices , but most of the money was looted, PDP could not even provide electricity or reduce crime.

You can not argue with cold hard facts my friend.

Gen Buhari, I understand that you are a hardcore supporter of Buhari, hence you would naturally blind yourself to the truth!! If the economy was great under Buhari, why did the size of our GDP fall throughout the duration of his regime??
The inflation rate you talked about- 39.6% is not what Buhari met!! From your figures, Buhari met 23% inflation rate and after one year in office, he had risen the inflation to 39.6%. You are the one who provided those figures and they are there for every one to see!!
I am an economist and I've more than enough data to show that Nigeria's economy under Buhari was a mess!!
Our GDP per captia fell, our GDP fell, foreign direct investments fell, our international diplomacy collapsed. Infact we had problems with the UK and it was during Buhari's Government that the UK concelled the Visa Free policy for Nigerians!!

All these put together are some of the reasons Nigerians were jubilating when IBB took over power from Buhari!!

10cirenoh:
Is Mohammed Abacha Muhammad Buhari? why are you thinking upside down? i was expecting you to say Muhammad Buhari, but you failed because you know deep inside of you that the man ruled Nigeria well

Was Mohammad abacha ever in a CPC government? has he taken any position under cpc so far so good?

Shame to you and all of the PDP apologists.

Why did you then say PDP?? Why not GEJ!!

Now let me say a prayer for those voting GEJ:

May your life experience the same astronomical rising like that of Goodluck Jonathan.
May you move from you present position to the zenith of you career just like that of Good Luck Jonathan
May the favor that hit Goodluck Jonathan hit you even more!!!

The sad thing is that when the "Sai Buhari" fanatics start killing non Hausa, they wouldn't ask whether or not you were a Buhari supporter!! All they would be interested in is what Language you speak!!

The sad truth is that Buhari would loose a free and fair election because his party lacks structures in the rural areas and there would be problem in Northern Nigeria afterwards. They would cause mayhem and Buhari would see himself as another Quattarra but he would be shocked this time because the foreign powers that be would have nothing to do with him!!

10cirenoh:
Gosh!!! people can fit lie.


"For Nigerians who will be voting for PDP at any level in next month elections; may all your lives be RUN the way the PDP has been RUNNING Nigeria for the past I2years, AMEN"-- ABS UMAR

How about your own life be run the way CPC members like Mohammed Abacha ran things with all the mafia style executions and massive lootings he perpertuated!!

kodewrita:
PapaBrowne, My own interpretation is a bit different.
I see the effect of war on GDP at the beginning.

I can see a country in hiatus under babangida oscillating about its lowest mean since 1980.

I can see the net effect of Democracy on GDP.

And finally, at the tail end,  I can see the effect of the Yaradua-Jonathan presidency.

Correct me if I am wrong

Yeah, the war in 1970 did have a minuscule effect on GDP, but that was long before Buhari came to power. If you observe, we had a decline from 1980 after Shagari took over but that was as a result of a decline in oil prices and this was the reason Buhari gave for truncating our democracy. Under Buhari, Nigeria lost a chunk of its GDP and we crashed from over $30 Bilion to 20 something Billion dollars!!

That net effect of democracy that you see was managed by the PDP led government!!

At the tail end, the effect you see is the world Financial crisis. If the figure for 2010 was added you would see an instant spike in the graph and you can give Jonathan sole credit for that!!

texazzpete:
I hate it when you people come here to lie to us.
Is it not the same GEJ that moves around flanked by people like Anenih and Bode George? Is it not the same GEJ that sent a delegation to welcome Bode George? Is it not the same GEJ that handed over national awards to undeserving Nigerians like Patricia Etteh? Is it not the same GEJ that has flooded Aso Rock with special assistants funded by Taxpayers money?
Isn't it the same GEJ that scored people like Alao Akala and Gbenga Daniel high?

Feel free to join the ranks of the retrogressives and vote for PDP in April. But don't come here to tell these easily dispelled lies.

What would you say about CPC who has Mohammed Abacha, an evil personified son of a dictator, as the Governership candidate of what should be their largest state!!! Lets cut this crap. CPC is a violent ethnic party! Big question: if Buhari was not on CPC would you vote for the party?? Would you vote any CPC candidates in any capacity in your state

Solomon227:
If that is all you see in GEJ campaign strategy then you have not seen anything and you go need lens. Where were u when GEJ was alleged by Pat to be using 100 million Naira daily to fund his campaign? GEJ has bribed PDP delegates, bribed Okada, bribed musicians, bribed Nollywood actors and actresses;that is the only thing his campaign rely on. The first Lady was dolling out money like pancake today, another furtherance of the strategy. The only place GEJ, throughout his rally, has been received with popular showing was in Port-Harcourt and that was even when many lives have been lost.

If he is spending Billions like he is doing and he is being stoned in the NE, walked-out-on in the NW, hated in SW for lousy remarks and could not even pull a decent crowd in the NC so where did u see the pass-mark u have been dishing out to the mediocre?

BB with almost nothing have shown us what the ultimate value of a man is. Wait till April 9 and see levels. Do you think people are blind and dumb?


[size=24pt]Vote Buhari-Bakare 2011[/size] for the future of our children

Forget all these sentimental campaigns!! It might work for Europeans and some elite Nigerians, but not for the real voters in Nigeria!!

The opposition has shot itself in the foot for missing out on this debate!!
90% of Nigerians don't know and have never heard the word NN24. Another 95% of Nigerians didn't watch the debate on NN24. To put things in perspective only 400,000 people own DSTV in Nigeria. And most of them watch only Supersport and Africa Magic.
My sister is a Medical doctor- she had never heard of NN24 until recently, talkless of a market woman, taxi driver or bricklayer. But they all have NTA or one of those other Nigerian stations that would air the BON debate!! They would watch Jonathan debate with the likes of Utomi , John Dara and Chris Okotie. Jonathan would be all smiles and the masses would again fall for his seemingly humble charm!!

This is a grave mistake on the part of the opposition!!