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Borno/Maiduguri M. C./Bolori I/Tsoho Mai Kwano I Election Type: Sen INEC Officials' Arrival: Late Voters Material's Availability: Yes Voting: On time Vote Counting: Late Results' Announcement: Late Violence: No Fraud: No Police Behaviour: Helpful Result: ANPP=47 CPC=56 PDP=274 OTHERS=Nil Kano/Fagge/Fagge B/Fagge Sps Xiii Election Type: Rep INEC Officials' Arrival: On time Voters Material's Availability: Yes Voting: Vote Counting: Yes Results' Announcement: Yes Violence: No Fraud: No Police Behaviour: Helpful Result: acn=5 anpp=31 cpc=37 mppp=1 pdp=48 |
To be fair and objective, I think PDP had done poorly in most areas!! They've performed horribly in Education, power, security, Health,road infrastructure and any other index you would use!! But there are three areas you cannot take away from them: Telecoms, Banking & Finance, Economy!! They done excellently in these three areas! The graph below says it all!!
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Giving Adamawa and Kaduna to Buhari doesn't tally with the facts on ground. Adamawa is a triple race btw PDP, ACN and CPC with PDP likely pull the largest showing because of the three way split. Kaduna has three factors- Large southern population, Sambo factor, Kaduna South factor. Buhari will score well in Kaduna but is not like to win. It is important to note that of the 19.8 million votes in the north west, Kano and Kaduna, which happen to be Buhari's weakest links in the zone, constitute 45% of the total voters with almost 9 million. Shekarau consumes a large chunk of the votes in Kano. In the south west, from feelers I'm getting, GEJ would carry the day, except maybe in Ekiti state. Ondo is safe for Jonathan! Buhari would get a good number in Oyo. Ogun, Jonathan. I don't know about Osun. Lagos is voting Jonathan, but Ribadu would do very well. Buhari would struggle in Lagos, but would get at least 10% |
LFJ:Is it by sheer coincidence that all the folks on the list are from the same ethnic group with the Vice Presidential candidate of the one whom they support So much for non-sentimentalism! |
COMPETENCE Lets start by defining competence. Competence is "The state or quality of being adequately or well qualified". So your question is basically asking if Jonathan is well qualified for the job. We can use three widely accepted criteria to assess his competence. One is Performance [/b]on given tasks. The second is[b] Peer Review. And the third is[b] Vision and Plans[/b]! On this page, I will focus on Performance! Performance When Jonathan came into power, he promised to deliver on three critical areas which include- Niger Delta, Electrical Power and Electoral reforms. http://234next.com/csp/cms/sites/Next/Home/5609380-146/jonathan_may_adopt_three_point_agenda.csp Niger Delta- Relative peace and normalcy have returned significantly to the Niger Delta since the advent of the Jonathan Presidency. Pipelines are no bombed to smitherings. There are hardly any hard faced militants left in the creeks. The amnesty program has been well implemented and largely successful. And more importantly, our oil production has gone up to its highest levels from somewhere in the region of 1.5 million barrels in 2009 to about 2.5 million Barrels today. 1 million barrels extra equates to over 80 million dollars daily. Multiply that by 10 months and you'll find that Jonathan, by the success of his Niger Delta policy has enabled over $25-$30 Billion dollar extra into our coffers!! The graph at the bottom shows growth in oil output. On Electricity, we must agree that it takes much more than ten months to build power plants, transmission lines and distribution nodes that would correct the effects of over 3 decades of negligence. Yet the President Jonathan has recorded some modest improvements in power supply as well as giant strides in his roadmap towards privatizing the power sector. He has released funds running to almost $1Billion for compensation of soon-to-be laid off PHCN staff. The bidding process for the GENCOs have attracted 331 firms most of whom possess world class credentials. His achievements in this sector are enormous and should be commended. Jonathan has in ten months done what OBJ and Yar Adua tried to do in 10 years! Electoral Reforms. Without having to say too much, the massive interest the 2011 elections have generated, the fact that Buhari and Ribadu even stand a chance and the fact that the populace for the first time believe their votes would count is a strong testament to the success of Jonathan's Elecoral reform promise. He made the INEC independent. He appointed an intergrity man(That's what Nigerians like). He released record subventions as requested by INEC in due time. And he ensured that his party conducted the most transparent ever presidential primaries in the history of this country!! He didn't stop there. He has run a very effective campaign that is devoid of violence and acrimonious rantings which had been the style of his party in previous times. Infact, his party is now the one being bullied!! Extras The president has not only delivered on these, he has done so much more in areas he didn't make promises like international diplomacy, Aviation,Rail infrastructure, minimum wage increment and higher education. Nigeria was sinking internationally under Yar Adua. We had the Mutallab issue. Under Jonathan's watch, the nation's image has been successfully redeemed. We are back to international reckoning. In aviation,under Jonathan we now have a category one rating by the US FAA, something we've been craving for decades!! This is a signpost that our airspace is as safe as the best would want! Some of the railways are back, others are under construction. He gave a 250% minimum wage increase. Now that's big especially when you consider that the last on over the last ten years was barely 25%. He has successfully reflated the economy which was sinking under the weight of the Banking sector crises, Stock Market crash, global economic recession. All these in just 10 months should be commended by any count especially when you consider that this is an election year!! Peer Review and Vision and Plans on subsequent posts!!
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Sagamite:Ok, Sagamite. I will do as you've asked and would respond to any queries, but under certain rules of engagement which I hope as a BB supporter, you will be capable of observing!! First, no insulting vituperations. Second, we will focus more on Issues and less on Persons. Third, Logic is king. If you are game, then let me hit you with "Logical", "Intelligent" and "Analytical" punchers on why GEJ is competent, his achievements and why he by far outclasses the other main candidates!! |
If the offer were coming from Ribadu, I will think about it. If it were coming from Shekarau, I will take it. If it were from Buhari, I will utterly reject it!! I can't vote a Buhari for President. He will make a good Northern President but not a Nigerian president!! |
Sagamite:Nooo!! I never run oh!! Been busy all day!! Would be back!! |
[list] [li]I want economic prosperity and increased entrepreneurial opportunities![/li] [/list] [list] [li]I want private sector driven increased power supply, high speed broadband, modern rail infrastructure and excellent road networks!! [/li] [/list] [list] [li]I want equity for everybody from any region be you an Itsekiri or an Almajiri, an Agbada wearer or a Kaftan wearer, Wretched or Rich, Farmer or Doctor! Equity, Justice and fairplay!! [/li] [/list] [list] [li]I want peace and prosperity in the Niger Delta- The region that feeds the nation and gives us the ability to exist!! I want the wrongs/sufferings brought us by of our Military/Hausa-Fulani dominated past to be ameliorated![/li] [/list] [list] [li]I want unity. I want hope. I want love and harmony amongst all tribes. I want peace! I want happiness! I want free social interaction! ssociation. I want a free press[/li] [/list] [list] [li]I want the basics that life has to offer. I am not asking for too much. I just want a better place to live in . That's all I ask for![/li] [/list] I want Goodluck Jonathan!! |
I have just read through this thread and noticed something quite interesting!! Those in the GEJ camp on this thread appear much more intelligent and present their views better than those against him! They are less sentimental and are more optimistic in their outlook! Their discussions focus more on issues than on personalities. Interestingly also, their writing abilities far outclass those against him! Most of them use logic to drive home their points. On the other hand, those against him, most of them BB supporters use insults and derogatory terms to present their points!! Their analytical capacity is limited and they appear to have a hard time discussing issue-based items. Also they appear hasty and violence inclined in their arguments! I'm not sure why this is and whether intelligence is a factor that affects choice of candidates, but if it is, then surely, BB supporters appear to be supporting him because they might have little capacity and a low intelligence quotient to enable them make accurate judgements devoid of sentiments!! It might as well be that the BB supporters vexation is as a result of the rot that exists in the midst of immense potential,. but their inability to make logical arguments is making them appear very unintelligent. These are just my observations. I no be teacher, I no dey mark WAEC!! |
Some folks, in their sentimental debasement get blinded to very simple points!! What the President said is sooo correct!! We are fortunate this happened on the day of legislative elections!! Legislative elections always experience low turnout with little or no passion from the electorate. Now lets assume this happened on the day of the Presidential elections, can you in your wildest dreams fathom the consequences? There would be protests everywhere by now and we would be talking about how to save the country from a possible implosion!! We don't always have to be stupidly sentimental!! If you don't understand what the president meant, then its your capacity to comprehend that is at fault. Remember, Jonathan is an observer in this just like every Nairalander!! JEGA is the umpire!! |
We need to bring back IWU!!! If you support the motion say AYE!!! Jonathan has given this man everything he needs to conduct an excellent election! What would be his excuse this time? I have never being a fan of appointing activist-minded folks on any administration job!! They aren't good at management!! Being a honest man with loads of intergrity is not a good way to asssess competence!! Lets give the man a chance sha, his voter's registration started badly but ended well. I still believe he is able!! |
^^^ I told you last time that investors are flocking into Nigeria like its a gold rush!! We have some of the best rates of return on investments in the world! True, there are huge challenges, but check this: MTN made more than 4 times more profits in Nigeria than the behemoth called Facebook made worldwide in 2009!!! Now you can't beat that!! |
@Kilode Excellent response!! If most Buhari supporters respond intelligently like you do, I would probably be in the Buhari camp by now!! Yeah, we had an unwritten policy of misguided appeasement and pacification which never worked. I think the one in place right now is guided and that probably why its working perfectly! You must recognize that in whatever you do, you must calibrate your solutions to the problems on ground and fix those problems or else they would prevent you from achieving any other goals you have. Pacification and appeasement of the youths is a strategy that is working given the circumstances. If you choose do otherwise, your economy would pay dearly for it. It is the price we must pay for decades of neglect!! On NNPC, what Buhari is proposing isn't very different from what the GEJ Government is already doing. The difference however is that the Buhari Government would have to probe for maybe 2 years then start all over again. It is these policy reversals that scare me the most as they always serve to take a nation ten steps back before realising it was all a waste of time. Exactly what Yar Adua did with the power sector probe! |
^^^^^ @ Kobojunkie 22100 posts on Nairaland and yet, till date, not a single one has made any sense!! Quantity vs Quality |
9ijaMan:Ok, my bad!! Didn't intend to offend you with the post. I can see your offended!! Inserted the" Kufir" part, just to put you on edge a little. Just next time don't go around calling people ignorant! My point that most in those crowds(probably not urself) are voting Buhari because of his religion and their angst towards Jonathan's usurpation of "what belongs to them" is still valid. While you might be enlightened enough to make your choice based on more advanced criteria, the chunk of Buhari supporters are doing so because they've been told in their places of worship to do so!! |
Dude mehn, I operate in Delta state so I don't know which bombs you are talking about during any elections. And seriously, there was no violence in the last elections. As for Kano, the fear naturally is the potential for CPC supporters to start lynching "Kufirs"!! So surely there is need for more than enough security in the state!! But, cheer up man, despite all the pre election rancour, I still respect Buhari's tenacity and also respect you as a good contributor to a cause you believe in! |
AfricaMars:The timing is critical. If such an alliance came in 3 weeks before the election, there would be considerable impact on the elections. But the timing is late!! IOWA happened much more than 1 year before the elections and 6 months before the final primaries!!! |
timbuk two:Your post here by far favours the PDP. PDP controls the leaders that control the people. It is only in the Core North where the mosque is the channel point that PDP has its weaknesses based on your analysis! Everyone from the Village Chief to the Student union president to the Market women leaders to the Motor park touts Association(NURTW) are all on the PDP payroll. Its only in Lagos and some parts of the south west that ACN has control of these group!! So rethink your postulation. |
danjohn:Looking at the cup half full rather than half empty!!I like it. Optimism is good when there is time to build, but realism is what we must face come April 9th. Ribadu would have benefitted Buhari in the south west only if Jonathan was an unpopular president. The man is more popular in the south west than Ribadu. His only negative is the PDP. And just as you mentioned, he isn't exactly associated with the PDP and the masses are more likely to vote candidates rather than vote parties. |
[quote author=ekt_bear link=topic=635889.msg8026407#msg8026407 date=1301591305][b]1)[/b]What data do you have to justify this assertion? [b]2)[/b]Good power plans can be used by others. That GEJ's task force has come up with a good plan doesn't mean another candidate cannot borrow heavily from it. [b]3)[/b]You are calling Buhari the socialist/welfarist, when GEJ is the one starting several new universities, providing subsidies to automakers When under GEJs watch, the fraction of the money spent by the gov't on recurrent expenditure is growing?[b]4)[/b]Honestly, you seem to be pulling sh1t out of your @ss. . .[/quote][b]1)[/b]It is a known fact that oil production has risen from about 1 million barrels at the peak of the Niger Delta crises in mid 2009, to about 2.5 million in 2011. We didn't enjoy the previous oil boom that saw oil prices peak at $149 because our production was low. 1 million extra barrels at $80 per barrel is $80 million extra daily. That by any count is enough to swell an economy. I really don't have to provide statistics to prove this. The knowledge is everywhere. Since Jonathan took over, there has been little or no disruptions in oil production and the credit goes to his short term strategy of pacification!! 2)[/b]Ribadu and more likely Shekarau might adopt GEJ's power plans, but not Buhari. He already stated that in his debate. Buhari's approach is not in favour of privatization!! And truth is, that would not work!! [b]3)[/b]Buhari is a socialist/ welfarist and he surely would be glad to tell you that. I don't think it is bad to be one. The only problem is that in a country of over 150 million with only a little money coming from oil, welfarism/socialism would not cut it. Haven't you heard him say he wants to bring back the glory days of a Nigerian Airways and Nigerian shipping lines?? Is it not better we have more Ariks, Aeros, Danas and the private sector likes rather than have another Government behemoth like Nigerian Airways sucking the nation dry The private sector would grow the economy, not the FG. As per GEJ's universities, there is nothing welfarist about that. Asides, I heard him speak about private sector involvement in building hostels during yesterdays address ! [b]4) Not cool!! |
Sky Blue:I understand what is going on in the Niger Delta! It would be fool hardy to assume that the fundamental problems have to do with the things the militants are drawing attention to. Truth is a culture of "state dependence and ownership" has evolved in the region amongst the youths as a result of negligence in the midst of plenty.They know the oil belongs to the land hence they believe the Government must pay them cash and nothing less. Eg. In the creeks of Warri at Escravos there is the $5 Billion Gas to Liquids project going on employing btw 5-10,000 people. These jobs are allocated to the youths of the region. But many of them sell their allocations to the highest bidders from other regions. That tells you that an attempt to tackle unemployment would probably fail in the short term! The fundamental problems of environmental pollution, unemployment and dearth of infrastructure need long term solutions. In the short term, financial appeasement is the price we have to pay for decades of negligence! And that is what Jonathan is using to get us stability in the region which is translating to extraordinary economic growth!! This economic growth would provide the finances needed to build those Mini refineries he talked about yesterday, would help build the long awaited coastal road that would cut the Journey from Calabar to Lagos by much more than half. It would help build the modern rail line from Calabar to Lagos and a host of other projects planned for the region and for the rest of Nigeria. Its a geometric multiplier effect!! |
Sky Blue:I agree with you totally!! And if you notice, I did not directly credit the growth strictly to Jonathan!! The major factor responsible for the growth is the quality of the oil price alongside the stability in the Niger Delta. Jonathan's candidacy is largely responsible for that stability. If we change Government, the possibility for stability in Niger Delta is almost certain to be nil. Another factor is power!! Without power, we are growing at 8.29%! Just imagine the implications of stable power supply on our economy. Now Jonathan has by far the best power roadmap. The other candidates don't seem to understand the problems in the power sector. My biggest worry with a Buhari government is that he will in his welfarist/socialist ignorance innocently destroy the potential for growth in our economy, first by instituting unneccesary bureaucracies in the name of fighting corruption and secondly by focusing all finances on welfarist institutions and ignoring key growth sectors of the economy!!! |
Pornodude:The country is worse off for the lazy!!! You might be worse off, but myself and million others are better off and we are all Nigerians! Many people are starting new businesses, opening factories despite the power problem, Etc. Jobs are being created!! Pockets are being filled! I track business and economic growth using very basic indices and I can state categorically that there is surging growth in the Nigerian economy!! Simple indices like Hotel Occupancy ratios, Air Traffic, Land purchases, New Business registrations, Laptop purchases, etc are all up astronomically. Nigeria doesn't yet have all the Consumer Price index, Non Farm Payroll index and the likes, so such simple indices like I've stated do just fine. |
9ijaMan:Let me scare you a little. Those extra Northern voters that were added after the initial list are reserved for the PDP by the almighty JEGA himself!! Trust me!! E go shock U!! ![]() Delta state When last did U here of violence in Delta state![]() |
Buhari's failure would lie in his reluctance to campaign vigorously in the South!! All the money he spent campaigning in the core North where he is 100% sure of a majority, would have been wiser spent in the south west!! This would be his undoing! In the south west it is a three way race with Buhari by far being the under dog! If he can't pull up to 25% of south west vote, which is sooo unlikely, then there is no way he would win a majority! True, his popularity is rising but it is coming too late!! Momentum needs time to build in order to penetrate the nooks and crannies of the ghettos and shanties, small towns and villages. The opposition lost this one for failing to unite! |
[size=14pt]8.29% [/size] Now that is what you call a booom!!!No wonder my business has been experiencing tremendous increase!! And some folks want me to vote for someone that will take us back 28 years!! [size=16pt]Fresh Air!!![/size] |
[size=14pt]Nigeria, 4th fastest growing economy – UK Govt[/size] NewsMar 30, 2011 London – The UK Government on Tuesday in London described Nigeria as the fourth fastest growing economy in the world. Mr Henry Bellingham, UK Parliamentary Under Secretary of State For Africa and Overseas Territories, said this at a two-day investment forum tagged: “Making Nigeria Your Goal.’’ “Nigeria has averaged growth of 8.9 per cent which is really stunning. “Nigeria is the world’s fourth fastest growing economy with solid growth in the next five years and beyond ; this is truly remarkable,’’ he said. Bellingham said the Nigerian economy may outpace that of South Africa in the next 10 years if the current reform in the banking sector was extended to the power, oil and gas sectors. He commended the Lagos Government for good governance, fiscal responsibility and infrastructure development, saying the state was a model. Mr Aigboje Aig-Imoukhuede, Managing Director of Access Bank PLC, said the event was an opportunity to consolidate on the economic gains that had characterised trans-border economic relations between the two countries. Aig-Imoukhuede, whose presentation was entitled, “Nigeria: Your Market,’’ cited some sectors that had contributed to the real growth of the nation’s GDP in the last five years. These, he said, include telecommunications accounting for 7.5 per cent; construction 6.4 per cent; food and beverages 3 per cent, agriculture 31.9 per cent; cement 1.3 per cent as well as oil and gas 25 per cent. Earlier, Mr Ben Akabueze, Lagos State Commissioner for Economic Planning and Budget, highlighted some investment opportunities in the state. He cited the areas of investment to include power, water supply, real estate and road transport. Akabueze said the Lekki Free Zone (LFZ), when fully completed, would give priority to manufacturing, warehousing and provision of logistics for industries in the zone. “The LFZ is turning into a new industrial city as well as a multi-functional special economic zone of Lagos metropolis,’’ he added. The second leg of the event will continue in Manchester under the same theme. Participants at the forum were drawn from the organised private sector in Nigeria, the Nigeria High Commission and UK businesses. (NAN) http://www.vanguardngr.com/2011/03/nigeria-4th-fastest-growing-economy-uk-govt/ |
efisher:Amen!! Thats an example others, especially BB fans should learn from!! No matter what side you are voting, be it PDP, CPC, ACN, ANPP, you are a Nigerian, hence I wish you Goodluck and an excellent breathe of Fresh Air in all your endeavours!! |
9ijaMan:Mr, I meant Gbemi, or if you like Olusola!! that was a typo man!! And about ignorance, are U sure of what you said Cos btw both of us, its obvious you are voting the extremist general for the simple fact that you were told not to vote for the kufirs!! |
10cirenoh:Una no understand politics at all!! Ribadu and Shekarau and even Utomi are posturing for 2015!! Their best shot would only come if GEJ wins this election!! I have watched Shekarau's moves and all I see in him is 2015!!! His goal is simple: divide Kano votes and help prevent a Buhari victory! That way in 2015 he stands a very strong chance! Now enter Utomi: Endorse Shekarau today, then 2015 Shekarau picks you as his running mate!! Noww that would make an unresistatble perfect combo!! These guys are smart trust me and they are all positioning themselves properly for the next election since the opposition failed from the onset to agree on a consensus candidate which has given the PDP another free reign for the next 4 years!!! |
[size=24pt]WHY IS THIS MAN IGNORING THE SOUTH [/size][size=16pt]WHY ARE THERE NO RALLIES IN LAGOS, AKURE, ASABA, ONITSHA, CALABAR, ENUGU, LOKOJA AND THE LIKE [/size] |
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