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THE NIGERIA POVERTY PROFILE 2010 REPORT PRESS BRIEFING BY THE STATISTICIAN-GENERAL OF THE FEDERATION/CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS, DR. YEMI KALE HELD AT THE CONFERENCE ROOM, 5TH FLOOR, NBS HEADQUARTERS, CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT, ABUJA ON MONDAY, 13TH FEBRUARY, 2012. 1. PROTOCOL PREAMBLE 2. It is with great pleasure that I present to you today, highlights of the “Nigeria Poverty Profile Report 2010”, a report which emerged from the recently concluded Harmonised Nigeria Living Standard Survey (HNLSS) conducted by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) with support from the World Bank, DFID (UK) and UNICEF. 3. As part of its functions to produce statistics for evidence-based policy-making and as the authoritative source and custodian of all official statistics, NBS periodically conducts the Harmonized Nigeria Living Standard Survey which is used, amongst other things, to determine poverty and inequality trends in Nigeria. The data collected by NBS through our regular surveys and via our system of administrative statistics around the country present a vital source of evidence, as they provide us with clear, objective, numerical data on all aspects of our lives and the state of our country. NBS has presence in every state of the federation with staff who collect data on various socio economic indicators on a regular basis to fulfill our mandate. This way we are able to monitor various trends across the country at a disaggregated level. To demonstrate that NBS remains committed to improving statistical development in Nigeria, the institutional capacity to deliver on its mandate is being strengthened regularly with increased levels of collaboration between NBS and our partners in the public and private sectors, including the press. 4. In recognition of the fact that it is impossible, given limited financial resources, to collect data on every area of life, we are ensuring that the data collected by NBS is demand-driven and user-specific. Concomitantly, we are expanding our scope to include more aspects of socio-economic life, deepening our analytical competence and NBS Press briefing on Nigeria Poverty Profile 2010 Report 2 enhancing the professionalism of staff. A recent innovation is to announce, in advance, the expected dates of publication of survey results and data releases, which can be found on the official website. For example, a visit to our website at www.nigerianstat.gov.ng would reveal that we plan to publish inflation data for January 2012, the first since the partial removal of fuel subsidy, next Monday. The planned dates of release for other types of data can be found on the website. 5. As you may have observed our data releases have been mixed: some positive and others negative. We would therefore continue to publish accurate and timely data regardless of whether it is positive or negative because the information we provide is useful as a guide for government policy, business investors, as well as a veritable tool for the public to evaluate the performance of government and the progress of our society in the interest of growth and development in Nigeria. PART I: OVERVIEW OF THE HNLSS 2009/2010 SURVEY 6. Nigeria’s efforts at monitoring and evaluation of national programmes and policies started with the analysis of a series of National Consumer Expenditure Surveys which led to the assessment of poverty in Nigeria over a period of sixteen years from 1980 – 1996, and the publication of the report on poverty trend in Nigeria in 1999. 7. The Harmonized Nigeria Living Standard Survey (HNLSS) 2009/2010 is an enlarged scope of previous National Consumer Surveys and also a follow-up to the Nigeria Living Standard Survey (NLSS) 2003/2004. The scope of the HNLSS 2009/2010 was enlarged to include: Demography; Health; and Fertility behaviour, Education and Skills/Training; Employment and Time-use; Housing and Housing Condition; Social Capital, Agriculture; Household Income & consumption, and Expenditure. Two statistical reports (Nigeria Living Standard Survey Report 2010 and the Poverty profile of 2010 will be produced to assist various levels of government to evaluate and monitor their social and economic programmes. OBJECTIVES, JUSTIFICATION, SCOPE AND COVERAGE OF THE SURVEY 8. In a broad sense, the concern of the study was to generate detailed, multi-sector and policy relevant data using welfare and expenditure approaches. More specifically, NBS Press briefing on Nigeria Poverty Profile 2010 Report 3 the HNLSS was aimed at providing information on the conditions and trends of poverty, households’ income & consumption expenditure, and unemployment at a greater level of disaggregation. It was also to provide valid and reliable data for the development of effective intervention and provision of important tools for designing, implementing and monitoring of economic growth and poverty reduction. 9. It is widely acknowledged that data needed to drive government anti-poverty programmes is often not available or inadequate at such disaggregated levels as to inform policymakers and business decisions takers. Therefore, the HNLSS is a worthwhile effort because the information gathered would generally aid decision makers in the formulation of economic and social policies, by identifying target groups for government intervention. METHODOLOGY AND SAMPLE DESIGN 10. The HNLSS used four different approaches in the computation of poverty indicators: i) Relative Poverty Measurement: Relative poverty is defined by reference to the living standards of majority in a given society and separates the poor from the non-poor. Households with expenditure greater than two-thirds of the Total Household Per Capita expenditure are NON-POOR whereas those below it are POOR. Further desegregation showed that households with less than one-third of total Household Per Capita expenditure are CORE-POOR (EXTREME POOR) while those Households greater than one-third of total expenditure but less than two-thirds of the total expenditure are MODERATE POOR. Accordingly, the poor category is sub-divided into those in extreme poverty and those in moderate poverty, where extreme poverty is more severe than moderate poverty. Those in moderate poverty constitute a greater portion of the growing middle class in Nigeria who are at the point of crossing over to the non-poor category. Similarly, the non-poor is divided into the fairly rich and the very rich. iii.) Absolute poverty measurement approach: Here, Poverty is defined in terms of the minimal requirements necessary to afford minimal standards of food, clothing, healthcare and shelter. This method considers both food expenditure and non- food expenditure using the per capita expenditure approach. This method is otherwise known as Food Energy Intake measure of poverty. First you obtain the food basket of the poorest 40 percent of NBS Press briefing on Nigeria Poverty Profile 2010 Report 4 the population. Then compute the food expenditure that can give 3000 calorie per day based on the national food basket for the poorest 40 percent. iii. Dollar per day measurement approach: refers to the World Bank’s Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) index, which defines poverty as the proportion of those living on less than US$1 per day poverty line. iv.) Subjective Poverty Measurement approach: is based on self-assessment and “sentiments” from respondents interviewed. Unlike the other three statistical measurements of poverty, it considers the respondents’ opinion on whether or not they consider themselves to be poor. 11. In addition, NBS computes the Gini Coefficient as a measure of inequality and income distribution in a country. The Gini-coefficient is a number between 0 and 1, where 0 corresponds with perfect equality (in which case everyone earns the same income); and 1 corresponds with perfect inequality (where only one person earns all the income and all others have zero income). 12. Different countries use any one or more of these measures to calculate poverty. NBS however adopts the relative poverty method as Nigeria’s official measure of poverty. PART II: HNLSS 2010 SURVEY RESULTS 13. The 26-page report provides details of the conditions of poverty and income distribution across the country, as well as technical notes regarding the various definitions and methodologies employed for the survey. The full report can be found on our website later this afternoon. The attached tables, however, provide detailed breakdown of the survey results. The major findings from the survey are as follows: i. Relative poverty is defined by reference to the living standards of majority in a given society. In 2004, Nigeria’s relative poverty measurement stood at 54.4%, but increased to 69% (or 112,518,507 Nigerians) in 2010. The North-West and North-East geo-political zones recorded the highest poverty rates in the country with 77.7% and 76.3% respectively in 2010, while the South-West geo-political zone recorded the lowest at 59.1%. Among States, Sokoto had the highest poverty rate at 86.4% while Niger had the lowest at 43.6% in the year under review. NBS Press briefing on Nigeria Poverty Profile 2010 Report 5 ii. Absolute Poverty is defined in terms of the minimal requirements necessary to afford minimal standards of food, clothing, healthcare and shelter. Using this measure, 54.7% of Nigerians were living in poverty in 2004 but this increased to 60.9% (or 99,284,512 Nigerians) in 2010. Among the geo-political zones, the North-West and North-East recorded the highest rates at 70% and 69% respectively, while the South- West had the least at 49.8%. At the State level, Sokoto had the highest at 81.2% while Niger had the least at 33.8% during the review period. iii. The-Dollar-per-day measure refers to the proportion of those living on less than US$1 per day poverty line. Applying this approach, 51.6% of Nigerians were living below US$1 per day in 2004, but this increased to 61.2% in 2010. Although the World Bank standard is now US$1.25, the old reference of US$1 was the standard used in Nigeria at the time that the survey was conducted. The North-West geo-political zone recorded the highest percentage at 70.4%, while the South-West geo-political zone had the least at 50.1%. Sokoto had the highest rate among States at 81.9%, while Niger had the least at 33.9%. iv. Subjective Poverty is based on self-assessment and “sentiments” from respondents. In this regard, 75.5% of Nigerians considered themselves to be poor in 2004, and in 2010 the number went up to 93.9%. FCT recorded the most number of people who considered themselves to be poor at 97.9%. Kaduna recorded the least number of people who considered themselves poor at 90.5%. v. 2011 Poverty level estimates: For completeness and to guide policy, NBS has also forecast the poverty rate for 2011 using various economic models. It is important to stress at this point that these estimates are constrained by the assumption that the status quo in 2010 was maintained in 2011. Accordingly, it ignores the potential positive impact various poverty alleviation strategies implemented since 2011 may have had on reversing the poverty trend. This will become clearer once the 2011 Annual Socio-Economic Survey is completed later in the year. Thus, using the relative, absolute and dollar-per-day poverty measures, NBS estimates that poverty may have further risen slightly to about 71.5%, 61.9% and 62.8% respectively in 2011. vi. Income inequality: The survey suggests rising income inequality in the country as measured by the Gini-coefficient. By this measure, income inequality rose from 0.429 in 2004 to 0.447 in 2010, indicating greater income inequality during the period. NBS Press briefing on Nigeria Poverty Profile 2010 Report 6 vii. Consumption Expenditure Distribution: Lastly, analysis of consumption expenditure distribution indicates that the top 10% income earners was responsible for about 43% of total consumption expenditure, the top 20% was responsible for about 59% of total consumption expenditure while the top 40% was responsible for about 80% of total consumption expenditure in the year under review. FURTHER ANALYSIS OF RELATIVE POVERTY 14. As earlier stated, NBS adopts the relative poverty measurement for monitoring poverty trends in the country. It remains a paradox however, that despite the fact that the Nigerian economy is growing, the proportion of Nigerians living in poverty is increasing every year, although it declined between 1985 and 1992, and between 1996 and 2004. Accordingly it is important to take a closer look at poverty trends using this approach. Distributing the population into extremely poor, moderately poor and non-poor, the proportion of the extremely poor increased from 6.2 percent in 1980 to 29.3 percent in 1996 and then came down to 22.0 percent in 2004 before reaching 38.7% in 2010. For the moderately poor, the picture was quite different as the proportion rose between 1980 and 1985 from 21.0 percent to 34.2 percent. It went down between 1996 and 2004, from 36.3 percent to 32.4 percent, and even further in 2010 to 30.3 percent. On the other hand, the proportion of non-poor was much higher in the country in 1980 (72.8 percent) compared to 1992 (57.3 percent). It dropped significantly in 1996 to 34.4percent, falling further in 2010 to 31 percent. |
Kobojunkie:I agree that the infos were there, but how many people had access to it ? What was the place of facebook, twitter and many other social networking sites in 2007 election ? i am of a firm belief that the social networking sites played a positive role in the 2011 elections, It might not have produced the expected result i admit ! What was the place of social networking sites and improved access to internet in Nigeria to OCCUPY NIGERIA's protest ? I think you need to answer this questions objectively. I believe access to information is more important than the available information, and it has improved over the years, although not yet at a pace to garner the groundbreaking revolution at the polls. |
Kobojunkie:I think 2015 is simply 3 years from now . What i see changing amongst Nigerians is the improved thirst/hunger for information(political space news) albeit at a rather slow pace. People tend to make better decisions with better information at their disposal. 7-10 years should fall in the range of 2019-2022. |
@OP, your suggestion is way childish. Have you tried multiplying 100million * 1.5 million = 150,000,000,000,000 = 150[b] trillion[/b] naira |
Most of the problems some people have with him are "hear say evil propaganda" spread against him, just as the news of his ill health. |
I think what those pictures emit is NOSTALGIC feeling to most viewers, not necessarily we should get back to that state. TIMES HAVE CHANGED FOLKS, Ignorance is also bliss . The pictures were selective, and not a complete or thorough picture of the socio economic status of Lagosians as at then. The biggest difference between now and then is the level of EXPECTATION of the people. |
Expected Completion date is Dec 2012 |
I feel you should discard the two friends. A girl that can betray her friend to sleep with you is a no good ! Your currently girlfriend might simply not be in to you emotionally, or immature or simply have personality issues(introvert, e.t.c), though i doubt the latter. If at all you will keep any of the two, keep your current girlfriend |
@ OP, It should be almost equal rate, although slightly more volume of calls is expected from the guy. You need to understand the personality of your man, What is his phone habit? You should gradually reduce your call rate over a space of one week, and notice his reaction. Like all human beings, we sometimes take for granted what we get simply. |
Many, if not most Nigerians are lost in the deep valley of ignorance, though i sense a sharp change in the next 7-10 years if Nigeria still remains an entity |
6% customers owned 88% of bank deposits in 2010 – NDIC Category: Nigerian Economy Read (761) 6% customers owned 88% of bank deposits in 2010 – NDIC November 17, 2011 The imbalance in the Nigerian financial system has been brought to the fore with 2,512,531 depositors, or six per cent of those who placed their money in the Deposit Money Banks in 2010 having N9.53tn or 88 per cent of the total N10.84tn bank deposits during the year. The remaining 41,926,817 or 94 per cent bank customers deposited a paltry N1.311tn or 12 per cent of the total deposits with the 24 DMBs within the period under review. However, each of the high net worth depositors would have got only N500,000 from the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation if their banks had collapsed during the period because that was the total amount for which the NDIC partially insured their deposits. Those who deposited between N1 and N500,000 would, however, have received their full deposits if their banks had gone under. What this means is that the heavy depositors would have lost N8.274tn if the banks had been liquidated during the year under review as their individual N500,000 entitlement would have added up to only N1.256tn. However, they might have got varying amounts back as the law states that individuals who deposited beyond the stipulated insured sum should be paid dividends from the funds generated after the sales of the fixed and risk assets of the liquidated banks. Information sourced from the NDIC indicated that the total number of depositors in the 24 banks grew by 11 per cent from 30,331,614 in 2008 to 44,439,348 in 2010, with 41,926,817 fully covered by the NDIC. The N500,000 maximum deposit that an individual depositor is entitled to has, however, been a source of concern to bank customers, with many of them expressing apprehension as to what will be their fate should their banks go under. Despite the disparity in the volume of funds deposited and the classes of depositors, the Head, Communication and Public Affairs, NDIC, Mr. Hadi Birchi, explained that the focus of the corporation in insuring funds in the banks was to protect a greater percentage of people who placed their money in the banks. He noted that though the total insured amount of N1.311tn could not be compared to the N9.53tn that was partially insured, the NDIC was poised to protect the interest of the larger depositors in accordance with global standards. “The focal point in deposit insurance is to protect many savers. The moneybags or those normally referred to as the big customers of banks, usually have the wherewithal to employ the services of financial advisers, who tell them, go to this bank, don’t go to the other; invest here, don’t invest there; or put your money in this bank, or don’t put it there,” Birchi said. He explained that from the corporation’s findings, most bank customers deposited well below the N500,000 mark. He said, “In fact, the first time we started, we were paying N50,000. And how do we arrive at N50,000? We arrived at this sum by doing a survey and we discovered that at the time we started in 1989, most of the depositors; more than 80 per cent of the depositors at that time, had from N1 to about N50,000, and that was how we came about the new figure. “And for those with deposits that are more than the limit, what we do is that after selling the physical and risk assets, we pay them in form of dividends, just like the payment of dividends on shares. What this means is that those with large sums in failed banks stand the chance of getting more when the dividends are shared.” http://www.proshareng.com/news/15519 |
J12:You mean i lied with the figure , i will search for that online and copy it here. |
20 million youths against PDP in 2015 #occupy Nigeria |
Additionally, in a very recent study by CBN, 6% of Nigerians own 90% of the money in the banks. |
chei:The problem with that your boldened statement is that you are looking at your immediate environment and doubting what several well reputed agencies have worked on. The 54% is more from the Nigerian govt. Your problem of not believing the poverty rate is 70 percent is the same problem many of our elected leaders have, what they see in their immediate environment does not look grimming, so all should be relativelly well. You need a bigger picture and not just a myopic way of looking at things in life to have a fairer understanding of the situation. Your case is like that of an election observer who went to a polling unit in Nigeria, and observed that voters came out enmasse, were orderly, and voted freely and fairly, and came out to say Election in Nigeria was free and fair. What many nigerians (both poor and rich) lack is empathy, they can not see things objectively as long as it is well around them. I believe if the power situation improves in your neigbourhood for some weeks, you might come out and scream power supply has improved in NIGERIA, when actually the reverse might have been the case. |
Nigeria’s high poverty level PDFPrintE-mail Written by . Thursday, 27 January 2011 00:00 inShare SocButtons plugin Data after data by governmental and nongovernmental organisations have underlined the fact that the number of Nigerians living in poverty is alarmingly high, but there has been no convincing measures being taken to indicate that anything concrete is being done about it. Only recently, at the Annual Microfinance Conference and Entrepreneurship Awards held in Abuja, the Central Bank Governor, Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, stated that that 70 percent (105 million) of Nigerians are now living below the poverty line, up from 54 percent a year or two ago. Sanusi added that such high incidence of poverty threatened national economic growth and development. Included in this troubling reality is over 12 million youths, mostly educated and potentially productive, who are unemployed. The authorities must recognise this development for what it really is: a threat to the security and stability the nation. From a monetary perspective, Sanusi emphasized the need to develop a financial sector that is inclusive, geared to empower potential investors big and small so as to improve people’s lives, lamenting that 46.3 percent of Nigerians are financially excluded due to low level bank penetration in the country, and that beside the 815 Microfinance Banks, the 24 ‘big banks’ have only 5,789 branches, mostly concentrated in a few urban centres. Any effective measures to ensure easier access to finance for those seeking to establish medium, small and even micro businesses are certainly welcome, but it is equally important to realize that not everyone has the temperament, expertise and business acumen to establish enterprises or to employ themselves. Government’s direct action is required in the short- to medium-term to create more employment opportunities. It is not acceptable that we have houses, schools, hospitals and roads to build as well as the able-bodied people with the requisite skills to build them, along with the materials and finances, and yet focus only on awarding billion-naira contracts to consultants and multinationals whose activities have little or no impact on local employment. By redirecting public expenditure away from recurrent expenses and unnecessary consumption back to capital projects, the government can have positive impact on incomes and employment. Such newly-employed individuals can in turn pay their bills, rents and essentials thus providing incomes to the farmers, herdsmen, landlords and the like. Industrial policy is another area to concentrate on. A nation of 150 million cannot abandon its manufacturing sector in favour of importation. We must ensure that most of what we eat, drink, wear or otherwise use on daily basis is locally produced, thereby creating local employment and saving foreign exchange. The current policy thrust may give government additional revenue but is actually wasting scarce resources and generating more jobs and incomes for foreign countries. Even within the industrial sector, more employment opportunities need to be created. The worn excuse that the sector does not generate much employment because it is capital intensive has been discredited by the example of big countries like Russia and Brazil, as well as small ones like Trinidad and Tobago. So far we seem to focus mainly on what taxes, fees or royalties we can extract rather than developing the upstream and downstream sectors, through the creation of integrated complexes to provide chemicals, plastics and other industrial inputs for our industrial uses and for exports. The days of simply exporting crude should by now have been over. Clearly however, agriculture remains the most viable sector if unemployment and low incomes are to be properly tackled. It still provides most of our people with their only employment and source of income, and contributes more to GDP than the petroleum sector. We need to concentrate on employing more people in that sector, boosting their production and productivity. Critical to this is the creation of linkages between agriculture and industry, modernizing farming and animal husbandry, providing inputs and improved varieties and developing and providing cheap implements. It is time we started tackling unemployment directly and methodically rather than continuing to lament about it.http://www.dailytrust.com.ng/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=10864:nigerias-high-poverty-level&catid=17:editorial&Itemid=9 |
kingoflag:Can you free those folks?, they are in self delusion and will never agree with you. i used to think like them sometimes back, some few months back, i had course to apply some questionnaires to some head porters(alaru in yoruba) and groundnut hawkers somewhere in an urban city, to access their livelihood, the revelations were shocking. The level of poverty in the urban area is relatively lesser than that of the rural area. It is important to note that the rural area still contains close to half of Nigeria's 167 million population. UN claims that 73% live on less than $1/day, it can not be far from the real situation. Nigeria claims 57% live on less than $1/day. (whose report you feel is more credible is a matter of personal choice) The poverty in the North is worse off than the South , the research conducted by not one but many research agencies so far shows that. The North east region blaizes the trail in most impoverished in the North. Someone claims that it is impossible to live on 50cents /day, while i am not aware of any research done based on such indices, i think it is very possible (my reasoning tells me that if 73% of nigerians can fall below $1/day, a sizeable part will still fall below 50 cents/day) |
To those still doubting if Nigerians live on less than $1/day; can you give up your doubts? You are simply disconnected with the realities on ground, it is shameful though. Funny enough, it is people like you that gets elected as leaders in the country. |
Knight1:The PDP primaries that produced Wada is also flawed/illegal. Who won the earlier primary in January 2011 in anticipation for the April 2011 election? |
According to the UN report in 2009, 92.7% of Nigerians live on less than $2/day.. I believe to a great extent that at least 85% of Nigerians currently live on less than $2/day. Most of the time, when people try to figure how possible this is, they forget that the (wo)man has DEPENDANTS. (1)Depedants are the child(ren) not yet making income (2) Ageing mother /father with no source of income e.t.c So using a scenario of a nuclear household in Nigeria. (a) A working man has a working wife, with four schooling children. ( a family of SIX) , it is clear that only two of the Six are working. The man earns 15k as a security guard and the wife earns 7k as a cleaner , they have a total income of N22k. God helps the wife if the man is truly a responsible man, as most men with this kind of income profile are sadly irresponsible >>>my post graduate research on poverty and livelihood, the wife now has to make do with the little or nothing he gets from the man and supplement it with what she makes(7k) to take care of the family. At the end of the day, you will see that the bulk of the family live on less than $1/day. |
i don't think this is right, if not Andy Uba of anambra state should have taken over from Peter Obi after Obi's first term |
The morning of January 28, 2002 , was a day i cant forget. I saw hundreds of dead bodies laid on the floor, a particular one hung permanently in my memory was that of a dead mother and her dead baby strapped to her back. Good move by the State Government, the federal govt as usual failed to deliver on their promise, i remember Atiku came to the mass grave site with LOADS of promises. |
EMBATTLED |
Rest in peace ! May your blood hunt your killer, the way Abel's blood did to cain |
Fashola, dem say na you invite soldier? talk out now again ooooooo. I no dem sabi lie wellll wellll |
if only all nigerians can remove the ethnic lenses on their eyes, LETS FIGHT THE COMMON ENEMY ! This is no War against Hausa/fulani, igbo, yoruba. ibibio, efik , (all OF these ethnic groups are ably represented in the current government of LOOTOCRACY !) |
fire |
The three guys are no push overs in the political space, a detailed mix of the 6 qualities by me gave me an El-Rufai, then a Ribadu and lastly Sanusi. I think the opposition parties should start considering one of them as a presidential cangidate in 2015. Sad as it is for me and some others, it is political wisdom that power goes back to the north, Ethnicity will take a central role again as Nigerians elect a president in 2015(all things been equal) |
PapaBrowne:Guy, you are back with your SPIN & SELL ! i know some very very gullible ones will buy in to the nonsense you wrote up there. |
Blastus:I want to believe your people are not cowards, come out in full force in form of a civil protest. You must set yourselves free ! Essence of Democracy |
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Wait make dem come do am again come 2015.
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