₦airaland Forum

Very apt, Falana dissected the situation so correctly, it was less of "stomachstructure" but protest votes against reforms by the incumbent. The Election was not rigged, Fayemi lost. Fayemi was not a street smart politician, he was a general figthing several battles in a war, he ought to have left some battle for his 2nd term.

With the 18,000 minimum wage to pay for workers, a deluge of promises to lots of disgruntled electorates, and dwindling allocation, Fayose will barely pay salaries, talkless of executing capital projects.

PDP is simply desperate, there is very little chance of PDP retaining the centre in 2015 with APC controlling 16 states, and also taking in to cognisance that the 4 most populated states are part of the 16 states(lagos, oyo , kano and rivers). PDP also knows with jonathan candidacy, it will struggle in many northern states it controls like katsina, jigawa, kaduna, niger, kebbi , e.t.c

The plan is to decimate the APC states, and then jonathan can declare his 2015 ambition.



TOXIC politics is what PDP is playing at the moment, it is so toxic that it will backfire.

2015 desperation is making PDP play toxic politics, I have a feeling it will backfire.

It is a matter of time.

Unbelievable. [size=19pt]Ilan Smith the illusionist[/size]

nduchucks: (1)It is in the record that, it was the farmers in the North that produced the groundnuts and resources that supplemented the various budgets of the West and East up till 1970.

Haba mallam!, the part in red is so false, the budget of the west was the highest, and the reverse was the case.

Crab mentality is more prevalent for the lowly placed.

The people of Ekiti should brace up, tough times ahead.

He is a high calibre dictator, and he will make all attempts to crush opposition in the state.

He must remember that the state house of assembly majority membership is still APC, and should thread softly, if he will ever learn.

berem: that's not possible unless they are not both AS.

i think it is possible, it is a game of chance. The chance that a pregnant woman will give birth to a boy is like 50%,likewise her chance of giving birth to a girl is 50%. but she might give birth to 7 girls consecutively.

The chance that two AS couples will not give birth to sicklers is 75%. Is the 25% risk worth taking? It is possible the two AS couples give birth to 4 SS children consecutively

Box A = BB, Box B= WW, Box C = BW.


PICK 1:If my first pick is Black, it means the box is not a possible Box B, but Box A or C.

PICK 2 :I will simply pick from another box, if it is black, i will pick the second ball from the same box, PICK 3:if it is white, then it is box C, If it is black, then it is Box A

That then means the last Box i have not picked from is Box B ( 3 ATTEMPTS).


ALTERNATE scenario:
Box A = BB, Box B= WW, Box C = BW.

PICK 1:If my first pick is white, it means the box is not a possible Box A, but a B or C

PICK 2 :I will simply pick from another box, if it is black, i will pick the second ball from the same box,PICK 3: if it is white, then it is box C, If it is black, then it is Box A

That then means the last Box i have not picked from is Box B ( 3 ATTEMPTS).


[size=15pt]3 attempts in total[/size]

felifeli: I have nothing against you guys and indeed nothing against Rauf Aregbesola too. What I hate is deceit and that is what I speak against otherwise I am only having a little fun here on Nairaland. From your words I get the impression that your incomes depend on Aregbesola remaining as governor , but loosen up and don't get so worked up about whatever happens here . I am sure 99.8 percent of the electorate don't even know what Nairaland or Facebook is about and will not be affected by whatever argument goes on in facebook or Nairand. They will vote purely on basis of whatever Aregbesola has done to their lives over the past 4 years. They will give him a pass mark or fail. I hope for your sake that they pass him, as for me I don't care . Whoever the cap fits let him wear it. My personal scoresheet is as follows anyway;
Personality - Clownish (Fail)
Projects - not sustainable (Fail)
Integrity - Suspicious (Fail)
Enthusiasm - Impressive (Pass)
Innovation - half-baked (Fail)

Thank you

All politicians are deceivers, in fact virtually all nigerians are full of deceit. I have learnt to pick the half bread over none.


That aside, i have also learnt to judge incumbent politician based on the depth of what (s)he has done not what was promised to be done. what i consider more important in your list are projects and innovation Share those projects and innovation that made you arrived at the fail status for the governor.

felifeli: You are a liar show us the picture. If you have such picture it is photoshop-ed. He never proceeded beyond ond

Even you yourself know in your heart of heart, you are simply embarking on a campaign of calumny for reasons best known to you.

Why so much hate from people who dont matter, can a WAEC holder serve as a youth corper?

Ogbeni served in Kaduna state, maybe with the WAEC" result

My interpretation of a weak mind for the girl is that she cant resist or say no to sex, there are many ladies /girls like that. Some are viewing this thread.


Many women enclosed in the house in the northern nigeria have weak mind. "Ba Shiga" means dont enter, it is strategically written at the doors of many northern homes. A man who goes in to such houses have a great chance of sleeping with the women "hidden" indoors

I have a feeling we tend to perceive less the Aroma of the food cooked by oneself , compared to the one cooked by others.

Maybe my observation is not right though, i also observed i tend to eat less if i did the cooking.

texaco1: One good thing about this thread is that everyone that has contributed knows a great deal about oyo state politics except the medical doctor of course

If telling you the accord party is currently stronger than PDP in oyo state is why i dont know about oyo politics, then i cant help you.

BTW, i am no medical doctor, the other guy manufactured that from his asss.

toludadon: WHEN IT COMES TO OYO VOTE, NEGLECT ALAAFIN AT YOUR OWN PERIL. ASK OLAKOJO AND AKALA. alaafin delivers to the last polling Booth in Oyo town, you can't even try voting against alaafin's candidates. The man plays his politics with every local chief and baales given targets in Oyo town

I know the Alaafin has electoral value, if not Ajimobi will not be courting him via political appointment and contracts to his wards and him, coz i know the prince is a commissioner another is a caretaker chairman. BUT, i also think is political clout is exaggerated, maybe i am not right.

texaco1: bros ,alafin moves with the highest bidder and believe me ajimobi can't bid higher than gej

well, it might be true, but, i also think one of the Alaafin's son intends to contest for house of rep under APC i suppose.

I think you arrogate so much political powers to the alaafin than he has. Oyo town is not made up of robots, a political leader in the town even called him a common criminal on the airwaves.

Has FG paid over 50 billion naira it owes Lagos state for repairing FG roads?

Lagos State Commissioner for Works and Infrastructure, Kadir Hamzat, has urged the Federal Government to pay the debt it owes the state for the roads it has constructed on its behalf.

He made this declaration last week at an interactive session with media executives in his office at Alausa.

According to him, if the Federal Government could pay up, the state government would be happy. He added the state was being owed about N51 billion spent on fixing federal roads in the state.

He hunted that the payment would enable the government to look at more roads for construction, noting that construction of Lagos State roads would wear a new look in 2013.

Hamzat said his ministry would not, henceforth, award a project that cannot be completed in the particular year awarded; stating that in the past three years government awarded 443 roads, out of which 183 were awarded in 2012.

“By 2013, we would not award project that will not be finished and the 2013 project will be the function of the work we are unable to finish in 2012. 443 roads have been awarded within the last three years while 183 among it were a awarded in 2012; Lagos-Badagry Expressway, Herbert Macaulay Way, among others. We still have some uncompleted roads so we are mindful of the roads we would award for 2013.”

He added that mobilisations had been paid for the 183 roads which must be certified during their work. “American is growing because of their good roads. If there are good roads people can be working in Ibadan from Lagos without relocation,” he said.

In addition, he said the construction system would wear a different look in 2013, claiming that the state government has adopted a system that would enable the work to be a less stressful for the contractor and will not interfere in the moving of the citizenry on their daily basis.

“The design of our roads will change, we are now building a civil infrastructure and we are using the red bridge. Most roads that are jointed we are looking for the best way to construct it without delay. In our new design the construction of hospital must be different from school.”

He noted that the new design would also have effect on pedestrian bridges, in order to make it awkward for the wheeled people and also planning to put in place for water transportation.

“We want to build the pedestrian bridges in another form. It will make life conducive for people, even the wheeled we pass through the pedestrian. This kind of infrastructure actually changes the setting of the state. We are planning that people could go on water and roads.”

Hamzat disclosed that, Lekki Bridge was technically ready but the contractors were only building a physical retrain that will stop trailers form plying that road. He also said Iso Pakodowo and Oyingbo are done and would be open soon.

He emphasised that the Lagos-Badagry Expressway was delayed because of the link to Oshodi and claims the road has a technical charge as it will be serving more than 280 million people on a daily basis.

Meanwhile, he said the reason of building those shops and roads was to make trading swift for the people. He explained that Current Replacement Value (CRV) was a factor put in place for check and balances in the building of infrastructure that states that you must not spend more on maintenance.

Hamzat who said the year budget passed by the works has not been signed, explained that if government could increase the budget, it will pull more effect in the construction of roads and other facilities in 2013.

When asked on the amount spend on those project, he said some times there were always additional charges aside the bill that as publicly announced because in the olden days there were no planning and it is in the cost of construction that they got to know some roads has a pipe line under which they have to move to an appropriate side; saying that “Okota Constrution has taken more than the award amount. We are relocating pipelines at the Lagos-Badagry express way in about three metre from the plan. Alaba Cemetery when we are about doing it we found two cars in the road we have to pull it.”

He explained that about 324 piles were sunk in Isheri-Osun, saying that the Isheri-Osun to Jakonde Road contract could be re-awarded.

To ease the area where work has not commenced yet, Hamsat said, there is no criteria in the selection of roads construction, that the only reason the work is delayed as where to discharge the water.

http://dailyindependentnig.com/2013/01/federal-government-owes-lagos-n51b-on-roads-hamzat/

makeitplain: Not true, Oyo is already in the pocket of Oyo PDP via alaafin. U need to upgrade and update ur source of information. That in bold is obsolete. Have u not observed that Ajimobi and Alaafin do not make reference to each other anymore in recent times. Do u think Jonathan just went to drink coffee with Alaafin when he visited him? Why do u think Tinubu abused SW Obas subsequently? Alaafin is among those he was referring to cos they are disappointed he dumped them for PDP.



Of course that is the way it is, I am aware that a popular Accord chieftain from Oyo town (I don't want to mention name) is negotiating with the influence of Alaafin for PDP ticket for Oyo Central Sen district. Meanwhile majority will believe that he (the said chieftain) is accord and that Alaafin supports APC.

There is a greater chance of a bloc vote from the influence of a political leader than a traditional ruler. While i agree that Alaafin might be an influence to the voting pattern in Oyo town, a bloc vote is what he cant deliver. I really dont know much about the current relationship of the Alaafin and the oyo state govrnor, but i am aware the son of the alaafin is one of the recetly appointed commissioners, and the Alaafin is a beneficiary from state govt contract from what the splash fm interview brouahaha revealed.

sarcasm mixed with facts.

makeitplain: Its going to be a 2 horse-race I believe. The contention is between PDP and ACCORD... APC will finish a distant 3rd... It will be an uphill task for a virtually empty party (APC) to garner votes on election day. This is my opinion formed based on my understanding of unfolding events so far.

Are you saying an incumbent will not feature in the contest. Haba!, you funny oooo. It will be a 3 horse race (APC, accord,PDP) will share roughly 95% of the votes, others like Labour ,.... will take the remaining crumbs.

Election is not just for party members, there are lots of people on the sidelines who are not registered members of any party, in my observation, the current governor has done much better than the predecessors. (security, transportation, waste mgt, road infrastructure) i dont think much has been done on education and even health.

The current governor lifeline is that accord and PDP are formidably strong enough to divide sharply the votes of those oppose to him.

The winner of Argentina vs W.Germany in Mexico 86 finals will take the day.

I foresee Argentina.

SLIDEwaxie: u dnt do politics with money in the Yoruba land...just field the right man, and u'll be surprised of a landslide victory even if the party is NCP...

Who is a right man?


The definition of a right man is largely subjective.

DeLaRue: I haven't recovered from the Ekiti election results yet!

I no longer believe the concept of Omoluabi resonates with hungry electorate.

PDP will probably win the next governorship elections in Ondo State. Mimiko/Labour party is finished.

APC needs a lot of money and a popular local candidate to win in the state. Akeredolu can context 10 times, he will not win, as he's simply not a politician. He's in the Fayemi mould.

Yes, Akeredolu is not a typical politician.

Surely Labour party can not come back in 2016 in Ondo state, barring any unforeseen circumstances.

Fayose's understanding of reconcilliation.


I thought he said he is a changed man, he is yet to be sworn in, and he is already acting thus.

texaco1: dis ur analysis na ui own ooo. For the streets it doesn't work tthis way.

Tell me how it works !

My own assertion:
I said roughly 4 out of 5 people you see at the polling booth on the election day can be classified as masses.

I said accord is currently stronger than PDP, but very close to election, PDP will reduce the gap or even override accord.



I have moved away from the analysis of the quality of governance which should be of greater concern to the analysis of who wins or lose election that some of you are always more interested in.

texaco1: hmmm,bros did u read this post very well before posting it?because if u give ajimobi this analysis he will give u a slap. U just knocked him off .ur points shows that he will lose.pls tell me how many of those so called middle class stand in the sun for hours to vote? U said accord is stronger than pdp in oyo state ,where did u get this info from?even the hausa man on the street of ibadan knows that pdp is stronger than accord. How many ppl are defecting to accord and how many to pdp? Bros don't follow air conditioned room politics discussion ,those that decide the fate of elections are in the sun ,drivers,food sellers,mechanics. Politicians don't play with these set of people ,if they like a candidate they can die for him or her.they don't have time for nairaland discussion ,or can u die for ajimobi?

9 months to election is a long time politically, a lot of factors can still come to play,

I can tell you majority of the aggrieved masses at the moment will pick accord at the expense of PDP. the masses make up roughly 80% of the voters, and i acknowledged that in my analysis.

In a 3 horse race, you only need roughly 40% of total votes, it will be a 3 horse race in 2015 in oyo state.

smartchoice: Get off Nairaland your patients are dying at the Ekiti State University Teaching Hospital....or are you this wicked and mean?

I dont know where you are manufacturing details about me from, but i must confess people like you sometimes make me conclude you need to have a low IQ to support PDP. Bros, i have never for once slept in ekiti state , neither am i a med doctor.

smartchoice: From a medical doctor on STRIKE!

What is your point?

Since, some folks are more interested in who wins or lose election than what the candidates will offer to the populace.

In my opinion, Ajimobi has a very good chance of coming back due to some factors, the accord party is currently stronger than PDP in oyo state, that tells me it will be a highly contested 3 horse race in 2015, as the strength of the PDP will increase shortly before the election due to FG might. Ajimobi needs to harness roughly 40% of the total votes. His strength lies with the lower/upper middle class and the big guns which makes up roughly 20% of the electorates. His weakness lies with the "masses" which makes up roughly 80% of the electorates. If he plays his political game tightly , nothing stops him from getting at least 15/20 and 25/80 from the two camps.