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Wanaj0's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 6:51am On Apr 12, 2018
rationalmind:
A gearing ratio is a general classification describing a financial ratio that compares some form of owner's equity (or capital) to funds borrowed by the company. Gearing is a measurement of the entity’s financial leverage , which demonstrates the degree to which a firm's activities are funded by owner's funds versus creditor's funds.

Culled from Investopedia
See below for details. You can also look at other financial ratios

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/gearingratio.asp
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 8:50pm On Apr 11, 2018
rebekah2011:
Revenue increased greatly. You better go and read the auditors report. This is a coy that is technically dead
A company that the auditors already saw that

1) There are uncertainties around the going concern of the company. Order book is low. Shareholders fund eroded. Gearing ratio is 185:1.

2) Company may not be able to meet its foreign currency obligations as at when due.

This is a company in need of resurrection power! It is LONG dead.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 1:56pm On Apr 11, 2018
wanaj0:
NEM has consistently paid dividend. That at least shows that there is 'money' to back up the performance.

C&I Leasing are on a goldmine BUT cannot trust the management. Even if you PROVIDE for the misbehaviours, the figures still looks attractive. Major issue is actually more of the expected dilution based on the conversion of loan (Convertible Notes) to equity.

A dividend paying stock with a PE of < 3.0 must have BUY written all over it.

Note however that it is illiquid.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 1:30pm On Apr 11, 2018
Agbalowomeri:
Oga you still dey follow those people? Are you even sure the results declared is real? That stock and NEM hold me down for ages those days when I still dey form value investor grin
NEM has consistently paid dividend. That at least shows that there is 'money' to back up the performance.

C&I Leasing are on a goldmine BUT cannot trust the management. Even if you PROVIDE for the misbehaviours, the figures still looks attractive. Major issue is actually more of the expected dilution based on the conversion of loan to equity.

A dividend paying stock with a PE of < 3.0 must have BUY written all over it.

Note however that it is illiquid.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 11:40am On Apr 11, 2018
RabbiDoracle:
There will be a huge fall in demand when electric cars are finally used. For now, it is still fossil fuel cars and hybrid. Electric cars are coming but the supply is yet to get to a critical mass.
Not likely. Demand will be driven by 'developing' countries with huge energy gap! Nigeria is able to consume all our 2mbopd without nothing for export! We have energy deficiency just like other developing countries. The customers will change but the demand will likely be sustained.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 10:22am On Apr 11, 2018
onegentleguy:
Thank u my dear,
I had wanted to ask him to pls tell us how many coys on the NSE bourse has sustainably and consistently delivered a 50% Y/Y profit growth rate without some ups and downs in between.
...not even FLOURMILLS, the market leader in the segment has done that without vicissitudes.

It's always easy to make/give projections when ur viewing things from the outside.
But like I said then, some things are better left unsaid.
...Mr TIME will lay credence to what's left.

I have since decided to agree so we could disagree.

Cheers my dear !!
Confused now about what you are disputing. I said Dangote Flour cannot sustain its current performance (50% year on year growth in Profit) and you said it can be done! You said we should wait for time to tell which I agree with you.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 9:49am On Apr 11, 2018
OandO suspension lifted. Shares on bid! Those who want top BUY better BUY now smiley

Oil na Oil oooo
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 9:34am On Apr 11, 2018
BullBearMkt:
...interesting, sometimes in June 2017, I read a write-up by an energy expert providing reasons why oil price cannot rise above $50 again. One of the things he talked about was solar power! I remember, I then looked at the chart & saw oil accumulation going on. Well, the rest for me is history as we are talking oil passing $71.30!

Tesla, Google, Microsoft, Uber, GM and many others have been spending huge amount of money to ensure we have solar driven cars. Great inventions, but are they ripe now? Check news recently, many electric driven cars have been suspended temporarily due to accidents and many more!

As for me, what is more important is the price chart other things are noise! When the time is ripe, chart will indicates the range oil will be trading either disaster or unrest pushing the price higher or increase in oil supply, solar innovation will drop the price, chart will say it.
grin grin grin grin grin
Fossil fuel is expected to still provide over 50% of world energy for the next 25years at LEAST.

Those using firewood now will need energy but doubt they will make a leap to 'clean energy'.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 8:19pm On Apr 10, 2018
TLAX:
That is true and that is his business strategy. It has also made him one of the wealthiest men in the World. What can be wrong with that? I dont see any and don't know why people have issues with that. Conventional wisdom says you should play to your strengths...it will be much more beneficial to you than trying to overcome your weaknesses.
Absolutely nothing is wrong with that. However, the information is useful for an investor. It will guide me in formulating my strategy for any investment made in an Alhaji company.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 8:11pm On Apr 10, 2018
pluto09:
Let look at the figures once again so that we can argue to gain something.

We start with DF;

Turnover in 2017 is 125b and 105b in 2016, that is about 20% increase.

Gross profit in 2017 is 29.3b and in 2016 ,it is also 29.3b, that is 0% increase.

Operating profit in 2017 is 18.5b and in 2016,18.9b,zero % increase.

PAT in 2017 is 15.1b while it is 10.5b in 2016, about 50% increase.

Now, if we discount the gain on sale of asset and finance income in the 2017 report, the PAT would have been less than that of 2016.

Then,looking at the result q/q, we will see a slow down in the last quarter which naturally should be the strongest.

Turnover for the whole year is 125b but the company only recorded a sale of 25b in the last quarter.

Operating profit for 2017 is 18.5b but only 3.2b was made in the last quarter.

PAT for the whole year is 15.1 with the last quarter having just 2b.

I can see a slow down in turnover and PAT q/q and that is why I said it would be difficult to sustain a 50% growth this year.
You can either invest with emotions or with facts/figures.

DF CANNOT sustain a 50% annual growth rate in profit year on year continuously. The Q4 result is already an indication of what is happening.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 8:08pm On Apr 10, 2018
currentprice:
Upl year end is March, so Audit report is not out yet till June.
Not insurance grin

The 2 stock already release result with very good numbers but buyer have no interest due to the other factors.

Abeg check the result released so far to see for yourself

grin grin grin
Likely Custodian and Learn Africa. Liquidity is the issue.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 1:25pm On Apr 10, 2018
locodemy:
so by this time FRIDAY my own dividend go land.
You should get it today.

Those with GTB account are not getting notifications yet (I think the system is overloaded). Everyone is getting paid today. Just log on to your account.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 11:16am On Apr 10, 2018
Lafarge Africa Plc FY2017 Conference Call will hold on Wednesday, 11th April 2018, at 2.00pm .

Registration can be done from the link below

http://services.choruscall.za.com/DiamondPassRegistration/register?confirmationNumber=8950656&linkSecurityString=2b837e780
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 11:08am On Apr 10, 2018
awesomeJ:
Sir,
You really don't seem to be a big fan of Alhaji.

Even his refinery doesn't seem to impress you.

What I think is, with or without shortcomings, the guy's still a good deal overall. From employment generation to driving import substitution, I think he's just alright.
Not sure where you got that impression from. I only stated that during the forex crisis, Dangote was getting forex at subsidised rate from government. I also stated that I don't see him selling products in Naira. I am impressed by the refinery and petrochemical complex! He is bold and believe in Nigeria.

There is always the Good, the Bad and the Ugly. Fact is that the man thrives where there is monopoly and government support. He stays away from highly competitive sectors especially where the barrier of entry is low! He has failed in sectors where there is no government protection and is an all comers affair.

Those are TRUTHS.

BUY the TRUTH and SELL it not smiley
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 11:03am On Apr 10, 2018
currentprice:
no be today, since 1966. my oga has never been fan of Dangote and Tony

grin grin
Not sure how you arrive at that conclusion.

when it comes to analysing a company. Emotions are set aside. You deal with available facts and make judgement call based on the information available to you.

For Dangote Cement, there are few players with HIGH Barrier of entry. Dangote Cement is the market leader so IF I want to buy a cement company, I will buy Dangote Cement. It can control both the price and also the volume. See the use of cement for construction of roads for example. Moreover, there is really no substitute for cement. Hence, I can see a 'future' for Dangote Cement.

Dangote Sugar is similar. Few players, relatively high barrier of entry. So there is a seeming monopoly. Dangote Sugar is market leader so can determine what goes on in the sector. Not much alternative/Substitute to Sugar.

Dangote Flour is different. It is not the market leader. The barrier of entry is low with many flour milling company. Dangote cannot dictate the price. It is not compulsory to eat flour. At a certain price level, people will switch to alternatives. So don't see DF sustaining the current revenue and EPS growth rate. Not going to happen.

For Tony and his companies, I watch with eyes wide happen. United Capital is significant in my holding because I 'trust' the GMD.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 8:51am On Apr 10, 2018
kolaish:
DF is a stock just recuperating from a loss position left by the Tiger Brand, therefore, it is now in the process of stabilizing due to the turnaround by Alhaji midas touch. DS and Salt are up there already, consolidating and trying to improve on their earnings.

DF looks good for anyone that still want to enter at current price or lower.
OR maybe the competition in the flour business is more and DF is not the market leader unlike in the Sugar and Cement business where you have few players and the Dangote companies are the market leaders.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 5:43am On Apr 09, 2018
Agbalowomeri:
Did you see the jump in admin cost
His comment was not based on the audited report tongue His comment was based on HOPE.

The company made a loss YET LAFARGE pocketed N9bn is Technical services fee. Why bother making profithuh?

BTW, nothing WRONG in technical services fee.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 9:20pm On Apr 08, 2018
Mpeace:
It was always going to be like this especially with the q3 result.
Q1 2018 is key to this stock. I want to enter before then but after the reaction yo this result.
Why will you want to enter? LAFARGE is milking the company! Collecting Technical services fee yet making a loss? What's the benefit of the technical service tongue
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 9:10pm On Apr 08, 2018
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 7:02pm On Apr 06, 2018
pluto09:
Is aiico result out or na only corporate action huh
Only corporate action ooo. Maybe result go come on Sunday lol
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 5:27pm On Apr 06, 2018
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 9:51am On Apr 06, 2018
http://www.nse.com.ng/Financial_NewsDocs/21624_OANDO_PLC_CORPORATE_ACTIONS_APRIL_2018.pdf

Congrats to all OandO shareholders. At last something to celebrate cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 10:00am On Apr 05, 2018
Mpeace:
They are finding it difficult to hide npls. They should be made to make proper provisions for npls like the other banks do, so that we can really know their worth.
They are not the only one. For them to deadlock with the auditors shows that it is material. Alternative may be for the auditors to QUALIFY the account which they will not want.

Definitely not looking rosy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 7:30am On Apr 05, 2018
phemmie06:
Have they submitted the result to CBN or was it rejected cos Fidelity said they are yet to conclude auditing
My guess will be that the auditors are yet to sign off on the accounts. I will assume that they are yet to submit to CBN
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0:
yom2:
another right issue again, these local companies deh tire me o.
Na only local companies dey do rights?

Just wait for the Public offers. That will be the time to VAMOOSE from the market smiley
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 6:57am On Apr 05, 2018
valacious:
I dont understand your statement...
They have a Rights coming. They have to maintain the share price at a level in preparation for the Rights.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 8:44pm On Apr 04, 2018
valacious:
Why is no one talking about May and Baker dividend of 0.20k...and their intended rights issue at N2.75
'Managing' the price in view of the oncoming rights wink
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 2:38pm On Apr 04, 2018
From Abuja:

MPC RETAINS MPR AT 14%, CASH RESERVE RATIO AT 22.5%, LIQUIDITY RATIO AT 30%.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 2:20pm On Apr 04, 2018
locodemy:
printing and publishing companies(UPL &LEARN AFRICA) the right place to be now.
SMALL OS.
SMALL FREE FLOAT.
BETTER NUMBERS.
BETTER DIVIDEND.

LOCO IS LOADED HERE KNOWING TOO WELL THEY ARE ILLIQUID STOCKS.
Provided you have ZERO intention of selling. Just enjoy the paper profit smiley
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 7:43am On Apr 04, 2018
Mpeace:
Lol these guys are still auditing. Others don do board meeting sef. Diamond and first bank has done board meeting to approve audited results.
Meaning is that there is disagreement between the Bank and the Auditors on classification of items and or provisions to be made. They will be having series of meetings to close the gap. Expect Full Year audited result to differ from estimate based on quarterly reports. Not a good story.

Those who have done board meeting must have submitted their results to the CBN for approval.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 1:42pm On Apr 03, 2018
onegentleguy:
They needed to preserve a good measure of CASH, given where they are coming from, and where they are headed to.
...just keep watching as more things unfold in the short to mid term my currently. shocked shocked

I'll say it again; The future is here !! wink cheesy
But there is NO cash smiley
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wanaj0: 12:44pm On Apr 03, 2018

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