Wanaj0's Posts
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Windywendy, you get time to dey analyse Acorn. Saw it and I could see clearly that they are armed robbers. In a sector with dwindling margins and seroius competition expecting such a leap within such a short time shows that they don't know what they are doing. However, that does not mean that those that bought the PP will not make money. As per CHAMS, still dey wait for your detailed analysis OOOOO. Hope you've submitted the application while analysis is in progress. In terms of fund raised, everyone will be playing catch up with First Bank. N250bn no be joke. Definitely, there shareholders fund will be ahead of others. GTB is the one I fear for. It is either they are planning to be swallowed up or they have an agenda that is not clear. They are growing smaller and smaller in the general scheme of things. |
It is not a profitable venture except you are into supply of diesel. margins are fixed and small. Imagine running on generator and being made to sell at ridiculous price? |
Sorry, nothing like that at elast for now and yet to see any plan for this. Only brokers can trade remotely. You need to eb connected to the trading machine to be able to trade. |
diva4eva:You fit apply for more rights. Where will you get the extra from? From people that did not take up their rights. So since most of you decided to take up your rights, money will automatically be refunded. So next time, no plan to take another mans property ![]() |
yodiyokun:Not quite through, check 2003 or so, Q1 was a disaastrout year on the NSE. diva4eva:Na ojukokoro (insect eye ) dey worry you. They told you your RIGHT and you applied for MORE than your entitlement. Whose fault be that ? Abeg no complain OOOO ![]() Well such is life. A friend made a KILL from WAPCO and BCC by applying far above his rights. He did the same with First Bank and he was colecting millions as refund after six months from money obtained on loan at interest rate of almost 25%. Help me calculate his losses. |
yodiyokun:I've shared some experience before. Will recount a few: As a newbie, bought Savannah Bank due to low PE not knowing that it is about to die. It is still in my CSCS. Small amount (10,000 units @ 0.80) but I learnt my lesson. Bought UNTL at 4.00 because I gave an order to buy about 50,000 units of UNTL when it was 2.50. No price limit or expiry date, months later I got a contract note that they bought @4.00 when that was my exit price!!! Since then ALL orders goes with Price Limit and Expiration date. Still keeping the UNTL as a reminder!!! Bought Presco at 10.50 and sold @ 11.50!!! That is nonsence in my books because I sold Okomu which now returned better to BUY Presco. Bought Eterna @ 1.50, it dropped to 0.68 but rose finally to 3.50 at which point I sold. Sure you know the price of Eterna now. Bought Oceanic at 7.00 Sold at 14.00. had to buy again @ 14.00 (after adjustment for bonus 1 to 4) less than three weeks after!!!!!! So I never claimed to be a 'perfect' investor!!!! However in all, they fit into my RISK profile. No sweat over any. You may not beleiev it, I've not taken a serious look at the market for the past one month or thereabout! My mind is at rest so I am not worried by teh daily flunctuations. Not saying that is right but that is what 'FITS' into my personality. BTW, just submitted CHAMS PP form now via UBA. Will be submitting anotehr batch through SKYE bank tomorrow. |
pumping777:Pumping, ALL strategies work. The issue is which startegy or combination fits your personality. I've seen people doing CRAZY things but they are comfortable with it. Collecting margin to do First Bank PO? Collecting margin to pay apply for more than your RIGHTS? Believe me the guy wnet to collect his return money and he was all smiles!!!! My dear, some people will drop dead!!! He just looked and asked which stock to BUY and get 50% returns because 6 months is already gone with that deal. However, I am not worried about him. That's his personality. He is comfortbale with it. Some people will die if there is nothing to make their hearts to skip!!! So by nature, some people can only be short term traders. They like the excitement that comes with the game. That is their personality. So whatever strategy or combination of strategies that you use, let it fit your personality so that you will be HAPPY. HAPPY INVESTING. |
RoughCut:My man you too dey jump to conclusion. Ask am whether this is the first time it is happening? Ask am whether when the guy did it before and they made profit he was not all smiles. Yes brokers will not ormally do such but when you give money to brokers and ask them to BUY a good stock what do you expect. As a rule, my orders have limit price and expiry date. I learnt that from experience. You buy any stock without my WRITTEN instruction (even if I call it must be backed up by e-mail) you will remove it straight away except no be my money you use!!!!!!!!! And removing it means I am not bearing the transaction and commission costs!!!!! |
kpineo:My man na person with deep pockets fit suffer hypertension pass. That's why funds don't buy the so called 'hot' stocks. 10% loss in a portfolio of N1bn size is N100m. If you cake that in a week (some make that in 2 straight days) you no go faint? As per cycling in and out with N2m, that's too general a statement. It depend on the LEVEL that you are operating. For some cycling in and out with 100k is huge for their level. For some anything less than N10m no dey show for their portfolio!!!!!!! So LEVELS no be the same that's why you should not make such GENERAL statement. I got your gist though. ![]() |
pumping777:While I get your gist, the issue is not a long term or short term matter. People put money into Transcorp long term (PP) but you can see that those that bought the PP are in the red after 2 years!!!! People bought OandO for long term during the PO and Rights and for almost three years they were in the red. People just need to know that whatever strategy that they use fit their risk profile!!!!! That to me is the key. Because we are also different in terms of age, status, investment objective etc, it is difficult to make a 'general' recommendation to someone without knowing those information. That's why financial planners general sit down with you to know you and understand your objective before recommending products. No startegy is wrong once it fits your risk profile. I know people that are hyper active so they cannot just wait without seeing movements on their portfolio. It fits there personality and risk profile so no wahala!!! |
ololufemi:Olufemi, I laughed at you then but I know that you will learn. I also know that you are not a 'novice' in financial matters. I was not laughing at your misfortune but glad that you are learning a vital LESSON. PATIENCE. Imagine if that money was what you needed urgently ?My concern is that people are not tailoring their strategy to their risk profile. Also they don't have a contingency plan. For example, I got my school fees (N1m) but the tuition is not due in March and I was told of the hot stocks. Good, but what happens if things go wrong. Will I stop schooling ??People don't know how much losses some people make on the floor everyday. Which ever strategy you use, non is fool proof. Just make sure that it follows your risk profile. Got a guy who collected his mortgage and invested it in 'hot' UBA stock @ 14.00. Now that same UBA went as low as 6.00 within a short time. He almost died of hypertension. No house, no money!!! Shared the experience of a guy who collected margin to buy WAPCO. With margin you know it is short term. Well, he bough at 75.00 hoping to exit at 100.00. Well, WAPCO went as low as 65.00. But do you know one thing, his risk appetite can take. He did not even bother to sell the WAPCo gain (one year) now. He even collected more margin facility. For most, they will land in the hospital immediately today. Was with the chap today and he was still all smiles. Still jovial with the wife. For most, the wife will automatically discover the change in the man she married!!! When I sent price history since 2001, it was for people to understand what trend is all about so that they can filter out the distortions. We've had some distortions in the market which will soon clear out. People should take risk that fits their profile |
damoche07:Well, when the 'distortions' in the market are removed, we all will start to see how things work. Ask your self why you will buy a stock at a higher price after lifting from TS when you could have bought from the PO. The madness started when BPE made some companies to be on TS for close to 2 years during the privitisation exercise. Because of the supressed capital appreciation they hit the rooftop. Also, when CBN started verification which made bank stocks to be on TS for longer than necessary, this was compensated for by the sudden appreciation after the TS. Now that the distortion is being removed, it remained to be seen why the price should increase after a PO. Why did it not 'increase' before the PO? |
Fatherof2, if you read my post very well, you will see that I am not attacking or criticising your strategy. Just letting people know that they've got to be like you in terms of temperament if they need to go that route. When FCMB was lifted from TS, the price dropped and people panicked. You however told them not to worry. Those that will worry over daily flunctuations should not even get near the capital market or else they will develop high blood pressure. My comment is not about strategy, it is about individuals risk appetite. It will be good if you teach them that also. That's when they can live to enjoy the money that they make from the market. |
RoughCut:You need to understand the reasoning. There is a limit to the quantity of shares traded on the floor. Hence those that want huge stake either negotiate or enter through a PO/IPO. Stanbic nominees applied for over 2bn shares of Access Bank. That is deep pocket in my books. Definitely more than what Actis committed into Diamond. The issue is you have people who want to 'take' over some companies. If negotiations fail, you try through PO's/IPO. it is a gamble now with the oversubscription. |
@ all, It is not the 'norm' for prices to rice after a PO. What is the reason for the rise? After all the excitement, we will return to the 'norm' when prices fall after lifting of Technical suspension. So beware!!! FCMB should have taught people some lessons. Roughcut, institutional investors that partook of the FBN and Access offer got money refunded to them. That include those that participated as prefential investor. If one person applied for 50% of the total offer what is the person looking for? How much will they now allot to the others? For institutional investors that do not bid for a takeover, you negotiate with the owners and you get a private placement. That's what Actis did with Diamond. They did not enter via PO. Even with Intercontinental, teh funds entered via supplementary offer and not the intial offer. Inter went to meet the fund managers to invest. Look at even the IBTC/Stanbic deal. It was discussed. Not one that someone will submit application for 50% of the total shares on offer. That immediately skewed the allotment process. If you have that amount of money and intesret, why not eneter into discussion and negotiate. if you don't get HEART don't do short term trading. You will get HYPERTENSION. Most of you following Fatherof2's strategy don't know the kind of person he is. When FCMB was dropping after the lifting of TS and people were shaking, he was resolute. That means that he is willing to wait it through. Secondly he is not under 'pressure' to sell. Thirdly, he is well diversified with deep pockets. Fatherof2 is recommending First Bank you think he is planning to clean out in two weeks? He went into WAPCo you think he is talking about 2 weeks? If you don't tailor your strategy to your personality, you will soon be on the hospital bed. Fatherof2, please teach your students about risk in relation to age, size of porfolio, investment objective etc or else you go carry many dead body!!!!!! On PO's I do PO's but I know those that will be oversubscribed and I did not bother. One rule about stocks is when every Tom Dick and Harry is buying a particular stock run away from it. By teh time Tomato seller, Shoemaker etc are buying a stock what do you expect. It was written all over Dangote flour that it will be oversubscribed so I did not move near. For those buying Costain, just be checking your box for returned money. For AIICo anything above 50,000 units will likely have money returned. For Zenith, anything above 10,000 will surely face return money. So if I know that, I candecide to buy in multiple names (individual and as a corporate entity) One thing I have against most of the PO's is the fact that they are over priced. No real discount. But if I see another PO like NAHCO. Coming out with a forward PE of less than 4, I will rush it!!! Loans that I am getting for CHAMS are short term (two weeks) loan from individuals. |
walcolm:Not likely, though the accounts are in your name, you have many accounts (CSCS and CHN nos) hence each account will need payment for access. RoughCut:Not totally correct. For starters, STANBIC Nominees requested for about 50% of the total shares on offer!!!! Of course no way they will get that amount. Also, for First Bank, someone applied for over 1bn units!!!!!!!! No way First Bank will allow that, institutional investor or not. Don't forget that they are also wary of hostile takeover. Even those that entered under preferential allotment are getting refund money. I have a group that did and they are using the refund money for Bank PHB. While the institutional investors have deep pockets, comapnies are wary of them because of control. They want to have people on the board. Soon, they will push the promoters away. See what OandO did at Gaslink. |
MyPeace:Your sister is not qualified for the dividend. Yes Access is returning money. The branch she bought it from will not know. No one will confirm until the official announcement is made for the allottment. Reality is that teh offer was hugely oversubscribed. There is a limit to how much of that they can accommodate so the rest will be returned. Most institutional investors are already pressurising them for return of their money. |
stanchuks:You entered at a high price. 18.00 was my entry point for Diamond. If you are patient, it should reach the 27.00 - 30.00 just before the result is out. I am not in it to trade. Hope you've sold your NGC. Target price for me is 28.00. Anything above that na jara. lawalidowu:Don't see WAPCO going below 65.00, even that is a bargain. A fair price for WAPCO will be the 90.00 - 100.00. What is affecting WAPCO and to some extent Flour Mills is the epileptic gas supply which has led to an increase in the operating cost. I think the result should be out by March/April. |
lawalidowu:You enter WAPCO at the wrong tim. You enter more at its peak. I will not enter WAPCo above 70.00 because I don't see it going above 100.00. Naturally, I go for stocks where I see potential of 50%. That way even if my projections are not met, I should go home with 30% which is not bad. Right now, I am bullish on DSR but it is going up and up. If you can take gamble, wait for the 9 months result of First Bank and enter. If you can wait for 12 to 18months you should make a KILL. For returns in Q1, November/December is the time to take profit. On insurance, tread with care. Most of them will be coming back to the market so expect the prices to be on Technical suspension soon. |
MyPeace:February |
steeviee:Which one is NRM Generally for insurance companies, tread with caution.If it is NEM, difficult for me to recommend. It was 0.55 in 2006 when they did the rights. Now they've merged with VIGILANTE and not sure what the outstanding share is right now. However, they will be coming to the market soon which should drive up the price. Still tend to lean towards UNIC. The PO was don @ 1.10 in 2006. They may be coming back to the market soon barge:Personally prefer FCMB to AG Leventis. hbrednic: |
crazyT:What is the request again? The CHAMS thing took all my time and energy. crazyT:You don't need to be in Nigeria. Your broker can issue a cheque to the issuing house so no problem with that. I don't do short term. For LONG TERM, CHAMS is top on my list. Can wait till 2010 for that. First Bank and Diamond are also on my radar. Dangote Sugar should also do well this year. On Diamond, if you can wait for 3 years, go for it. Don't see ACTIS staying past three years. You can be sure that when they decide to exit, it will be at a huge premium. |
steeviee:Not sure what the earlier request was. Well, I finished University in 1991, started investing actively in the stock market in 2001 so you can imagine where I ought to be especially now that I've moved to the NEXT LEVEL |
aktopgun:Well, reserved 2m units at UBA Global Capital Markets. Just got a contact in SKYE BANK also. They are one of teh underwritters so I guess they are selling their portion (25% of the total offer) They are doing first come first served. The guy asked for an e-mail so as to make reservation for me. Going to do a reservation for another 1m units while I go and source for funds. Raised 1m already. Hope to get more before COB today. Will see if I can raise 12m by next week. If it is still open then, I can go for a KILL. |
MyPeace:Wetin cause riot for Kenya no reach this one wy you dey do OOOO Pennywise:CHAMS and CHELLARAMS are totally different companies with nothing in common. CHAMS is doing a PP with plans for listing soon. They may do an IPO then. CHELLARAMS is already listed but is planning for a PO. Hope this help. |
MyPeace:And how far with Transexpress ? |
@Blest, just send the money to me and I can BUY since you cannot BUY. Seriously, this CHAM thing na wa OOOOO. Was just processing a N12m loan that should be ready by month end for this thing now they will not allow me to eat belleful for this offer. Learnt that they did preferential allottment. Was told that the 'offer' was just to fulfill all righteousness as the thing was already allocated!!!! Unbelievable. Well, now that CHAMS is almost gone, what next ![]() |
SavvyLanre:Call them first. faster that way. You need to know how fast the thing be. Na hot cake!!!!!!!!!!! People are dropping cheques without filling forms yet!!!! |
RoughCut:The 2m unit is fully susbcribed now. It is being shared between 4 people. I hope to take minimum of 1m units out of that. However, trying to get SANTRUST to see if I can get more. Have one other link at UBA that I am trying to work on, if that clicks today then I should have some free float. K2:Abeg no be dia fault. Na so proper PP be. Na by invitation. Did you get the IV Why una wan gate crash enter the party?Windywendy, still waiting for yoyr analysis as promised OOO |
RoughCut:UBA global market is the LEAD issuing house. They have already done 'preferential' allotment. Hence they are managing the number of units they can send out. For SKYE and SANTRUT, not sure they have that many customers so there must be free float with them. Like you said, delay is dangerous. Not a customer of UBA but got someone to 'force' them to reserve 2m units. Contacted SANTRUST and will get a feedback tomorrow. If I can raise more cash, then will go for the jugular here. Buy Buy to MTN |
SavvyLanre:You dey waste time. Just call them and threaten fire and brimstone if they don't action your request. Delay is dangerous. You dey watch am e dey go!!!! |
bigjay01:My brother the thing na juice. Problem be say I no get cash now!!!! You need to know how far I've gone looking for money (loan). Just need two weeks to pay back. That offer is damn too juicy to miss. If dem like, make dem no list for the next four years, na dem Sabi. By then, na 10 for 1 bonus dem go give us. Just expect 1,000% returns by 2010. if they do the 2011 election and we go for electronic voting, then na serious hammer be that!!!!!!! pumping777:Skye bank no be better issuing house. How many customers dem get? UBA just allocated teh thing to themself. I thing SANTRUST will allocate it to Sanusi. Tommorow will be used to source for loan!!! |
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? Abeg no complain OOOO
