₦airaland Forum

toplinetrtrend:
I'm voting Obi and I'm Yoruba.

Zonefree:

But you didn't see imperative of placing competence in governance above regional sentiment when you were shouting Emi lokan


Well, I'm glad the spirit of 1993 didn't end well.

kenedy175:
Before I start, this prediction was made based on the ethnoreligious diversity of Nigeria and our bias, the performance of the ruling party over 7 years, and the current situation of the country among other factors.

Please, this is for open-minded people. You can decide to make contributions or adjustments.

Nigeria has never been more politically aware and divided based on religion and tribe until this current dispensation. So all that happened In 1993 will not happen today.

Let's start from the NE. This will be between Atiku and Tinubu. Atiku will win this zone. Core Northerners never forget their own, they are giving their votes to Atiku. Buhari isn't in the picture anymore, and the north is tired of the misrule by the current APC government. Tinubu will get some votes here with Kwankwaso. The only way Tinubu may get more votes here is if he picks someone like Kashim shettima as his running mate. But irrespective of that, Atiku will still win the NE. Therefore, it's going to be PDP 50%, APC 30%, NNPP 15%, and LP 5%.

Coming to the NW where we have the Kwankwasiya movement. This is the only zone where NNPP is likely to do better because of Kwankwaso. But still, PDP and APC will pull some strings here. If Kwankwaso remains In the race which I doubt he will, NNPP will do well. It's going to be NNPP 40%, PDP 25%, APC 25%, and LP 5%.

The NC has always been a battleground as we have a lot of swinging states. The four major parties contesting the 2023 presidential election will test their popularity here. I can't see who takes it here. However, this is how I think it will end up PDP 30%, APC 30%, LP 30%, NNPP 10%.

Coming to the SE, this is where LP will be banking. With the recent happenings, Obi is certainly having this zone on lockdown. The only disruption here will be if IPOB decides to hamper the voting process on that day with violence. One might think some states in the SE are governed by PDP and APC governors. This won't affect the outcome. The outcome will be, LP 70%, PDP 20%, and APC 10%.

The SS will be no different from the SE. The voting pattern will be similar. The 2 zones have always been in tandem when it comes to who they vote for in recent times. Though, PDP may do better in this zone. This is what I think the outcome will be, LP 55%, PDP 30%, APC 15%.

Now we move on to the SW where another battle will likely take place. This is the home of Tinubu. However, other parties will come out with something tangible here. APC 40%, LP 30%, PDP 30%.

In the end, PDP will take NE and NC. APC will take SW and NC. LP will take SE, SS, and NC. NNPP will take NW.

Putting all this into perspective, this election will be between PDP and LP. There was a reason why APC wanted the consensus candidate to be Lawan who's from the NE. He would have stood a better chance than Tinubu in trying to win votes for the party. It would have been a lot easier for APC to now pick a southern Christian candidate as his running mate. But now, it's a lot more difficult for APC. And a Muslim Muslim ticket won't do well for them.

Please feel free to voice out your opinion without insults. Let's discuss

specialmati:
you see why I say most of you touts and agberos have turn journalists. Tell us why we should vote Lagos landlord, your pay master after what APC has done to this country.

specialmati:
all these useless analysis because they choose to support younger Peter Obi over your old currupt money bag. Alias Lagos landlord. Oya come and analyse why they should support Lagos landlord

SaiOba:
Am sorry mate, I know you are entitled to your opinion but you got it all wrong..

donleo92:
@op.
Do you think obi would make a good leader? if yes no need of all this nonsense.
let the best man win.

helinues:
We are yet to see just 1 single Obi's supporters who can exchange 4 conversations without throwing tantrum.

I have been asking Obi's supporters to just present 1 person, but none

trutharena:
Below are some of the Jagaban Challenge videos trending in the North where people do short videos on TikTok to the song.

Below are some of the videos merged together and this is a testament that Jagaban is accepted in the North with ordinary people doing the TikTok on their own.

Each of the video contain multiple TikTok videos of the challenge merged into one.

The hashtag #JagabanChallenge already got over 2m views on TikTok already and this is mainly sponsored by the Northerners.

Mynd44 Lalasticala

Below are the YouTube links:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NijCDJuWJRQ



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JOq_Mg8OKeM

aribisala0:
Actually you are the one being emotional
Envy

YOU claimed it was initiated by private investors but have no evidence but others on this thread have shown evidence of LASG operatives making moves as far back as 2006 for this so it is clearly a LASG initiative unless you have contradictory evidence?

CheapHomes1:
Kindly avail yourself the screenshots below. Meanwhile,

There's nothing you have typed that has negated the information in my post which you quoted. You only ended up proving me right.

The problem is that many Tinubu urchins have tried to give the impression that this port is strictly a Lagos state govt initiative executed by the Lagos state govt. They also try to tie it to Tinubu. But that is far from the truth. The port was initiated and is being developed by a private Singaporean company. The Lagos state govt and the FG (NPA) own 20% and 5% shares in the venture respectively

Web2020:
I don't hate Tinubu as a person. I totally hate his corrupt nature. He is too greedy and corrupt. He would only enrich his family and friends if we allow him rule Nigeria; God forbid. We need who will enrich the masses not selected few.

CheapHomes1:
I repeat:

There's nothing you have typed that has negated the information in my post which you quoted. Pls read again & take note of where the owners of the deep sea port come from.

The problem is that many Tinubu urchins have tried to give the impression that this port is strictly a Lagos state govt initiative executed by the Lagos state govt. They also try to tie it to Tinubu. But that is far from the truth. The port was initiated and is being developed by a private Singaporean company. The Lagos state govt and the FG (NPA) own 20% and 5% shares in the venture respectively

NB: Can you produce where you got your question you asked in your first paragraph?

9jaRealist:
Nope! We cannot afford a “template” that requires 20+ years before for our kids start seeing results…
Bad enough that 23 years after he “conceived” 4th Mainland Bridge and Lekki Airport, not one brick has been laid.

We need change and progress NOW! Not in 2045!!
>

trutharena:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T6tl00bCdr0

SteveDGreat:
Labour Party @NgLabour & Peter Obi Support Group joint meeting at currently going on at Agbor, Delta State.

Truthisunique2:
obi have made it clear a Muslim must balance it's ticket later on, that is what all presidential candidate have done and would do

Na only tinubu dey put am for debate, Adamawa with sizeable Christian number have deputy governor

Gombe have christian deputy gov, nassarawa the same, kaduna is about to return to that route

These are states in core muslim north that still believe in balancing that accept, it's not nationally they will now change

Truthisunique2:
no the narrative won't change when it's about christian turn

Muslim north would not remember every politician is not religious when christian christian is in the ticket

You can only deceive yourself just as you are against zulum himself that have said he isn't running

ccollins:
what’s wrong with a third class, can you stop posting nonsense . He is a graduate and that suffices. The 1st class that ruled before in government and civil service, have they transformed Nigeria to a better country. Stop speaking rubbish because Nigeria is a not a sane clime

LoveNbeloved:
Muslim-muslim ticket is where God will punish Tinubu and APC

Truthisunique2:
Zulum have said he prefers to serve his people than go for VP

I don't even see him taking a Muslim Muslim poison because he is a principled man

https://www.thecable.ng/zulum-ive-gotten-offers-for-vp-slot-but-ill-prefer-to-continue-as-governor/amp

Reveal the Shettima na him we even want, outside borno he is nobody, his antecedent in using Borno as pilot state for Boko Haram is very know to the north

shuttox:
https://punchng.com/running-mate-tinubu-pencils-zulum-shettima-aide-debunks-meeting-with-wike/?amp

PaChukwudi44:
What is the essence of this stupid post?

hungkee:
This is OBIDIENT BENUE STATE..
If you want, continue shouting Labour has no structure until you will be there we will use your house as one of our campaign offices..
Meanwhile campaign never start oo.

#peterobiforpresident
#obidientbenue
#obidientmovement
#LabourParty

Kastonkastroll:
5000 votes too plenty. I'm not sure he get up to 1000 votes.

JEWELofHELL666:
These pictures speak volumes...

https://twitter.com/0fficialNNPPng/status/1538149824767623168?s=19[/quote]What other choice does he have? His LP party got 195 votes in Ekiti... and can't do better anywhere apart from the minority SE.

edungene7:
OP Tinubu can't win the youths are getting ready for the center I mean the federal to wrestle power from APC with the same spirit of End SARS take back 9ja movement I want you to know that every state has a political timetable were they zone the governorship slot to a particular zone most times itz just formalities u see in governorship election there is already an existing agreement were the next governor should come from so Youth might not need to interfere if its going as agreed but the problem as always been the center with too much power this time if the third force should emerge as it is already playing out having the youth backing they will take by Nigeria

blamingthedevil:
https://twitter.com/Imranmuhdz/status/1538409877349052416

wirinet:
You are lying to justify your barbaric Islamic brothers who kill others in the name of Allah. When has Christians killed Muslims in the name of Jesus or jehovah?

Why did the SS governor demolish a mosque? Was it because he hated Islam and was demolishing mosques or he was imposing the States building code? Besides do you know how many churches were also demolished by southern governors including previous lagos state governors? Do you know how many churches was demolished by Mallan El Rufai both as minister FCT and as Kaduna State Governor?

TotalRunter:
So the christians are intolerant even after you killed and roasted Deborah before her father and no one retaliated? You burn churches at will no retaliation? You killed 80 people in catholic church owo and CAN did not ask for blood? So christians are the intolerant ones? How do you reason?