₦airaland Forum

bobgentle:
According to your analysis keeping Wike and obi for a Southern vote contest give me a side by side state votes projection of the southern States. all these southern states whom do you think the masses and not the votes of the foolish leaders/governors you mention will make a sure WIN for Obi or Wike

Peter Obi will sweep the entire Southeast. Or do you argue that?

He will get over 30% of votes or more in all of Southsouth states. Maybe except Rivers if Wike gets the ticket.

He will score about 40% of votes in Lagos, about 20% in Ogun, Oyo and Ondo.

Don’t know what will happen in Osun and Ekiti.

fredwill1357:
Peter Obi should deputize Kwankwaso for one term. What's so difficult about that, in 2027, he will be contesting from the ruling party with the support of the imcubent president Kwankwaso.
Kwankwaso is not as nepotistic or cluesless as Buhari, a 4 years term of a sensible northern president who runs an all inclusive government won't kill us.
If they run separately, they will both lose, forget peter obi online support. Majority of Nigerians are idiots, they will vote for money.

After a northerner’s 8 years presidency, will the north die if the south takes over?

vicdom:
Lol.... same hurricane that will sweep uche Ekwuunife senatorial return because of her utterances against Obi. You know that my state, Anambra is APGA state. So what we all resolved earlier was to vote Obi for presidency, then vote party of your choice in other segments, but Ekwuunife's utterances would have killed most politicians individual ambitions, because people are very angry now threatening to vote labour across board. Obi's tsunami will send most politicians in Anambra state in to political oblivion come 2023. You know the funniest thing, virtually all APGA flagbearers at the lower segments, like senate, reps are all campaigning for Obi, even though there's APGA presidential candidate ooo, just to avoid backlash from the masses. If you dare campaign publicly against obi, you will kiss your seat goodbye. Whatch out, even soludo will dare not campaign against him. If Obi maintains this tempo, you will be amazed with the number of votes that will come out of the SE, and even if he doesn't win, it will send signals to PDP and APC that SE can actually produce a reasonable votes when it matters.

Thank you for making me aware of this.

And I’m most happy with your conclusion that the even if Obi doesn’t win, we shall have made a statement to PDP and APC to never ever underestimate or not factor the Igbos in their political permutations ever again.

I wanna see the Southeast churning out nothing less than 5million votes.

It’s a statement that must be made.

You mean Tinubu was specific about North East and Christian?

Then Dogara it is.

Northern votes gone with the wind

Azsalami:
.
Okowa is too silent, we need someone that can stand for the christians and is ready to talk anytime at federal, Wike is fearless thats muric and other islamic organisation are against his movement.
And the movement is sealed for the favour of christ.
Wike is the nex VP

Asides Rivers, which other state in Southern Nigeria do you think Wike will attract votes?

Tinubu-Dogara is already trending

While Atiku-Wike is already trending.

The choice of Dogara or any Christian will make Tinubu lose northern votes. If he dares choose a Muslim, the south is gone.

Now, the choice of Wike will further make the Atiku ticket unpopular in both the north and south.

No Igbo man will vote Atiku with Wike as running mate after Obigbo massacre and telling the world he’s not Igbo.

Okowa will work against them in Delta.

After breaking Obaseki’s neck in Edo PDP, Obaseki will work against an Atiku/Wike ticket.

After losing out on both the presidency and vice presidency, Udom Emmanuel will not be enthusiastic to campaign for them in Akwa Ibom.

Donald Duke and Liyel Imoke don’t like Wike in Cross River.

Seriake Dickson of Bayelsa and Wike no dey waka same road.

I do not think the Yorubas will be so enthusiastic to vote Wike either.

So where will Wike get the southern votes for Atiku?

Well sha, everything is working out for the good of Peter Obi.

BafanaBafana:
Wike was chief of staff to Amaechi. He served him well.
He was a minister of education/boy to Patience Jonathan. He served her well. Wike knows how to do these things.

Except that the Wike of those times you mentioned doesn’t seem to be the Wike we know now.

Was Wike this cantankerous in his first term? No.

Everything changed after he won his second tenure and I don’t he will change from this man he has become now.

garfield1:
I just left Maria nnachi page on fb.almost all igbos there love obi and hate wike..the north do not also like... His mouth self do not like him...him and imoke are not friends,he talked down on imoke,prefers duke to imoke and helped sandy to win gershom imoke's candidate.that is why I said wike can only produce votes from rivers...

You said “his mouth doesn’t like him”

Wike destroyed a lot of bridges and goodwill he enjoyed in first tenure with his mouth and arrogance. I guess he started packing a lot of dollars and lost his mind thinking money can buy all things.

Meanwhile, I’m glad you visited Maria’s page so that you can feel the undiluted and unfiltered pulse of the Ebonyi and Igbo people.

The things I tell you here are not out of emotions but out of reality on ground.

Lol!

Selection of running mate seems to be tougher in this 2023 election than anytime ever in our election history.

Atiku is running kiti kiti; setting up laughable Vice Presidential screening committee.

Tinubu, too, is running kata kata; faced with the devil and the deep blue sea. Choose a Christian and lose the north; chose a Muslim and lose the south.

E choke!

Meanwhile, if Wike could buy panel members with $5million dollars, I’m sure he still has some more $10million dollars for the screening committee. He and Okowa might even enter a bidding war and let he with the highest millions of dollars win.

Nigerians will wait for them at the polls with our PVCs (Peter’s Victory Card).

Ndi ala!

garfield1:
Wike is the strongest candidate in ss but not the best.he will attract bloc votes from rivers but bayelsa,Edo,delta won't work for him.udom will be neutral...pdp will still win ss narrowly..Donald duke or udom will be a better candidate

You expect Udom to be neutral after losing out on both the presidency and vice presidency?

Like you said, Wike is just playing thuggery politics that won’t take him beyond Rivers.

I can assure you that Atiku will lose more votes than he would have lost if he chooses Wike as running mate.

Some northerners won’t vote Atiku because of Wike.

No South Eastern state will vote Atiku with Wike as running mate after his role in Obigbo massacre. Forget that Ugwuanyi and Ikpeazu were following Wike around. Wike could buy them but he can’t buy the Igbo people.

Now, in Southsouth, Okowa will work against them in Delta.

With his running battle with Obaseki, Obaseki will work against them in Edo.

Seriake Dickson of Bayelsa and Wike no dey waka same road.

Donald Duke of Cross River already berated Atiku for contesting the presidency since 1993 without winning and advised him to rest. But I don’t know where Imoke stands. Maybe Atiku will get some votes there.

Well, maybe Udom will just stand aloof in Akwa Ibom.

Las las, Wike will only be sure of Rivers.

Powersurge:
Election is around the corner and tensions are getting high. I will split my view into two, the present and the future.

The Present
1. Atiku: The southern stance against northern candidate for 2023 has obviously crumbled as many southern leaders are already hustling for VP slot under a northern candidate.

People like Ikpeazu, and Okowa (and perhaps Obaseki) sold the southern chance for VP slot. Something that is now biting them in the as*.

Atiku currently has no hinderance to his chances at the polls. And if he ends up choosing Wike, his chances will increase significantly. Because Wike has more political strength and alliances than Okowa and Ikpeazu combined.

2. Tinubu: Tinubu is a tactician with extensive political tentacles. His emergence as the APC presidential flag bearer against the wish of Buhari has shown his influence in the party.

However, the APC is riddled with controversies. Especially in VP selection. He's between the devil and the deep blue sea. Nigeria population is almost 50-49% between the two major religions. Any group that downgrades that in the 21st century MIGHT be playing with fire.

3. The Third Force: I spent over 3 hours last week looking for my PVC. I am going to vote for one of the people in this category ( name held). However, I personally feel that none of these folks have the chance at the presidency if they continue working separately and throwing tantrums at one another.

To win presidential election in Nigeria, you will need at least 4 zones. Apart from having the majority votes (which I don't see any of them having), you must have at least 25% of the total vote cast in at least 24 states of the federation. The author of the law did that in their wisdom to ensure that nobody would win the election on the account of his tribe, religion or population.

In a perfectly sane society, one of the third force folks ought to be the president of Nigeria. Again, no society is perfectly sane. And there are factors that determine emergence of a person as a president.


The Future
This is my personal forecast. Unfortunately, it's against my wish.
1. I feel APC will crumble due to this VP thing. No matter whom they choose, people will decamp to PDP and sabotage the party because it would go against their interest. The Senate majority leader is an example of what is to come. Even if people don't decamp, after Tinubu choose his VP, it would take just one propaganda to set the system against him. Buhari does not have the political strength of people like OBJ to handle a party like APC. And if people like El Rufai and the likes don't get their way (Moslim-Moslim ticket), chances are they will sabotage Tinubu. If they do, another problem looms.

2. Atiku MIGHT win the election because he would get sympathy votes. His a northern Moslim. And his choosing a southern Christian. Again, emphasis on MIGHT.

3. The third force will not win the election. They lack the structure, the finance, political tacticians etc. If they go to the polls separately, all of them will not have up to 20% of the total vote cast. If they form a coalition (which I doubt), it took CPC and AC many national defeats to realize that their individual strength is like a drop in the mighty ocean, they will create SIGNIFICANT headache for the bigwigs. For one, they will make having 25% in 24 states VERY difficult for any winner.

Not far from the truth.

That’s why Peter Obi needs an alliance with Kwankwaso so badly.

Apart, they are going nowhere; but united, they will be unstoppable.

It will be a hurricane.

garfield1:
I can't help but agree with you... but I think pdp might lose Edo south which is obaseki zone.it is a 50 50 area and ogbeide is not that strong.Edo central is a pdp zone so mike is home and dry

Ihama is popular in Edo in general and Edo south in particular.

He was their (or still is) Rep Member and I think they like him.

garfield1:
A hated buhari scored 25% in ebonyi with umahi in pdp.tinubu will score more.why do you allow sentiments to hold you

Let’s save ourselves the headache and wait for the Election Day.

Ohaozara:
All the zones have done theirs, so any one from any of the zones can win. It's not a must to start the rotation from where it started. I chose Anyi Chuks over every other candidates. Peter Obi all the way for Nigeria President!!!

Let’s assume we were to go with this your argument…

There are about 4 Local Governments in Ebonyi South, if governorship was to start from there again, does it make sense that it starts from same Ohaozara Local Government that just produced Dave?

What happened to Ivo people?

What happened to Afikpo North people?

What happened to Afikpo south people?

And before you come to shout competence, confirm to me if there are no competent people in Ivo, Afikpo and Ukawu.

garfield1:
I know obi will win ebonyi,I can't argue.I also know tinubu will get more than 25% and outscore atiku in ebonyi...anyichuks is even from ohaozara...ifeanyi uba needs to advise

Tinubu will not score up to 5% of votes in Ebonyi.

You can bookmark this

nairavsdollars:
Rubbish

It’s possible.

It’s the reason Obi left the party for them.

I just hope it’s his personal money that Wike has been spending from buying up the PDP structures in most southern states to paying delegates thousands of dollars and now buying panel members with $5million dollars.

I will advise Atiku not to dare pick Wike as Vice because it would be disastrous.

What Atiku did to Obasanjo would be Child’s play compared to what Wike will do to Atiku.

But why did Obaseki start fighting Orbih in less than two years of defection?

Does it not show that he’s actually the problem because everywhere he goes, peace departs.

Obaseki should check himself.

Meanwhile I think of the three senatorial candidates, only Ihama might win his election.

And maybe the guy from Central.

The person from the North should leave it for Oshiomole.

Richandsimple:
Atiku from the north and Wike from the SS as VP will be forced to pick the Senate president from the SW , leaving the SE with nothing for the next 8 yrs!
Only an APC presidency can guarantee d SE the Senate presidency.
My Igbo brothers be smart for once biko!
Obi is too naive and not a serious contender,infact he is more of a distraction providing a sense of belonging for gullible, uninformed folks who prefer self deciet & find it difficult to fit into d mainstream.

Go and sit down.

We didn’t have either of Senate Presidency nor House of Rep Speaker for 7 years under Buhari, did we die?

What did senate presidency bring to Saraki and Lawan constituencies?

Allow us to pretend with Obi.

Omo!

A whole UK diplomat speaking in Obi defense?

There’s more to this Obi ambition that we don’t know.

Or how many times has any foreign official spoken in defense of Tinubu or Atiku?

International endorsement no pass this one.

Especially when you recall that Obi was at Downing Street few weeks ago.

Something is brewing.

Meanwhile, Sowore has left Tinubu and Atiku to be tackling Obi and you say Obi is not the greatest contender in this election?

A tweep, @naughti_awol has promised to travel to Kano from Lagos to get Kwankwaso to deputize Kwankwaso on an Obi/Kwankwaso ticket if he can get a 1000 retweets .

Well, seems Nigerians took up his challenge as they have given over 1000 retweets already and challenging him to make the trip.

Fingers are if he would make the trip or not.

Tingotoe:
You overestimate Kwankwaso's influence in northern Nigeria

Go and ask Ganduje about Kwankwaso influence.

And this was tweeted by Daily Trust?

The mouthpiece of the North.

And they didn’t just tweet it, they added the hashtag.

This is a Newspaper that has the highest follower ship in the north.

Tinubu urchins are still living in denial.

Kyase:
Benue/state case is different, in fact federal might would be deployed against Ortom and it will be easy because the people are tired of him
And yes, electronics voting will make it easy to rig sef

Hmmmm

Tell me how Electronic Transfer of votes will make rigging easier.

Shebi na the same thing I talk?

Kyase:
You na correct guy

But about that Obi, make we tell ourselves the truth, he got no chance against Atiku and Tinubu, he will be easily rigged out

Do you really think that with Electronic Transmission of votes, that rigging will still be possible?

Because if that’s the case then Fr Alia too does not stand a chance in Benue because Ortom will rig him out with state power.

Hurricane Obi is coming.

And if the deal between Obi and Kwankwaso succeeds, it will be game over for APC and PDP.

Fools are still living in denial sha

The Catholic Church in Nigeria seems to finally be waking up from her docility.

In countries like Congo and Tanzania, the Catholic are so politically vocal and a feared force; but those in Nigeria have been sleeping. Only Bishop Kukah was offering some glimpse of hope.

But it seems all that is about to change now.

Bishops and priests championing registration of PVCs only means one thing - 2023 will not be business as usual.

I laugh when I hear Obi does not have structure… because aside from the youth, the Catholic Church all over Nigeria is ready to be Obi’s structure from North to south. And I don’t think there’s any state in Nigeria you can’t find the Catholic Church.

But make I no talk plenty sha.

triple996:
In d east .....

That happened in Garki Abuja.

Go and verify!

Hurricane Obi is coming.

You either get out of the way or get swept away.

Big fool.

He has seen the backlash and quickly changed mouth.

If he doesn’t take time, Ebonyi people will get angry and not vote for Nwifuru.

Onye ala!

garfield1:
Up apc,where is my oga fergie001? Kyase,vicdom,penguin2

Well, it might interest you to know that I’m supporting APC in Ebonyi; and so are majority of Ebonyians.

Both AnyiChuks and Ogba are swimming against the tide and they are going nowhere.

But you see presidential election? Leave am for Obi.

Benrosaria:
That’s a lot of knowledge I should be thankful for. Bless you brother

You are welcome bro

Assetinvestor:
He should be more concerned about winning his own senatorial ticket than anything else. Because with the way things stand now, he won't win that ticket.

The efulefu is selfishly fighting for his own ticket but isn't wise enough to know how to go about it. Umahi knows that both presidential and senatorial elections will be held same day and tsunami that is blowing will make people to vote for Labour Party candidates all through. Now he has made things worse for himself because even his own people that would have voted him are now angry and would vote against him in protest.

I think his only saving grace would be that I’m not sure Labour Party has a Senatorial Candidate in Ebonyi South. If not, Umahi would have struggled to win that seat.