₦airaland Forum

Naira20:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4PsUSnSqS84

And only a Tinubu presidency can make it possible my brother

crazygod:
Trash. The same Tinubu that used the media and opposition to make Jonathan's presidency difficult? You are not a true Niger Deltan. Besides, Obi is not an Igbo project but a Nigerian project. Therefore carry your tribalistic self and shove it in a place where the sun don't shine.

Now that you are campaigning for votes Obi is a Nigerian project but once elections are over and may be happens to win you will hijack him and lock him up in the south east, he becomes an Igbo project, before this campaign I don't think whether Obi has ever being to any northern state

Johnthejohn:
Only a fool will hand over power to Tinubu after Buhari. Aso Rock is not a retirement home for old politicians

And neither is it a breeding ground for kidder kitten president to come and waste four years learning on the job

Idiotseverywher:
. Every time you people in the north are making mouth, what do you think you people can do, every time North this North that, what is it that you people can do?, an average Igbo man knows that Fulani hate them and we hate you too like hell, Obi is not expecting any vote from young like other Gino man, every time you people will be making mouth as you can do anytime we in the southern are waiting for that 2m bites without mistake and void in kano and 1.9m votes in Kaduna and katsina without void, you people always make mouth because of fake data, even with almagiri votes and imported criminals from Niger republic, we are Wait on for that incident form result, BVAS will expose you people this time, ANUS

BVAS or no BVAS we are waiting for 25 February, you people are mistakenly believing that the North will divide its votes in to three, all the skewed polls you people are doing on a daily basis to satisfy your ego will not have any impact on the election, people made up their mind long ago, Kwankwosor is our future president, but in this dispensation if Atiku sort out his issues with the G5 we will go with Atiku, otherwise if the south west can promise Tinubu a block vote we will go with Tinubu,

Ozinlex:
Funny guys being carried away by same crowd that have been attending Atiku and Kwakwanso rallies

Same people you see here are same people in other rallies; all Obi needs is release 50million for mobilization with 3k each and then watch thousands show up in Kano as well.

I for one; I am not carried away with the crowds anywhere because a desperate man like Tinubu with Lagos state treasury in his pocket can mobilize a million poor jobless people to his rallies or do you think having 133million Nigerians living in poverty and them seeing 3k each won't make them attend rallies?

The crowds in most rallies; especially in the Norrh where poverty is at it's peak will attend as many rallies as possible for them to afford basic stuffs like food and this is no Rocket science.

At the end of the day, the votes will be divided and a candidate like Obi will get enough votes from area dominated by Southerners, Christians and enlightened northerners

And on the 24 February he will release the same N3k to the 133million jobless Nigerians you are talking about and they will still go out and vote for him, case closed

id911:
Accordingly to BantuPage, All Nigeria Polls by Religion:

"Religion defines most Nigerians, it has created a subcategory that puts us at loggerheads after our ethnicities."

The chart below shows how we align ourselves by religion; Muslims for PDP & APC, Christians for LP.

So invariably you are telling us that Labor Party is a Christian party and that Peter Obi has a Christian agenda that's why he is Always campaigning from one church to the other, we eagerly waiting for him in the North

Dannyset:
INEC’s Commissioner for Information and Voter Education, Festus Okoye, told PREMIUM TIMES that no individual or political party can at this point withdraw, submit or substitute the name of any candidate taking part in the 2023 general elections.

PDP can only bark but can't do jack

Once they are expelled from the party it becomes a different ball game altogether, the court will become the major player then, not INEC again

Mynd44:
Fake news. It is not possible to remove a candidate at this point. Even if the candidate decides to pull out, INEC will still recognize that person and award votes to him/her, nothing will change. This is similar to Peter Obi's new campaign, Osuntokun. He has abandoned his Senate candidacy but because of the time frame, you cannot pull out of the election again.

Anything less than 90 days, you are a candidate but force. The PDP's expulsion threat is dead in water

Political slowpoke, no body is going to remove anybody's name, but once they are expelled from the party and ratified by the highest decision making organ of the PDP, they cease to be a candidate under the banner of PDP, and as you have rightly said it is too late to either remove their names from the ballot paper or decamp to another party, this simply means that they can partake in the election, win the election but at the end of the day who ever comes second in those elections will be given the certificate of return in the court, because all the votes casted for the PDP will be declared invalid by the court

SmartPolician:
Politicians use money to mobilize people.
The South is not like the north where you have bunch of beggars looking for handouts.

Down south, people are busy doing business, working in office and trying to survive in an economy APC has totally destroyed. If you want to mobilize them, you have to pay them to leave their sources of livelihood for you.

In the South, crowd in campaign rallies doesn't determine the actual number of votes.

I am outta here...

This is a very stupid comment you are making, these people you are calling beggars, useless, have nothing doing will be the same people that will come out on election day and vote for the candidate of their choice, while your sophisticated people will be sleeping in their houses just the way they are doing during these campaigns, we heard this type of comment in 2014, the rest is now history

festacman:
With the exception of Oyo State, the other states under G5 Governors are likely to be won by Peter Obi due to obvious reasons. So it won't be surprise if they endorse Peter Obi to go with the flow. But their decision may not have any earth-shaking effect. Nigerians are not zombies.

Whatever happens, it will be interesting to follow Nyesom Wike 'matters' post 2023 elections. It might be a little movie-like.

Generally speaking, Peter Obi has a large percentage enlightened young Nigerians as his support-base across Nigeria. However, my fear is the rural communities across Nigeria given that there will be both Senatorial and HoR elections on the same day as Presidential Election Day. PDP and APC have most of these Senate and HoR candidates who are popular and well-entrenched politicians in their constituencies. They are already known to the rural communities. They have established foot soldiers. And more often than not, they are communal benefactors or of some sorts. They will campaign vigorously for their parties’ logos, making it difficult for illiterate voters who will be given three ballot papers to sort out and vote for LP’s Presidential candidate after voting other party's candidates. Unfortunately, Peter Obi is not helping matters as he is not supporting LP candidates across Nigeria. They are on their own with insufficient resources to match the other parties.

Lastly, Tinubu’s campaign slogans are top of the range. You would have serious rheumatism not to dance to his Christmas themed song. Just saying!

Forget these people with their terminal delusional mentality, they are only interested in the presidency ignoring the senate and HoR, I wonder how a president can rule Nigeria with out having these two arms of government to back him up

Kingzy4real:
Peter Obi represent the face of new Nigeria, we the Youths are sending him to represent us.

Enough of the gerontocratic leadership in Nigeria

Just look at your life, calling a 62 year old Grandpa a youth, a political nomad with no clear cut political ideology, sponsored by the very people that he said he want to eliminate from the system, you wants to take back Nigeria from Atiku, Tinubu, Kwankwosor and give it to who, Jerry Gana? Bode George? Obasanjo? or who?

OddsDoc:
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.vanguardngr.com/2022/12/why-ill-vote-peter-obi-oby-ezekwesili/amp/

Madam vote for your Igbo man, we will also vote for our own, 'Nagari Nakowa'

EcoBrick:
https://leadership.ng/christmas-message-vote-for-who-will-sustain-my-legacy-president-muhammadu-buhari-urges-nigerians/

Yes my president, you are a great Leader, we follow you every where you lead us even into a battle if necessary, the school feeding program must continue, the stipend to the vulnerable must be with held, railway line must crisscross Nigeria, corruption must be dealt with, thank you for doing your best, these legacies must continue

Polchiz:
Which Atiku?
Wike would rather become irrelevant than support Atiku.
Politics is not about winning all the time but all about interest and principles.
Wike's interest is covered since his anointed son would be governor.
What do you want to give him at the centre?
Wike's fight is more of revenge than political gain.

That is what he is telling you Wike is weighing his options if he miscalculates both he and his anointed son for governor will be in hell fire, the presidential election will come first, should Atiku win he will definitely sacrifice Rivers state to APGA but Wike will never have his way

Penguin2:
I just read the Thisday appraisal of the 2023 elections and their claim that Northwest is the battleground or would determine who becomes president and couldn’t help but shake my head at their clear mischief.

But I know what they are doing… they are trying to water down the effect of recent ANAP poll which projected an Obi victory as against the candidate of the owner Thisday/AriseTV Media Group which is Atiku Abubakar.

However, it is so appalling that a media platform like Thisday will deploy its platform to sell a clearly skewed narrative with no iota of reflection on the reality on ground.

For a better understanding of the reality of the 2023 elections, let’s do a very quick and brief appraisal of the different geopolitical zones in the country and how they are likely to vote to better understand why Northwest is not the battleground that Thisday claimed.

ANAP polls and other reputable polls, and reality on ground, has shown that Peter Obi is poised to sweep Southeast and Southsouth.

Now, because of Christian sentiments and the continued massacre of the people Middle Belt, these people are now understandably leaning towards an Obi candidacy which is why analysts have rightly predicted Obi to win the North Central.

Then add the votes Obi is clearly going to get from other Christian areas like Taraba, Adamawa, southern Bauchi, southern Borno and Southern Gombe in the Northeast; and southern Kaduna and southern Kebbi in the Northwest, with the votes he’s likely to get from all the states in Southwest, and you see clearly why Obi is poised to win the upcoming election at first ballot except you want to lie to yourself.

Because the truth is that whether by Obi’s making or by chance, 99% of Christians in Nigeria has taken the upcoming election very personal and are now sentimental about it.

Now, this is clearly in contrast to Tinubu who as of today is realistically only sure of votes from Southwest states and maybe Borno and Yobe in the Northeast, and Zamfara and Kaduna like Thisday rightly said.

Then there’s an Atiku who has realistically been restricted to some states in Northeast and some states in Northwest while he’s hoping to get some fraction of votes from some Southsouth states which is even looking bleak for him, because nobody talks about Atiku down South.

Kwankwaso is a Kano candidate so talking about him is an unnecessary waste of time.

So, with these things I’ve said here which are very practical and factual, tell me how the election is too close to call.

So, my conclusion is that Thisday is just being mischievous and running away from obvious truth and reality that is staring at them, like most Nigerians who are still stuck in the old ways of doing things but sooner or later, they will all come around and accept reality.

So in your own thinking 99% of Christians will vote for Peter Obi and 99% Muslims will not vote for Atiku, or better still as you have said the south east and south south is on lock down for Obi and we up North will not lockdown North East and North West for Atiku, February is very close my brother as you people have always been saying there will be suprisses in this election, a real surprise awaits you,

MrEverest:
Very poor analysis lacking in depth and logic. Jonathan won the 2011 presidential election despite performing woefully in NW against only one major contestant. But in 2023, at least, 3 candidates are battling to split NW votes evenly among themselves.

Peter Obi winning SE and SS is more than enough to offset NW. If he now wins NC and gets above 25% in SW then he will be clearly ahead of the rest.

No contestant can possibly win more than 40% of NW, which means the zone can't determine the outcome of the election.

As it stands now, based on the fact that we have 4 major candidates, no zone can determine the outcome. If any zone has such power then it has to be SS. Now consider this, what Peter Obi gets from SE is most likely going to be higher than what Tinubu will get from SW. Also, Obi is likely to get far more votes from SW than Tinubu will hope to get from SE.

If Atiku is able to pull off at least 35% of NW votes which is very possible and Kwankwaso gets same figure, it means that Tinubu won't get more than 25% in NW.

Peter Obi is most likely the next president, everything being equal.

What makes you believe that Peter Obi will get a block vote in the south south

[quote author=Jack005 post=119392864]Atiku and his campaigns think the south are fools right? You left PDP to APC and back to PDP without considering the position of the south in all these,especially the SS and SE.. We will let the Campaign know that we are not push overs.. Atiku can only win in the north, he will not even score 25% down south.[/quote

You are a good umpire, Atiku wins in the North, Tinubu wins in the West and Obi wins in the East, then the game is over,

politicoNG:
https://dailypost.ng/2022/12/22/collect-their-money-vote-for-me-obi-urges-supporters-ahead-of-next-years-election/

This is deceit, you are teaching us to be deceitful, does it mean that all what you are telling us at the campaign grounds is not actually what you intend doing should you win this election? This your advice has made my blood run cold

FatherOfJesus:
I don't know why Urchins are not smart enough to see that northwest and northeast will not decide this coming election as kwankwaso, Atiku and Tinubu are going to scatter the vote there and make whoever wins there really inconsequential.
It's either you find a way and also scatter Obi’s vote in southsouth and southeast or kiss this election goodbye

If Obi manages to secure block votes in southsouth and southeast, there's nothing Northwest and northeast can do

In the North here my brother, we have already made up our minds that Atiku will find it difficult to win this election with a divided PDP, Mallam Kwankwosor is a future president, as such our governors have asked us to vote massively for Tinubu if the north should remain relevant in the next dispensation, not because Tinubu is the best but because he is the lesser evil, but should PDP put their house in order, then it becomes merrier

Eniitankorede:
I don’t believe this pole because the figures shown for Obi in north does not reflect reality. Secondly, the places where Obi got 50% like southeast has 5% of voters. Therefore, the hard figures of voters which depends on number of those with PVC shows that Obi’s percentage will not translate to higher voter figures. Furthermore, Atedo Peterside is an Obi supporter, I know they would manipulate the pole by asking more igbos in all areas to vote more than the rest of the people who are in majority. Ethnic bias within same region is what I am seeing in this manipulated pole.

Forget about them, by the time they start seeing real figures coming out from Kastina,Kaduna and Kano on election day then they will know that hot water is not a playing ground for toads

Thanksful:
What do you mean by a loner president? When he was governor, didn't he work with people?

The people supporting him, aren't they good enough to work with him?

Who do una this kind thing?

Why must you count yourself out in every good thing?

Why must you believe there are people meant for something better than you?

Why do you believe, you aren't good enough to help the nation to Glory?

If this nation must rise to glory, people like this writer need to change their mentality. See themselves as worthy enough.

My friend don't deviate from a very sensible topic that this gentle man has put forward, you people are just shouting Obi, and no body is campaigning for a single labor party candidate for senate or HOR, where on this earth have seen a president ruling a country with out a single member of his party in the national assembly in a presidential system, it will not work, if he is sworn in on the 29 of May, he will be impeached on the 29 of June, just a month later, you better face the reality,

southsouthking:
Tambuwal the serial betrayer..
Will he visit wike as well?. What's he going to tell wike when the two meet?

Wike should be eating with this people with a very long spoon.

Tambuwal will not visit any Wike, winning the presidential election does not depend on winning Rivers state or south east, Buhari never won those states yet he won the presidential election twice, to Atiku, Ortom, Obaseki, Makinde, Adeleke and a unified north is all he needs to be a Tennant at Aso Rock for the next 4 years.

abc115:
Obi Campaign is about Igbo Agenda- Katsina LP Presidential Campaign Coordinator

Akwai damuwa fa, this is from the horse's mouth

yerokunphilips:
Everybody is entitle to his or her opinion. One am very sure of is that there will be lot of surprises in 2023 election.

There are no surprises, you already know the pattern Nigerians vote the only surprise here is that Nigerians will fail to kick APC out of Aso Rock

ganisucks:
Chai, this is too much. So after all the billions Baba Lagos spent to package himself in UK, the British are now telling him his money has entered voice mail. The Einsteins who are advising Tinubu should bow their heads in shame.

Foolish comment, when they ask you to go to school you will run to upper Iweke and be selling concoction, simple passage they wrote here you cannot read and understand, you are here oozing out trash

sanusideunifier:
Have you noticed this too in other states. Let's see what is happening? I will be going to Kaduna and Jigawa for more study.

Nonsense thread, is it cars that will vote in February

Nceesteph:
Source: https://naijagg.com/breaking-rufai-oseni-threatens-to-assassinate-reno-omokri-in-leaked-audio/

Previous thread https://www.nairaland.com/7463395/reno-omokri-alleges-threat-take

And you expect this dude to be an arbiter in a presidential debate, so bias and full of hate

politicoNG:
https://www.nairaland.com/7462226/obi-kwankwaso-cant-win-backing#118862822



https://labourparty.com.ng/the-labour-party-responds-to-atikus-elitist-endorsement-by-the-northern-leaders-consultative-forum/

Nlfpmod Mynd44

So when Babachir endorsed Peter. Obi the endorsement was not purchased it is the endorsement of Atiku by Dogora that had been bought, continue to live in fool's paradise you will see the end result in February

aspher:
He'll win SS and NC inclusive. I'll gladly wager on that. He'll come second in SW. Everything the OP said is probable, especially the religion factor. No one knows if Kwankwaso would drop out from the race, else BAT would have performed reasonably well in NW.

In the whole of the 19 northern states if Peter Obi wins 10% in any of the states including Benue and Plateau we will declare him the overall winner of the 2023 presidential election

doggedfighter:
Will the G5 be there ?



.

Gentleman, here we are dealing with real men not comedians or people afflicted with egocentrism