COMPAQ's Posts
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I just got back from a road trip from Houston, Texas to Temple, Texas. This is my first time driving intercity in the US and it was a 3hr trip. I was blown away by how organised and stress-free driving long distance is in America and why driving 5-6 hrs is no big deal for Americans. Driving that kind of distance is a decision they can make overnight here, whereas common Lagos - Akure, I would call like 5 people 1 week in advance to find out state of the road, which route to pass, where robbers are operating etc. It also explains why cars imported from America can often have high mileage 70k miles in like 2 years. My 10 year old Camry in Lagos is still on 54k miles. Anyway, the trip got me thinking of auto tech and road infrastructure I used on that trip which would be generally unusable in Nigeria. 1. CRUISE CONTROL: Cruise control enables you to set a cruising speed and your car automatically keeps that speed, enabling you to take your foot of the accelerator and rest your feet. All you need to focus on is the steer your car. More modern versions of this called dynamic cruise control have radar to sense the distance between you and the car in front of you, such that if the car in front slows down, your car will automatically slow down to maintain the distance to the car in front of it and if the car in front picks up some speed, your car will also automatically accelerate, but WILL NOT exceed the set limit. More advanced dynamic cruise control systems found on luxury cars will even steer for you and use in built mapping tech to slow down when the car is going round curves in the road. This tech is pretty much unusable in Nigeria due to the horrible state of our roads. Our roads require so much braking and swerving to avoid pot holes that it remains to be seen if cruise control could work effectively here. In 3 hours of driving from Houston to Temple, I can safely say my car experienced ZERO pot holes. Granted, there are a few roads where it would work such as Abuja airport road, maybe PH Eket road (if it hasn't fallen apart by now), but point is roads where you can use it are very few and far between. 2. ROAD SIGN RECOGNITION: This is tech works hand in hand with cruise control and enables the car to recognize speed limits and other road signs and adjust accordingly. i.e if the speed limit drops from 70mph to 60mph, the cars camera will spot it, automatically drop the speed and automatically increase when you exit the 60mph zone. This tech will never work in Nigeria for obvious reasons...our highways do not have signage!! There would be no way to know what the speed limit is!! 3. ROAD LANE CENTERING & STEERING: Again this works with cruise control in the sense that most modern cars are able to recognize the lane markings and keep the car centered in the lane. This has many safety benefits in that drivers who are tipsy will have their cars automatically stay in lane instead of veering off the road and running into others. In the even you wish to change lanes, the more expensive versions of this found in luxury cars will turn off the feature temporarily, scan the entire road and if safe, automatically change the lane and re-engage lane centering. All you have to do is hit the trafficator to signal intent to change lane. Again this tech won't work here because we have no road markings. There are very few roads in Nigeria, maybe 1 in every 1000 that has proper lane markings. 4. ELECTRIC VEHICLES Due to restrictions on emissions and concerns over global warming and climate change a number of auto companies are introducing electric vehicles. these are vehicles that run on rechargeable battery power and an electric motor, as opposed to the petrol/diesel fueled internal combustion engine that we are used to. An electric engine produces zero CO2, whereas petrol/diesel engines produce considerable amounts of CO2, particularly in Nigeria where we use a lot of rickety trucks and commercial transport vehicles that spew out lots of emissions. Most European countries have set dates between 2030 and 2040 for the complete eradication of internal combustion engine cars on their roads. Remains to be seen what Nigeria is doing to prepare. Perhaps we intend to take the scrap cars from everywhere and continue living in a fools paradise based on our crude oil and petrol. Unfortunately, the era of using electric vehicles in Nigeria is a long way off for the simple fact that we have one of the most unstable electricity infrastructure in the world. Where people have little access to electricity at home, how will the vehicles be charged? One of the reasons we have to sort out our electricity situation pronto!! Suffice to say, I was really impressed by how people largely obeyed speed limits and road regulations without being prompted. And it was not necessarily because of cameras or police, but more because they are just a more disciplined society. Even on one of two occasions where these was like 5 minute congestion, lanes were maintained and there was ZERO case of cars migrating to the service lane or shoulder of the road to beat traffic. This made the traffic to clear in just a few minutes. Had it been Nigeria, within 1 minute, you'd have dozens of cars, mainly danfos, driving on the shoulder of the road, only to make 5 minute traffic into 1 hr of hell. Bottom line is we have a long way to go to become an organized and disciplined society. In fact whilst we should be catching up to the rest of the world seeing as we can just adopt what works elsewhere without much thinking, we are actually being left further behind. |
georgeiyke009:Good points. It's funny how in UK most people drive tiny cars for maximum fuel efficiency. Its rare to see a car the size of accord or carry on UK. Yet in Nigeria we have this obsession for benz and SUV partly because petrol price was never an issue. Maybe this will cause a rethink. Very likely my next car will be a hybrid. Maybe this is also a time for car conversion to LPG to kick off in Nigeria. |
Ehinmen3:Unfortunately, there is no "good"time! Majority of Nigerians have been extremely poor for that past 30 years and that won't change anytime soon. Not because I like it like that, but thats the unfortunate truth. There is no magic wand to it. And one of the biggest reasons is because we are also majorly illiterate. In this modern economy, a country just can't have people as poorly educated as Nigerians are and expect they won't be living in poverty |
Seikiri1:That is where the real issue is. Wages in this country are way too low. |
khingTony:The baby just dey add anyhow! She's looking very puffy |
Blue3k:Not quite sure how you deduce that from the article . Flood is a natural occurrence, so how is that tantamount to policies having failed? |
money121:I thought the 100,000 passengers in 124 days was a lot, till I divided it and it turned out to be just 800 per day. Still a lot of work to be done. The waterway system in Lagos has a lot of potential. It should be doing like 5000 per day. From Iyana Oworo and Bariga to CMS/Marina and Oniru or VGC area to Marina/ Oniru should be very popular routes for those going to work. If only they can make it work properly by doing the following, it will work well. 1. Have clear schedules with specific departure and arrival. This way people chasing their appointments will be clear on their arrival times at destination and plan departure time accordingly. 2. Online real time ticket purchase. 3. Parking stations on mainland. Can be free at first to encourage users, say for first 2 years, but it would eventually have to be paid parking. 4. Quality and well maintained boats like the one they have now. 5. Very clear safety protocols and processes to give users assurance of their safety, even if the boat malfunctions in water. |
kokomilala:Everyone quotes the gsm sector as one that works. Did you ever hear that the government forced operators to any specific tariff? Sim went as high as N20k, which is like N100k in todays value yet people bought it before it came down. Tarrifs have stayed about the same for 10years, but in real terms when you consider inflation and devaluation it has really come down. The gsm sector is unique though in that the marginal cost of add I ng one subscriber to its network is zero. If 100k people move to MTN, it doesnt cost anything extra to provide service to them, so its easy to reduce cost, cos the fixed costs are now spread out over more users. Most other sectors are not like that. To supply electricity to 100k more people means a DISCO must also pay for that extra electricity. Like I said earlier, when we do the right things, we get the right results. |
favor914:Not sure any of those you mentioned would come to invest in Nigeria considering how corrupt we are, how we fail to honour agreements, how our currency depreciates daily, how we vilify those repatriating their hard earned dividend back home. Funny enough, if they had actually come and the situation remained the same, the same Nigerians would have been saying they should go and let the FG give local investors. We Nigerians have no clue what we really want. We just always want the opposite of what is on ground. Meanwhile the common factor when things don't work in Nigeria is always our INCOMPETENT GOVERNMENT!! |
kokomilala:No real investor will invest properly in power when the cost is not reflective. No magic can cause that. Same way there can't be any investment in refining. I really wonder how many people doing business here give away their products below cost price, but you want others to do the same. When we do things right, we get the right results. Government in nigeria is the most incompetent organisation in nigeria. Totally clueless about the implications of what they are signing as we have seen with P&ID, Azura Power, and many others . Soon after Siemens does the work, they will now start saying they didn't know the agreement said we will pay them for next 10years. Then Siemens will go to court, win the case then you people will say Siemens and German government want to enslave nigeria. |
nairavsdollars:Only in two days that tariff increased have you concluded that light went from bad to worse. I fear your imagination o |
obailala:Guy, no overstress yourself. It is the stupidity of the average Nigerian that when presented with irrefutable facts, they still go about arguing. Most people who argue here just comment on basis of headlines, political lines and ethnic lines. No knowledge of economics or how economies run in a 21st century, where we are all connected by global trade. |
SmartPolician:I totally agree. the first and only time I visited Calabar was when Duke was Governor. I stayed in a hotel, spent money on food and taxi, went to Tinapa for an Asa concert and basically contributed to the Calabar economy. This is how economies of states and countries can be turned around by tourism. Then I was also yearning to visit Obudu and planning another trip to Calabar fro Christmas. Now due to inconsistent policy, all of those plans have faded away and my money stays in my pocket. |
Openbusiness:What is there to be proud about? A white elephant project that will never see the light of day despite billions that will be allocated to it? These are the things Nigerians should be shouting about and protesting against, but they won't because the attitude of the people is "this one no concern me". But when it comes to electricity tarrif and petrol subsidy removal, they will shout to the high heavens about wickedness of Buhari, despite the fact that economically, it's the right decision. The attempt to spend billions in Calabar by Ayade is a far worse decision for the people of Cross River than the removal of subsidy in the long term. Unfortunately, everyone is more interested in the N100 in his pocket today, instead of the education and healthcare of his children and other infrastructure. |
jabberjawz:So maybe this is also part of the process of getting back on our feet. Or maybe you want Nigeria to end up like Venezuela before the government takes action? |
IMF is not taking over anything. They are just instilling some discipline and economic aense in our government which we ought to have known and implemented by now. Any sensible adult who knows reasonable economics will tell you the following That our public service is grossly overstaffed and has too many agencies and parsststals, which makes for bureaucratic, expensive and slow government. That we cannot continue subsidising petrol. It wastes government scarce revenues, keeps investment from flowing into the sector and is keeping hobs from being created. That we cannot continue keeping the price of electricity below the cost price. This keeps the operators from making the investments for improving power supply because there is no hope of a profit. Govt bridging the gap is in effect a subsidy which also wastes government scarce resources. This is what we already know and we didn't need IMF to tell us. IMF is only forcing the FG to financial discipline, which and normal bank like GTB or Zenith would do for anybody borrowing from it. |
The problem with Nigeria is that wages are too damn low. Ideally minimum wage should be N150k or something like that. However, part of the reason it's low is simply demand and supply. Due to a high population and relatively poor educational quality, the supply of CHEAP labour is plentiful. For every accountant, lawyer, engineer who says his salary is too low, 100 people are waiting to do it. We need to create a situation where people are better paid. Someone doing Doordash in the states (which is a side hustle) makes more that probably up to level 10 in civil service. And this absence of a large middle class has bigger implications. It is a hindrance to development. Nigeria is in a type of situation where 10,000people are billionaires and 100,000,000 have just N1,000 (speaking metaphorically). We need to be in a position where 10million people have N1mln. Think about it, if 10,000 billionaires have 10 cars, they have only bought 100,000 cars. If 10mln people buy 2 cars, they have bought 20mln cars. Have you thought about why despite our population we have no Samsung, Sony, Toyota, HP, Michellin, Dunlop, LG, manufacturing in Nigeria? It's because of the scenario above. There are just not enough people to buy it and support manufacturing operations. It makes more sense to import for the 10,000. That's why the only type of manufacturing we have is Cadbury, PZ, Indoomie etc. i.e what those on a low income can afford. If an LG plant is manufacturing 1,000 split unit air conditioners a day, where are the people to buy the 365,000 they will produce in one year. And besides, a plant cannot be competitive producing just 1000 a day, due to economies of scale. A Chinese plant producing 10,000 per day will outcompete with you. This is why I would advocate that FG sacks up to 50% of its work force, but increase the salary of the remaining 50% by 100%, so that they earn good wages to really be called middle class. It will support this economy better than employing millions of people that can barely buy a product of N5k without thinking twice. |
Hunchogee:This simply, basic jetty construction na im be big deal!? |
stormborn28:That may be so, but the extra productivity, efficiency, economic growth, jobs etc that will be generated also benefits people. And even of what is saved, if 50% is actually put to work and the other 50% stolen, add 50% to the benefits above, is it not better in the short/medium term, while we look to stop the corruption in the future? (if that is ever possible) |
stormborn28:It's not just about what people make, but understanding the nature of economics, economies of scale, global trade, population, capital flows, productivity, technology, exchange rate dynamics, efficiency among others, that all have an impact in how a nation grows and develops. Everything is not just about govt should provide this or that. The world economy is too interconnected now for any government to ignore the global economy and its place in it. |
mariahAngel:Yep, I agree with you. Extraction seems a more complicated one to make and they did brilliant. |
laosy:Totally agree. Netflix gave them some equipment recently. Seems they have found their calling already. They should then back it up with proper education in the arts, scripting, film production etc and perhaps they can take Nollywood to the next level. |
surgical:Agreed that the government might be corrupt and incompetent, but at least let the damn economy move to private hands. That way the incompetence and corruption of government has far less impact on the industry, which can then grow. I always tell people if we were still operating NITEL today, first of all how many of us would have phones now? And how many people with no connections could work there? It would just be a racket for the children of the rich and well placed. But today there are tens of thousands of people who knew no one, who work in MTN, Glo, Airtel and 9Mobile - all they did was to pass a test. When did you hear Nitel ever did a test?? If Dangote refinery and Bua refinery come online, you and i and our children have a better chance of working there than PH, Warri or Kaduna refinery. This generation might not benefit much, but our children very well might. |
kikero:Very sensible and true post. One of the few people who really understand how an economy works. What Nigeria could do in 1990 with 87mln population is not the same it can do with 200mln population. Do you know the increase in cars between then and now? And all of them consuming subsidized petrol?? What will we do in 2035 when we hit 300mln and there are additional 15mln cars in Nigeria? We will be paying subsidy for those ones as well? And then where will the money to pay for schools, universities, hospitals and teachers and doctors to cater to the extra 100mln people, if we spend it all on subsidy. The Country will just fall into worse and worse problems. Yet Nigerians cannot pay tax like everywhere else and continue to give birth like rats, yet we continue to cry and yearn for the period of 1970 when govt could afford to do everything for Nigerians when it was earning like 5 times what it does now (in REAL terms) and with a population one quarter of what it is now. |
QuickStandard:And what have you done yourself? Wole Soyinka is [b]86years [/b]old!! And you are waiting for him to come and fight for you!!?? You are a shame for disrespecting an old man like that who has done more for Nigeria that you likely ever will. Can you tell him what you typed up there to his face if you met him? If you tried it and he cursed you, it will stick with you and your generations for eternity cos God would back him up! Nonesense!!! |
Ijaya123:That is the real koko of the matter. Senators that see nothing wrong in spending N39bln on renovating NASS building - already one of the most magnificent structures in Nigeria. Senators see nothing wrong in what is going on with their colleagues in NDDC! Senators see nothing wrong with corruption in their ranks and in the country at large. Senators see nothing wrong with insecurity in the land! But they shout and wail at DSTV increase and petrol and electricity price increase, so that they can look good for the gram!! And Nigerians think the Senators really care about them? It's just for show to be seen to be doing something. While it may be painful for this generation, The government has done the right thing for the future of this country. Not sure that many people realize that the country is virtually broke! And we got to this point in part by stupid subsidies over the years. What we have spent on subsidy in 40years by now will be close to $50bln!!! |
hush15:Even the N100 would be a tall order. The fact that we have oil doesn't mean its free. There is a cost to finding, developing and producing it. There is also the opportunity cost of using it locally. If I am a local crude producer with option of selling to Dangote refinery in Naira and selling internationally in dollars, I will only sell to Dangote if it pays me. The moment it doesn't, I would rather sell internationally. Therefore the opportunity cost of selling a barrel of crude to Dangote N11,400 ($30*400) is the difference between $30 and the international price of crude, which is $ 43. Point is Dangote will have to get his crude at near international price and that therefore means it would be very unlikely for petrol to be N100. Even the portion that will come from his own oil fields, which cannot sustain the refinery, won't be at below cost price of producing it. |
nairavsdollars:The reality is that this might very well have happened regardless of whoever was in power. All that is going wrong with Nigeria is simply ONE thing!! Over dependence on crude oil for foreign exchange. It is what caused the exchange rate to fall by almost 25% (N360 - N450), itself due to the crash in crude prices. And because pretty much everything we spend on in Nigeria comes from abroad or has a foreign component (DSTV, Rice, Petrol, Electricity), the prices have gone up. Govt in a bid to raise more money to pay its millions of underpaid workers have no choice but to increase taxes (VAT). No matter who was in government, it's unlikely much would have been done to change this scenario. It takes deep thinking from brilliant minds, short, medium and long term planning, almost zero corruption, strong political will and faultless execution of the plan. Unfortunately, non of these are our strong areas! We are just a lazy, shallow thinking country. We just think that things happen simply or by desiring it. What it took for China, Singapore, Taiwan, Vietnam, Rwanda and even Ghana to turn themselves around is all of the above, but we just don't have it in Nigeria. Compare the intelligence of Paul Kegame and Ghanaian president to Buhari or GEJ? Compare the discipline of the average Rwanda or Ghanian to the average Nigerian? Compare the decency of politics in those countries to Nigeria and you will know why we are where we are. |
hush15:If you really believed petrol could sell at N40, then most likely the fault is with you! The reason why it could not is relatively simple and basic economics. |
rentAcock:And what exactly have you done for Nigeria outside of nairaland and other social media outlets? |
Nemere2020: |
MarketDispatch:You'll need to go through 1000 Nigerians before you find 1 like him. Nigerians have become hopelessly corrupt!! It's now in the DNA |
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