₦airaland Forum

naptu2:
Oh, that's not what I meant. If you simply wanted your comment to be read by everybody that reads Jarus' comment on Nairaland, then you can post it without mentioning me. You mentioned me as if I was the author of the forecast and I told you to direct your comment at the author of the forecast (I'm sure you understand this).

Yeah I understand you. I am not quoting you because you are Jarus. I'm quoting you because you created a thread on Jarus's Projection. I'm not in anyway suggesting you agree with Jarus's Projection...heck I don't read minds. But I know you are the OP of this thread hence the mention. I meant no attack, I just want to bring my opinion to you and the rest of the NLers that will read this thread.

naptu2:
Your comment should be directed at Jarus https://twitter.com/SirJarus/status/1624512572413120517

No, I intend my comment to be directed to everyone who will read Jarus's Projection here on nairaland.

Any more projections?

naijapips04:
This is the most balanced. Infact it was very generous to Peter obi. I don't see obi winning more than 2 states max

Duly noted. I have bookmarked your post and will reply you after the results are out.

Naptu2, this projection is false. The reason is that it is using the mentality of a two party race. But this isn't a two party race. This is a four party race. So it's a complex race.

Anyone who dismisses LP and NNPP in this race is simply not in tune with the complexity of this current race. LP has a stronghold in the SS, SE and parts of NC and NE. NNPC holds supreme in parts of NW. This unbalances lots of political equations.

Anyways, the election is weeks away. I'll bookmark this thread and comment on it later after the results are out..

Yusuf Alami is now viral

Not surprised. Peter Obi is poised to win. However I disagree it will go into runoff. I used to think this election will go into runoff but with the recent rallies Peter Obi held in the North, I think he will get 25% in many States I never expected in the North. But let's see how it goes.

This is very wrong. Terribly wrong.

Great extensive prediction Passingshot. Can post a summarized prediction based on Geopolitical Zones and post it on this thread: https://www.nairaland.com/7437376/whats-election-result-projection-2023#118457634

Thanks

Partially true. The George Floyd Protest did have an influence (vis-a-vis ENDSARS) but there are other reasons for Peter Obi's popularity. His different style of politics, his age, his track record, etc.

No matter anyway we look at it. I believe it is a good thing for Peter Obi as it will give him more publicity.

Peter Obi is one of the few candidates whom I am not afraid if he goes for interviews because I know he will do well. I cannot say the same for Tinubu.

Penguin2:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lGlMD2IHyJE

I bring you an unbiased street poll organized by BantuPage in the city and villages of Kano.

Almost all respondents spoke in Hausa but I’m sure someone who doesn’t understand Hausa would still be able to pick the key responses of respondents.

Some hints: Kwankwaso reigns supreme here.

2: Nobody mentioned Tinubu which is a stark departure from the picture some APC supporters paint of Kano.

And lastly, majority of Kano voters are undecided. These are the people who leave their choice for an Imam to make for them, I believe. So, in the end, whoever the Imams end up directing them to vote will get their votes.

Nlfpmod
Mynd44

This is interesting. BantuPage is affiliated with APC. So for Kwankwaso to win this poll, I think its pretty interesting.

This is interesting. As a layman, I think this is very deep. I think frustration is setting in.

Cyynthia:
Don't Provoke Nigerian youths

We have been pushed to the wall by PDP and APC..

We are now Obidient.

I somehow don't believe this.

Present Sir!

Trollronaldo:
North West
APC- 25%
PDP- 35%
NNPP- 25%
LP-7.5%

North East
APC- 30%
PDP- 40%
LP-10%
NNPP-15%

North Central
APC-25%
NNPP-10%
LP-30%
PDP-25%

South West
APC- 50%
LP- 25%
PDP- 20%

South South
LP-55%
APC- 15%
PDP-30%

South East
PDP-15%
LP-75%
APC- 5%

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

WhizdomXX:
North West
APC- 35%
PDP- 40%
NNPP- 12.5%
LP-7.5%

North East
APC- 37.5%
PDP- 40%
LP-17.5%
NNPP-5%

North Central
APC-40%
NNPP-5%
LP-30%
PDP-25%

South West
APC- 55%
LP- 23%
PDP- 22%

South South
LP-50%
APC- 15%
PDP-35%

South East
PDP-25%
LP-70%
APC- 5%

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

SmartPolician:
INEC had four years to prepare for these elections and are receiving BVAS a few weeks to elections.

What time do they have to test-run all these machines? The way I see it, this INEC is likely going to postpone this election to a later date.

I think you are right but I hope you are wrong.

cliqtips:
Thomas... there's a video link provided in there. Kindly click the link to watch it.

I clicked the link. It looked like he tried to say something and paused. I don't think he licked the mike.

Did he actually lick it? It looks like he was trying to say something. I don't think he licked the mike

According to Festus Keyamo, Jungle don dey mature....lol

According to Festus Keyamo, Jungle don dey mature...lol

seunmsg:
There will be no public endorsement. However, agreement was reached. The G-5 governors will work for Tinubu. That’s the only realistic option in front of them as there is no alternative.

Only two candidates can realistically win the election. Since Atiku is not an option for them, Tinubu is the only person they can support. Supporting Peter Obi will not make Peter Obi win and they know it. With or without G-5, Obi should win Abia, Enugu and Rivers. He’s never going to win Benue and Oyo with or without G-5.

Again, making a public endorsement of Tinubu will not be good at this point and can even be counterproductive. Some northerners may see it as a southern gang up against Atiku while APC members in G-5 states may think their ambition is being sacrificed for the presidential candidate. The possible problem it could cause is why Atiku’s camp is insisting and shouting that Tinubu met with G-5. So you see, the denial from APC and G-5 is just to forestall all these possible problems.

More consultations and sensitization will be done on all sides while they keep working for Tinubu quietly without any official announcement. This is high wire politics.

All these are wishes you coined up in your head. The truth will be revealed this January.

Whether they met or didn't meet, one thing is clear...the G5 governors never endorsed Tinubu.

Any more projections?

tijani0:
It Amazes me how things are working for Obi without money in Nigerian politics

Yes it is amazing. And I hope it continues this way. It will encourage many competent people to go into politics.

I also think it's high time we amended the electoral law to prohibit the use of public money/property in electioneering campaigns.

Just as I said. The supposed "deal" was just an APC Propaganda. Its even self evident by just reading through the "deal". So I'm not surprised.

The supposed deal being published on several newspapers is plain APC Propaganda. I read the content of the supposed deal, and it is all plain Propaganda. The deal makes it seem as if the G5 is begging Tinubu....that's hilarious. The truth will emerge very soon.

This is a clear Propaganda from the APC camp. The truth will come out very soon. Infact the truth will be out sooner because of this Propaganda.

The jungle is maturing