₦airaland Forum

The founders, partners and most team members of Nextier are Igbo names. So the bias for Obi is obvious. This is a garbage poll

https://thenextier.com/our-team/

The redesign is not the problem; it’s the implementation. Changing a currency is common practice. Generally, the old currency can be legal tender for up to 2yrs. This stupid attempt to stop acceptance in 3 months is causing untold hardship for the people. Why not allow up to 1 year before the old currency expires. This draconian act just to punish certain politicians is unacceptable. And with scarcity of Naira, vote buying more even flourish more

Besides changing a currency confers no economic advantage. It’s simply an administrative action to Obi with this statement just shower his mediocrity on how the economy works. He’s only thinking of the advantage for his not the effect it’s having on people

philos:
You see, believe it or not, it's true the masses are momentarily affected by this policy, the truth remains that corrupt politicians were targeted, and they are still the one to suffer great loss in the long run.

History has shown that Nigerian Legislature has NEVER cared about the masses, so this their cries for the suspension of the new Naira policy is because they know it'll affect them, not that they care for the masses!

This is a battle for the soul of Nigeria, especially as it concerns the economy. If we can be patient with CBN, ordinary Nigerians will win! Remember, If you fight corruption, corruption will definitely fight back. Corrupt politicians are fighting hard against this CBN policy.

Above all, I beg you all, get your PVC and vote out the OLD ORDER and let's birth a New Nigeria.
Together We Can!
Our Mumu Don Do!!!!!

Currency redesign is an economic policy tool and Its goal must be to support economic activities. Redesigning the Naira, at this time just to target certain politicians is doomed to fail. The masses will suffer and bear the brunt. And we're seeing the effects. Why not make the old notes acceptable legal tender till the end of the year? What's the rush for the Feb 10 deadline? This is a case of cutting off your nose to spite your face.

Is it right for the CBN to inflict pain on people in this manner to stop certain politicians? The greater good is to ensure uninterrupted daily economic activities for the people.

Tareq1105:
Even PDP lawyers saw the over voting and they couldn't challenge it. You know figures are factual.

Recall in 2003 presidential election, our highly referred Holy Angel Baba Obasanjo in his bid to return to power by force masterminded over voting in Ogun State to the extent that the votes were more than the registered voters in the state.

The Tribunal was overwhelmed to the point that about 65% of the polling units in the state recorded over voting. Buhari challenged him at the tribunal and the Tribunal cancelled Ogun State presidential results and it was deducted from the total results. It affected all the contestants.

So, it's not new. Adeleke himself knew that there were over voting in his strongholds. The new electoral law doesn't allow for rerun in such polling unit (s) but outright cancellation which is unfortunate for PDP.

So, even if Atiku win, he cannot change the law.

Lastly, don't forget that Tribunal is part of Electoral Process. Victory is not complete until all the processes are completed including Court/Tribunal.

While PDP was jubilating everywhere, APC was busy studying the results.

And people should accept the verdicts of the electoral tribunals; and if not satisfied appeal. Factual evidence of over voting was presented and the judges acted according to the law.

Sentimental and emotional apportioning blames to Apc or Tinubu shows lots of Nigerians still not clear how democracy works

N3TRAL:
An elite actress? Yes

My childhood crush? Yes

A deep thinker? No

I've always compared India to Nigeria although Indians are more disciplined than Nigerians.

Visit all the firms in a random boulevard at Silicon Valley, 8 out of 10 will be managed by Indians. Most heads of Fortune 500 companies are Indians. They dominate medical practice in many Western Countries. India's generation Z outperform Western students in STEM courses in IVY leagues.

An Indian is the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom and many Indians have prominent roles in US, UK and Canadian governments.

Visit Mumbai in India and all you see is a "dirtier Lagos" . The bulk of Indians live in poverty and cannot afford the basic necessities of life. Those in rural communities in India have it worse.

It isn't political corruption. India's Prime minister, Narendra Modi has no child. He is a divorcee for decades with only books and writings to his name. When he dies, he will be cremated and his ashes may be thrown into water. Atal Vajpayee had no biological child too. So the argument of stolen resources cannot be logically raised.

Like Nigeria, India is still buried in religious superstition.
Like Nigeria, India has a worse tribalistic and caste system.
Like Nigeria, half of India has not been penetrated by rational thinking.
Like Nigeria, the part of India near Pakistan is home to some of the most vicious islamists on the planet.

The best we can have are people with a Messiah complex who build cult followings during election periods in Nigeria. The very fact that millions of people believe that a messiah can make this system evolve in a couple of years is the very proof that we're still far from that Utopian society we envisage.

Denmark, Norway, Switzerland, Belgium and UAE are heavens on Earth. However, they are not as powerful nor do they have more USD billionaires than India combined.

The richest black men in the Planet can only be Nigerians.

Nigeria is the India of Africa. Nigerians will always excel at home and abroad.

If you love yourself as a Nigerian , work diligently for a better life and you will lift your name, your family and Nigeria wherever you find yourself. That's what the intelligent Indians do. That's what the few intelligent Nigerians do.

We will only experience a beautiful environment with an amazing system when the bulk of Nigerians have more developed patterns of thinking than the early men.

“people with a Messiah complex”. The correct phrase about this election. Non of the candidates will change anything but people keep chanting Obi to bring that transformation.

And even with all the mantra about change young people participation is very low. Of the over 80 million Nigerians between 18 - 39 yrs, just 32 million are registered voters. And we can expect less than 50% (14m) to vote. So how will the change happen.

And your observation on India is bang on.

SmartPolician:
From the verdict, nobody manipulated BVAS.

What BVAS does is accreditation.

That is, confirming that certain number of people that are eligible to vote through facial recognition or fingerprints.

Now, over-voting simply means that BVAS approved 50, for instance, but 70 people voted in a polling booth. This means that the INEC official there was responsible and ought to be punished for it.

However, INEC says that it is overwhelmed with a lot of tasks and that another agency should be set up to punish people for such offenses. That's why people (including INEC officials) keep misbehaving and going scot-free.

I hope this helps....

I need some clarification. So if BVAS accredits & approves 50 votes but 70 people voted, in that case, 20 votes should be automatically rejected as ineligible. Or Are INEC officials still allowed to review the 20 Votes not approved by BVAS? I thought the whole process is set up to reduce human input at the polling station.

Shouldn't the numbers of PVCs linked to a polling unit be equal to BVAS-approved numbers?

Massiveglory:
I so much love the OBIDATTI campaign strategy.
It is innovative, attractive, tactical, purposeful, inspiring and clean.
GOD bless the incoming presidency of the federal republic of Nigeria.

On paper looks like a winning strategy. Students will not give you a lot of votes. It’s just talk, talk nothing. The real voters are in rural dwellers, market women & artisans. Most university students are too “posh” to queue up in the sun to vote.

An Atiku win looks plausible and this write up highlights the key reason: elections are decided on tribal and religious lines

Remember he had over 11m votes and 25% in 30 states. Even if Obi wins all SE & SS, Atiku May still get 25% in all the SS. Just not sure the spoiler role Wike plays in Rivers. The SW has always been 50/50 btw PDp & Apc. Even With Tinubu on the ticket, Atiku can still get 25% except in Lagos and Ogun state

NC look like 3 way split kwara, Kogi (Tinubu), Nasarawa, Plateau, FCT, Taraba (Obi), Benue (Atiku). And Atiku will still get 25% in 4 of those.

In the North, a lot of those Buhari votes may switch to Atiku because he’s a Muslim. Religion is a greater factor in the Nw & Ne.

Are we looking at an Atiku outright win or run off between him and Tinubu/Obi. It will be difficult for Tinubu or Obi to win on first ballot.

Interesting times ahead

Penguin2:
And as usual, not a single Tinubu picture is spotted.

These guys gather for the local candidates not for Tinubu or APC per se.

That’s Air Vice Marshal Sadique Abubakar who is quite popular in Bauchi and giving Bala Mohammed a run for his money in the guber contest.

So, this has absolutely nothing to do with Tinubu.

But Tinubu BATstards will still come and claim it’s for BAT.

Well, I’m not the one who will cure them from their hallucinations; February 25th would.

People vote by symbols (broom, umbrella). If you think these people will vote Apc for senate & rep but then vote for Obi as president, you don’t understand Naija politics. Besides Obi has no ground game In the North. And his tribal & religious based campaign is a turn off

muzzafar:
I don't vote cos votes do not count Obi can truly save Nizooria if elected but the question is. Will the powers that be allow him to be anounced as winner ? The time is up already I know that the Fulani man would rather kill himself than allow this kind thing. I am a full time IPOB and because of this are we insisting to go back to Biafra how can you say we are a nizoorians without any inclusion. I wish Obi well.

Good to read honest & truthful view like yours. The thing is though a lot of IPobs changed to Obidient hoping to achieve Biafra thru Obi presidency. It won’t work and they’re just dreaming. Obi on his part has refused to disavow IPob thereby creating mistrust of his intentions.

Yes Biafra can secede if majority of Igbos want that. I have no objection. But using Obi as a diversion to achieve this, is unacceptable. Obi should accept Nigeria completely and distance himself from Ipob.

nnamdi640:
Less than one year, Obi has gain more voters than what Thievenubu was not able to get in 20years, remove the north and see how Obi will win Thievenubu with wide margin. We in this south don't support rubbish as president. If not the north that is sending us back Nigeria will have been a great country with good leaders but the north made it hard for us to vote for good leaders.

The North is part of Nigeria; you can’t remove it. If Obi stops running a pro Christian only campaign maybe he can win some Northern votes. That’s why you need 25% of 24 states to win. By shunning the North it means he’s not ready to be President

Seems Obi's support is only in the South. Can he win or get 25% in any state in NW or NE? If not, he has no path to Aso Rock

tonyson010:
Lagos has been the capital of Nigeria for more years than Abuja and still the economic hub of the country. no state can compare with it.

the truth is that the current Lagos has been underdeveloped in terms of where it should have been if it had exceptional leaders.

only island stand elegant.

True but billions of $ was spent to develop Abuja while Lagos was completely abandoned by FG. No significant FG infrastructure spending for over 37 years (when capital moved to Abuja). All the infrastructure developed by FG then have since decayed. Some have been rehabilitated starting the Tinubu era till date.

So the IGR template developed by Tinubu generated funds that led to renewal of Lagos. Without that fund Lagos may still be a derelict state like others in Nigeria

OlawaleBammie:
they never said he chopped the money tho..

They said the medium tru which the money passed was wrong

He didn’t chop the money just swallowed it. Jeez don’t you understand the gravity of his offence. money laundering is the main tool these thieves employ to steal public money if you must know

Parachoko:
Just two years

Or nah just my eyes dey deceive me?

With an option of paying N500k in fines. This country is a joke. Convicted of N240m fraud but pay N500k

Obi is all hats and cattle. I'll reinvest in youth, I'll pull people out of poverty, I'll double GDP yada! yada! yada! how? how? how? Specificity and actionable plan of action are what you should tell us

Spitting out the same hollow phrases and googleable stats is becoming very tiring and boring

omonnakoda:
Not good in the sense of persuading undecided voters to vote for him or leaving any sense of what a voter might gain personally from voting him
His claims about security are out of tune with reality? Bandits have taken over the forests all over the country, they break into jails at will to release their accomplices and government has no answer
He has not given any tangible solution to security.
He evaded the question about personal wealth talking about Warren Buffet, what is the connection?

Tinubu does not believe in persuading anyone to vote for him. He believes in money and party structures to deliver.

undecided voters? Less than 1%. Everyone knows who they’re voting for and no interview will change this. Tinubu knows and just speaking to consolidate and assure his base. Also to send message to opponents he’s the main guy

That’s why all this interview requests from Arise Tv and co is meaningless. How many people watches those dry Town Hall meetings on Arise that Obi & Atiku runs to.

Tinubu’s choice of Chatham to present his ideas is a mastersroke. Election campaigns is about mapping out strategies and speaking to the right audiences. Chatham is Pre eminent place for political discussions. Evoking emotions everyday on Arise Tv and social media is worthless

Tiinubu demonstrated unparalleled leadership. iKnowing you’re not the best, but best at finding and delegating to the best person to get the job done.

As a leader you’re not a subject matter specialist. Your job is to surround yourself with people better than you.

Tinubu just sent a subtle dig at social media user. Twitter, Facebook etc are just random noise and will have no impact on this election. How many real voters are sharing stuff on social media? The numbers are there to see. Of the mere 30 million registered Facebook users in Nigeria, only 15% are active users. Twitter is even smaller. Why waste energy talking to such irrelevant audience.

It’s more productive to interact with market women, traders, rural folks etc who have greater sphere of influence in their communities.

Which US court or Judge issued a subpoena compelling Deloite to confirm the name of its previous employee? A subpoena is a writ demanding an individual or organization provide evidence for an ongoing criminal investigation or attend a court hearing. A judge only issues a subpoena when evidence is required for an investigation. Why then is Deloitte being subpoenaed to confirm Tinubu's employment record when no ongoing criminal or civil investigation? This subpoena story doesn't add up

A simple employee reference request to Deloitte's HR department will suffice to confirm if Tinubu worked there or not. You don't need the head of the legal department to confirm that information.

This Hundeyin keeps playing Nigerians for fools and his so annoying.

Too many holes in this story and doesn't make sense:
1. You can't deposit $80,000 cash in a US account without attracting scrutiny. The maximum is $10,000 to prevent money laundering. And if you deposit a cheque with so huge amount you will have to provide documents to support it.

2. Why will an individual involved in drug trafficking leave $1.8 million sitting in a US account for over 1year? Drug dealers move cash quickly and launder into real estate, jewelry, automobiles, or invest in a business. Today that's a huge amount to leave in an account talk less of 1991.

3. When was Tinubu arrested, charged, and convicted of drug dealing? The document presented in this story is an affidavit and that doesn't indicate a conviction. The US authorities will not enter plea bargaining with a top drug dealer that does not involve a jail term. The convicted dealer may get a reduced sentence but will never escape jail time.

4. Very curious that The US authorities only forfeited his cash and froze his account but DID NOT charge him with the distribution of illegal drugs. Why? Asset forfeiture is a slap on the wrist and doesn't mean involvement in drug dealing.

This poorly written story is only making the rounds because Nigerians don't understand how the US judicial system works. If you're ever arrested for drug dealing on such a scale and there is probable cause to convict, you'll never get bail. I'm amazed Tinubu was allowed to walk freely for someone accused of drug dealing.

Overall, the story is trash

NwaIdeato:
Just when Obi is gaining momentum the Federal government did a secret negotiation with Kanu to release him on the condition that he frustrates Obi's political aspirations...a tale older than time.

Kanu’s release is bad news for Obi. Kanu holds sway amongst Igbos and since he doesn’t support Nigeria as an entity, Obi will be sweating buckets. Will Kanu dissociate himself From Obi’s quest for presidency? Let’s wait and see.

A lot of IPOBs have turned Obident and may just want Kanu to remain in prison until after elections.

Reference:
America fought a brutal war with Britain between 1775 and 1783 that secured her independence and ended the First British Empire.
Since then America has developed itself to the point that today their President is given special privileges.

Much of Africa meanwhile negotiated its independence in and around the 1960's and ended the second British Empire in the process but has seen a steady decline ever since till the point they have assumed the position of third world nations whose leaders ride the bus.

Instead of introspection, her citizens are still punching at shadows.
In a world where everyone was practically conquered by the British at one time or the other from Asia to the Americas, from the Arctic to the Antarctic, in a world that is all but english speaking, with english customs and traditions dominating, it is only Africa that still cannot surmount this fact of history. Every other continent has moved on and are all bigger and better than the British today except Africa.

The endless whining and groaning and sighing is the clear sign where the problem is.... in the African head, the African mentality that has lent itself to excuses for failure and the inability to take responsibility for becoming great in itself.

I have said it time and again.
Britain did not become Great by excuses. They were overrun by the famous Roman General and Emperor Julius Caesar. Before then the Kelts, Vikings, even the French all at one time in antiquity conquered Britain and enslaved its people. They too fought to become what they are today. I do not see any Briton today hate on these people, the sons and daughters of their former foes for things done in generations past.

WHEN WILL AFRICA LET GO AND BEGIN TO RE CREATE ITSELF TO BECOME GREAT.
Every day of excuses will never move us forward as a national continent of blacks. FACT.

May I also add that India achieved independence just 13 yrs (1947) before Nigeria. Today the second richest man is an Indian, Adani ($143b) and Indians remain competitive in tech sector. In fact the British colonialists plundered more from India than Nigeria. Yet their economy is set to surpass Britain in 10 yrs

Colonialism or the white man is not our problem. It’s our elites, leaders and most of our people. Who cares if King Charles is a racist or not? So if Charles loves black people it will reduce poverty levels in our country? Black man think!

Even if we accept this unscientific poll, the numbers still indicate tepid support for Obi

His numbers are highly skewed by the 68% from SE (the region with lowest voters). On the other hand he scored very poorly (less than 12%) in voter rich regions of NW, NE & SW. He has No support in regions that will decide elections.

Whoever posted this as a “win” for Obi lacks understanding of basic arithmetic. Winning an election is getting high next numbers in voter rich regions

She’s writing from the comfort of her American home, sharing her thoughts through western technology (Twitter) and throwing tantrums on the corpse of a British queen. And Remember it was the British that migrated to the Americas to form modern day USA. Yet this lady doesn’t see the irony of earning her living in an anglo Saxon society and belly aching about the Queen. The closest friends to the Brits and the monarchy is the USA. What’s the difference between Britain & USA (where she comfortably lives)? Nothing

None of them will vote in the elections. Why? They’re Not registered and will not come home to vote. This is a fact. Obi knows this and he’s just there to raise campaign funds. Obidients are just using social media to sucking in gullible disaporans. Telling them Obi’s victory is a slam dunk. And once he wins they can come back home. Illogical, emotional claptrap.

Some diasporans have even promised to raise $150million for Obi campaign. Are you kidding me?

Ogurube:
Dude, stop being so small-minded. You should be left to wallow in your mischief. No amount of elucidations would suffice for your comprehension. People like you think “diasporans” are only good for sending things that grow on trees back home. There’s what you call strategic marketing for increased brand visibility globally and campaign fund inflow.

He's goal is to solicit some campaign funds from Diasporans. Simple. Majority of Nigerians abroad will not participate nor vote in the election. The real campaign is with grassroots in Nigeria. Talking to and interacting with rural people, the jobless urbanites and masses is where you'll get REAL insight into the problems of this country.

Many disaporans, not all, have a disposition to exaggerate the issues and negative things happening back home. Phrases like "failed state", "Nigeria will collapse" permeates the diasporan social media discussions. The conferences Obi will attend in USA, Canada, Germany are organized by resident Igbo associations in those countries. And of course, attendance will be skewed towards Igbos. So what's the value in help him understanding problems facing all Nigerians?

The NBA conference is an elitist event. The grassroots is what matters. Tinubu was smart not to attend. The NBA has participated in and enthroned these disreputable politicians into power. NBA is an arm of the elite group that continues to subjugate the will of the people. Politically the event is irrelevant and a photo op that no one will remember by end of the week.

Ironically, the Shettima suit has diverted attention from what was discussed in the event. An own goal by the Obi movement to showcase Peter Obi’s speech; One of his best speech to date

ednut1:
Doesn’t wear suit normally. Quit corporate world over 10 years ago. He made do with what he had. Whats the big deal

Exactly. Wearing trainers or crepe sole shoes is more comfortable and better for the feet. And what has this go to do with his capacity to govern?

After all, Suit and tie is Western culture. When will Naija people be free from colonial mentality?

What if OBJ frowns his face? So what? Tinubu knows he and Obasanjo aren't political friends and may never be. This is all a photo op by Tinubu's team to show he's consulting and talking with everyone including those against him. It's all just politics and campaign kick-off moves. How many votes can Obasanjo deliver for anyone? very few. I mean which region, state, or voting group will be persuaded to vote for a candidate because of Obasanjo's support? His relevance in today's politics is rather low.

I'm waiting for the campaign proper to kick off next month, then we can gauge where the wind of victory is blowing. For now, just stay tune and watch.

29kobo:
Just some points..

1.GDP growth rate fell from 7.7 under Obasanjo to 7.5 under Yaradua to 5.5 under GEJ to 1.1 under Buhari.

2. Inflation went up from 12.0 under Obasanjo to 13.4 under Yaradua then to 9.70 under GEJ to 14.0 under Buhari

3.Excahnage rate 26% change under 8 years of Obasanjo to 27.4% under 3 years of Yarauda to 56% under 6 years of GEJ to 150% under Buhari.

4. External resrerves fell from Obasanjo to GEJ and only gained 4 billion more under Buhari.

5.External debt under Obasanjo was 3 billion, under Yaradua was 10 billion in 3 years...7 billion more in 3 years , under GEJ was 15 bn...5 bn more in 3 years and under Buhari 40 billion

6. Missing from the diagram is the oil price. And crucially...our forex needs as a nation, and our tax to gdp ratio. Forex needs have grown since 1999. Especially with the growth of the telecom sector for example.

7. All in all, Nigeria has been depreiciating over the years. It has been worse under Buhari...which shows how bad he is....he knew oil was down...and did not use the tools he needed.

8. But something tells me that the figures show a decline in all indicatiors before Buhari came in. Including reserves.

Which begs the question....what mistakes are Nigerian leaders making that our economy is not improving at all since 1999. I not only see how bad Buhari is , but how bad all our democratic leaders are. Buhari's special awfulness (compounded by falls in oil prices...remember oil has been below 60 dollars per barrel for most of his regime..while we need it above 120 dollars per barrel.Plus his failure to diversify the economy) only obscures the other's awfulness. Especially Yaradua and GEJ.

Nigeria needs to do something different. What I see here is leaders making the same mistakes over and over again.

What we need to do now to stop the rot is simple.

1.Raise the tax to gdp ratio urgently...meaning we tax everyone including the farmer, herdsman and beggar

2.REMOVE SUBSIDIES. YES FUEL WILL COST 600 NAIRA, YES WE NEED TO BUILD REFINERIES AND FIGHT CORURPTION. YES I AM A BAD PERSON NIGBATI NIGBATI....but subsides are a big reason why the debt under Buhari is growing. They eat a lot of our money yearly. They make the budget defict worse. We are not even benefiting from the oil boom because we have to pay subsides. So, subsides on petrol and power have to go. And before you argue with me, i HAVE heard your arguments, even made them, between 1993-2012 when I woke up...so don't bore me.

3.Fight corruption, even if it means jailing your fave politican. No more pardons. Enough is enough. FIGHT CORRUPTION.

These won't make one naira equal to one dollar but it would give us a platform to start things like diversificaiton and industrial growth.

Excellent points and great observations. Question is which government has the balls to raise taxes and remove petrol subsidy? The next President has to bite the bullet and then phase out or remove petroleum subsidy. Simple. But Nigerians will fight very hard to keep paying for cheap petrol (cheapest in Africa)

Also will next President be willing to raise taxes? Nigeria has the lowest tax to GDP ratio in Africa.

Looking at the top 3 aspirants, none of them has the will to implement this twin unpopular measures.