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Robobo's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 4:50pm On Mar 11, 2020
Agbalowomeri:
Well maybe if you are talking about open trade excluding institutional cross deals
yes i mean excluding institutional cross deals
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 4:31pm On Mar 11, 2020
My poeple wld today not go down as the day with the highest volume ( by value) ever in the history of NSE?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 4:18pm On Mar 11, 2020
chillykelly86:
The words of the minister doesn't in anyway express dissatisfaction with the status quo; he is simply not foreclosing future cooperation and collaboration with OPEC. The low prices are exactly what Russia wants and their aim is to force US Shale producers out of the market/business.

The earlier we get acclimatized to this, the better. Its a long road ahead.
.

oil dey your head

i wld also tell folks that when they are calculating forwards EPS / DY they shld be marking down by at least 30% cos there is over 90% chance that
numbers wld come in lower at the end of the year (though it might not show in Q1 yet cos we are not that hit by coro and the pass thru effect of lower oil price wld have some lag).

that being said it doesnt mean folks shld not buy at this level. all above wld just make sure that we are opening our eyes very well while doing the buying. i myself bought some stocks today and im still also in the market but doing so with a clear eye
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:49pm On Mar 11, 2020
mendes911:
Am not entirely convinced that all those funds are local. Some FPI's might be buying already. Money don too much ooo.

Either way, like you said, they have gotten the message loud and clear.
My Oga

All na local

PFA only hold abt 5-6% of total asset under management (>10Trillion) as equities whereas regulation allows them to hold as much as 15-20%.


That mean extra ammunition of over 1 trillion not yet used


so what u see today is chicken change if PFA (the big masquarede) decides to dance
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:27pm On Mar 11, 2020
currentprice:
at least we hav some green

tomorrow will be better

grin grin grin
That is what is called green offshoot

but as someone said Egungun be careful ooooooooooooooooooooooooo
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 2:49pm On Mar 11, 2020
otokx:
it appears to be stabilizing at $35, safe to say its $30 ~ $35 range.
Temporarily until Putin strikes
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 1:21pm On Mar 11, 2020
mendes911:
GTB and Zen has done sales of N10Billion and counting.

Obene Kwa Kwa x3...
i like the battle of 12-1pm it send a clear and loud message to the FPI that there is liquidity within the country if they want to exit

my prayer is for such liquidity to exist at the ultimate point (FX)

if that happens then its a big positive for the country because after the dust of coro and price war settle u can be rest assured that they wld come back in drove because a major fear they have up until this week (i.e. ability for seamless exit) would have been adequately addressed
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 1:18pm On Mar 11, 2020
DOLLARTEX:
Zenith going back up.The selling is done.
its PFA and some deep pockets

the PFA had been wanting to enter market but were sceptical price were too high but with the kind of prices saw yesterday

All die na die
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 12:29pm On Mar 11, 2020
mendes911:
Locals like Mendes are worse than FPI's.....
Oga u no well at alllllllll

lolllllll
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 12:10pm On Mar 11, 2020
Mcy56:
GT: 272M units and Zee 215M units sold so far and still counting.....
Today na today..... grin
Today na Today

All die na die

PFA vs FPI

who blinks first
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 10:53am On Mar 11, 2020
Dwizeone:
Don't think the dip is over o, whoever targets the "cheap" just want a good bargain which is not far insight... This market no be emotional thing
ur head dey dir

the closer i am to d ground. the less the impact when i fall
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 10:49am On Mar 11, 2020
RabbiDoracle:
Those bidding banks should place their bids low. Don't chase prices. grin

After taking it up, they will still sell it down.

That way you don't get to lose when prices reverse
oil dey ur head

in short big Heineken for you
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 10:38am On Mar 11, 2020
MTN at IPO price

where are those pursuing the moving train den

food don ready ooooooo
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 10:35am On Mar 11, 2020
make una beware oooooooooo

oyinbo dey set trap for all of unaa oooooo

by midday dem go supply avalanche ooooo

oil price don dey go dwon again ooooo


lollllllllllllllllllllllllllll
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 10:28am On Mar 11, 2020
why this FPI dey do like this naaaaaa


Make dem sell all thier kaya make dem go their contri naaaaaaa

27m unit of Zenith naaa dem no wan sell

48m of GTB naaa dem no wan sell

so dem sef get fear for bodi abiiiiii

All die na die i beg we must close today at the day lowwwwwwwwwwww oooooooooo
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 9:56am On Mar 11, 2020
RabbiDoracle:
I didn't say Putin will prostrate o.

A delegation of nations (Nigeria, Angola, Venezuela etc) that are affected by the oil decline will go and beg Chief Putin. They will go and meet Otunba MbS. grin grin

Abeg and prostrate.
it is starting gradually

though i doubt the efficacy because Putin ultimate target is to beat back the Americans thwarting of his building of dependency of western Europe energy source on Russia (a la Nordstrom pipeline).


https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-oil-mexico-herrera/citing-past-success-mexico-seeks-to-mediate-russia-saudi-arabia-oil-row-idUSKBN20X2X0
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 9:46am On Mar 11, 2020
RabbiDoracle:
Brent has a possibility of breaking 27.

Im wondering what news will cause this to happen.

I think that is the period of maximum fear.
spike in coro in US and it lethality

US closing down a major city (new york / washinton/ houston/ calif)

A major politcal figure down with coro

Russia response to the oil price war

Fed playing chicken by not lowering further

combination or all of above

choose ur poison
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:38pm On Mar 10, 2020
bigjay01:
looking up at $37? really?

new normal?
Oga BigJay

you shld know beta noww

Russia had not responded yet and if u take into consideration that Russia target is really shale (not Saudi) and also that Shale (WTI) doesnt really get to hurt until sub30 then you shld know that their response wheneva it comes wld still plunge brent to between lower 30 and higher 20s and in addition might keep it in this range for an extended epriod of time (say 6 month / 12 months) so that the shale hedges can wear out.

when is what i dont know but from above you can be rest assured that we are already at the new resistance for brent (i.e. upper 30s) while the new support wld be as stated above (i.e. lower 30s / upper 20s)
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 11:31am On Mar 10, 2020
stcool:
Zenith 13.05
UBA 5.65

grin grin grin

Until GTB goes below N10...I wont buy anything!

Wake me up to BUY when GTB hits N10 shocked
see 200m offer disappear from Zenith without any sell

i laugh in swahili
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 10:44am On Mar 10, 2020
Agbalowomeri:
It has to be zenith or GTB
Not that I am buying though
But it is good to monitor those two
Everyone is waiting for the first move Lol
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 7:48pm On Mar 09, 2020
locodemy:
Will you still panic when you see Brent at $25 tomorrow?
The worst will come tomorrow and nobody should be tempted to sell anything else you will sell and missed and not be opportune to buy back lower until April/May.
Panic? why?

the Merrier the Better
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 7:28pm On Mar 09, 2020
RabbiDoracle:
It is the russian response tomorrow that will show the direction. They may give discount far greater than that of Saudi and oil Market will tank 40% in 30 minutes . grin grin

Funny enough, Trump said he loves the low oil price.
yes by 2moro 50% of the war wld already have been fought

then the remaining 50% wld be fought on a piecmeal basis

i cant w8 to see Russia response. however im already looking at a max of $25 for brent 2moro
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 5:48pm On Mar 09, 2020
TLAX:
Nothing to fear o. Just observing with no skin in the game.

I know say you de pray for it to play out so that you go load. It won't.
My Oga its not praying to. i had neva believe in others being miserable for me to make money

im abt 60% in the market however i am just somebody who is brutally honest with himself

its better to die once than die a miilion times (via unnecesary delay)
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 5:13pm On Mar 09, 2020
Agbalowomeri:
Hope dem get enough cash at hand sha
my oga no play rough play oooooooooooooo

na dat wan go start original gobe ooooo


lollllllllllllllll
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 5:10pm On Mar 09, 2020
TLAX:
Hmmm...i hope this scenario does not play out. Its possible but probably won't play out.
My Oga why are you afraid

let it play out nowwwww

lolllllllllllllllllllllll
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 4:28pm On Mar 09, 2020
RabbiDoracle:
I didn't say Putin will prostrate o.

A delegation of nations (Nigeria, Angola, Venezuela etc) that are affected by the oil decline will go and beg Chief Putin. They will go and meet Otunba MbS. grin grin

Abeg and prostrate.
ok i now understand but Putin wld not want to budge for now until his main reason ( a dent on the shale play) is at partly fulfilled

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-03-09/oil-crash-saudi-arabia-s-price-war-worked-once-but-may-backfire

see teh opening statement "" In a war of attrition, the winner isn’t the force with overwhelming power, but the one with the greatest capacity to sustain damage. ""
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 4:23pm On Mar 09, 2020
Agbalowomeri:
Are these breakeven crude prices?
I am not sure you have the right figures
The last I know, Saudi breakeven was less than 20
i dont mean production cost

i mean in term of how price impact the national budget

example Nigeria adopted 57 but with that we are still going to run deficit which means we need price at higher than 57 for the budget to be balanced
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 4:17pm On Mar 09, 2020
RabbiDoracle:
Russia has released funds to support their economy from the oil crash.

$150b.

We will see what the Saudis will do.

Today is holiday in Russia, so we will see what they will do tomorrow and how much discount they intend to sell oil.

Once the gidigbo starts, it is for us to send delegation to Putin to go and postrate.
My Oga Putin wld not prostrate

There is balance of power on both side

break even (per current year national budget) for Russia is lower 40's and with a 570b reserve you can bet that it wld take some time before the abot $10 loss difference start pinching

break even (per current year national budget) for Saudi is lower 80's and with a 501b reserve we can see who wld first feel the pinch with abt a loss of $40 per barrel

MBS doesnt understand anything his gragra is too much (he is like current POTUS), acting before thinking

My opinion is that strategy wise last week was not well managed by the Saudi (MBS) and it wld haunt them for a long time
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 4:05pm On Mar 09, 2020
stcool:
It seems the Saudi Prince is still counting his $...

Currency market is fvcked up at the moment.

The Saudis started this... Only them can stop this one.

Funny how ECB is just watching... Very little they can do.

Weak $ is good for the FED & TRUMP
Dont make a threat you cant fulfil ---

Expect a long drawn oil price war (say 12 -- 18 month)

Russia call the bluff, Saudi threaten to bring everybody back to the table

my brother it is now more than oil-- it is now that of National Pride so none of the two side wld come to the table for now

the third leg of the oil market (i.e. shale) is also ready for a long drawn battle (via hedges)

so as i said earlier prepare for a long drawn war
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:43pm On Mar 09, 2020
Marlianvestor:
Market currently trading in fear... No need exacerbating it and postponing the doomsdays by not opening tomorrow. Let the market open and let the fear wriggle out naturally and then.... tongue
my broda ur head dey dir

let the market open 2moro and have 10% loss across board

then same thing next 2moro

im sure by thursday / friday calm wld come

then we can restart again

for emphasis im 60/40 stock/ cash so not fearmongering

what cld definintely be worse than this is to postpone the evils day by closing the market

so let the crash come fast and furious so we can get it done with
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:12pm On Mar 09, 2020
locodemy:
Something is totally wrong.Nse need to pause trading tomorrow unless they have extra ordinary plans.

Me as a Jijo trader is even afraid of today's trading.
Loco dir is nothing wrong

Behavioural Finance say this is how it wld be

Go look at History of Financial Market for guidance

There is storm now but calm wld surely come soon

the only thing that matter is for you to ensure that you are still standing by the time the storm finishes and if possible also had moved forward a little bit

for analogy envisage a situation you are caught in a sandstorm for guidance
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:01pm On Mar 09, 2020
RabbiDoracle:
That was why the futures froze.

The fall was terrible.

Most EU indices falling around 7% or over it.

Brazil Bovespa losing 10%.

Oscar should not open tomorrow o
i beg Oscar should open and let Zenith fall to 13.05 (the lowest for the day)

the earlier we get this shit done, the beta for everybody

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