Aj8's Posts
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ExcessKJ:Try Reuters Search. Reuters xxxx stock E.g Reuters UBA stock |
Emeka1441:Hold Both would appreciate along with all of TOE’s concerns..UBA, Afr Prud, TRANSCORP Hotel, etc. Geregu should drop a little being a significant competitor to the common good. |
customstreet:Indeed? So how does what is about to happen differ from what happened when Transcorp Hotel was spin off from Transcorp Holding? Relax. TRANSCORP Power is NOT a new entity. It’s merely listing as a public company at a price. Nothing else changes. TRANSCORP Holding still has significant interest in TRANSCORP Power and would continue to enjoy all benefits accruing from its interest. If TRANSCORP Power does well as a public company so would all her shareholders including TRANSCORP Holding and by extension shareholders of TRANSCORP Holdings. QED. |
Cosmicwill:I would rather hold. Why sell at a loss? If FO, could invest in Dangote Cement I don’t see why you should sell just yet unless you have a clear view of where else you want to reinvest the funds that would guarantee profit. But best to use registered stockbrokers. Check the Ngx for a comprehensive list. That’s for your next time though. |
BabsO2:Why hidden? Isn’t it obvious? Kindly note the following. 1. TRANSCORP Group and Trancorp Power are 2 separate but related legal entities. The relationship is that the group owns 50.9% of TRANSCORP Power 2. Shareholders of TRANSCORP Group are not directly shareholders of TRANSCORP Power but have indirect interest through the group’s interest. For the IPO and listing, the Investments and Securities Act and SEC Rules require the approval of the shareholders and board of the issuer to offer shares to the public, not its parent or holding company’s shareholders. Check Companies and Allied Matters Act 3. The previous earnings from dividends and scrip from TRANSCORP Power by TRANSCORP Group, already demonstrate that potential. 4. The catapulting of the valuation of TRANSCORP Power will of course increase that of TRANSCORP Group as long as the current price is below the offer price and the company remains profitable to accrue benefits to her shareholders of which TRANSCORP Group is a majority holder ( at least for now) 5. The capital raised would increase the financial strength of TRANSCORP Power to further undertake and expand their core business of power or whatever else their article allows them to engage in. This also would benefit the TRANSCORP Group even with the dilution the new offer would inevitably introduce to the Group holding incase the Group makes no new purchases. However I foresee the offer not being fully subscribed thereby allowing TRANSCORP Group or whosoever (including TOE) to take up Rights if that alternative is accommodated on the initial offer’s demise. 6. I see huge gains to shareholders of TRANSCORP, as long as the Power space stays viable and profitable…already eluded by TOE in earlier responses that this spin off would happen once the space is right. Like he earlier did with TRANSCORP Hotel. 7. This is not the first of its kind within TRANSCORP Group. Similar occurred in 2015. The spin off of TRANSCORP Hotel from the Group. Mentioned above. I do not own any shares of TRANSCORP Group but intend acquiring TRANSCORP Power shares. I believe it would at least match Geregu Power PLC if not outpace it. That’s my take. |
ositadima1:Is there a solution to Nigeria’s Forex issues? Can we achieve a $ to N800.00 in months or even weeks? I think it’s possible if we do the following; 1. Warehouse the Dollar via designated banks. Strict rules will apply to ensure that sales are transparent and targeted at those that really need it . This will give the reins back to CBN via the designated banks. CBN can fix her rates but must meet supply within what I wish to refer to as emergency transfusion period. This will make speculation unnecessary and unrewarding in the short term. Sadly but inevitably, the initial funds may have to be borrowed but tied to secured sources of forex earnings. More like a modified share conversion strategy. 2. Transfusion period would be theoretically the period it would take Nigeria to improve organic dollar earnings through manufacturing, production, mining, petrochemical, FDI, etc. For the above strategy to be effective and efficient, the supply side has to be fixed even if as an interim borrowing while resources that drive dollar earnings are brought onboard more like the case in a blood transfusion. Blood is given as the body works on organically producing its own. 3. Cut wastages, spendings that fuel inflation and weaken our currency. Who will ….? |
May God grant the families of the departed the fortitude to bear such an irreparable loss and grant them comfort which only He is able to give in such sad times. May their soul rest in peace. Amen. |
The beginning of a bear market is simply smart money taking profits, then forcing prices down for a a new bargain. Once they hit their target price, they will make their entry and drive the price up again as a Bull market. This cycle will always be repeated as long as the hunger for profits exists. Smart money will always hunt for bargains before earnings. The news is only a camouflage of real intention. Where there is no news, they will surely create one. Smart money buys on the way down, not up. Look for bargains too. EPS will always guide. Buy also at a bargain. Bears favor those with cash. To play with the “big boys” is to have cash to buy when they are buying. Yes, in a bear market. Par example, imagine smart money selling off a stock say at 34.00 and force the price down to say 22.15 so as to buy it back before earnings. It's all about profits. That's how it works. The rest just camouflage. Happy weekend. |
aj8:
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For UBA, my eyes are glued to the circled support /resistance levels (refer to chart). If earnings/dividends are good, I expect it to resume the major channel . I feel it may move to a then b maybe c if the dividend is huge and then all the way down to e through d. Just a hypothesis. Of course, movement will not be in a straight line, expected to bounce off support and resistance on its way up or down. Buying at support and sell-off at resistance seems to be the norm for now. |
Can we please discuss the CBN circular on Harmonization of Reporting Requirements on Foreign Currency Exposures of Banks ? Considering the havoc it caused. |
Laso09:Quarterly x4 and x4 again. Check it again. First 4 is to derive the est FY. But with FY just x4 |
SAK:Read my earlier post my brother. Meanwhile the company is on full bid. And shouldn’t rest till it crosses EPS X4 . |
Streetinvestor2:Read my earlier posts True for most sectors under Main Board and Premium. The common goal of investing is to make money. For Growth stocks also read how I modify it slightly. However if dividend payment is poor aim for 75% of the target. The companies with massive FDI will rise well above this target so even more rewarding getting in before foreign interest still using the rule. I don’t buy into any company except it’s “ on sale” way below estimated/actual FY x4 . However not all companies flashing a sudden fantastic EPS is investable. It still must demonstrate that the earning is organic, driven by fundamentals and sound restructuring or a drive on a business model that would guarantee sustainability going forward. |
Laso09:Yes. You may need to read through my earlier posts to get a hang of the strategy. The figure is derived historically from over the years studying the NSE / NGX stock price behavior. It harbors our average collective investment goals of at least a 25% return on investment. This is largely the case except when in an unforeseen economic recession/ mayhem. |
Prices are pushed up by first value, then sentiments and lastly stupidity driven by ignorance or greed. Common Sense Strategy. keeps it simple. |
Common sense target for Veritas Kapital Assurance is N1.20. Good buy at current price of 0.55. 0.31 x 4 =1.24 Target Range N1.24-N1.55 Better still if they pay a dividend of 5-7 k in which case could target upper range. Please do your DD. Even with RED across board, EPS is King. Stocks hardly fall below EPS x 4. That’s the beauty of the strategy. Any one significantly below that is a BUY. Just Common Sense.
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aj8:Beware of any company that wants you to calculate their EPS yourself. Hide as much as you want EPS is EPS. YOU CANT PAY WHAT YOU DONT EARN EXCEPT ITS IN YOUR RESERVES. |
KarlTom:So what is the EPS ? on 6.26 billion units if I may ask? |
chunkuli:Okay I will. Hi here too. |
UBA 2023 If the pattern breaks in 2024, it would probably mean a fantastically improved earnings that meets market expectations.
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UBA 2022
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UBA 2021
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UBA 2020
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Relax. All happening is usual and expected. Very historical. The bulls are not done yet till earnings. The first pullback into the year is like this. Watch out for volume dissociation for the rest of the week to give some clarity. Like I said earlier expect a pullback after the first weekly red. It’s as if stock markets are spirits. They behave the same. Watch Volumes vs Price that’s the way to go. I will share that of UBA as a case study. In another post, I will share my Volume vs. price pattern for UBA for 2023-date. This should help to better understand the movement. Enjoy the pullback and reposition. Great opportunities all over. |
UBA support at N30.80 based on Volume price dissociation.
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stcool:May be it’s best to wait till the Q4 results since it’s for the long term. We are like in injury time. Really not the best time to accumulate. Aim must always be to buy at a discount of value or at worst at value. The aim of DD is to improve vision. |
[/b] Coolcash1: Still looking for cheap banking stock to buy, consider StanbicIBTC and thank me later. ![]() However, massive correction might begin end of the month as majority of the stocks are crazily overbought. Stay on guard![b] ?? |
eziokwunwoko:Wouldn’t make sense joining now. The idea is to buy when there is a dissociation between EPS/DIVIDEND PROJECTION. With a 2024/2025 FY organic EPS forecast of above N9.00, UBA shouldn’t play below N36.00. ( i.e 9x4 =36) . Range is however N36.00-N45.00 based on my calculations of price of N(x4 -x5 of FY EPS) range. Assumption is that dividends do not disappoint. Please note. The FY 2023 even if 19.00 will not be organic, though may fuel sentiments to push the price way higher. Historically, it would be wise to sell once the first weekly before the earnings in 2024 go red to buy back at a much lower price unless you wish to hold till dividends. |
aj8:Target reached. New data on earnings will determine the wisdom of holding on beyond N2.40. Will hold on to this for now. May dip a bit for profit taking. Buy the dip when it happens. |
Streetinvestor2:Makes a lot of sense if with a N3.00 Dividend and maybe even a bonus. . Recapitalization also historically is associated with price appreciation. Hopefully the economy will continue to improve without any sweeping global catastrophe. The chart attached might interest you.
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