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Aj8's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:26am On Aug 09, 2024
MARKETJJC:
Few months like 24 months or 18 months or 36 months? grin. And Why RT BRISCOE?
RT BRISCOE at 1.33. Congratulations on those that joined at or below 0.73 a few days ago. Please take some profits off the table.

grin grin cool


Common Sense Strategy.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:18am On Aug 09, 2024
aj8:
Remember to take profits along the way. This is how I do it. Calculate the difference in your purchase price and the current price x the number of stock holdings. Sell the number of shares that equates that figure to the nearest whole number. You need not factor charges, it’s merely an approximation so you don’t lose your gains. Should the current price fall significantly below the price, buy back shares that the amount you took off the table as profit can buy back at the new lower price. My Target for RT is still N1.60. It’s not a stock in my opinion for long-term hold as of yet.

Remember, gains are not yet dusted till it’s banked.
Always take profits off the table. RT BRISCOE is at 1.33 . Target remains same.
Same goes for Veritaskap . Take profits along the journey and bank. I took off some of my Veritaskap not minding the full bid.

Common Sense Strategy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 9:26am On Aug 07, 2024
Common sense strategy on Veritaskap sees it reaching at least N1.60 . Bought some more yesterday at 0.88. I will not buy more except below 0.88
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:48am On Aug 06, 2024
aj8:
Based on Common sense strategy , RT BRISCOE AND CUSTODIAN LIKELY TO DO 100% in a few months. I am in on RT BRISCOE.
Remember to take profits along the way. This is how I do it. Calculate the difference in your purchase price and the current price x the number of stock holdings. Sell the number of shares that equates that figure to the nearest whole number. You need not factor charges, it’s merely an approximation so you don’t lose your gains. Should the current price fall significantly below the price, buy back shares that the amount you took off the table as profit can buy back at the new lower price. My Target for RT is still N1.60. It’s not a stock in my opinion for long-term hold as of yet.

Remember, gains are not yet dusted till it’s banked.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 2:42pm On Jul 29, 2024
MARKETJJC:
Few months like 24 months or 18 months or 36 months? grin. And Why RT BRISCOE?
Reference price RT is 0.7300. Target 1.60 . But will not hold beyond this price whatever the news.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 2:25pm On Jul 29, 2024
Based on Common sense strategy , RT BRISCOE AND CUSTODIAN LIKELY TO DO 100% in a few months. I am in on RT BRISCOE.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 12:22am On May 01, 2024
Transcorp reverse stock split doesn’t sound nice.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 3:11pm On Apr 16, 2024



So how do you raise over N300bill from 10,800,578,634 shares?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 9:34am On Apr 16, 2024
robobo:
Hello Chief. Please can you share the document you are referring to in your write up? the document cannot be found in the link. Appr8
No. 9

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 9:20am On Apr 16, 2024
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/40904_UNITED_BANK_FOR_AFRICA_PLC-UBA_PLC_-_NOTICE_OF_AGM_MAY_24,_2024_CORPORATE_ACTIONS_APRIL_2024.pdf




Tony is smart. Book building strategy is fantastic. Probably eyes fixed on an offer bid prices in the range of N30-35 judging by the new shares tabled (but a higher cut off is still possible) to raise the extra capital. He only needs to show that UBA can sustain a dividend policy above N3.00 yearly after recapitalization to achieve good uptake/bids. He has my respect 🫡 . He probably has a foreign underwriter. On this route, UBA should meet recapitalization in weeks or a couple of months. This is a clear pointer to a fantastic Q1 result. No one does this without good sure back up. Q1 results would probably come in right after closure of register to give wind to the sails of this option.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:16pm On Mar 31, 2024
SonofElElyonRet:
Was just about to point out same note 29 which is titled distributions made and proposed and refers to dividends for 2022 and dividends 2023
Might be wrong but doesn't this suggest that new shareholders could still qualify for one of the dividends? Sad that there isn't full disclosure in clear terms from the company and the stock exchange is just not living up to expectations as a regulator
Remember they only listed their shares. It was not an IPO.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:05pm On Mar 31, 2024
SonofElElyonRet:
Was just about to point out same note 29 which is titled distributions made and proposed and refers to dividends for 2022 and dividends 2023
Might be wrong but doesn't this suggest that new shareholders could still qualify for one of the dividends? Sad that there isn't full disclosure in clear terms from the company and the stock exchange is just not living up to expectations as a regulator
No

For the reason below

“The company during its 58th Board Meeting held on Monday, December 18, 2023 declared an interim dividend of N23,462,335,236 which is a dividend per share of N247.07 to its shareholders.”
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 8:52pm On Mar 31, 2024
Wishing everyone Happy Easter. May this season illuminate our shared gift of salvation that worketh through the grace of He that reigns King above all things in heaven and earth forever. Happy Easter . The Lord Is, now and always. Amen
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 8:37pm On Mar 31, 2024
SonofElElyonRet:
The results clearly say N92.25k eps

[/b]
Can someone help explain the [b]interim
dividend declared for 2022 and 2023...
*why interim?
*will new shareholders who bought after listing on the stock market be entitled to both 2022 and 2023 interim dividends?
The results are for year end 31st December 2023. Interim because the decision was taken before the end of year 2023. Actually on 18th December 2023 subject to approval at the next AGM.
Also note that the decision to increase shares to 7.5 bill and list as public was done at the same meeting but the day after on the 19th December 2023 and so did not qualify .

Refer to the following for further clarification
-Page 2 of the report
-Check Note 29 on page 65 of the report

Sad but they knew what they were doing. Don’t bother computing. You will not qualify except indirectly through the shareholdings of TRANSCORP Group
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 9:17pm On Mar 21, 2024
Interesting Ratio UBA: ZENITH : GTCO 1:1.45:1.75 (Approximately).
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 12:00pm On Mar 14, 2024
Hogwarthtrades:
Two things deducted from reading this:

1. possibly a 2 man show, Aig and MR Wigwe (RIP) with no real sucession plan or trust of subordinates.
2. Hopefully this serves as a wake up call to companies to inculcate the ability to groom trust worthy subordinates (easier said than done!!) for times like this.
Access holding will come out greater though!!!
Risk of too much drama. May eventually hurt Access

1. Ex CEO/MD vs incumbent CEO/MD
2. Ex Chairman on the same Board now as Director
3. Co-Founder mentality. Will they breath?
4. Apparently nil succession plan.
5. Probably a fire brigade response aimed to build investor confidence.

Let’s see how price would react after earning results.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 3:03pm On Mar 04, 2024
yMcy56:
I think with Transcorp having larger share of this, Transcorp faithfuls stands to be rewarded.......i.e. the higher the price goes, the better for Transcorp faithfuls.

This is my personal opinion btw.
Not exactly.
TRANSCORP only gains from earnings or scrips. Not unless they decide to liquidate their holdings (in part or full) to cash then would the going price mean anything. Let it reach 2000 if it wants, issue is, what would be the dividend eventually or earnings to TRANSCORP Holding and other shareholders.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 11:11am On Mar 04, 2024
yMcy56:
Thanks Oga Customs. 😊

@Aj8 this Oga is possibly giving us vital info here o.
I knew Tony will probably have plan for Transcorp PLC too.
We will know today after closing hours whether it’s grapevine or Chivita.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 7:53pm On Mar 03, 2024
SonofElElyonRet:
Ucap nko?
smiley

….etc. smiley
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 2:27pm On Mar 03, 2024
ExcessKJ:
Good morning. Which online app can be use to monitor stocks on NGX just like Yahoo finance or Google finance. These two doesn't cover NGX. Thank you
Try Reuters

Search. Reuters xxxx stock

E.g Reuters UBA stock
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 2:16pm On Mar 03, 2024
Emeka1441:
whats your strategy for transcorp?? If you own transcorp plc.. what would be your approach to both of them
Hold

Both would appreciate along with all of TOE’s concerns..UBA, Afr Prud, TRANSCORP Hotel, etc. Geregu should drop a little being a significant competitor to the common good.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 2:08pm On Mar 03, 2024
customstreet:
You are on point. The next two program of Transcorp Holdings in the near term are as follows

1. Do an MTO of say between 1%-4% as mandated by SEC

2. Share Reconstruction

These two, I am sure will happen from Gravevine
Indeed?

So how does what is about to happen differ from what happened when Transcorp Hotel was spin off from Transcorp Holding? Relax. TRANSCORP Power is NOT a new entity. It’s merely listing as a public company at a price. Nothing else changes. TRANSCORP Holding still has significant interest in TRANSCORP Power and would continue to enjoy all benefits accruing from its interest. If TRANSCORP Power does well as a public company so would all her shareholders including TRANSCORP Holding and by extension shareholders of TRANSCORP Holdings. QED.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 11:10pm On Mar 02, 2024
Cosmicwill:
I'm new to NSE investment. I bought Dancem at 763.70 with all I the money had now it's 686.70 made losses already. I understand It might rise or fall but the challenge now is that I want to sell it and the broker I used, Trove can't sell as they said there is no buy order yet. what do I do?
I would rather hold. Why sell at a loss? If FO, could invest in Dangote Cement I don’t see why you should sell just yet unless you have a clear view of where else you want to reinvest the funds that would guarantee profit. But best to use registered stockbrokers. Check the Ngx for a comprehensive list. That’s for your next time though.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:52pm On Mar 02, 2024
BabsO2:
Transcorp PLC has the following % ownerships in subsidiaries.
-----------------------------------------------------------------% holding-----------2022-----------2021----------2020
Transcorp Hotels Plc---------------------------------------------------------------76.2 % ------76.2 %--------83.6%
Transcorp Power Limited---------------------------------------------------------51.02 %----- 50.9 %------50.9%
Transcorp Energy Limited Exploration of petroleum product--------99.0 %----- 99.0 %-------99.0%
TransAfam Power Limited Power generation------------------------------ 95.0 % -----95.0 %-------95.0%
Transcorp Properties Limited Building---------------------------------------100.0 % ----100.0 %-----100.0%
Transcorp OPL 281 Nigeria Limited------------------------------------------- 100.00% ---100.00%----100.0%
Terago Commodities Limited------------------------------------------------------95.00% ----95.00%-----95.0%
Transcorp Refining Company Limited------------------------------------------ 100.0 % ----100.0 %---100.0%
Transcorp Trading and Logistics Limited------------------------------------- 100.0 % -----100.0 %----100.0%
Transcorp Telecomms Limited---------------------------------------------------- 100.0 % ----100.0 %----100.0%
Aura by Transcorp Hotel Limited---------------------------------------------------20.0 % ------20.0 %-------0.0%

NB 1 - Transcorp sold some units of Transcorp Hotel Plc in 2021 at N5.43 that's why its holding's there dropped slightly in 2021. Wish it can sell a little right now in Transcorp Hotel at N90 to fund development of other subsidiaries shocked Doing such will create value for Transcorp PLC shareholders in the coming years. I will give Tony a big thumbs up if he pulls such out in coming years.

NB 2 - Transcorp reinvested its dividend from Transcorp Power in 2022 thereby raising its % holding in so doing.

I see hidden value in Transcorp.

Not an investment advice. Do your DD!
Why hidden? Isn’t it obvious?

Kindly note the following.

1. TRANSCORP Group and Trancorp Power are 2 separate but related legal entities. The relationship is that the group owns 50.9% of TRANSCORP Power
2. Shareholders of TRANSCORP Group are not directly shareholders of TRANSCORP Power but have indirect interest through the group’s interest. For the IPO and listing, the Investments and Securities Act and SEC Rules require the approval of the shareholders and board of the issuer to offer shares to the public, not its parent or holding company’s shareholders. Check Companies and Allied Matters Act
3. The previous earnings from dividends and scrip from TRANSCORP Power by TRANSCORP Group, already demonstrate that potential.
4. The catapulting of the valuation of TRANSCORP Power will of course increase that of TRANSCORP Group as long as the current price is below the offer price and the company remains profitable to accrue benefits to her shareholders of which TRANSCORP Group is a majority holder ( at least for now)
5. The capital raised would increase the financial strength of TRANSCORP Power to further undertake and expand their core business of power or whatever else their article allows them to engage in. This also would benefit the TRANSCORP Group even with the dilution the new offer would inevitably introduce to the Group holding incase the Group makes no new purchases. However I foresee the offer not being fully subscribed thereby allowing TRANSCORP Group or whosoever (including TOE) to take up Rights if that alternative is accommodated on the initial offer’s demise.
6. I see huge gains to shareholders of TRANSCORP, as long as the Power space stays viable and profitable…already eluded by TOE in earlier responses that this spin off would happen once the space is right. Like he earlier did with TRANSCORP Hotel.
7. This is not the first of its kind within TRANSCORP Group. Similar occurred in 2015. The spin off of TRANSCORP Hotel from the Group. Mentioned above.


I do not own any shares of TRANSCORP Group but intend acquiring TRANSCORP Power shares. I believe it would at least match Geregu Power PLC if not outpace it.

That’s my take.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:51am On Feb 22, 2024
ositadima1:
How is closing Binance and other crypto trading platforms going to provide long-term solutions to the falling currency? Instead of tackling the root cause decisively, they are intent on preventing the commoners from protecting their money as best as they can. Beside the fact that most of them have millions of dollars stashed away. The moment Mr. Tinubu announced no more subsidies and naira unification, these woes intensified.

We all thought he had concrete plans to cushion the aftereffects. The NGX went on a crazy bull run, but now it has started declining, showing us that he is still adopting the same trial and error approach of the previous administration.

With the increasing prices, it is likely that fewer sales will be made. Maybe the increased revenues I was championing about may not materialize after all. I apologize if I led you astray in any way with my previous posts. embarassed

Below is a simple fishbone chart. The red portions are the root causes as identified by me.

Thank you.
Is there a solution to Nigeria’s Forex issues? Can we achieve a $ to N800.00 in months or even weeks? I think it’s possible if we do the following;

1. Warehouse the Dollar via designated banks. Strict rules will apply to ensure that sales are transparent and targeted at those that really need it . This will give the reins back to CBN via the designated banks. CBN can fix her rates but must meet supply within what I wish to refer to as emergency transfusion period. This will make speculation unnecessary and unrewarding in the short term. Sadly but inevitably, the initial funds may have to be borrowed but tied to secured sources of forex earnings. More like a modified share conversion strategy.
2. Transfusion period would be theoretically the period it would take Nigeria to improve organic dollar earnings through manufacturing, production, mining, petrochemical, FDI, etc.
For the above strategy to be effective and efficient, the supply side has to be fixed even if as an interim borrowing while resources that drive dollar earnings are brought onboard more like the case in a blood transfusion. Blood is given as the body works on organically producing its own.
3. Cut wastages, spendings that fuel inflation and weaken our currency.

Who will ….?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 1:29pm On Feb 12, 2024
May God grant the families of the departed the fortitude to bear such an irreparable loss and grant them comfort which only He is able to give in such sad times. May their soul rest in peace. Amen.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 5:22pm On Feb 10, 2024
The beginning of a bear market is simply smart money taking profits, then forcing prices down for a a new bargain. Once they hit their target price, they will make their entry and drive the price up again as a Bull market. This cycle will always be repeated as long as the hunger for profits exists. Smart money will always hunt for bargains before earnings. The news is only a camouflage of real intention. Where there is no news, they will surely create one. Smart money buys on the way down, not up. Look for bargains too. EPS will always guide. Buy also at a bargain. Bears favor those with cash. To play with the “big boys” is to have cash to buy when they are buying. Yes, in a bear market. Par example, imagine smart money selling off a stock say at 34.00 and force the price down to say 22.15 so as to buy it back before earnings. It's all about profits. That's how it works. The rest just camouflage.

Happy weekend.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:37am On Feb 08, 2024
aj8:
For UBA, my eyes are glued to the circled support /resistance levels (refer to chart). If earnings/dividends are good, I expect it to resume the major channel . I feel it may move to a then b maybe c if the dividend is huge and then all the way down to e through d. Just a hypothesis. Of course, movement will not be in a straight line, expected to bounce off support and resistance on its way up or down. Buying at support and sell-off at resistance seems to be the norm for now.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:26am On Feb 08, 2024
For UBA, my eyes are glued to the circled support /resistance levels (refer to chart). If earnings/dividends are good, I expect it to resume the major channel . I feel it may move to a then b maybe c if the dividend is huge and then all the way down to e through d. Just a hypothesis. Of course, movement will not be in a straight line, expected to bounce off support and resistance on its way up or down. Buying at support and sell-off at resistance seems to be the norm for now.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:27pm On Jan 31, 2024
Can we please discuss the CBN circular on Harmonization of Reporting Requirements on Foreign Currency Exposures of Banks ? Considering the havoc it caused.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:19am On Jan 31, 2024
Laso09:
I have read your earlier posts on this.
What you normally do is to multiply the best quarter earnings(eps) by 4 but in this case you are multiplying the full year eps by 4.
Quarterly x4 and x4 again.

Check it again.
First 4 is to derive the est FY. But with FY just x4
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 10:13am On Jan 31, 2024
SAK:
I am also surprised with the calculation,why multiplying by 4 again ,when the unaudited result is for the whole year??

Why did you multiply 0.31 by 4.
Is the 0.31 not for the whole year?
Read my earlier post my brother. Meanwhile the company is on full bid. And shouldn’t rest till it crosses EPS X4 .

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