BabsO2's Posts
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Calebbold:Is this not too fast |
sonofElElyon:I voted to Hold and watch as the underlying earnings has remained strong since 2021Q1 and continued gathering momentum till Q4. It was just the dividend that was painful. |
Market looks good ![]() |
yMcy56:Last week dividends payout trickling into the market bargain hunting, thereby lifting the market lightly as postulated early last week. ![]() |
GANDALF1:We may talk and talk and create probable scenarios, only a prophet can predict its certainty. Better to have spare cash in case of a market dip which is a very possible scenario indeed. |
Wapgod:Google for morning star website. They have a lot of free data on many liquid Naija stocks. It's also very good to calculate yourself for stocks you want to buy. |
https://nairametrics.com/2022/04/06/aieto-loans-uk-court-rules-in-favour-of-shell-afc-gtb-zenith-first-bank-others/ This looks like good news for these banks. |
GANDALF1:I don't really think it's the confirmation of Presidential candidate for APC or PDP that will cause a downwards re-pricing. But rather further breakdown of law and order beyond what we are currently experiencing. There are more chances the atmosphere will improve. Watching Ogun State Transportation Master plan live on Channels TV. The future is bright. ![]() |
Looking closely at GTCO it may stay low till Q1 results comes out this month. If the results look good and departs from the poor outcome of last year, the price will not stay low again. If the Q1 is not exciting, it is bound to go further down till those dumping it finish (suspect 1 or 2 FPI's is dumping). If Q1 turns out good despite the election brohaha it will resist major price drop and instead creep up slowly as local bargain hunters cherry pick. Generally, I think the election brohaha and the current country outlook is already priced into the current depressed valuation of most stocks, resulting in very low PE's and PB's. Should outlook change prices will start creeping up slowly. Pray outlook changes for the better and does not deteriorate further. |
gbengafaro1986:Only Unity, Union and FBNH outstanding. Despite FBNH submitting since last week of January, CBN has not yet approved it. Maybe it will be released with Q1. |
arduino:Some have started buying with reserve money since last week. As the reserve will be replenished from tomorrow. |
lancee:This can cause the market to go up slightly as some investors try to use their dividends to go bargain hunting. |
GANDALF1:Chai. |
BabsO2:Where did this last hour FBNH bull of the first quarter go |
GANDALF1:That means the good tide started with him. Where was he in the last two years ? |
emmanuelewumi:Is it the CEO under which this occurred that is crossing over to FBNH ? |
Mpeace:It started making very heavy losses under UACN. Looks like something is not really right in profitability of the property sector especially from their end. Perhaps smaller players under cutting them or the sector has issues with profitability. |
Princkez:A bull lifted the price ![]() |
GANDALF1:Zenith is on sales someone is dumbing. I guess remnants of FPI's whom still have a high proportion of Zenith shares. Sales is going on in GTCO too. UBA is not on sales as it seems no one is dumping persee. If dividend markdown is taken into view. It's like trading at N8.5 But Zenith post markdown has gone on sales. let me look for that website that has % of FPI. The last time I looked Zenith was the highest. Followed by GTCO with UBA following closely. ![]() |
Mpeace:That should present more buying opportunities for local investors then. Especially those that were praying for the price not to leave the N240 range. Their prays may have been answered. And may even get it lower ![]() |
pizapato:Not impossible ![]() Looking at the price trend of Transcorp. The Price went up the whole of February. With a peak of N1.34 during the day of Thursday the 24th. As if the word was oozing out that a good result has been baked. Could crystal ball gazers using TA with or without connection to stock-trade execution systems spot this apart from those acting on any spills from internal accountants and external auditors. But by Monday the 28th of February the price started going down. The board meeting that was to hold the next day 1st of March was cancelled. The public were notified I guess at the close of business on Tuesday that the board meeting was cancelled. But somehow the price even started dropping a day ahead of this notification to the public. The price continued it's downward journey till Friday the 25th of March with a closing price of N1.07. The public got the results and dividend announcement after the close of business of this Friday the 25th of March. For Transcorp, seems some people acted on the good results that was not yet released to the public that they got wind of using TA or whatever. And also acted to exit on the poor dividend payout proposed by management somehow ahead of notification to the public. For Total perhaps some have got wind of not too good results or are just speculating using TA etc. |
BabsO2:Two days of TRANSCORP trading gone post report release. Watching Mr Market's first 5 days public Judgement. Looks like most of the sell off even took place weeks before the results was made public. |
Mpeace:Is the expected money from debtors in anyway reflected in the annual reports as operating profits and housed under assets.? Or they are not yet reflected in the annual reports. ? Looks like they are already captured in the huge current assets of "Receivables from third-party customers" of N68 billion. But their current labilities of trade and other payables has climbed up to N135billion from N80billion. So they equally owe people more than what customers owe them. Overall current assets exceed current liabilities, which is good. |
Mpeace:That 2k dividend proposed is painful. They need to review it to at least 5 kobo. But that EPS of 34K looks really good. Book value also got upward review through revaluations. Book value per share is now solidly above N2.20. Quarter on quarter earnings per share is going up. Debt also going down gently. Will HOLD. And watch how next week pans out. And wait for 2022 Q1. |
Nigerialabalaba:I nearly felt like putting the EFCC need to invite their directors in my write up. But I told my self wetin I know other that FBNH enjoys strong cash flow from interest and non interest income that gets guzzled up and somehow never get translated into profits. This your insight and thoughts umm. That means Otedola on board may translate these cash flow into profits if he can get things straightened up through his influence. And in the process grow his investments in FBNH for his benefit and that of the common shareholders wey dey inside the bus looking through the window enjoying breeze . Many don commot give him seat. And him still dey buy more more. |
gbengafaro1986:Regarding FBNH. Looks like CBN has a lot of questions that management haven't addressed properly. The bank has too much leakages of revenue. The management need real scrutiny for fraudulent activities. Especially with the reason given by Remi Babalola for leaving abruptly. |
Ades1:Maybe its bank by bank. And one or two banks may have a little internal go slow. I think we should only worry if we do not see it latest by COB tomorrow. |
Wapgod:It shouldn't, because if the money is working hard as per strategy it should deliver value. However one has to be careful with calculating entitlements to shareholders and not erroneously take the additional capital and income from its deployment as belonging to shareholders. And when computing profit attributed to shareholders or EPS to ensure what is due to these tier 1 capital owners has been correctly accounted for. |
BabsO2:Looks like ACCESS bank is the first to raise additional tier 1 capital through instruments other than shares. That N4.58 EPS stated on their issued annual report will fool some people. |
Mpeace:That N4.58 EPS is over stated. Not all of it belongs to shareholders. It needs to be corrected for non controlling interests and for the entitlements of Additional Tier 1 capital owners. The bank issued additional tier 1 capital of $500m (translated as N206.4b) in the year. Also total dividend comes to N1 when interim dividend of 30kobo is added. The true earning per share (to holders of shares) is about N3.6 |
gbengafaro1986:This brings total divided to N1 when the interim dividend of 30kobo is added |
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