RoughCut's Posts
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jehosaphat:Haba! My head don dey swell now o! but that was very very nice of you taking time to personally salute peeps. May honour also come your way in Jesus name. Na you i dey try emulate now abi? As dem dey talk am for where i commot from There is no way a piece of land will belong to the father and to the son without a clear line of demarcation there must always be a distinction so i never reach your level i be small pikin in that dept Thanks very much and may you walk tall where it matters |
ololufemi:Somebody mentioned about N700B as leveraged money on the NSE i think |
easimoni:You just cant resist can you? I beg all of una if i miss my flight na all of you go dey responsible for the katakata wey go result. If rubbish hit fan you know say the thing go scatter everywhere ![]() |
wanaj0:That is why you are one of the 'elders' on this forum. I go hook up you by e-mail over the weekend make good thing no pass me by. I get flight to catch You actually mean building a N1B portfolio is a hobby for you? I go begin pray say make God give me zeal and consumate passion to start taking this hobby more seriously ![]() |
wanaj0:i used to be a fundamentalist which makes me a Talibani but i have graduated now i'm running after technical analysis so hopefully with the help of easimoni(whenever he comes from his self-imposed break) we can add a couple of columns for technical indicators and stoc oscillators i'm still scratching my head for a name for this new school although this discipline is more suited for traders and short-termers but its in no way intended for suicide or momentum investorswell everybody is welcome sha |
aktopgun:carry the analysis go inside labour ward ![]() All the best mate! |
wanaj0:Another word comes to mind Motor-mouth |
wanaj0:Another one from the tried and tested. May you continue to increase in knowledge and in wisdom |
aktopgun:In between gallivanting all over the place just came back from Bahrain beginning of this week i have off-shore investments(cant afford to put all my eggs into the NSE basket) so i may ask my portfolio manager check out these companies on the JSE. I suspect those stocks are now expensive in their home country South Africa just like everything else in Nigeria. The hope of making a decent profit i think is if they are listed on the NSE its inevitable just a matter of time A lot of the cash cows on the NSE are getting into an overbought position and when that happens a lot of peeps will want to sell and then the prices start heading down south |
aktopgun:May be i should go and buy the shares of these companies on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Surely they must be thinking of the nigerian stock exchange. I know Jim Ovia bought a telecomms company can't remember what its called now a while ago and knowing the man with his endless quest for stock-market domination we should expect a something soon. Hopefully he can build it into a world-beater like Zenith. Dangote also bought a telecomms not too long ago so i will watch the space. It just seems odd to me that MTN and Celtel have not thought of exploiting the opportunities in the nigerian capital market. Surely after South Africa the market to be in is Nigeria |
aktopgun:Correct me if i'm wrong the fastest growing sector of the Nigerian economy is Telecomms and yet there's not a single telecomms listed on the NSE at least as far as i know. I know there are private placements and stuff but it just occured to me none of them is quoted publicly on the NSE Hmnnnnnnnn the next Gold rush whenever they decide they are ready to start playing on the NSE |
aktopgun:Hmmnnnn you are a wise head on old or is it young?shoulders. You will kill another one o. You see a child that learns to wash his hands will surely eat in the court of the eldersi'm learning fast from jehoshapat the point being we are all here to share and learn nobody is a monopoly of knowledge. Life is a network of relationships that is what we are all about on N'land |
ololufemi:Like a writer once said when you avoid the risks you also avoid the opportunities which is the reason all of us are on N'land to share and to educate and exchange ideas so we can minimise the risks in our investment decisions |
aktopgun:Which is why you need to know exactly what stocks to pick and that is the point Warren Buffet makes you must KNOW the stocks you are picking and that comes with diligent analysis and research so as Warren buffet would say Make the money for your clients Dont lose the money |
aktopgun:I read that article i think the strategy i will adopt is to take up my rights and sell my holdings. UBN has not been the business though shouldnt really complain i bought @ less than N20 can't remember when . I will wait for N45 before i offload. Still looking for what to do with the WEMA cash and now another shed loads of shares of UBN waiting to be offloaded Happy days or is it cash out days are here! The stocks i'm looking for are not available and don't want to find out what happens when you stand in the way of the raging bulls so to borrow the pun i go just siddon dey look while i brush up on my tech analysisgraduated from the Fundamentalist/Talibani school cant get away from that just briiliant no shaking ![]() |
aktopgun:Warren Buffet the greatest investor we have ever known happens to be a student of Ben Graham and he doesnt believe in diversification or should i use the word over-diversification he invests only in stocks that are in his domain of expertise Hmnnnnnnn food for thought |
FatherOF2:Also add 'Financial Times' and New York Times and for good measure 'Die Spiegel'(for my Swiss and German speaking compatriots) You must be a very funny guy |
wanaj0:Not sure about the private shareholders angle i thought there were some shareholders(his cronies no doubt) that were to be alloted the shares on a preferential basis (about 20% of the shares on offer and that doesnt make them private shareholders. He offloaded 25% of his holdings in Dangote Flour to the public to satisfy the requirements for listing on the NSE. he wanted to do a PP when the SEC were giving him some hassles(they reckon the offer price of N15 was a bit on the high side) so not sure when the PP was done and i dont think there are any shares in Dangote Flour capital structure hmmmmmmn, remains a mystery to me |
[quote author=Mr. Risky link=topic=31554.msg1726268#msg1726268 date=1196252570]WanajO, Welcome. I know you had it in 1st Class since the dividend came from 1st Bank. Just kidding. That was how a friend bought First Aluminium at over N3 thinking it was owned by 1st Bank. Still kidding. ![]() WanajO, Please can you tell me about RT Briscoe and Air Services & Logistics, and C & I Leasing. I would certainly like to grow with those companies in the 3-5 years. I am really keen on buying something now. Sometimes it is a crime to keep one's money. Remember the season!!! ![]() Pumping 777 You are great asset to this forum. easimoni, Roughcut (prefer Smoothcut though ), Fatherof2, all of you even, lurkers. Welldone. With the knowledge I have gathered here, I am helping to heal a friends burnt fingers in TRANSCORP! He had thought Transcorp would rally after technical suspension, it did rally though but SOUTHWARDS even down to the Niger Delta and beyond the creeks. [/quote]For now i'm roughcut for a reason have you seen an uncut diamond before? its as rough as coarse-paper not yet the finished article. So that's what i am for now-work-in-progress when i get to where i'm going then i can start thinking of changing my name to smoothcut or even silky-cut but for now roughcut will doMake i take one proverb end my tory if you dont know where you are going every bus-stop will look like your bustop forgetting that all of us have different bus-stops in life oga Jehoshaphat what say you? nuff said ![]() |
wanaj0:Well even in the worst-case scenario you expect a portfolio worth N500M to be giving you at least N125M assuming a 25% yield on a yearly basis so there'e no need injecting N2M but the point i'm trying to stress is the strategy you need to adopt to get to the N500M mark. You are forgetting that the only shareholder in Dangote Flour is the man himself(not aware of any private shareholder though) until the certs are distributed so that basically means its a level playing field going forward so i expect a rally and then may be after he's paid a couple of dividends the share price will definitely not break its resistance or support level depending on the share price trending which is EXACTLY what has happened to Dangote Sugar the share price has become unresponsive to the quarterly dividend the guy is paying so Dangote Sugar is now trading within its support and resistance channel i only expect side-ways movememt for now same will apply to Dangote Flour |
damoche07:As long as the self-desclared holiday or is it garden leave as the medics would put it does not become a permanent one ![]() Let me try and confuse you a bit more ![]() You calculate a trailing ratio either PE or EPS or PEG based on the declared figures for that company. For example if a company releases a half-year result you can calculate the trailing EPS by dividing the PAT for the half-year period by the number of shares outstanding during the period in question and also if you want to know the trailing PE divide the current share price by the EPS you calculated. The figures you arrive at will be trailing meaning they are based on past results for a given time frame in this instance half-year or six months You calculate a forward or projected ratio by extrapolating based on the figures you have at the moment. If a company releases half year figures you can EXTRAPOLATE the full-year results e.g PAT by increasing the half-year figures by a factor two(this will be accurate if the company makes the same proportion of its PAT for any given timeframe either quarterly or half-yearly) so your estimation will give you the forward or PROJECTED ratio and also ascertain the number of shares you expect to be listed for that company for the period in the future. For example if you know the number of shares for FCMB that will be listed by year-end which is April 08 then you can extrapolate the PAT for the whole year based on the half-year PAT they have declared |
pumping777:I think a better startegy will be to aim to grow the portfolio by a combination of the returns you expect from your investment and also capital injection from your personal resources i think you can reduce the time frame to achieve your goal. If you have fixed-assets as part of your portfolio( then you don't need liquidity injection) as this will grow organically without you pumpingyou are already pumping anyway in additional cash but for the liquid assets side i think you might need some more capital injection for a few more years but then it depends on the size of your liquid portfolio and how deep your pockets are ![]() |
wanaj0:Please tell me you are kidding me but then i suppose that person should be on the board of directors of that company with a shareholding of N1B As for RedStar i put a limit on my order anything above N6 they can forget it obviously i'm not going to get it so looks like another one slipped through my finggers not the first time ![]() The funny thing its this massive over-subscription of Dangote Flour Mills that will push up the price. As at the time the PO came on the market i was one of the people that said it was expensive at a PE of 15 or thereabouts i think the fair value we arrived at then was around N10 but its now looking cheap at the offer price of N15(market inefficiency) so i wont be shocked if the price shoots up to more than N25 after TS. I think the market has already priced in this scenario It is not fundamentals that will be driving the price of Dangote flour but market sentiments but then i guess everybody already worked that one out |
aktopgun:Noticed that Cutix and RedStar and CI Leasing in that order did the max 5% today again and still RedStar never surface. It might now be expensive to enter Cutix now looks like its hovering around its resistance level to borrow the language of the technical analysts |
wanaj0:Let's put it this way: $10M portfolio all in the NSE don't think that's a good idea. The Nigerian capital market is not that efficient enough for me and too volatile for my liver and as per regulations not yet there so there is no way i'm going to have all my asset/portfolio concentrated just in the equities/stock market Nigeria. I would diversify such portfolio between Stocks and Equities [/b]both in Nigeria and in the emerging markets(Angola,Brazil and Mexico and you can add Turkey forget about China and India that's a bubble waiting to burst) [b]Properties in Nigeria and UK and propably some cash in Switzerlandi mean legitimate cash the taxes here are low compared to most western economies So at any one-time the asset/portfolio spread can withstand any shocks and hopefully you have hedged your risks properly. All my stuff in Naija hopefully is a proportion of my net worth I think in about 5-7 years i should just be there so i can start looking for a cash cow to acquire |
wanaj0:chei! did i hear you mention N1B portfolio somewhere in your thread? let's just say if my portfolio is worth N1B i will be on the board of directors of Law union+Rock insurance or UNIC ![]() On a more serious note every now and then we need your 'elderly' contributions to drum some semblance of REALITY into some peeps(yours truly included on this forum |
MyPeace:Yep you have till end of next year to sort it out. Take your regular signature mandate with proof of your id to the registrar and they will simply void the old one and issue a new one to you will have to pay some money i think |
MyPeace:What that means is that according to the new directives from SEC there is no more share allotment verification which means as soon as the shares have been alloted by the issuing companies to the prospective investors the returns should just be forwarded straight to SEC/CBN and if they are satisfied they will approve the allotment and the company registrar can start issuing certificates to the lucky ones or credit your CSCs account if you have an account with a stockbroker. What used to happen before was that CBN and SEC has to verify and vet each single application from the issuing companies to ensure that laundered money has not found its way into the capital market(all monies are lodged with CBN in an escrow account and this takes months which is why you had to wait an average of 6 monthe before getting your certs. A case in point of the new directive is FCMB hopes to complete the share allotment and cert issue by March next year so if you bought into the PO you will be on the dividend register before April which happens to be the year-end instead waiting till May/June next year which would have been the average length of time it would take to get your cert (check the prospectus if you have bought into the PO for the allotment timescale) By year end 08 all stock holding will be dematerialized meaning there would be no more paper certificate as proof of your shareholding so for those stocks you hold and you dont have credited into your CSCS account(if you have one) you will need to find the company registrars for the stocks you hold and give your certs for verification after which you can ask your stockbroker(if you have one) to credit your CSCS account with these shares. I think the company registrars should be able to do this as well if they have your stockbroker details and your CSCS CHN(this is the alphanumeric number that identifies the stockbroker to the CSCS) and your CSCS No(your personal numeric account number with CSCS) |
easimoni:i await your return the truth of the matter is i made my first investmnent on the NSE in 04 but i learnt everything i know today as per fundamental anaylsis by reading your posts when i registered on this forum in May |
texas543:you will stumble on the beautiful laps of your opeke abi no be so?i hope seun is not reading this |
pumping777:r u serious? chei may your pump never kaput men i must say i'm seriously impressed i would have put you as someone who's been doing this for years wa o That goes to show there's no limit to what you can learn infact you have challenged me now i have started learning technical analysis now so i can start pumping technical as well as pumping sorry i meant to say fundamental analysiswaiting for easimoni's spreadsheet keep pumping |
bigjay01:pls and pls read this thread it would bless you real good and if you feel you still need to ask questions by all means feel free its only 4 pages! https://www.nairaland.com/nigeria/topic-82565.0.html |
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