₦airaland Forum

This election is going to be quite interesting. it's looking like ACP will not be so strong in the North. The 'Buhari Facrtor' will not apply in 2023. Increassing numbers of Northern politicans are defecting to PDP/NNPP. Tinubu is in a tight corner. If he selects a Muslim running mate he can count the SE/SS and parts of the NC and NE goodbye. Then the NW is a four way split with the other contestants. In fact I can see PO winning the in place like Kaduna and Bauchi, as he will hoover up the christian votes while the muslim votes will be split between Atiku, Tinube and Kwankwaso.
Without a solid Northern backing for Tinubu, his path to Aso Rock is totally blocked.

Tiny Edo state has more registrations than Anambra, Imo and Enugu combined!! SE una dey fail person hand big time.!

Yes the history stated here is true, but that will not stop this Edo man, from donating to Peter Obi's campaign and voting for him next year. Simply put, he's the best candidate out there and the only one who understands thed depth of the problems facing this nation. It's got nothing to do with tribe.

quota45:
Firstly, when has a Muslim or Christian becoming president helped Nigerian masses achieve anything. I am a Christian from the southwest living in Lagos and we have conquered the religious squabbles that have brought turmoil to other regions in the south and made some places unliveable in the north. Just like Tinubu who is a Muslim with a Christian wife, many families in the southwest also have the same scenario and most of the children are allowed to pick the religion they decide to worship or practice. Fashola the former governor of Lagos is a Muslim man who has a Christian wife, and to add to the purity of their union they are both married to just one wife. My father was a Christian and my step mom is a Muslim, do i love my siblings any lesser i don't think so. My best friend is a Muslim, whenever sallah time comes we Christian's are the ones going house to house to chop our own meat. As soon as Christmas or Easter comes around our Muslim friends and family are celebrating it with us. What happened in Owo, Ondo was pure wickedness and trust me the perpetrators will be judged by God Almighty for their evil deeds. Why did a group of armed men kill members of a catholic church mostly populated by ibo's in a southwest town a day before the APC primaries, which had a chance of fielding a popular southern Muslim as its candidate. Only God can answer that question, but what i know is had that incident happened in any other region in the south, a counter attack would have happened in a nearby mosque and a religious war would have broke out. To attest to the love shared by the Muslims and Christians in the southwest the Imams and various members of different mosques went to the church to show their support and to voice their anger over this needless deaths in God's house.

As to the issue of muslim- muslim ticket i don't see anything wrong with it, because in an election you have to win before you can make changes. You have to align and re-align to put the best possible scenario to achieve your goal.
In the south you only have Muslims in the southwest and maybe Auchi, Edo state in the south south. So a Muslim is a minority in the south and in the north out of the 19 governors only three are Christians. So with the religious implications in the north, the northern Christian's are a minority. Elections are meant to be won, so how does the apc candidate who happens to be a minority yoruba Muslim team up with a minority northern Christian whose party apc has only one of the three christian governors in the north. Plateau is the only apc state in the north with a Christian governor and don't forget Plateau state is north central and the party chairman is also from north central. He either picks his vp from northeast atiku's zone or northwest that has the highest votes. As a team player he asked the north to pick his vp, because whoever becomes vp will be the most powerful politician in the north.

All i will say is that tolerance is all that matters, since 1999 when the presidency or the vice presidency went to the north, the presidency or vice went to the majority southern Christians. In all that time the minority southern Muslims have never complained, the last time it happened in an election was during the time of abiola. The northern Christians need to find a unifier in the north, the same way the minority southern Muslims have been able to find a unifier in the south.

All long talk. If Tinubu goes with a Muslim Muslim ticket he'll loose the SE, SS, Benue, Plateau, Tarawa, Adamawa, Kaduna, Bauchi and maybe Ondo. Lets see how he becomes president sharing the rest states with 3 others.

Africa's greatest days are ahead, Britain's greatest days are in the past

The movie of elcetion 2023, will be an Oscar winner for sure. So many intigues and twists and turns

Vixlot:
Congratulations to the Incoming President Bola Ahmed Tinubu. APC is sure to win the following South-South States:

Rivers ✓
Cross Rivers✓
Bayelsa✓
Edo✓
Delta 50/50
AKwa Ibom 50/50

I beg no use laugh kill person!

You really think Tinubu will win in Edo and Delta? You no sabi Bendel politics at all. Even when Oshiomhole was governor, Edo still voted PDP in the presidential race. Tinubu will be lucky to even come 2nd in Edo and Delta, we dey wait am!

bizbrainko:
Honestly a more rugged Wike would have been a killer punch, but what do I know?

Okowa is too slow to my liking. I am still trying to measure his level of appeal to other groups in the South.

Wike is an alpha male, he would not make a good vice

Jollof rice has become a mainstay in London cunsine. Many Oyibo really love it at lunchtime

This is how we always mess up in the souith. In 2015 not a single PDP northern governor dared to campaign for GEJ. They were scared their people would stone them. I hope this stupid governor will receive the same treatment

Orji the slave of the North.

100% agree. The idea that a Muslim-muslim ticket can come after Buhari is a big joke. Tinubu will be mad to do it

alsudan:
Abiola got 40 percent votes in the SE and 60 percent votes in the SS and NC with a Muslim Muslim Ticket in 1993.

But that’s the difference, 1993 is not 2023. Thiefnibu will get 3 percent votes in the SE, 10 percent in the SS, 25 percent in the NC if he ever tries it.

Head or tail, Tinubu will lose out.

If he selects a Muslim, Christian will show him pepper and if he selects a Christian, the Muslims will vote for their pikin Atiku.

Man is paying for helping foist the most divisive President in Nigeria’s history.

You will soon see Tinubu speaking in tongues, telling us he's been a member of Mountain of fire all this time!

This is the kind of over centralized mandness that we need the presidental candiates to be debating. There should be regional/state grids. Let everbody produce electicity using the resoruces lcoal to them.

Nonsense talk. How can they say my dear Edo state attracted 0 foreign investment, what of all the remittances from our major export of Asahwos to Italy?

Rebelutionary:
Why are you banking on this muslim-muslim ticket that isnt yet a reality? Can we just wait and see who his running mate is abeg? Any analysis you do with that assumption is futile!

Iam not banking on anything, Iam simply reflecting the stated political reality. You are correct it may not happen, but all signs are that Tinubu will select a Muslim running mate.

Toneypen247:
You guys are giving this thing more relevance than necessary Just get your PVC and vote these political urchins out

I tire bros. There is absolutly no need to heat up the nation on this issue. Anybody can select whoever they want on their ticket. Las las it was for we the voters to make our choice. The MOST IMPORTANT thing for every christian in this country now is TO GET YOUR PVC. Making noise online is of no value. There are no polling stations online. Get your PVC and be read for the election.That's all

Ekundayo7574:
Peter Obi is a stingy man, a thief that waist so many resources when he was a Governor to say, even to donate money to any public organization is a big No for him, those people that really matters has far as Nigerian politics in concern are watching him very closely, and I'm very sure they will surprise the man, Peter Obi is only popular on social media just because that's the only thing our Igbo brothers can really offer us.

Tinubu/Atiku paid bots are out in full force this weekend. They are really scared of Peter Obi. Surely if Tinubu or Atiku were such great candidates, they would be busy selling their credentials and achievements to us. The fact is these are 2 old rogues that have nothing to offer the youth, that's why PO is generating so much support across the land, and why they are so scared.

Flier:
The Nigerian youth has the opportunity to meet TINUBU and ATIKU to confirm what is their policies for the youth but they are busy marketing a candidate that has zero chance of winning presidential election
It is rear to see an independent candidate or 3rd party candidate to win a presidential election in a developed world let alone in Nigeria where 3rd party is non-existence
We have the opportunity to select the lesser of the evils at the moment before we end up with the worst of the two
The debate among the youth at the moment should be who is the lesser evil? because we are left with 2 thieves at the moment and we must select one.

It's my vote, and I am very happy to waste it thanks for your concern, but I am fully OBIDient!!

NaughtyBrainiac:
Peter Obi can only win if Tinubu of APC and Atiku of PDP both step down for Obi and tell their supporters to vote Obi.

I am sure you know the probability of that happening!

Not at all. The Muslim-Muslim ticket is going to hurrt Tinubu badily. He can kiss the SE/SS and parts of the middle belt and NE goodbye. Further more this election is going to be a FOUR HORSE RACE. Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso will split the Northern Muslim votes, this will give Peter Obi a good chance in states like Kaduna and Taraba and maybe even Gombe. The Northern Christiand and minorites are 100% behind Obi

The ONLY way Peter Obi can win, is if his supporters roll up their sleeves and do the HARD stuff of grassroot campaigns. As we have all seen there is no polling station on Twiter or Instegram.
Key target states need to be identified. If I was advising them these would be split into must win, come a good second, get at least 30%

Must Win:
Anambra
Abia
Imo
Ebonyi
Enugu
Edo
Cross River
Akwa Ibom
Benue
Plateau
Kaduna

Come a close second:
Rivers
Bayelsa
Delta
Lagos
Kogi
Kwara
Ondo
Osun

At least 30%
Gombe
Bauchi
Taraba
Adamawa
Niger
Oyo

In a 4 horse race, with Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso spliting the Norrhtern Muslim vote, the above projections are perfeclty possible, but the ground work has to start NOW. Ward by ward campaigns, ensure people in the target states have thier PVC's and on election day ensure they come out to vote and their votes are counted

Samunique:
I now understand that, coming up for the first time in Kaduna with Muslim Muslim ticket was a ploy to test the waters for their agenda for 2023 election.

These people are master planners !

Look at the rate at which the Christians are being massacred under the watchful eye of El Rufai Mr capacity.

Now I strongly believe that there's an Islamic agenda going on in Nigeria !!

Exactrly! Trust me if muslim-muslim president and VP should win. The next one will be North-North.

...The South-East is our zone and we know the people and the voters there will not abandon us.....

What a joke! The SE have been the most loyal zone to the PDP since 1999, yet the PDP did not see fit to zone the presidnency to them, and now you expect loyality from them. If I wee from the SE, I would be so offended by that!

GeneralPula:
Ibori is more of Tinubu’s Ally than Atiku..

Go and ask..

ibori has been close to Atiku for a long time. I think that rules out the current Delta state governor. I think it'll be Obaseki. He's not a threat to Atiku as he does not have deep connections inside PDP.

The sad part of all this, is that Northern Muslims are effectly saying Yoruba Muslims are not 'Real' Muslims. I wonder why SW Muslims continue to take this crap.
Anyway I am fully OBIDient so it does not really bother me. Na how we can deliver Edo state for Peter Obi nai we dey. Yoruba muslims, you guys have my sympathy!

PrinceOfLagos:
I am begining to fear this Peter Obi with the way he's taking over

Is he the Barack Obama of our time?

Hmm

Its up to we the people to make it happen. 6 years ago Macron's party did not exist, today he's in his second term as France President. A couple of years ago, Zelinsky was a comedy actor, today he's leading his country against Russia.
We the people can achieve anything if we put our minds to it

seunmsg:
I agree completely with the OP. This choice is now before us especially southerners. We either ensure power returns to the south through Tinubu or it remains in the north with Atiku.

If the price of power returning to the South is a Muslim-Muslim ticket, then let it stay in the North. After all despite all the years the North have rulled, their region is still poor and under developed. Another 4 years won't make much diffrence.
Muslim-Muslim tikcet is simply not acceptable in today's Nigeria

Osinbajo did his best. The reality is that there is no way he could get the ticket without FIRM support from Buhari. When a candidate does not have a solid structure in the party.
Buhari is well known for being indecisive and open to manipulation

it's either going to be Gado Dollar or El-Rufai. I think it will be Gado Dollar. Tinubu can't risk the Millions of votes from Kano.

He's bigger problem will be the Muslim-Muslim ticket. He can kiss the SE/SS goodbye in a big way with that, as well as parts of the NC/NE. Then it's him Atiku and Kwankwaso to battle it out for the the Muslim NW.

I really think the election is going to be very interesting as it's a 4 way race. It may the first time we don't have a clear winner in the first round and need a run-off second round

Blaksheep01:
My brother you said it all. Sometimes i weep for my tribe. We still have a long way to go. And it's we the Young ones that will bear the consequences.

It is so sad. There are many like me, who are not Igbo, but really are in sympathy with our Igbo fellow citizens and would love to see one of them become president of this nation. However the Presidential primaries have shown why this will not happen anytime soon. Not a single Igbo governor or prominant Igbo politican, supported any of the Igbo Presidentail candidates in either party! All the other zones now know clearly that the SE politicans are only in for their pockets.

Nokio1:
Nigerian politics is not about big big grammar and reeling out economic houcus pocus...ya dollar ya ticket shikena

And that is why the country is the shit hole it is. An oil producing country that imports petrol. A Gas producing country that can't generate electricy. A fertile counrtry with massive hunger. You guys continue with the dollar politics. You and your generations will continue to serve the politicans and their families.

booblacain:
This talk of Notherners will not vote a Nothern Christian is just rubbish talk.

Then you really don't understand Northern Politics. The Northern Muslims do not recognise southern muslims as proper muslims. This is why no southern Imam can preach in a northern mosque. This was explained to late MKO Abiola which is why he selected the muslim Baba Gana Kingibe as his vice.
Tinubu will surley go for a muslim vice, he's has even hinted as much, and this will destroy his chances among Nigerian christians in the current climate. The middle belt, SE and SS are totaly in place for Peter Obi and Atiku(Atiku will definilty selected a southern christian). I just can't see how Tinubu makes it to Aso Rock