₦airaland Forum

ume1000:
tell me in the picture below of what good is a queen if u wish to checkmate either kings with just a single piece

in positional analysis of a game, a pawn may be more useful than a queen at a point in time. Your question belies the point. Critical reasoning is one of the advantages of playing chess. I expect you to understand that if you truly play chess.

Emmanuelhector:
yes, they were both southerners .. And tinubu preferred a northerner over Jonathan .. and now Umahi did the same, I hope you feel what we felt then.. BETRAYED

i guess you are under 18 years. They were in different parties. Apc and PDP

Emmanuelhector:
That’s how we felt when tinubu picked buhari over Jonathan.. Umahi did well

was tinubu and jonathan in the same party??

Hahaha..... Very predictable.

Print media just creating stories for people to react. Tinubu will win APC primaries

From Amaechi to Jonathan to Osinbajo to Lawan..... It is all social engineering to keep people reactive and agitated.

This is someone who understands political mathematics and chemistry.

The election is beyond social media delusion.

Tinubu is a perfect blend of a politician and an intellectual. It is rare to find Nigerian politicians with the other.

The immediate hurdle is the primaries. Real Politicking will start to unfold soon after.

oops

KingsJohnson:
And what is structure if I may ask you?

Dollar right?

Well meaning Nigerians will shock you come 2023

yes money is one, but it is more with no party structure across states. Elections will be conducted in over 150,000 polling booth, the campaign on social media is overrated, grassroot determines the victory. No single elected official is in Labour party if i am not mistaken. This is truth and emotions must not becloud reason.
I can bet if he is on ballot on election day, he wont surpass 5,000,000 votes.... I somewhat feel i am overrating his worth, but i will leave it at that.

helinues:
ObI can't get 5 million votes natinwide, if you have money you are not using, you can place the bet

5million votes

He can not get more than 500,000 votes with Labour party. Structure is key. He may even withdraw from the contest before election day.

ume1000:
and the only pieces capable of such feat without fear of been eliminated

Thats not true. The queen is the most powerful. Even two knights combined is not worth a queen.
A pawn is 1point
A knight is worth 3 points
A bishop is worth 3 points
A rook/castle is worth 4.5 points
A queen is worth 9 points

I don't expect the so called youths to listen to him and counter him with a superior argument. This thread will be filled with slow mental output, poor reasoning, bitterness, hatred and obvious lack of critical thinking.

The youth will struggle to take over, and if they do, it is the worst of them.

The last time a 3rd force in a Nigerian presidential election had sizable number of votes was ACN in 2011 and it was 2 million votes. They had a fairly ok structure in SW and SS , with about 5 governors. In the 2019 election, the candidate with the 3rd position had 100,000+ votes because it had a party name similar with one of APC or PDP. Labour party has no political structure, not even a councillor. I call any presidential candidate outside apc or pdp a clown.

iCauseTrouble:
I want a northerner to get the APC ticket. It will make it easier for Peter Obi.

My analysis
Atiku is from North
Kwankwaso is from North
If APC fields a northern candidate, the Northern votes will be divided...... Its going to be extremely easy for Peter Obi to win if the South can vote enmass for Obi

There is no way any other party on the ballot not APC or PDP can have more than 500,000 votes.

When Political neophytes who think that a 3rd force can win presidential election make this sort of ridiculous analysis, i just laugh......

So, PDP that chose a Northern candidate is not a problem, but APC that will most likely choose a Southern Candidate. The way these dolts reason

wow

The wise King Solomon adjudged rightly when two women laid claim to a single child and one of the women asked the child be cut in to two as a form of resolving the dispute. Any sensible person can tell what is eating OUK up.

eldoradoxx:
Tinubu's base in the South is only the West, East and South South is a no-go area for him politically. Remember the East and South South are waiting to pay him back for 2015 conspiracy that outset Jonathan. North Central is a swing region, it is very likely swinging in favour of PDP, APC messed up so much in the Middle Belt region with herdsers farmers clashes that the did not resolve. Tinubu's solid base is North West and southwest. Atiku will take his North East, the people there also want another of their own to be President again after Tafawa Balewa.

I am certain the SS and SE will be hotly contested with a Tinubu Contesting. Don't forget Buhari as dangerously hated in SE had 20% of SE votes in 2019. APC will make more inroad in to SE and SS in 2023 than 2019. The Political mathematics of 2019 while Atiku was contesting against a fellow Fulani will not necessarily work for him in 2023 . There may be voter apathy in SE and to some extent SS, however the election will be closely contested. The SW will also have more voter's turnout. The middlebelt region you are referring to suffering from herders conflict. Are the herders not predominantly Fulani? Is Atiku not Fulani? Is Buhari not Fulani? Benue, Plateau, Taraba, Kwara,Kogi are those states part of your middlebelt? If Tinubu clinches the ticket, he is an astute politician and you will see that play out in the next 9 months or thereabout.

eldoradoxx:
Southerners know giving Wike the ticket is a mere waste of ticket, he can't win anywhere. Wike is a lose canon that has no control. In South we don't nurse sentiment of brotherhood that blinds people to reality and churn out the incompetent ones under the guise of brotherhood as Northerners often do. This is what churned out Buhari the incompetent one. Northern consensus they called him in 2015.
The hard reality is that in that PDP primary election race, the only person who had (still has) any chances of winning a general election was Atiku who narrowly lost to Buhari as popular as he is in the North in 2019. Whether the Southern PDP support base of PDP will be ready to vote Atiku again depends on who APC gives ticket, give it to Tinubu and Atiku has easy win in East and South South, North Central and then slug it out with Tinubu is North West, South West (surely going for Tinubu) and North East (surely going for Atiku).

Atiku vs Tinubu will not be easy win for Atiku in the SS and NC, shockingly even in the SE. Yes Atiku may win SE and SS, it will be closely contested. The choice of Atiku's VP candidate may help, but an extension of Northern Agenda after Buhari's 8 year will adversely impact his performance in the South.

Winters23:
A strong 3rd force could put a dent on apc and pdp

3rd force , 10 months to general election?? Some of you think Nigeria's election is local government election. As things stands, any other presidential aspirant outside APC and PDP can not win up to 500,000 votes. Nigeria has over 60 million voters and 150,000 polling booths spread across the whole of the 774 local governments in Nigeria. Elections are not conducted on Twitter.

With almost certainty, it is going to be Tinubu vs Atiku.

I hope Southern voters are politically wise and will do the expedient thing.

Nice. The die is cast.

If they provide him a small cabinet to manage now, it will be story of mismanagement. It is not by curse, it is practicality , capacity and sincerity.

Saifullah01:
Goodness me, from the responses above are we so bereft of the capacity to discussing issues in isolation

keep shut, there is no utterance that warrants death. To try to discuss the "provocation" in isolation is you trying to justify the killing.

It is worst than a rapist trying to justify the rape because the victim wore a short gown.

Only a brain dead individual with no emotional intelligence will begin to discuss a provocation and ask that murder should not be discussed.

" 3th " ??

Dumb? Maybe. But i think majority are smart but bigoted, so they make dumb decisions. Bigotry makes one to make dumb decisions.

"I WAS faithful to him".

@op you are no longer faithful to him, move on ! It is in your best interest.

Funny enough, if Tinubu wins, he will be most intelligent president Nigeria ever had. It is a humbling reality. It is not hard to realise that Nigeria has had acute shortage of presidents with a great deal of COMMON SENSE.

ComeToJesus:
That's how they'll be mouthing this blue line till the next five years finish.

Ambode was much more efficient than the present dude.

I thought Ambode was the one who actually abandoned the blue line rail, the least progress was made during Ambode's term. The red line rail is also launched and work have started during Sanwo olu era.

Maxymilliano:
On a good day if things are working well in Nigeria, Super Eagles Team F should defeat these guys 5 goals to nil both home and away without breaking much sweat's

cho cho...... Keep overrating your self. Why not team Z

Minime10:
From this result coming from an APC chieftain in Lagos, it is very clear that, the 2019 general elections was actually won by the PDP

Choi..... So, Because Osinbajo lost in his polling unit, then PDP won Lagos State in 2019. Critical reasoning needs to be thought in Schools. Lagos has close to 2000 polling units.

The same way at the national level, a presidential candidate wins a state with a landslide does not mean (s)he won the general election. I hope you realise your fallacy or you are just trolling.

Sergio104:
As someone Said up there in a Post.


Had it been osinbajo resigned last year or last two years from this evil administration.

No doubt he would have been our president come 2023.
The integrity would have been top notched.

sometimes one needs to be too radical to achieve some unforseen feet.

outta here!!!

He will resign and contest as APC or PDP candidate?

Lazy youths that cant analyse zilch.

Don't be mislead by the ignoramus referring to the constitution he can't even quote.

134. (1) A candidate for an election to the office of President shall be deemed to have be been duly elected, where, there being only two candidates for the election -

(a) he has the majority of votes cast at the election; and

(b) he has not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election in each of at least two-thirds of all the States in the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.

(2) A candidate for an election to the office of President shall be deemed to have been duly elected where, there being more than two candidates for the election-

(a) he has the highest number of votes cast at the election;

and

(b) he has not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election each of at least two-thirds of all the States in the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.

(3) In a default of a candidate duly elected in accordance with subsection (2) of this section their shall be a second election in accordance with subsection (4) of this section at which the only candidate shall be -

(a) the candidate who scored the highest number of votes at any election held in accordance with the said subsection (2) of this section; and

(b) one among the remaining candidates who has a majority of votes in the highest number of States, so however that where there are more than one candidate with majority of votes in the highest number of States, the candidate among them with the highest total of votes cast at the election shall be the second candidate for the election.

(4) In default of a candidate duly elected under the foregoing subsections, the Independent National Electoral Commission shall within seven days of the result of the election held under the said subsections, arrange for an election between the two candidates and a candidate at such election shall be deemed elected to the office of President if -

(a) he has a majority of votes cast at the election; and

(b) he has not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election in each of at least two-thirds of all the States in the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja

(5) In default of a candidate duly elected under subsection (4) of this section, the Independent National Electoral Commission shall, within seven days of the result of the election held under the aforesaid subsection (4), arrange for another election between the two candidates to which the subsection relates and a candidate at such election shall be deemed to have been duly elected to the office of President, if he has a majority of the votes cast at the election.